1. Temporal Structure of Volatility Fluctuations
- Author
-
Fengzhong Wang, Shlomo Havlin, H. Eugene Stanley, and Kazuko Yamasaki
- Subjects
Scaling law ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Statistics ,Financial market ,Detrended fluctuation analysis ,Econometrics ,Economics ,Forward volatility ,Probability density function ,Volatility (finance) ,Interest rate ,media_common - Abstract
Volatility fluctuations are of great importance for the study of financial markets, and the temporal structure is an essential feature of fluctuations. To explore the temporal structure, we employ a new approach based on the return interval, which is defined as the time interval between two successive volatility values that are above a given threshold. We find that the distribution of the return intervals follows a scaling law over a wide range of thresholds, and over a broad range of sampling intervals. Moreover, this scaling law is universal for stocks of different countries, for commodities, for interest rates, and for currencies. However, further and more detailed analysis of the return intervals shows some systematic deviations from the scaling law. We also demonstrate a significant memory effect in the return intervals time organization. We find that the distribution of return intervals is strongly related to the correlations in the volatility. more...
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF