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Objectives: ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative RA differ in underlying risk factors but have a similar clinical presentation at RA diagnosis. It is unknown what the ACPA-associated differences or similarities are during the symptomatic at-risk stage of RA, i.e. clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA). To deepen insights into these differences/similarities, we compared the course of symptoms/impairments and subclinical joint inflammation in the CSA phase during progression to inflammatory arthritis (IA) or to CSA resolution., Methods: A total of 845 CSA patients were followed for a median of 24 months; 136 patients developed IA and an additional 355/505 patients had resolution of CSA according to rheumatologists. Patient burden (pain, morning stiffness, fatigue, functional disabilities, presenteeism) was assessed at baseline and 4, 12 and 24 months and at IA development. Subclinical joint inflammation in the hands and feet was assessed over time with 1.5T MRI. Linear and Poisson mixed models were used., Results: In both ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative patients, patient burden increased towards IA development and decreased towards CSA resolution. However, patient burden was lower in ACPA-positive vs ACPA-negative disease at all timepoints. Conversely, subclinical joint inflammation tended to increase more rapidly during development of ACPA-positive IA [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.52 (95% CI 0.94, 2.47), P = 0.089] and remained higher over time in ACPA-positive CSA patients achieving resolution compared with ACPA-negative patients [IRR 1.52 (95% CI 1.07, 2.15), P = 0.018]. Although correlation coefficients between changes in patient burden and subclinical joint inflammation during progression to IA were weak, they were consistently higher in ACPA-positive than ACPA-negative disease, e.g. ρ = 0.29 vs 0.12 for functional disabilities., Conclusion: During RA development and CSA resolution, ACPA-positive CSA patients have lower patient burden but more subclinical joint inflammation than ACPA-negative CSA patients. These data strengthen the notion that the development of ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative RA is pathophysiologically different and encourage further research on these differences., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: Autoantibody responses increase years before the onset of inflammatory arthritis (IA) and are stable during transitioning from clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA) to IA. Cytokine and chemokine levels also increase years before IA onset. However, the course in the at-risk stage of CSA during progression to disease or non-progression is unknown. To increase the understanding of processes mediating disease development, we studied the course of cytokine, chemokine and related receptors gene expression in CSA patients during progression to IA and in CSA patients who ultimately did not develop IA., Methods: Whole-blood RNA expression of 37 inflammatory cytokines, chemokines and related receptors was determined by dual-colour reverse transcription multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification in paired samples of CSA patients at CSA onset and either at IA development or after 24 months without IA development. ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative CSA patients developing IA were compared at CSA onset and during progression to IA. Generalised estimating equations tested changes over time. A false discovery rate approach was applied., Results: None of the cytokine/chemokine genes significantly changed in expression between CSA onset and IA development. In CSA patients without IA development, G-CSF expression decreased (P = 0.001), whereas CCR6 and TNIP1 expression increased (P < 0.001 and P = 0.002, respectively) over a 2 year period. Expression levels in ACPA-positive and ACPA-negative CSA patients who developed IA were similar., Conclusion: Whole-blood gene expression of assessed cytokines, chemokines and related receptors did not change significantly from CSA to IA development. This suggests that changes in expression of these molecules may not be related to the final process of developing chronicity and may have occurred preceding CSA onset. Changes in gene expression in CSA patients without IA development may provide clues for processes related to resolution., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objective: Patients with Clinically Suspect Arthralgia (CSA) are at risk for developing Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA). These patients often report joint swelling while this is not objectified by physical examination. To explore the value of patient-reported swelling in CSA, we aimed to determine its association with subclinical joint-inflammation on imaging and RA-development., Methods: In two independent, similarly designed CSA-cohorts from the Netherlands, symptomatic patients at risk for RA were studied. At baseline, patients indicated whether they had experienced swelling in hand joints. Subclinical joint-inflammation was assessed with MRI or ultrasound (US). Patients were followed for inflammatory arthritis development., Results: In total, 534 CSA-patients from two independent cohorts were studied, patient-reported swelling was present in 57% in cohort 1, and in 43% in cohort 2. In both cohorts patient-reported swelling was associated with subclinical joint-inflammation. Using MRI, it associated specifically with tenosynovitis (OR 3.7 (95%CI 2.0-6.9)) and when using US with synovitis (OR 2.3 (95%CI 1.04-5.3)). CSA-patients with self-reported swelling at baseline developed arthritis more often, with hazard ratios of 3.7 (95%CI 2.0-6.9) and 3.4 (95%CI 1.4-8.4) in cohort 1 and 2, respectively. This was independent of clinical predictors (e.g. morning stiffness), autoantibody-positivity and US-detected subclinical joint-inflammation. However, when corrected for MRI-detected subclinical joint-inflammation, self-reported swelling was no longer an independent predictor., Conclusion: Patient-reported joint swelling in CSA relates to subclinical joint-inflammation and is an independent risk factor for RA-development, but it is less predictive than the presence of MRI-detected subclinical joint-inflammation., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: Cross-sectional studies have shown that rheumatoid arthritis is more prevalent among people with a lower educational attainment. No longitudinal data are present on educational attainment in the at-risk phase of clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA). We therefore analysed the association between educational attainment and progression from CSA to inflammatory arthritis (IA), and performed mediation analysis with subclinical joint inflammation to elucidate pathways of this association., Methods: A total of 521 consecutive patients presenting with CSA were followed for IA development during median 25 months. Educational attainment was defined as low (lower secondary vocational education), intermediate or high (college/university education). Subclinical inflammation in hand and foot joints was measured at presentation with contrast enhanced 1.5 T-MRI. Cox-regression was used to analyse IA development per educational attainment. A three-step mediation analysis evaluated whether subclinical joint inflammation was intermediary in the path between educational attainment and IA development, before and after age correction. Association between educational attainment and IA development was verified in an independent CSA cohort., Results: Low educational attainment was associated with increased IA development (HR = 2.35, 95% CI = 1.27, 4.33, P = 0.006), independent of BMI and current smoking status (yes/no). Moreover, patients with a low educational attainment had higher levels of subclinical inflammation, which also was associated with IA development. Partial mediation effect of subclinical inflammation was observed in the relationship between education and IA development. Low educational attainment was also associated with increased IA development in the validation cohort (HR = 5.72, 95% CI = 1.36, 24.08, P = 0.017)., Conclusion: This is the first study providing evidence that lower educational attainment is associated with a higher risk of progressing from arthralgia to IA. This effect was partially mediated by subclinical joint inflammation., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)