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Small area estimation is a statistical technique used to produce reliable estimates for smaller geographic areas than those for which the original surveys were designed. Such small area estimates (SAEs) often lack rigorous external validation. In this study, we validated our multilevel regression and poststratification SAEs from 2011 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data using direct estimates from 2011 Missouri County-Level Study and American Community Survey data at both the state and county levels. Coefficients for correlation between model-based SAEs and Missouri County-Level Study direct estimates for 115 counties in Missouri were all significantly positive (0.28 for obesity and no health-care coverage, 0.40 for current smoking, 0.51 for diabetes, and 0.69 for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease). Coefficients for correlation between model-based SAEs and American Community Survey direct estimates of no health-care coverage were 0.85 at the county level (811 counties) and 0.95 at the state level. Unweighted and weighted model-based SAEs were compared with direct estimates; unweighted models performed better. External validation results suggest that multilevel regression and poststratification model-based SAEs using single-year Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data are valid and could be used to characterize geographic variations in health indictors at local levels (such as counties) when high-quality local survey data are not available.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the relationship between active duty status and daily insufficient sleep in a telephone survey. METHODS: U.S. military service status (recent defined as past 12 months and past defined as >12 months ago) and daily insufficient sleep in the past 30 days were assessed among 566,861 adults aged 18 to 64 years and 271,202 adults aged ≥65 years in the 2009 to 2010 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System surveys. RESULTS: Among ages 18 to 64 years, 1.1% reported recent active duty and 7.1% had past service; among ages ≥65 years, 0.6% reported recent and 24.6% had past service. Among ages 18 to 64 years, prevalence of daily insufficient sleep was 13.7% among those reporting recent duty, 12.6% for those with past service, and 11.2% for those with no service. Insufficient sleep did not vary significantly with active duty status among ages ≥65 years. After adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, health behaviors, and frequent mental distress in multivariate logistic regression models, respondents aged 18 to 64 years with recent active duty were 34% more likely and those with past service were 23% more likely to report daily insufficient sleep than those with no service (p < 0.05, both). CONCLUSIONS: Adults with either recent or past active duty have a greater risk for daily insufficient sleep.

STUDY OBJECTIVE To determine if self-reported sleep duration was associated with weight-control behaviors among US high school students. DESIGN National Youth Risk Behavior Survey. SETTING United States, 2007. PARTICIPANTS US high school students (N = 12,087). MEASUREMENTS Students were asked if they had engaged in several weight-control behaviors during the 30 days before the survey to lose or maintain weight. Self-reported sleep duration categories included very short (≤ 5 h), short (6 or 7 h), referent moderate (8 or 9 h), and long (≥ 10 h). Sex-specific logistic regression analyses with race/ethnicity, grade, and body mass index category as covariates were conducted using SUDAAN to account for complex study design. RESULTS Approximately half the students reported short sleep duration (51.8% of males and 54.3% of females), whereas very short sleep durations were reported by another 14.8% of males and 16.9% of females. Among males, very short sleepers were significantly (P < 0.05) more likely than moderate sleepers to report dieting (36.3% versus 26.1%), fasting (14.2% versus 4.3%), and purging (4.3% versus 1.1%) to lose or maintain weight during the 30 days before the survey. Among females, the respective very short, short, and moderate sleepers varied (P < 0.05) in dieting (59.9%, 55.0%, and 47.5% respectively), fasting (28.3%, 15.2%, and 10.3%, respectively), and taking diet pills (13.3%, 6.8%, and 4.3%, respectively). Prevalence of purging was significantly higher only for very short sleepers (12.3%, 6.0%, and 3.9%, respectively). CONCLUSION Self-reported short sleep duration was associated with dieting and three unhealthy weight-control behaviors in this population. If our findings are confirmed, intervention studies should be conducted to examine the effect of educational interventions.

