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Each year, malignant melanoma accounts for 57 000 deaths globally. If current rates continue, there will be an estimated 510 000 new cases annually and 96 000 deaths by 2040. Melanoma and keratinocyte cancers (KCs) incur a large societal burden. Using a mathematical population model, we performed an economic evaluation of the SunSmart program in the state of Western Australia (WA), a primary prevention program to reduce the incidence of skin cancer, versus no program. A societal perspective was taken combining costs to the health system, patients and lost productivity. The model combined data from pragmatic trial evidence of sun protection, epidemiological studies and national cost reports. The main outcomes modelled were societal and government costs, skin cancer counts, melanoma deaths, life years and quality-adjusted life years. Over the next 20 years, the model predicted that implementing the WA SunSmart program would prevent 13 728 KCs, 636 melanomas and 46 melanoma deaths per 100 000 population. Furthermore, 251 life years would be saved, 358 quality-adjusted life years gained and AU$2.95 million in cost savings to society per 100 000 population would be achieved. Key drivers of the model were the rate reduction of benign lesions from sunscreen use, the costs of purchasing sunscreen and the effectiveness of reducing KCs in sunscreen users. The likelihood of WA SunSmart being cost-effective was 90.1%. For the WA Government, the estimated return on investment was $8.70 gained for every $1 invested. Primary prevention of skin cancer is a cost-effective strategy for preventing skin cancers., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Aims: To conduct a contemporary cost-effectiveness analysis examining the use of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) for primary prevention in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM)., Methods: A discrete-time Markov model was used to determine the cost-effectiveness of different ICD decision-making rules for implantation. Several scenarios were investigated, including the reference scenario of implantation rates according to observed real-world practice. A 12-year time horizon with an annual cycle length was used. Transition probabilities used in the model were obtained using Bayesian analysis. The study has been reported according to the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards checklist., Results: Using a 5-year SCD risk threshold of 6% was cheaper than current practice and has marginally better total quality adjusted life years (QALYs). This is the most cost-effective of the options considered, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of £834 per QALY. Sensitivity analyses highlighted that this decision is largely driven by what health-related quality of life (HRQL) is attributed to ICD patients and time horizon., Conclusion: We present a timely new perspective on HCM-ICD cost-effectiveness, using methods reflecting real-world practice. While we have shown that a 6% 5-year SCD risk cut-off provides the best cohort stratification to aid ICD decision-making, this will also be influenced by the particular values of costs and HRQL for subgroups or at a local level. The process of explicitly demonstrating the main factors, which drive conclusions from such an analysis will help to inform shared decision-making in this complex area for all stakeholders concerned., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Aims: The Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation-3 (HOPE-3) found that rosuvastatin alone or with candesartan and hydrochlorothiazide (HCT) (in a subgroup with hypertension) significantly lowered cardiovascular events compared with placebo in 12 705 individuals from 21 countries at intermediate risk and without cardiovascular disease. We assessed the costs implications of implementation in primary prevention in countries at different economic levels., Methods and Results: Hospitalizations, procedures, study and non-study medications were documented. We applied country-specific costs to the healthcare resources consumed for each patient. We calculated the average cost per patient in US dollars for the duration of the study (5.6 years). Sensitivity analyses were also performed with cheapest equivalent substitutes. The combination of rosuvastatin with candesartan/HCT reduced total costs and was a cost-saving strategy in United States, Canada, Europe, and Australia. In contrast, the treatments were more expensive in developing countries even when cheapest equivalent substitutes were used. After adjustment for gross domestic product (GDP), the costs of cheapest equivalent substitutes in proportion to the health care costs were higher in developing countries in comparison to developed countries., Conclusion: Rosuvastatin and candesartan/HCT in primary prevention is a cost-saving approach in developed countries, but not in developing countries as both drugs and their cheapest equivalent substitutes are relatively more expensive despite adjustment by GDP. Reductions in costs of these drugs in developing countries are essential to make statins and blood pressure lowering drugs affordable and ensure their use., Clinical Trial Registration: HOPE-3 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00468923., (Published on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. © The Author(s) 2019. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) has largely disappeared from high-income countries. However, in New Zealand (NZ) rates remain high in indigenous (Māori) and Pacific populations. In 2011, NZ launched an intensive and unparalleled primary Rheumatic Fever Prevention Programme (RFPP). We evaluated the impact of the school-based sore throat service component of the RFPP., Methods: The evaluation used national trends of all-age first episode ARF hospitalisation rates before (2009-11) and after (2012-16) implementation of the RFPP. A retrospective cohort study compared first-episode ARF incidence during time-not-exposed (23 093 207 person-days) and time-exposed (68 465 350 person-days) with a school-based sore throat service among children aged 5-12 years from 2012 to 2016., Results: Following implementation of the RFPP, the national ARF incidence rate declined by 28% from 4.0 per 100 000 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.5-4.6] at baseline (2009-11) to 2.9 per 100 000 by 2016 (95% CI 2.4-3.4, P <0.01). The school-based sore throat service effectiveness overall was 23% [95% CI -6%-44%; rate ratio (RR) 0.77, 95% CI 0.56-1.06]. Effectiveness was greater in one high-risk region with high coverage (46%, 95% CI 16%-66%; RR 0.54, 95% CI 0.34-0.84)., Conclusions: Population-based primary prevention of ARF through sore throat management may be effective in well-resourced settings like NZ where high-risk populations are geographically concentrated. Where high-risk populations are dispersed, a school-based primary prevention approach appears ineffective and is expensive.

Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention is commonly focused on providing individuals at high predicted CVD risk with preventive medication. Whereas CVD risk increases rapidly with age, current risk-based selection of individuals mainly targets the elderly. However, the lifelong (preventable) consequences of CVD events may be larger in younger individuals. The purpose of this paper is to investigate if health benefits from preventive treatment may increase when the selection strategy is further optimised. Methods Data from three Dutch cohorts were combined ( n = 47469, men:women 1:1.92) and classified into subgroups based on age and gender. The Framingham global risk score was used to estimate 10-year CVD risk. The associated lifelong burden of CVD events according to this 10-year CVD risk was expressed as quality-adjusted life years lost. Based on this approach, the additional health benefits from preventive treatment, reducing this 10-year CVD risk, from selecting individuals based on their expected CVD burden rather than their expected CVD risk were estimated. These benefits were expressed as quality-adjusted life years gained over lifetime. Results When using the current selection strategy (10% risk threshold), 32% of the individuals were selected for preventive treatment. When the same proportion was selected based on burden, more younger and fewer older individuals would receive treatment. Across all individuals, the gain in quality-adjusted life years was 217 between the two strategies, over a 10-year time horizon. In addition, when combining the strategies 5% extra eligible individuals were selected resulting in a gain of 628 quality-adjusted life years. Conclusion Improvement of the selection approach of individuals can help to reduce further the CVD burden. Selecting individuals for preventive treatment based on their expected CVD burden will provide more younger and fewer older individuals with treatment, and will reduce the overall CVD burden.

Background: Healthy ageing and health promotion (HP) actions for older people have become an important health sector priority. At the same time, the application of economic evaluation methods in the field of health interventions in order to support allocative decision processes is of growing importance. The aims of the review were to analyze what the existing evidence is on cost-effectiveness of HP and/or primary prevention (PP) programmes for older people whilst providing deeper insight into methodological aspects of such studies, their overall quality and issues related to practical implementation of results., Methods: Systematic review of contemporary evidence (2000-15). Studies' eligibility criteria included target population 65 years old or older; interventions classified as HP or PP; a full economic evaluation conducted. The search strategy included five electronic databases and Internet websites of institutions or projects related to the topic. Quality assessment of the studies was based on the 'Drummond checklist'., Results: After screening 6450 records, 29 papers were included, the vast majority of which (22) focus on fall prevention strategies. In this area, there are examples of good and moderate quality studies which confirm the cost-effectiveness of diverse physical activity interventions in fall prevention. The existing studies are characterized by huge differences in the methods applied as well as overall quality which limits the comparability and generalizability of the results., Conclusions: There is a need for development and implementation of economically driven studies, with methods adjusted to particular character of HP and/or PP strategies for older population., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association. All rights reserved.)

