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Aim: Assessing the performances of different sampling approaches for documenting community diversity may help to identify optimal sampling efforts and strategies, and to enhance conservation and monitoring planning. Here, we used two data sets based on probabilistic and preferential sampling schemes of Italian forest vegetation to analyze the multifaceted performances of the two approaches across three major forest types at a large scale. Location: Italy. Methods: We pooled 804 probabilistic and 16,259 preferential forest plotsassamplesofvascularplantdiversity across the country. We balanced the two data sets in terms of sizes, plot size, geographical position, and vegetation types. For each of the two data sets, 1000 subsets of 201 random plots were compared by calculating the shared and exclusive indicator species, their overlap in the multivariate space, and the areas encompassed by spatially-constrained rarefaction curves. We then calculated an index of performance using the ratio between the additional and total information collected by each sampling approach. The performances were tested and evaluated across the three major forest types. Results: The probabilistic approach performed better in estimating species richness and diversity of species assemblages, but did not detect other components of the regional diversity, such as azonal forests. The preferential approach outperformed the probabilistic approach in detecting forest-specialist species and plant diversity hotspots. Conclusions: Using a novel workflow based on vegetation-plot exclusivities and commonalities, our study suggests probabilistic and preferential sampling approaches are to be used in combination for better conservation and monitor planning purposes to detect multiple aspects of plant community diversity. Our findings can assist the implementation of national conservation planning and large-scale monitoring of biodiversity.

With the aim to identify future challenges and opportunities in vegetation science, we brought together a group of 22 early career vegetation scientists from diverse backgrounds to perform a horizon scan. In this contribution, we present a selection of 15 topics that were ranked by participants as the most emergent and impactful for vegetation science in the face of global change. We highlight methodological tools that we expect will play a critical role in resolving emerging issues by providing ways to unveil new aspects of plant community dynamics and structure. These tools include next generation sequencing, plant spectral imaging, process-based species distribution models, resurveying studies and permanent plots. Further, we stress the need to integrate long-term monitoring, the study of novel ecosystems, below-ground traits, pollination interactions and global networks of near-surface microclimate data at fine spatio-temporal resolutions to fully understand and predict the impacts of climate change on vegetation dynamics. We also emphasize the need to integrate traditional forms of knowledge and a diversity of stakeholders into research, teaching, management and policy-making to advance the field of vegetation science. The conclusions reached by this horizon scan naturally reflect the background, expertise and interests of a representative pool of early career vegetation scientists, which should serve as basis for future developments in the field., We would like to thank the IAVS for their support in organizing the workshop in October. FAY is grateful to J. Jeschke for his suggestions and advice on logistics for the horizon scan. FAY would like to thank the support of the Rising Star Junior Fellowship in the Department of Biology, Chemistry and Pharmacy of the Freie Universität and specially the women’s representative office at the Department of Biology, Chemistry and Pharmacy of the Freie Universität (Frauenbeauftragte BCP) for providing financial support for childcare during Germany’s COVID-19 lockdowns. Without this help, working on this manuscript would have not been possible during these hard times. We acknowledge PhD grants from Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo - FAPESP (2018/09054-0) to GD, from Conselho Nacional do Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico- CNPq (141715/2018-9) to JT, from an Indonesia Endowment Fund for Education (LPDP) Scholarship to MJMH, from the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia granted to TŠ, from the Slovenian Research Agency (ARRS) to FK and from Mexico’s CONACyT (CVU: 348078) to CXPV

Caio Graco-Roza was funded by the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (CAPES), the Carlos Chagas Filho Research Support Foundation (FAPERJ) and the Ella and Georg Erhnrooth Foundation; Jan Altman by research grants INTER-EXCELLENCE LTAUSA19137 provided by Czech Ministry of Education, Youth and Sports, 20-05840Y of the Czech Science Foundation, and long-term research development project no. RVO 67985939 of the Czech Academy of Sciences; Otso Ovaskainen was funded by Academy of Finland (grant no. 309581), Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence Funding Scheme (223257), and the European Research Council (ERC) under the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme (grant agreement no. 856506; ERC-synergy project LIFEPLAN); and Jianjun Wang was funded by CAS Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences (QYZDB-SSW-DQC043) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (91851117). The "sPlot" project was initiated by sDiv, the Synthesis Centre of the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG FZT 118), and is now a platform of iDiv. The study was supported by the TRY initiative on plant traits (). We are also grateful to Jens Kattge and TRY database. TRY is hosted, developed and maintained at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC) in Jena, Germany, in collaboration with the German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig. The CESTES database of metacommunities is also an initiative of iDiv led by Alienor Jeliazkov. We thank sDiv for supporting the open science initiative., Aim: Understanding the variation in community composition and species abundances (i.e., β-diversity) is at the heart of community ecology. A common approach to examine β-diversity is to evaluate directional variation in community composition by measuring the decay in the similarity among pairs of communities along spatial or environmental distance. We provide the first global synthesis of taxonomic and functional distance decay along spatial and environmental distance by analysing 148 datasets comprising different types of organisms and environments. Location: Global. Time period: 1990 to present. Major taxa studied: From diatoms to mammals. Method: We measured the strength of the decay using ranked Mantel tests (Mantel r) and the rate of distance decay as the slope of an exponential fit using generalized linear models. We used null models to test whether functional similarity decays faster or slower than expected given the taxonomic decay along the spatial and environmental distance. We also unveiled the factors driving the rate of decay across the datasets, including latitude, spatial extent, realm and organismal features. Results: Taxonomic distance decay was stronger than functional distance decay along both spatial and environmental distance. Functional distance decay was random given the taxonomic distance decay. The rate of taxonomic and functional spatial distance decay was fastest in the datasets from mid-latitudes. Overall, datasets covering larger spatial extents showed a lower rate of decay along spatial distance but a higher rate of decay along environmental distance. Marine ecosystems had the slowest rate of decay along environmental distances. Main conclusions: In general, taxonomic distance decay is a useful tool for biogeographical research because it reflects dispersal-related factors in addition to species responses to climatic and environmental variables. Moreover, functional distance decay might be a cost-effective option for investigating community changes in heterogeneous environments., Coordenacao de Aperfeicoamento de Pessoal de Nivel Superior (CAPES) Fundacao Carlos Chagas Filho de Amparo a Pesquisa do Estado do Rio De Janeiro (FAPERJ), Ella and Georg Erhnrooth Foundation, Ministry of Education, Youth & Sports - Czech Republic LTAUSA19137 Grant Agency of the Czech Republic 20-05840Y Czech Academy of Sciences RVO 67985939, Academy of Finland 309581, Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence Funding Scheme 223257, European Research Council (ERC) 856506, CAS Key Research Program of Frontier Sciences QYZDB-SSW-DQC043, National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) 91851117, German Research Foundation (DFG) DFG FZT 118, TRY initiative on plant traits