1. Prediction of land use and land cover changes for upstream of the Adyar sub-basin, Tamil Nadu, South India, deep learning based on artificial neural networks.
- Author
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Kannapiran, Uma Maheswari and Bhaskar, Aparna S.
- Abstract
This study investigates the potential of land use and land cover (LULC) maps in balancing preservation, development pressures, and competing uses. This study employed the Artificial Neural Networks—Cellular Automaton model to forecast changes in LULC in the Adyar basin watershed in southern India between 2000, 2010, and 2020. The model incorporates topographical variables such as DEM, slope, aspect, distance from the road, and distance from built-up land to determine the influence on LULC changes. Results show significant LULC changes to elevation and distance from the road. The model employed has demonstrated high accuracy, with a Kappa index of 0.80 and an 81% accuracy rate compared with the observed LULC maps for 2020. The study has also forecasted LULC changes for 2030, 2040, and 2050, projecting an increase in urban areas by 6.84% and a decrease of approximately 16.4% and 0.5% in agriculture and waterbody, respectively. The model has also revealed a decline of 19.1% in agriculture and 1.2% in water bodies over the years 2000 to 2050 due to human activities such as deforestation and conversion of croplands to plantations. Conclusively, the results and the interpretations support the ANN-CA model as a reliable tool for the simulation and prediction of outcomes with variables in LULC changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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