Background: The Affordable Care Act (ACA) removed copayments for screening mammography and colonoscopy in Medicare beneficiaries, but its clinical impact is unknown., Methods: Using a 5% random sample of Medicare claims from 2009 through 2012 in individuals age 70 years or older who were due for screening, we examined claims for screening mammography and screening or surveillance colonoscopy for two years prior to ACA (2009-2010) and two years post-ACA (2011-2012). Receipt of the procedures at the patient level was compared across years using generalized estimating equations. Statistical tests were two-sided., Results: Compared with 2009, we found an increase in mammography uptake during the ACA coverage period, with multivariable odds ratios (MOR) of 1.22 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.20 to 1.25, P < .001) for 2011 and 1.17 (95% CI = 1.15 to 1.20, P < .001) for 2012 and less change in 2010 (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.01 to 1.05, P = .01). In contrast to mammography, uptake of screening or surveillance colonoscopy decreased in 2012 (MOR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.92 to 0.98, P = .002) compared with 2009, with no change in 2010 (MOR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.99 to 1.04, P = .47) or 2011 (MOR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.99 to 1.04, P = .34). Other factors associated with procedure receipt included younger age and prior preventive health visits. In an analysis restricted to patients age 70 to 74 years, colonoscopy use increased slightly in 2011 but was unchanged in 2012, and the findings by year for mammography were consistent with the main analysis., Conclusions: Following ACA implementation with concomitant reduction in out-of-pocket expenditures, there was a statistically significant increment in mammography uptake but not colonoscopy. This suggests that affordability is a necessary but not sufficient facilitator of preventive services., (© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

This study was aimed to assess the association between regional financial deficits and Recovery Plans and the quality of the 702 projects developed by the Italian Regions within the National Prevention Plan 2010-13. Multivariate analyses showed significant associations between Recovery Plans and low quality of projects, possibly due to weak regional public health capacities. Regions with Recovery Plans are likely to focus mainly on short-term issues with a high impact on health care costs, leaving few resources available for prevention. A different approach to financial deficit focused on long-term strategies, including those for health promotion and disease prevention, is needed., (© The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Public Health Association. All rights reserved.)

Combination pills containing aspirin, multiple blood pressure (BP) lowering drugs, and a statin have demonstrated safety, substantial risk factor reductions, and improved medication adherence in the prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The individual medications in combination pills are already recommended for use together in secondary CVD prevention. Therefore, current information on their pharmacokinetics, impact on the risk factors, and tolerability should be sufficient to persuade regulators and clinicians to use fixed-dose combination pills in high-risk individuals, such as in secondary prevention. Long-term use of these medicines, in a polypill or otherwise, is expected to reduce CVD risk by at least 50-60% in such groups. This risk reduction needs confirmation in prospective randomized trials for populations for whom concomitant use of the medications is not currently recommended (e.g. primary prevention). Given their additive benefits, the combined estimated relative risk reduction (RRR) in CVD from both lifestyle modification and a combination pill is expected to be 70-80%. The first of several barriers to the widespread use of combination therapy in CVD prevention is physician reluctance to use combination pills. This reluctance may originate from the belief that lifestyle modification should take precedence, and that medications should be introduced one drug at a time, instead of regarding combination pills and lifestyle modification as complementary and additive. Second, widespread availability of combination pills is also impeded by the reluctance of large pharmaceutical companies to invest in development of novel co-formulations of generic (or 'mature') drugs. A business model based on 'mass approaches' to drug production, packaging, marketing, and distribution could make the combination pill available at an affordable price, while at the same time providing a viable profit for the manufacturers. A third barrier is regulatory approval for novel multidrug combination pills, as there are few precedents for the approval of combination products with four or more components for CVD. Acceptance of combination therapy in other settings suggests that with concerted efforts by academics, international health agencies, research funding bodies, governments, regulators, and pharmaceutical manufacturers, combination pills for prevention of CVD in those with disease or at high risk (e.g. those with multiple risk factors) can be made available worldwide at affordable prices. It is anticipated that widespread use of combination pills with lifestyle modifications can lead to substantial risk reductions (as much as an 80% estimated RRR) in CVD. Heath care systems need to deploy these strategies widely, effectively, and efficiently. If implemented, these strategies could avoid several millions of fatal and non-fatal CVD events every year worldwide.

