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This contribution applies the "mean temperature of the catch" (MTC) concept of Cheung et al. (Nature 497:365–368, 2013) to fish catch data for Lake Peipsi, Estonia/Russia, covering the years 1931 to 2019. The preferred temperature of each of the ten target fish species was obtained from the literature, and combined with the species-specific catch data to obtain MTC values for each year. The analysis of the MTC time series thus obtained with a segmented regression yielded two trend lines, one horizontal at 14.5 °C (1931–1986), and the other (1987–2019) ascending with a slope 0.85 °C·decade−1. Overall, the segmented regression model explains over half of the variance of the MTC data set (multiple R2 = 0.53; adjusted R2 = 0.51). Lake surface water temperatures correlate with MTC, even though weakly (r = 0.30), when considering a 2-year time lag. The fish community of the shallow Lake Peipsi reacts more strongly to temperature changes than marine ecosystems so far studied using the MTC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The quality of lake ice is of uppermost importance for ice safety and under-ice ecology, but its temporal and spatial variability is largely unknown. Here we conducted a coordinated lake ice quality sampling campaign across the Northern Hemisphere during one of the warmest winters since 1880 and show that lake ice during 2020/2021 commonly consisted of unstable white ice, at times contributing up to 100% to the total ice thickness. We observed that white ice increased over the winter season, becoming thickest and constituting the largest proportion of the ice layer towards the end of the ice cover season when fatal winter drownings occur most often and light limits the growth and reproduction of primary producers. We attribute the dominance of white ice before ice-off to air temperatures varying around the freezing point, a condition which occurs more frequently during warmer winters. Thus, under continued global warming, the prevalence of white ice is likely to substantially increase during the critical period before ice-off, for which we adjusted commonly used equations for human ice safety and light transmittance through ice. Under continued global warming, lakes will increasingly be covered by white ice, in particular towards the end of the ice cover season when fatal winter drownings occur most often and light limits the growth and reproduction of primary producers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Globally, our knowledge on lake fisheries is still limited despite their importance to food security and livelihoods. Here we show that fish catches can respond either positively or negatively to climate and land-use changes, by analyzing time-series data (1970–2014) for 31 lakes across five continents. We find that effects of a climate or land-use driver (e.g., air temperature) on lake environment could be relatively consistent in directions, but consequential changes in a lake-environmental factor (e.g., water temperature) could result in either increases or decreases in fish catch in a given lake. A subsequent correlation analysis indicates that reductions in fish catch was less likely to occur in response to potential climate and land-use changes if a lake is located in a region with greater access to clean water. This finding suggests that adequate investments for water-quality protection and water-use efficiency can provide additional benefits to lake fisheries and food security. Lake fisheries are vulnerable to environmental changes. Here, Kao et al. develop a Bayesian networks model to analyze time-series data from 31 major fisheries lake across five continents, showing that fish catches can respond either positively or negatively to climate and land-use changes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Nutrient pollution causes frequent blooms of potentially harmful cyanobacteria in Lake Peipsi (Estonia/Russia). Although external nutrient loading has reduced since the 1990s, lake water quality has barely improved, and eutrophication is still considered a threat to lake biota and water usage. To understand the recovery dynamics of the lake it is necessary to analyse the effects of land use and lake management on water quality to develop mitigation strategies. Comprehensive analysis has thus far failed due to information gaps inherent to conventional monitoring strategies. We show how two large-scale hydrological models using Earth observation data provide spatial information on pollution and can help explain the causes of past and current lake eutrophication. WaterGAP3.2 provides valid estimates of present and probable future phosphorus concentration in the lake water, based on past hydrological conditions. WaterWorld models spatial potential water quality and a scenario of optimal pollution reduction. Remotely sensed optical water quality data can be used to analyse recent, spatial water quality dynamics. The spatial and temporal algae distributions and can help explain eutrophication causes at Lake Peipsi and its catchment, adding value to