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Background: Pre-cART (combined antiretroviral therapy) plasma viral load >500,000 copies/ml has been associated with a lower probability of achieving virological suppression, while few data about its role on maintenance of virological suppression are available. In this study we aimed to clarify whether high levels of pre-cART viraemia are associated with virological rebound (VR) after virological suppression., Methods: HIV-infected individuals who achieved virological suppression after first-line cART were included. VR was defined as the first of two consecutive viraemia >50 copies/ml (VR50) or, in an alternative analysis, >200 copies/ml (VR200). The impact of pre-cART viraemia on the risk of VR was evaluated by survival analyses., Results: Among 5,766 patients included, 59.2%, 31.4%, 5.2% and 4.2% had pre-cART viraemia ≤100,000, 100,001-500,000, 500,001-1,000,000 and >1,000,000 copies/ml, respectively. Patients with pre-cART viraemia levels >1,000,000 copies/ml had the highest probability of VR (>1,000,000; 500,000-1,000,000; 100,000-500,000; <100,000 copies/ml; VR50: 28.4%; 24.3%; 17.6%; 13.8%, P<0.0001; VR200: 14.4%; 11.1%; 7.2%; 7.6%; P=0.009). By Cox multivariable analyses, patients with pre-cART viraemia >500,000 and >1,000,000 copies/ml showed a significantly higher risk of VR regardless of the VR end point used. No difference in the risk of VR was found between patients with pre-cART viraemia ranging 500,000-1,000,000 copies/ml and those with pre-cART viraemia >1,000,000 copies/ml, regardless of the VR end point used., Conclusions: Pre-cART plasma viral load levels >500,000 copies/ml can identify fragile patients with poorer chance of maintaining virological control after an initial response. An effort in defining effective treatment strategies is mandatory for these patients that remain difficult to treat.

Background: There is not yet consensus on interpretation of genotypic HIV-1 resistance to darunavir (DRV). We validated existing rules and a newly derived score., Methods: Protease inhibitor (PI)-failing patients starting a DRV/ritonavir-based regimen, with available baseline resistance genotypes, were extracted from three Italian databases. Virological response (VR) was analysed between 4 and 32 follow-up weeks, defined as a drop from baseline HIV RNA of ≥2 log(10) or a value <50 copies/ml if the last measurement had been obtained at ≤12 weeks and as HIV RNA<50 copies/ml if it had been obtained at >12 weeks of follow-up. DRV/ritonavir resistance was interpreted by seven algorithms. A new weighted score (DRV-2009) was derived and validated, analysing associations of protease mutations with VR., Results: A total of 217 patients were analysed, with a mean (±sd) follow-up time of 17 (±9) weeks. At baseline, median HIV RNA was 4.26 log(10) copies/ml (IQR 3.11-5.03); VR was achieved in 135/217 (62%) patients. Adjusting for use of a new drug class, number of previous PIs experienced, CD4(+) T-cell count and HIV RNA, only the Rega DRV/ritonavir interpretation was significantly associated with VR (per increase in susceptibility category, OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.32-2.86; P<0.001). The DRV-2009 score V11I+L33F+R41K+I47V+2*I50V+2*I54M+K55R+D60E+L74P+L76V+N88D+2*L89V-L10I/V-I13V-G16E-G48V-F53I/L-I62V-I66F-V77I (<0 indicating susceptibility, 0-1 intermediate resistance and ≥2 resistance) correlated with VR in the derivation set (n=132, R=0.395; P<0.001). In the validation set (n=85), after adjusting for mutual interpretation and new use of enfuvirtide, DRV-2009 (P=0.017) and Rega (P=0.013) were both independently associated with VR., Conclusions: In contrast to the other algorithms, both the DRV-2009 score and Rega interpretation showed a robust predictive capacity of VR to DRV/ritonavir-containing regimens.

Background: This study compared the predictive value for treatment failure of extended resistance detected in the current genotype resistance test (GRT) versus those from GRT history in patients with multiple combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) failures., Methods: Patients who underwent three GRT between 1999 and 2007 were included. Extended resistance at genotypic sensitivity score (GSS) using the Rega 7.1 interpretation system compared with a non-standard definition (defined as class-wide resistance [CWR] on the basis of International AIDS Society-USA mutations) was assessed both for current and historical GRTs (a combination of mutations was detected in all three tests). The predictive role of extended resistance for treatment failure was evaluated with an adjusted Cox proportional hazard model., Results: Overall, 177 patients were included. The historical GRT increased the number of patients with extended resistance to all three major drug classes by 25% in comparison with the current GRT. Using the GSS method, the absence of detection of any active drug in any drug class was predictive of failure with both the current and historical GRTs. Similarly, the number of active drugs in the cART regimen after the third resistance test, used as continuous variable, was also predictive of failure. Using both GSS approaches, current genotype had a higher effect than historical genotype on risk of treatment failure. Using the non-standard definition (CWR), historical resistance predicted failure better than current resistance., Conclusions: Our results provide an epidemiological demonstration that analysis of a combined latest and historical GRT, which also considers archived mutations, might better identify of the more virologically impaired patients in order to assess the best salvage treatment.