Aims: To assess the impact on healthcare resource utilization, costs, and quality of life over 15 years from 5 years of statin use in men without a history of myocardial infarction in the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study (WOSCOPS)., Methods: Six thousand five hundred and ninety-five participants aged 45-54 years were randomized to 5 years treatment with pravastatin (40 mg) or placebo. Linkage to routinely collected health records extended follow-up for secondary healthcare resource utilization to 15 years. The following new results are reported: cause-specific first and recurrent cardiovascular hospital admissions including myocardial infarction, heart failure, stroke, coronary revascularization and angiography; non-cardiovascular hospitalization; days in hospital; quality-adjusted life years (QALYs); costs of pravastatin treatment, treatment safety monitoring, and hospital admissions., Results: Five years treatment of 1000 patients with pravastatin (40 mg/day) saved the NHS £710 000 (P < 0.001), including the cost of pravastatin and lipid and safety monitoring, and gained 136 QALYs (P = 0.017) over the 15-year period. Benefits per 1000 subjects, attributable to prevention of cardiovascular events, included 163 fewer admissions and a saving of 1836 days in hospital, with fewer admissions for myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure and coronary revascularization. There was no excess in non-cardiovascular admissions or costs (or in admissions associated with diabetes or its complications) and no evidence of heterogeneity of effect over sub-groups defined by baseline cardiovascular risk., Conclusion: Five years' primary prevention treatment of middle-aged men with a statin significantly reduces healthcare resource utilization, is cost saving, and increases QALYs. Treatment of even younger, lower risk individuals is likely to be cost-effective.

Aims: To determine the long-term costs of extending device longevity in four patient populations requiring a single-chamber implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) or requiring cardiac resynchronization therapy with defibrillation (CRT-D) device over a 15-year time window., Methods and Results: We considered patient populations with an accepted indication for a single-chamber ICD for prevention of sudden cardiac death in the context of preserved (Population A) or impaired (Population B) left ventricular function; or with indication for a CRT-D device in the context of heart failure in New York Heart Association class II (Population C) or III (Population D). Expected patient survival and a cost analysis, including the cost of complications, was undertaken from a hospital perspective. Extended device longevity of 5 vs. 9 years for ICDs (Populations A and B); 4 vs. 7 years for CRT-Ds (Populations C and D) were considered. Over a 15-year time horizon, total, yearly, and per diem savings, per patient, from extending ICD longevity to 9 years were €10 926.91, €728.46, and €1.99 for Population A, and €7661.32, €510.75, and €1.40 for Population B. Total, yearly, and per diem savings from extending CRT-D longevity to 7 years were €13 630.38, €908.69, and €2.49 for Population C, and €10 968.29, €731.22, and €2.00 for Population D. Avoidance of a generator replacement amounted up to 46.6-62.5% of the saving., Conclusion: Extending device longevity has an important effect on the long-term cost of device therapy, both for ICD and CRT-D. This has important implications for device choice.