in situ monitoring and supporting river basin management with large scale data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The original version of this Article contained an error in in the caption of Figure 3, which incorrectly read 'Pure black ice conditions were modeled using Eq. (1) with A = 30 kg cm SP -2 sp and pure white ice conditions using Eq. (2) with A = 3.5 kgcm SP -2 sp ' The correct version replaces this sentence with 'Pure black ice conditions were modeled using Eq. (1) with A = 17.5 kg cm SP -2 sp and pure white ice conditions using Eq. (2) with A = 3.5 kgcm SP -2 sp ' This has been corrected in both the PDF and HTML versions of the Article. Correction to: I Nature Communications i https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32633-1, published online 25 August 2022 The original version of this Article contained an error in the Results section "White ice and ice stability", which incorrectly read 'where P is the allowable load in kg, A is the bearing strength that varies between 3.5 and 30 kg cm SP -2 sp depending on ice quality (30 kg cm SP -2 sp for cold, black ice conditions of high quality, i.e., no snow ice, no cracks, no bubbles etc. and 3.5 kg cm SP -2 sp for low quality ice SP 16 sp ), and H is the total ice thickness in cm'. The correct version replaces this sentence with 'where P is the allowable load in kg, A is the bearing strength that varies between 3.5 and 17.5 kg cm SP -2 sp depending on ice quality (17.5 kg cm SP -2 sp for cold, black ice conditions of high quality, i.e., no snow ice, no cracks, no bubbles etc. and 3.5 kg cm SP -2 sp for low quality ice, based on the conclusion of Gold SP 15 sp ), and H is the total ice thickness in cm'. [Extracted from the article]

Using sediment traps, we aimed to elucidate the temporal and spatial variations in sediment fluxes in large and shallow Lake Peipsi, over the May to October 2011 period, and analyze the factors behind those variations. The effects of weather factors (mean and maximum wind velocity, water level and water temperature) on sediment resuspension and the concentrations of suspended solids (SS), total phosphorus (TP), soluble reactive phosphorus (SRP), and chlorophyll a (Chl a) were investigated. Moreover, the internal loading of TP due to sediment resuspension was determined. The sediment resuspension rates were significantly higher in the shallower waters than in the deeper parts of the lake. Resuspension was a major factor in sedimentation dynamics of the lake, which is presently subject to eutrophication. The rates of sediment resuspension followed the same pattern as gross sedimentation during the study period, and their respective values differed significantly between sampling dates. The highest resuspension rates were observed in September (mean 55.4 g dw m day), when the impacts of wind events were particularly pronounced. Weather factors that were recorded approximately 2 weeks before water and sediment sampling affected the gross sedimentation and sediment resuspension. The water quality variables of SS, TP, SRP, Chl a were similarly affected. During the study, TP concentrations of the water were mainly determined by the resuspension of sediments containing a large pool of organic material. Although internal loading of TP due to resuspension was several times greater than external loading, external loading determines the amount of phosphorus that enters the lake and can be resuspended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fish play a key role in the trophic dynamics of lakes. With climate warming, complex changes in fish assemblage structure may be expected owing to direct effects of temperature and indirect effects operating through eutrophication, water level changes, stratification and salinisation. We reviewed published and new long-term (10-100 years) fish data series from 24 European lakes (area: 0.04-5,648 km; mean depth: 1-177 m; a north-south gradient from Sweden to Spain). Along with an annual temperature increase of about 0.15-0.3°C per decade profound changes have occurred in either fish assemblage composition, body size and/or age structure during recent decades and a shift towards higher dominance of eurythermal species. These shifts have occurred despite a reduction in nutrient loading in many of the lakes that should have benefited the larger-sized individuals and the fish species typically inhabiting cold-water, low-nutrient lakes. The cold-stenothermic Arctic charr has been particularly affected and its abundance has decreased in the majority of the lakes where its presence was recorded. The harvest of cool-stenothermal brown trout has decreased substantially in two southern lakes. Vendace, whitefish and smelt show a different response depending on lake depth and latitude. Perch has apparently been stimulated in the north, with stronger year classes in warm years, but its abundance has declined in the southern Lake Maggiore, Italy. Where introduced, roach seems to take advantage of the higher temperature after years of low population densities. Eurythermal species such as common bream, pike-perch and/or shad