Little national evidence is available on spatial disparities in distributions of parks and green spaces in the USA.This study examines ecological associations of spatial access to parks and green spaces with percentages of black, Hispanic, and low-income residents across the urban-rural continuum in the conterminous USA.Census tract-level park and green space data were linked with data from the 2010 U.S. Census and 2006-2010 American Community Surveys. Linear mixed regression models were performed to examine these associations.Poverty levels were negatively associated with distances to parks and percentages of green spaces in urban/suburban areas while positively associated in rural areas. Percentages of blacks and Hispanics were in general negatively linked to distances to parks and green space coverage along the urban-rural spectrum.Place-based race-ethnicity and poverty are important correlates of spatial access to parks and green spaces, but the associations vary across the urbanization levels.

BACKGROUND Uncontrolled hypertension is a common and important risk factor for heart disease and stroke. Nevertheless, the control rate among patients taking prescribed medication and/or therapeutic lifestyle modification has remained about the same for the past several decades. METHODS We analyzed 2003 and 2004 National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS) data to determine hypertension control in the physician offices in the United States. All visits for hypertension with measured blood pressure levels were included in the analyses. Survey weights were applied to obtain national estimates. Characteristics associated with hypertension control status were identified. RESULTS About 176 million hypertension-related office visits occurred (9.7% of total office visits) during 2003 and 2004. Of these, 17, 44, and 62% of visits had blood pressure

The authors used death certificate data to evaluate national trends in the reporting of atrial fibrillation as an underlying or contributory cause of death for groups defined by age (45 years or older), sex, and race (Black vs. White) and to examine comorbidity. The multiple-causes mortality files from 1980 through 1998 were analyzed for decedents, with atrial fibrillation (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, code 427.3) listed as one of up to 20 conditions causing death. The number of decedents with atrial fibrillation increased from 18,947 in 1980 to 61,946 in 1998, and the proportion with atrial fibrillation reported as the underlying cause of death rose from 8.3% in 1980 to 11.6% in 1998. Age-standardized death rates from 1980 to 1998 were consistently highest among White men, followed (in descending order) by White women, Black men, and Black women. Overall, the age-standardized rate (per 100,000) increased from 27.6 in 1980 to 69.8 in 1998 (an average annual increase of 5.4%, p < 0.0001). Ischemic heart disease was the most frequent underlying cause of death among decedents with atrial fibrillation (26.8%). These findings emphasize the need for increased application of proven prevention and control measures to decrease associated cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.

Healthy People 2010 objectives for improving health include a goal to eliminate racial disparities in stroke mortality. Age-specific death rates by stroke subtype are not well documented among racial/ethnic minority populations in the United States. This report examines mortality rates by race/ethnicity for three stroke subtypes during 1995-1998. National Vital Statistics' death certificate data were used to calculate death rates for ischemic stroke (n = 507,256), intracerebral hemorrhage (n = 97,709), and subarachnoid hemorrhage (n = 27,334) among Hispanics, Blacks, American Indians/Alaska Natives, Asians/Pacific Islanders, and Whites by age and sex. Comparisons with Whites as the referent were made using age-standardized risk ratios and age-specific risk ratios. Age-standardized mortality rates for the three stroke subtypes were higher among Blacks than Whites. Death rates from intracerebral hemorrhage were also higher among Asians/Pacific Islanders than Whites. All minority populations had higher death rates from subarachnoid hemorrhage than did Whites. Among adults aged 25-44 years, Blacks and American Indians/Alaska Natives had higher risk ratios than did Whites for all three stroke subtypes. Increased public health attention is needed to reduce incidence and mortality for stroke, the third leading cause of death. Particular attention should be given to increasing awareness of stroke symptoms among young minority groups.