Background: Febrile neutropenia is a serious toxicity of cancer chemotherapy that is usually treated in hospital. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of filgrastim and pegfilgrastim as primary prophylaxis against febrile neutropenia in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients undergoing chemotherapy., Methods: We used a Markov model that followed patients through induction chemotherapy to compare the three prophylaxis strategies: 1) no primary prophylaxis against febrile neutropenia; 2) primary prophylaxis with 10 days of filgrastim therapy; and 3) primary prophylaxis with a single dose of pegfilgrastim. The target population was a hypothetical cohort of 64-year-old men and women with DLBCL. Data sources included published literature and current clinical practice. The analysis was conducted from a publicly funded health-care system perspective. The main outcome measures included costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs)., Results: In the base-case analysis, costs associated with no primary prophylaxis, primary prophylaxis with 10 days of filgrastim, and primary prophylaxis with pegfilgrastim were CaD $7314, CaD $13947, and CaD $16290, respectively. The QALYs associated with the three strategies were 0.2004, 0.2015, and 0.2024, respectively. The ICER for the filgrastim vs no primary prophylaxis strategy was CaD $5796000 per QALY. The ICER for the pegfilgrastim vs filgrastim primary prophylaxis strategy was CaD $2611000 per QALY. All one-way sensitivity analyses yielded ICERs greater than CaD $400000 per QALY. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves show that 20.0% of iterations are cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of CaD $1595000 for the filgrastim strategy and CaD $561000 for the pegfilgrastim strategy., Conclusions: Primary prophylaxis against febrile neutropenia with either filgrastim or pegfilgrastim is not cost-effective in DLBCL patients.

An alarming proportion of incident human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections worldwide occur in youth. In the United States, 69% of all new infections among youth occurred in young men who have sex with men (YMSM). Recent studies show the promise of preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for preventing HIV infection, but research efforts suffer from disproportionately low representation of the youth who are most at risk. Youth-focused research is critical and should include behavioral, community, and biomedical interventions to create a comprehensive HIV prevention package. The many ethical, legal, and regulatory considerations in conducting HIV research among, and in providing care services to, youth must be addressed so that those at high risk and most likely to benefit can have unfettered access to safe and effective health-promoting interventions. YMSM and minority youth are at substantial HIV risk and urgently need effective HIV prevention tools for which the short and long-term benefits and risks have been carefully considered.

Background: Long-term trials on the effectiveness of pharmacological treatment for primary cardiovascular disease prevention are scant. For that reason risk prediction models are used as a tool to project changes in cardiovascular disease incidence due to changes in risk factor levels observed in short-term randomized clinical trials. In this article, we summarize the literature on the application of these risk models in pharmacoeconomic studies for primary cardiovascular disease prevention interventions in high-income countries., Methods and Results: We systematically reviewed the available literature on the application of cardiovascular disease risk models in pharmacoeconomic studies and assessed the quality of incorporation of risk models in these studies. Quality assessment indicated the distance between the characteristics of populations of the risk model and the studies reviewed, the frequent disagreement between risk model and study time horizons and the lack of proper consideration of the uncertainty surrounding risk predictions., Conclusion: Given that utilizing a risk model to project the effect of a pharmacological intervention to cardiovascular events provides an estimate of the intervention's clinical and economical impact, consideration should be paid to the agreement between the study and risk model populations as well as the level of uncertainty that these predictions add to the outcome of a decision-analytic model. In the absence of hard endpoint trials, the value of risk models to model pharmacological efficacy in primary cardiovascular disease prevention remains high, although their limitations should beacknowledged

Background: In recent years the literature regarding the cost-effectiveness of disease prevention and health promotion has grown exponentially. Aim of this study is to investigate: (i) how many and what type of economic evaluations have been published in 2008, (ii) the diseases or health problems World Health Organization International Classification of Diseases 10 chapters the economic evaluations of preventive interventions focus on, in relation to the global burden of disease and (iii) the cost-effectiveness of these interventions., Methods: Literature study of economic evaluations on preventive interventions in PubMed and Scopus., Results: In 2008, 232 economic evaluations of preventive interventions have been published. Of these studies, 75% (n = 175) used costs per (Quality Adjusted) Life Year [(QA)LY] gained as outcome measure. Most economic evaluations focus on the prevention of infectious diseases (31.5%, n = 73) and cancers (21%, n = 49) Infectious diseases are responsible for the highest global burden of disease (19.8%), followed by mental and behavioural disorders (11.7%). Of the included economic evaluations, 80% remained below a threshold of €50 000 and 60% below €20 000 per (QA)LY., Conclusion: This study shows that many economic evaluations of preventive interventions use a generic outcome measure. This adds to the comparability of different studies on the cost-effectiveness of prevention. Although the focus of published economic evaluations in general corresponds well with those diseases that cause a large share of the world's burden of disease, mental and behavioural diseases and diseases of the respiratory system remain underrepresented. Finally, it appears that the vast majority of published economic evaluations of preventive measures show favourable cost-effectiveness levels.