are apparently on the increase in several of the lakes. The response of fish to the warming has been surprisingly strong and fast in recent decades, making them ideal sentinels for detecting and documenting climate-induced modifications of freshwater ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Pikeperch is a major predator in the pelagic zone of eutrophic waters, such as the large north-temperate lowland lakes Võrtsjärv (Estonia) and Peipsi (Estonia/Russia). The size and structure of the pikeperch population is strongly influenced by their success at the juvenile stage. Therefore, we investigated the diet and prey selection of pikeperch fry caught in the ice-free period in lakes Peipsi and Võrtsjärv in 2007 and 2008. We analysed the stomach contents of 635 pikeperch from Lake Peipsi and 202 pikeperch from Lake Võrtsjärv, and compared our findings with similar data from the 1950s (Erm, About Biological and Morphological Differences of Pikeperch. Hydrobiological Researches II (in Estonian), ). Analysing 4-20 cm long fry, we studied differences in prey size, seasonal diet patterns and the ontogenetic diet shift. In both lakes, 0+ pikeperch feed mostly on large predatory zooplankters. However, in Lake Peipsi the stomach content weight and the average number of food items in stomach were higher, and the food spectrum was wider than in Lake Võrtsjärv. There was also a difference in the type of food that dominated fry's stomach content (calculated by weight) in the two lakes. In Lake Peipsi, chironomids larvae, as well as zooplankters Daphnia galeata and Bythotrephes longimanus dominated, while in Lake Võrtsjärv zooplankters Mesocyclops leuckarti and Leptodora kindti. Seasonal analysis showed that cladocerans dominated in pikeperch fry stomach content in summer and at the beginning of September, but copepods were dominant in autumn and spring. In contrast to the studies carried out from 1952 to 1958 (Erm, About Biological and Morphological Differences of Pikeperch. Hydrobiological Researches II (in Estonian), ), the shift from planktivory to piscivory at the end of the first growing season was hardly ever observed during our investigation. We believe this is due to the lack of suitable prey fish as there was a collapse of the smelt, Osmerus eperlanus (L.), population in both lakes. The transition of pikeperch from planktivory to piscivory was delayed till the next summer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We investigated changes in the spatial distribution of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) in Lake Peipsi using limnological data from 1970 to 2005. The results show differences in nutrient content between the northern and southern parts of the lake (polarity) and indicate possible causes of eutrophication of this large international lake. The results show a steady gradient in total P (TP) and total N (TN) content along the lake: the northern and deepest part, Lake Peipsi s.s., is significantly less loaded with nutrients than the southern and very shallow part, Lake Pihkva, into which the main inflow, the Velikaya River, discharges. However, the long-term temporal patterns of N and P polarity are different. Statistical analysis, using a parametric functions technique in the framework of general linear analysis provided by the SAS procedures GLM and MIXED, revealed that the polarity of N compounds has been relatively stable over the years and can be related to differences in natural conditions between different parts of the lake. Our study indicates that Lake Peipsi is quite resistant to year-to-year changes in N load, and the in-lake N concentrations are quite stable on a long-term scale. In contrast, the increasing difference in P concentrations between the northern and southern parts of the lake clearly shows that the input of P from the south is increasing. Our results confirm that the anthropogenic input of P is the main reason for the deterioration of the Lake Peipsi ecosystem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Lakes in Europe have a bipolar distribution by latitude with higher lake densities in the north (58–65° N) and south (38–48° N). By area, 95% of the large lakes (>100 km2) are located at altitudes lower than 100 m above sea level (ASL) and only 1% lie higher than 1,000 m ASL. Physically large lakes exhibit several similarities to seas and oceans in their thermal structure and circulation dynamics. From the chemical point of view, lakes are important accumulation sites for substances transported from the watershed or built up in the lake itself but they may contribute positively to global greenhouse gas emission. Fauna and flora of ancient large lakes such as the Caspian Sea and Lake Ohrid include large numbers of endemic species, which become endangered if conditions change because of direct human impact, alien species invasions or climate change. Large lakes offer a wide range of ecosystem services to society, the multiple use of which creates multiple pressures on these water bodies such as nutrient load and toxic pollution, modification of hydrology and shore line structure, and shifting