1. Predicting Regulatory Product Approvals Using a Proposed Quantitative Version of FDA’s Benefit–Risk Framework to Calculate Net-Benefit Score and Benefit–Risk Ratio
- Author
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Melanie Mercadel, Jean Wimmer, Stephen Sun, and Suzanne Heske
- Subjects
Computer science ,Process (engineering) ,Risk Assessment ,030226 pharmacology & pharmacy ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Odds Ratio ,Humans ,Pharmacology (medical) ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Product (category theory) ,Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics (miscellaneous) ,Risk management ,Original Research ,Retrospective Studies ,Product Approvals ,Public information ,United States Food and Drug Administration ,business.industry ,Risk management framework ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,United States ,Benefit–risk framework ,Net-benefit ,Risk analysis (engineering) ,Consumer Product Safety ,Relative risk ,Transparency (graphic) ,business ,FDA ,Scoring - Abstract
Background Approval of regulated medical products in the USA is based upon a rigorous review of the benefits and risks as performed by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) staff of scientists and is summarized in a descriptive and qualitative format called the FDA’s Benefit–Risk Framework (BRF). This present method highlights the key factors in regulatory decision-making, but does not clearly define the reason for its final approval. Method This study proposes a quantitative version of FDA’s BRF to calculate a Net-Benefit Score and a Benefit–Risk Ratio as a method to define a single-value summary of the tradeoffs between benefits and risks and allow comparisons among other products. In this retrospective review of five years of new molecular entities and new biologic (N = 185 products) regulatory decision-making, this proposed scoring system codifies and quantitates the information about a product’s benefits, risks, and risk management information in a format that may predict why regulated medical products are approved in the USA. Results Simple calculation of codified benefits, risks, and risk mitigations with numerical limits is proposed to provide a repeatable process and transparency for documenting the net-benefit of regulatory product approval. Conclusion Use of a strict process of collecting, codifying, and analyzing public information to determine a Net-Benefit score and a Benefit–Risk Ratio is possible to anticipate regulatory product approval.
- Published
- 2020
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