Background: The healthcare costs of an aging population have major consequences for healthcare organizations and have major implication for strategic planning of services. An impending freeze in budgets in the UK makes these consequences especially significant., Methods: We present a methodology of estimating the future healthcare costs to an organization due to an aging population that takes account of the excess costs in the years before death and the effect of morbidity compression or expansion. The performance of three different models is evaluated., Results: The three models all give markedly different estimated costs. Models failing to take into account both the cost burden towards the end of life and compression or expansion of morbidity can vastly under- or overestimate the most accurate estimates of healthcare expenditure due to an aging population with annual increases in costs varying from 0.48 to 1.12%., Conclusion: The importance of being able to accurately predict demand and costs of health care within the NHS cannot be underestimated. Making over simplistic assumptions and not using well-established principles in these models leads to greatly different outcomes that have the potential to have massive organizational consequences in terms of short-to-medium term strategic planning.

Prevention of unhealthy lifestyles has sometimes been promoted as simultaneously reducing costs and improving public health but this will unlikely prove to be true. Additional medical costs in life years gained due to treatment of unrelated diseases may offset possible savings in related diseases, but are often ignored both in health promotion policies and in economic evaluations of life-prolonging interventions. Many national guidelines explicitly recommend excluding these costs from economic evaluations or leave inclusion up to the discretion of the analyst. This may result in too favorable estimations of cost-effectiveness, feeding the unjustified optimism among policymakers regarding lifestyle interventions as a cost-saving option. However, prevention may still be a cost-effective way to improve public health, even when it does not result in cost savings, but this should be judged taking all future costs into account and be based on the true value for money provided by lifestyle interventions.

Background: Current recommendations on drug treatment of hypertension for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease are primarily determined by the evidence of effectiveness, disregard the resources available and values of people, and recommend a universally fixed risk cutoff for initiating drug treatment. The guidelines may have over-estimated the willingness of the public to accept and pay for these drugs and a fixed cutoff may not fit all populations. Moreover, the public may have been misinformed and are unable to make the right decision even if they are consulted. We conducted this study to address these issues and to describe the gap between current policy and what the public truly want., Methods: A cross-sectional survey with face-to-face interviews of rural and urban residents in northern China. Before providing any information, we asked the residents whether they would accept drug treatment if they had hypertension and also asked them to estimate the 5-year cardiovascular risk in untreated hypertension and the benefits from anti-hypertensive drugs. We then informed the participants of necessary information and asked them above what benefit they would be willing to pay the current cost, and how much they would be willing to pay for the actual benefit, for anti-hypertensive drugs out of pocket., Results: Eight hundred and eighty-seven rural residents and 921 urban residents were interviewed with a response rate of 97%. Ninety-five percent [95% confidence interval (CI) 94-96%] of the residents said they would take anti-hypertensive drugs if they had hypertension, although 91% (95% CI 89-92%) said they did not have sufficient knowledge to make a decision. Seventy-eight percent (95% CI 76-80%) believed that anti-hypertensive drugs were primarily to lower blood pressure or relieve symptoms. They over-estimated the cardiovascular risk of untreated hypertension by approximately 12 times and the absolute benefit of drug treatment by 20 times. Given the actual absolute benefit of the drugs, only 23% (95% CI 21-25%) were willing to pay the current annual cost of $500 Ren Min Bi (US$73.3, euro 54.8 as of 8 May 2009) for these drugs. Given the current cost, they were, on average, willing to pay for the drugs only when the 5-year cardiovascular disease risk was as high as 35% (95% CI 31-38%) or even higher., Conclusion: The public in China are significantly misinformed and considerably over estimate the risk of hypertension and the benefit of treatment. The public's willingness to pay for anti-hypertensive drugs is much lower than the current guidelines implicitly assume. The willingness to pay should be considered, along with other factors, when prescribing anti-hypertensive drugs to an individual patient or making hypertension guidelines for a population.

