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In this study, we examined whether the proportion of tubal factor infertility (TFI) that is attributable to Chlamydia trachomatis, the population excess fraction (PEF), can be estimated from serological data using finite mixture modeling. Whole-cell inclusion immunofluorescence serum antibody titers were recorded among infertile women seen at St. Michael's Hospital in Bristol, United Kingdom, during the period 1985-1995. Women were classified as TFI cases or controls based on laparoscopic examination. Finite mixture models were used to identify the number of component titer distributions and the proportion of serum samples in each, from which estimates of PEF were derived. Four titer distributions were identified. The component at the highest titer was found only in samples from women with TFI, but there was also an excess of the second-highest titer component in TFI cases. Minimum and maximum estimates of the PEF were 28.0% (95% credible interval: 6.9, 50.0) and 46.8% (95% credible interval: 23.2, 64.1). Equivalent estimates based on the standard PEF formula from case-control studies were 0% and over 65%. Finite mixture modeling can be applied to serological data to obtain estimates of the proportion of reproductive damage attributable to C. trachomatis Further studies using modern assays in contemporary, representative populations should be undertaken., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: To determine the effect of methotrexate (MTX) on bone mineral density (BMD) in rheumatoid arthritis (RA)., Methods: One hundred and sixteen non-steroid-treated RA subjects (90 women) were studied in a prospective, longitudinal, non-randomized study. Subjects started MTX (n=36) or sulphasalazine (n=23) or continued long-term (>5 yr) treatment with MTX (n=28) or other disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (n=29). BMD was estimated at entry and after 1 yr. Markers of bone turnover were measured at entry and at 1 yr, and additionally at 3 and 6 months in those starting treatment. Bone biopsies were taken before and after MTX treatment in four subjects. The primary outcome was change in BMD Z score and secondary outcomes were changes in bone turnover markers and bone formation by histomorphometry., Results: Univariate analysis of covariance found that MTX at baseline was associated with reduced BMD at the femoral neck. However, femoral neck BMD was also associated with radiological damage score for the hand. Multivariate analysis and discriminant analysis of the subset of post-menopausal women showed that reduced bone density associated with MTX was due to confounders such as disease activity. There was no adverse effect of MTX on bone turnover markers or on measures of bone formation in biopsies., Conclusions: No adverse effect of low-dose MTX (mean 10 mg/week) on bone formation in RA was found.