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Multiple myeloma (MM) is a cancer of older adults and those who are more frail are at high risk of poor outcomes. Current tools for identifying and categorizing frail patients are often static and measured only at the time of diagnosis. The concept of dynamic frailty (i.e. frailty changing over time) is largely unexplored in MM. In our study, adults with newly-diagnosed MM who received novel drugs between the years 2007–2014 were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare linked databases. Using a previously published cumulative deficit approach, a frailty index score was calculated at diagnosis and each landmark interval (1-yr, 2-yr, 3-yr post diagnosis). The association of frailty with overall survival (OS) both at baseline and at each landmark interval as well as factors associated with worsening frailty status over time were evaluated. Overall, 4617 patients were included. At baseline, 39% of the patients were categorized as moderately frail or severely frail. Among those who had 3 years of follow-up, frailty categorization changed post diagnosis in 93% of the cohort (78% improved and 72% deteriorated at least at one time point during the follow up period). In a landmark analysis, the predictive ability of frailty at the time of diagnosis decreased over time for OS (Harrell’s C Statistic 0.65 at diagnosis, 0.63 at 1-yr, 0.62 at 2-yr, and 0.60 at 3-yr) and was inferior compared to current frailty status at each landmark interval. Our study is one of the first to demonstrate the dynamic nature of frailty among older adults with MM. Frailty may improve or deteriorate over time. Current frailty status is a better predictor of outcomes than frailty status at time of diagnosis, indicating the need for re-measurement in this high-risk patient population.

Background Antigenic variation is an effective way by which viruses evade host immune defense leading to viral persistence. Little is known about the inhibitory mechanisms of viral variants on CD4 T cell functions. Results Using sythetic peptides of a HLA-DRB1*15-restricted CD4 epitope derived from the non-structural (NS) 3 protein of hepatitis C virus (HCV) and its antigenic variants and the peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) from six HLA-DRB1*15-positive patients chronically infected with HCV and 3 healthy subjects, the in vitro immune responses and the phenotypes of CD4+CD25+ cells of chronic HCV infection were investigated. The variants resulting from single or double amino acid substitutions at the center of the core region of the Th1 peptide not only induce failed T cell activation but also simultaneously up-regulate inhibitory IL-10, CD25-TGF-β+ Th3 and CD4+IL-10+ Tr1 cells. In contrast, other variants promote differentiation of CD25+TGF-β+ Th3 suppressors that attenuate T cell proliferation. Conclusions Naturally occuring HCV antigenic mutants of a CD4 epitope can shift a protective peripheral Th1 immune response into an inhibitory Th3 and/or Tr1 response. The modulation of antigenic variants on CD4 response is efficient and extensive, and is likely critical in viral persistence in HCV infection.