1. Forest decision support systems for the analysis of ecosystem services provisioning at the landscape scale under global climate and market change scenarios
- Author
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Ján Tuček, Geerten M. Hengeveld, Miguel N. Bugalho, Giulia Corradini, Davide Zoccatelli, Davide Pettenella, Marco Marto, Róbert Sedmák, Anders Lundholm, José G. Borges, Adam Felton, Kevin Black, Emin Zeki Başkent, Isak Lodin, Anu Korosuo, Eva-Maria Nordström, Werner Poschenrieder, Nicklas Forsell, Gintautas Mozgeris, Maarten Nieuwenhuis, Matts Lindbladh, Peter Biber, Ljusk Ola Eriksson, Mauro Masiero, Edwin Corrigan, and Marjanke A. Hoogstra-Klein
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,Decision support system ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Computer science ,Forest management ,Sustainable forest management ,Climate change ,WASS ,Time horizon ,Plant Science ,01 natural sciences ,Forest and Nature Conservation Policy ,Ecosystem services ,11. Sustainability ,Bos- en Natuurbeleid ,Forest management models ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Forest owner behavior ,business.industry ,Environmental resource management ,Forestry ,Provisioning ,Biodiversity ,15. Life on land ,PE&RC ,Biometris ,13. Climate action ,Scale (social sciences) ,ALTERFOR ,business ,ALTERFOR, Biodiversity, Forest management models, Forest owner behavior ,010606 plant biology & botany - Abstract
Sustainable forest management is driving the development of forest decision support systems (DSSs) to include models and methods concerned with climate change, biodiversity and various ecosystem services (ESs). The future development of forest landscapes is very much dependent on how forest owners act and what goes on in the wider world; thus, models are needed that incorporate these aspects. The objective of this study is to assess how nine European state-of-the-art forest DSSs cope with these issues. The assessment focuses on the ability of these DSSs to generate landscape-level scenarios to explore the output of current and alternative forest management models (FMMs) in terms of a range of ESs and the robustness of these FMMs in the face of increased risks and uncertainty. Results show that all DSSs assessed in this study can be used to quantify the impacts of both stand- and landscape-level FMMs on the provision of a range of ESs over a typical planning horizon. DSSs can be used to assess how timber price trends may impact that provision over time. The inclusion of forest owner behavior as reflected by the adoption of specific FMMs seems to be also in the reach of all DSSs. Nevertheless, some DSSs need more data and development of models to estimate the impacts of climate change on biomass production and other ESs. Spatial analysis functionality needs to be further developed for a more accurate assessment of the landscape-level output of ESs from both current and alternative FMMs. European Commission Horizon 2020 Portuguese Science Foundation
- Published
- 2019
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