1. Effectiveness of infection-containment measures on SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence and circulation from May to July 2020, in Milan, Italy
- Author
-
Cento, V, Alteri, C, Merli, M, Ruscio, F, Tartaglione, L, Rossotti, R, Travi, G, Vecchi, M, Raimondi, A, Nava, A, Colagrossi, L, Fumagalli, R, Ughi, N, Epis, O, Fanti, D, Beretta, A, Galbiati, F, Scaglione, F, Vismara, C, Puoti, M, Campisi, D, Perno, C, Cento V., Alteri C., Merli M., Ruscio F. D., Tartaglione L., Rossotti R., Travi G., Vecchi M., Raimondi A., Nava A., Colagrossi L., Fumagalli R., Ughi N., Epis O. M., Fanti D., Beretta A., Galbiati F., Scaglione F., Vismara C., Puoti M., Campisi D., Perno C. F., Cento, V, Alteri, C, Merli, M, Ruscio, F, Tartaglione, L, Rossotti, R, Travi, G, Vecchi, M, Raimondi, A, Nava, A, Colagrossi, L, Fumagalli, R, Ughi, N, Epis, O, Fanti, D, Beretta, A, Galbiati, F, Scaglione, F, Vismara, C, Puoti, M, Campisi, D, Perno, C, Cento V., Alteri C., Merli M., Ruscio F. D., Tartaglione L., Rossotti R., Travi G., Vecchi M., Raimondi A., Nava A., Colagrossi L., Fumagalli R., Ughi N., Epis O. M., Fanti D., Beretta A., Galbiati F., Scaglione F., Vismara C., Puoti M., Campisi D., and Perno C. F.
- Abstract
Objective Through a hospital-based SARS-CoV-2 molecular and serological screening, we evaluated the effectiveness of two months of lockdown and two of surveillance, in Milan, Lombardy, the first to be overwhelmed by COVID-19 pandemics during March-April 2020. Methods All subjects presenting at the major hospital of Milan from May-11 to July-5, 2020, underwent a serological screening by chemiluminescent assays. Those admitted were further tested by RT-PCR. Results The cumulative anti-N IgG seroprevalence in the 2753 subjects analyzed was of 5.1% (95%CI = 4.3%-6.0%), with a peak of 8.4% (6.1%-11.4%) 60–63 days since the peak of diagnoses (March-20). 31/106 (29.2%) anti-N reactive subjects had anti-S1/S2 titers >80 AU/mL. Being tested from May-18 to June-5, or residing in the provinces with higher SARS-CoV-2 circulation, were positively and independently associated with anti-N IgG reactivity (OR [95%CI]: 2.179[1.455–3.264] and 3.127[1.18–8.29], respectively). In the 18 RT-PCR positive, symptomatic subjects, anti-N seroprevalence was 33.3% (95% CI: 14.8%-56.3%). Conclusion SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in Milan is low, and in a downward trend after only 60–63 days since the peak of diagnoses. Italian confinement measures were effective, but the risk of contagion remains concrete. In hospital-settings, the performance of molecular and serological screenings upon admission remains highly advisable.
- Published
- 2020