Literature on the correlates and predictors of leisure-time physical activity among African-American populations is sparse. This cohort study assessed correlates of leisure-time physical activity (specific large muscle activities during the past month at least three times a week) in a biracial population in 1987 and predictors for the adoption of this behavior 4 years later among those initially inactive. Random digit dialing methods were used to identify residents of two South Carolina communities in 1987. In 1991, 3,223 of these residents were resurveyed (62% response rate). In general, the correlates of leisure-time physical activity (education, ≥12 years ; nonsmoking ; weight loss behaviors ; and physician advice) were similar for each sex and race group. In 1987, the definition of leisure-time physical activity was not met by 831 (54% of 1,542) white women, 374 (76% of 489) African-American women, 586 (59% of 991) white men, and 126 (63% of 201) African-American men. Among those who were inactive in 1987, 22-24% of white adults and African-American men and 14% of African-American women adopted physical activity 4 years later. Twelve years or more of education was a predictor among white women (risk ratio = 1.7, 95% confidence interval 1.2-2.6) and African-American women (risk ratio = 3.1, 95% confidence interval 1.4-6.9), but not among men. Having a physician discuss physical activity was a predictor among white women (risk ratio = 1.9, 95% confidence interval 1.3-2.7), African-American women (risk ratio = 1.7, 95% confidence interval 0.9-3.2), white men (risk ratio = 2.0, 95% confidence interval 1.3-3.1), and African-American men (risk ratio = 2.7, 95% confidence interval 1.0-7.6). These results highlight the strong effect of educational attainment on adoption of healthy behaviors and support the involvement of physicians to promote physical activity among all race and sex groups. Am J Epidemiol 1995 ;142 :629-35.

Although an excess of adipose tissue in the abdominal and truncal regions is associated with various metabolic alterations, relatively few cohort studies have examined its importance in the development of ischemic heart disease, and little information is available from black populations. The authors examined the relation of central obesity, as characterized by a thick subscapular skinfold relative to the triceps skinfold, to the incidence of ischemic heart disease among 9,822 persons in the Epidemiologic Follow-up Study of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey I ; baseline data were collected in 1971-1975 and follow-up was through 1987. We found that, independently of relative weight, cigarette smoking, and other covariates, the hazard rate ratios for ischemic heart disease incidence contrasting the upper and lower quintiles of central obesity were 1.75 (95% confidence interval 1.3-2.3) among women and 1.65 (95% confidence interval 1.3-2.2) among men. Although central obesity was related similarly to disease among white and black men, the association among women differed between whites (rate ratio = 1.94) and blacks (rate ratio = 0.73) ; p = 0.002 for race x the central obesity product term. Additional research is needed to clarify the relation of various anthropometric measurements to ischemic heart disease, particularly among blacks, but the assessment of fat distribution may help identify high-risk persons for whom weight loss might be most beneficial. Am J Epidemiol 1995 ;142 :53-63.

To examine the influence of cigarette smoking initiation on serum lipid and lipoprotein changes in early life, 747 nonsmoking 9- to 17-year-olds from the biracial community of Bogalusa, Louisiana were reexamined five to six years following an initial screening. Upon reexamination in 1981-1983, 147 reported smoking cigarettes (mean duration, 3.5 years; median number of weekly cigarettes, 20). Compared with nonsmokers, persons who began smoking had more unfavorable changes in serum triglycerides and lipoprotein cholesterol levels during follow-up, independently of age, sexual maturation, obesity, alcohol consumption, and oral contraceptive use in females. Smoking initiation was not associated with increases in serum total cholesterol levels, but compared with nonsmokers, white males and white females smoking three or more packs weekly showed additional mean increases of 13.2 and 11.6 mg/dl in low density lipoprotein cholesterol, additional 5.9 and 2.4 mg/dl increases in very low density lipoprotein cholesterol (VLDL-C), and additional decreases of 15.6 and 9.2 mg/dl in high density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, respectively. Black smokers showed larger increases in serum triglycerides and VLDL-C levels than did black nonsmokers. These findings indicate that the start of even modest cigarette smoking may have potentially long-term atherogenic effects. Prevention of smoking in early life should therefore be an important aspect of cardiovascular disease intervention.