1. Simulating the next steps in badger control for bovine tuberculosis in England.
- Author
-
Smith GC and Budgey R
- Subjects
- Animal Culling statistics & numerical data, Animals, Cattle, Computer Simulation, England, Incidence, Models, Statistical, Mycobacterium bovis immunology, Mycobacterium bovis isolation & purification, Mycobacterium bovis pathogenicity, Population Control methods, Population Control statistics & numerical data, Tuberculosis, Bovine transmission, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, Animal Culling methods, Disease Reservoirs veterinary, Mustelidae microbiology, Tuberculosis, Bovine prevention & control, Vaccination methods
- Abstract
Industry-led culling of badgers has occurred in England to reduce the incidence of bovine tuberculosis in cattle for a number of years. Badger vaccination is also possible, and a move away from culling was "highly desirable" in a recent report to the UK government. Here we used an established simulation model to examine badger control option in a post-cull environment in England. These options included no control, various intermittent culling, badger vaccination and use of a vaccine combined with fertility control. The initial simulated cull led to a dramatic reduction in the number of infected badgers present, which increased slowly if there was no further badger management. All three approaches led to a further reduction in the number of infected badgers, with little to choose between the strategies. We do note that of the management strategies only vaccination on its own leads to a recovery of the badger population, but also an increase in the number of badgers that need to be vaccinated. We conclude that vaccination post-cull, appears to be particularly effective, compared to vaccination when the host population is at carrying capacity., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
- Published
- 2021
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