'Cost saving' was suggested in our recent economic evaluation of chemoprevention of breast cancer targeting women at high risk in Japan. However, this budget impact analysis reveals that the introduction of chemoprevention appears to be not budget saving for approximately 20 years, whereas the level of budget impact seems affordable.

Background: The most common infectious health problem encountered by travelers to countries in the developing region is travelers' diarrhea (TD), with enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) being the most common pathogen isolated. Although mild in most cases, the disease still leads to the loss of a significant part of a vacation or business trip. There is currently a lack of knowledge about the costs in relation to the benefits of vaccination against TD caused by ETEC, and the purposes of this study were to estimate and develop a cost-benefit analysis of vaccination using whole-cell/recombinant-B-subunit oral cholera vaccine., Methods: The consequences of the vaccination were identified and quantified in monetary terms. The cost-benefits for leisure and business travelers were assessed separately. The value of the travel was separated into the cost of the trip and of lost leisure time/business opportunities. A person with TD was in base case estimated to lose on average 3.5 days of a 7-day leisure trip and 2.5 days of a 4-day business trip. Results are presented for a Canadian traveler to endemic areas in year 2007 in US$., Results: The average cost of a TD event was estimated at $1,460 and $1,996 for leisure and business travelers, respectively. The net value of the vaccination, however, varied with the risk of the disease. Through extensive literature searches, an updated ETEC map illustrating the proportion of ETEC-caused TD was created., Conclusions: The analysis indicated that vaccination would be considered cost-effective at incidence rates of ETEC-caused TD above about 13 and 9% for leisure and business travelers, respectively. It is, however, important to keep in mind that it is the value of the travel for the individual traveler that will decide if the vaccination provides good value for money.

Aims: The results of the West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study (WOSCOPS) demonstrated the clinical benefit of using pravastatin for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in hypercholesterolaemic men. To inform decision makers, who must also consider costs, this study assesses the economic efficiency of such an intervention in a broad range of countries., Methods and Results: A generalized model of cardiovascular disease prevention was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of primary prevention with pravastatin compared to diet alone. This model follows a cohort of hypercholesterolaemic men over a given period quantifying the effect in terms of the avoidance of cardiovascular disease based on treatment-specific risks derived from WOSCOPS data and extensive record-linkage data on disease-specific survival. Country-specific costs are accounted for by expressing all such parameters in terms of the ratio of monthly treatment to that of managing a myocardial infarction. Over a broad range of inputs the cost-effectiveness ratios remain below $25,000 per life years gained, regardless of country. Subgroups with even better economic efficacy can be defined on the basis of higher baseline risk., Conclusions: In contrast to some previous reports, this analysis based on trial data demonstrates that pravastatin provides not only an effective means of primary cardiovascular disease prevention, but also an efficient one.

The increased incidence and prevalence of coronary heart disease (CHD) in recent years has produced a great economic burden on total health care expenditure in many countries. This includes the increased cost of prevention as well as the enormous cost of treatment of CHD and related events. The clinical usefulness and benefits of statins in primary and secondary prevention of CHD has been well established. However, an important issue is whether health care decision-makers will pay for these medicines. Pharmaco-economic analyses of statins have become extremely important in substantiating the true economic value of these lipid-lowering therapies. Recently published, large-scale outcome studies demonstrate a reduction in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality with statins, and the data from these trials have been used to conduct pharmaco-economic appraisals. Statin treatment was shown to be cost-effective in comparison with other health care interventions, and cost-effectiveness was related to the efficacy of the drug and the risk of cardiovascular disease at baseline. In addition, the cost-effectiveness of statins was improved by about 40% if high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels were taken into account. It has been suggested that the cost-effectiveness of statins has been underestimated, since early large-outcome trials did not use stroke as a primary endpoint. When the costs of managing stroke were taken into consideration in recent meta-analyses, the cost-effectiveness of statins was significantly greater than had been previously thought.