of the food web balance by stocking or harvesting various species. Although large lakes are among the best-studied ecosystems in the world, the application to them of environmental regulations such as the European Water Framework Directive is a challenging task and requires that several natural and management aspects specific to these water bodies are adequately considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Data for the vegetation periods (May–November) of 1985–2003 were used to collate the nutrient content and biomass of the most important phytoplankton groups in Lake Peipsi (Estonia). Two periods differing in external nutrient load and water level were compared by analysis of variance. The years 1985–1988 were characterized by the highest loads of nitrogen and phosphorus, high water level and cool summers. The years 2000–2003 were distinguished by low or medium water levels and warm summers. The first period showed statistically significantly higher values of total nitrogen (Ntot) and a higher Ntot:Ptot mass ratio. The second period showed a higher content of total phosphorus (Ptot), a higher ratio of dissolved inorganic compounds N to P and higher phytoplankton and cyanobacterial biomasses. Comparison between parts of the lake demonstrated that the differences between the two periods were more evident in the shallower and strongly eutrophic parts, Lake Pihkva and Lake Lämmijärv, than in the largest and deepest part, the moderately eutrophic Lake Peipsi s.s. Temperature and water level acted synergistically and evidently influenced phytoplankton via nutrients, promoting internal loading when the water level was low and the temperature high. The effect of water level was stronger in the shallowest part, Lake Pihkva. The difference in Ptot content between the southern and northern parts was twofold; the Ntot:Ptot mass ratio was significantly lower in the southern parts, and phytoplankton biomass (particularly the biomass of cyanobacteria) was significantly higher for Lake Pihkva and Lake Lämmijärv than for Lake Peipsi s.s. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Limnological monitoring data and palaeorecords from large shallow Lake Pskov were used to study the long-term dynamic pattern of the lake ecosystem and to identify the start of its degradation. Lake Pskov is the southern part of Lake Peipsi s.l., the largest transboundary lake in Europe. The limnological monitoring data collected in the years 1956–2005 show that the water quality of L. Pskov has deteriorated and caused adverse changes in the whole ecosystem ( e.g. excessive growth of algae, increased cyanobacterial blooms, silting of the lake bottom, fish kills). Doubled total phosphorus (Ptot), dissolved inorganic P (PO4-P) and chlorophyll a (Chl- a) contents, increased total alkalinity (HCO) and pH, as well as decline in water transparency and oxygenation conditions, indicate a clear increase in the trophic level of the lake. However, the limnological studies do not show when the degradation started. To understand long-term dynamics of the lake ecosystem, a 52 cm sediment core taken from one monitoring station of L. Pskov was studied and dated by the 210Pb method. Palaeodata show that substantial changes in the L. Pskov ecosystem started already in the 1930s when mesotrophic conditions in the lake turned increasingly eutrophic. Since that time, the content of P, nitrogen (N), carbon (C) and relative abundance (RA%) of planktonic diatoms in the sediment have increased significantly ( P < 0.005–0.030). Comparison of water variables with the sediment variables in five to eight time points, coinciding in palaeorecords and monitoring data, reveals several significant correlations. Strong and highly significant Spearman correlations ( r > 0.9 or r < −0.9, P < 0.001) were observed between the contents of P, N, C and sulphur (S) in the sediment and the mean water level (WL) and temperature (WT) registered one to five years earlier in the lake. The C content of the sediment showed a negative relationship with WL and a positive correlation with WT. A significant positive relationship was recorded also between WT, and N and P content in the sediment. It is hypothesized that a higher WT and lower WL result in an increased organic mater accumulation in the sediment in the coming years. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We analysed lake smelt (Osmerus eperlanus eperlanus m. spirinchus Pallas.) population dynamics in relation to water level and temperature in Lake Peipsi, Estonia/Russia, using commercial fishery statistics from 1931 to 2004 (excluding 1940–1945). Over this period, smelt provided the greatest catch of commercial fish although its stock and catches have gradually decreased. At times, catches of smelt were quite variable with a cyclic character. Disappearance of smelt from catches in years 1973–1975 was the result of summer fish kill. Regression analysis revealed a significant negative effect of high temperature on the abundance of smelt stock, while the effect of water level was not significant. Our results suggest that critical factors for the smelt population are the absolute value of water temperature in the hottest period (≥20°C) of summer and the duration of this period. These weather parameters have increased in synchrony with smelt decline during the last 7 decades. There appeared to be a significant negative effect of hot summers on the abundance of smelt operating with a lag of one and 2 years, which can be explained by the short life cycle (mainly 1–2 years) of this species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the 1990s, the nutrient load from the catchment area, carried into the large shallow eutrophic Lake Peipsi (area 3555 km2), diminished in comparison with the 1980s. The aim of the investigation was to analyse statistically biotic response to alterations in nutrient level in the lake following the reduction in external loading. In-lake changes of the relationship between phosphorus and nitrogen compounds and phytoplankton were analysed for 10 years (1992–2001). The content of biogenic elements (total phosphorus, orthophosphate, total nitrogen and ammonia) indicated a decrease and thereafter a stabilization of the parameter values during the observation period. An opposite trend was observed for the nitrite and nitrate ions. The lowest Ntot:Ptot ratio (about 11–13) was registered in 1995–96. However, despite a definite decrease of the nutrient level, the biomass of phytoplankton (particularly cyanobacteria) displayed an increasing trend. Strong and long-lasting (up to October–November) algal blooms were noted in recent years. The structure of the phytoplankton community changed considerably: the share of cyanobacteria (particularly, heterocystous forms) demanding less nutrients increased while the contribution of chlorophytes decreased. The amount of nutrients per biomass unit of different phytoplankton groups decreased. Water level appears to be a significant factor affecting the content of dissolved inorganic nutrients. In particular, NO3N increased and PO4P decreased at higher water level. Large inter-annual water level fluctuations will decrease stability of the ecosystem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ruffe is one of the most numerous fishes in Estonian large Lakes Peipsi (area 3555 km2, mean depth 7.1 m) and Võrtsjärv (270 km2, 2.8 m). Owing to its small size ruffe has little value for commercial or recreational fisheries today. However, due to their high abundance, ruffe play an important role in the food webs of both lakes. The aim of the investigation was to establish the proportion of ruffe in the fish community and to assess the wellbeing of this fish in the two lakes on the basis of growth rate and condition factor. According to experimental catches made in autumn 1998–2002, the average total catch of fishes per trawl-hour (CPUE) in L. Peipsi was about two times higher than in L. Võrtsjärv (204 kg and 105 kg, respectively). CPUE of ruffe made up 16 kg in L. Peipsi and 7 kg in L. Võrtsjärv. In these lakes the fish community composition and food resource appear to be different. Benthivorous fishes were dominating in L. Võrtsjärv and the biomass of macrozoobenthos was significantly lower in this lake than in L. Peipsi. In the first year, the growth rate of ruffe was higher in L. Peipsi where the state of zooplankton was better compared with L. Võrtsjärv. Differences in the linear growth rate of older fishes in L. Peipsi and L. Võrtsjärv were not significant. The lower condition factor of ruffe in L. Võrtsjärv reflects the limited food resource of abundant benthivorous fishes in this lake. Different trophic relationships in Estonian large lakes are better reflected in the ruffe's condition factor than in its linear growth rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Citizen science projects have a long history in ecological studies. The research usefulness of such projects is dependent on applying simple and standardized methods. Here, we conducted a citizen science project that involved more than 3500 Swedish high school students to examine the temperature difference between surface water and the overlying air (Tw-Ta) as a proxy for sensible heat flux (QH). If QH is directed upward, corresponding to positive Tw-Ta, it can enhance CO2 and CH4 emissions from inland waters, thereby contributing to increased greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. The students found mostly negative Tw-Ta across small ponds, lakes, streams/rivers and the sea shore (i.e. downward QH), with Tw-Ta becoming increasingly negative with increasing Ta. Further examination of Tw-Ta using high-frequency temperature data from inland waters across the globe confirmed that Tw-Ta is linearly related to Ta. Using the longest available high-frequency temperature time series from Lake Erken, Sweden, we found a rapid increase in the occasions of negative Tw-Ta with increasing annual mean Ta since 1989. From these results, we can expect that ongoing and projected global warming will result in increasingly negative Tw-Ta, thereby reducing CO2 and CH4 transfer velocities from inland waters into the atmosphere. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]