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Background: Machine learning (ML) may provide novel insights into data patterns and improve model prediction accuracy. The current study sought to develop and validate an ML model to predict early extra-hepatic recurrence (EEHR) among patients undergoing resection of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM)., Methods: Patients with CRLM who underwent curative-intent resection between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. An eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model was developed to estimate the risk of EEHR, defined as extrahepatic recurrence within 12 months after hepatectomy, using clinicopathological factors. The relative importance of factors was determined using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) values., Results: Among 1410 patients undergoing curative-intent resection, 131 (9.3%) patients experienced EEHR. Median OS among patients with and without EEHR was 35.4 months (interquartile range [IQR] 29.9-46.7) versus 120.5 months (IQR 97.2-134.0), respectively (p < 0.001). The ML predictive model had c-index values of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.81) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.73-0.80) in the entire dataset and the validation data set with bootstrapping resamples, respectively. The SHAP algorithm demonstrated that T and N primary tumor categories, as well as tumor burden score were the three most important predictors of EEHR. An easy-to-use risk calculator for EEHR was developed and made available online at: https://junkawashima.shinyapps.io/EEHR/., Conclusions: An easy-to-use online calculator was developed using ML to help clinicians predict the chance of EEHR after curative-intent resection for CRLM. This tool may help clinicians in decision-making related to treatment strategies for patients with CRLM., (© 2024 The Author(s). World Journal of Surgery published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Surgery/Société Internationale de Chirurgie (ISS/SIC).)

Background: Access to healthcare providers is a key factor in reducing cancer incidence and mortality, underscoring the significance of provider density as a crucial metric of health quality. We sought to characterize the association of provider density on hepatobiliary cancer population-level incidence and mortality., Study Design: County-level hepatobiliary cancer incidence and mortality data from 2016 to 2020 and provider data from 2016 to 2018 were obtained from the CDC and Area Health Resource File. Multivariable logistic regression was utilized to evaluate the relationship between provider density and hepatobiliary cancer incidence and mortality., Results: Among 1359 counties, 851 (62.6%) and 508 (37.4%) counties were categorized as urban and rural, respectively. The median number of providers in any given county was 104 (IQR: 44-306), while provider density was 120.1 (IQR: 86.7-172.2) per 100,000 population; median household income was $51,928 (IQR: $45,050-$61,655). Low provider-density counties were more likely to have a greater proportion of residents over 65 years of age (52.7% vs. 49.6%) who were uninsured (17.4% vs. 13.2%) versus higher provider-density counties (p < 0.05). Moreover, all-stage incidence, late-stage incidence, and mortality rates were higher in counties with low provider density. On multivariable analysis, moderate, and high provider density were associated with lower odds of all-stage incidence, late-stage incidence, and mortality., Conclusion: Higher county-level provider density was associated with lower hepatobiliary cancer-related incidence and mortality. Efforts to increase access to healthcare providers may improve healthcare equity as well as long-term cancer outcomes., (© 2024 The Author(s). World Journal of Surgery published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Surgery/Société Internationale de Chirurgie (ISS/SIC).)

Purpose: Breast cancer-related lymphedema (LE) significantly impairs the patients' quality of life. Axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) is a strong risk factor for LE in breast cancer surgery. In addition, postoperative administration of docetaxel (DTX) has been reported to be a risk factor for LE in patients who undergo ALND. Herein, we performed the risk of objective LE after ALND., Methods: Patients who visited the medical follow-up clinic between 12 November 2018 and 11 January 2019 and at least one year postoperatively were eligible for this study. The risk factors for objective LE according to taxane-containing regimen, radiation therapy, and body mass index and the effects of a taxane-containing regimen followed by supraclavicular irradiation on LE were examined., Results: A total of 214 patients were included in this analysis, and objective LE was observed in 52 patients (24%). Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that only supraclavicular field irradiation was a statistically significant risk factor for objective LE. In addition, the sequential use of taxane-containing regimens and supraclavicular RT was shown to be a more likely risk factor for LE than ALND alone. We also compared each taxane regimen with supraclavicular RT and found that DTX was more likely to be a risk factor for LE in cases of sequential use of supraclavicular RT than with ALND alone. However, when comparing DTX with supraclavicular RT and PTX with supraclavicular RT directly, there was no statistically significant difference in the risk of objective LE between the two groups., Conclusion: The risk for LE was more likely to be higher with the sequential use of taxane-containing chemotherapy and supraclavicular field irradiation. Therefore, management of LE is important in these cases., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Nanae Horisawa et al.)

Background: We sought to define surgical outcomes among elderly patients with Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) following major thoracic and gastrointestinal surgery., Methods: A retrospective cohort study was used to identify patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) repair, pneumonectomy, pancreatectomy, and colectomy. Individuals were identified from the Medicare Standard Analytic Files and multivariable regression was utilized to assess the association of ADRD with textbook outcome (TO), expenditures, and discharge disposition., Results: Among 1,175,010 Medicare beneficiaries, 19,406 (1.7%) patients had a preoperative diagnosis of ADRD (CABG: n = 1,643, 8.5%; AAA repair: n = 5,926, 30.5%; pneumonectomy: n = 590, 3.0%; pancreatectomy: n = 181, 0.9%; and colectomy: n = 11,066, 57.0%). After propensity score matching, patients with ADRD were less likely to achieve a TO (ADRD: 31.2% vs. no ADRD: 40.1%) or be discharged to home (ADRD: 26.7% vs. no ADRD: 46.2%) versus patients who did not have ADRD (both p < 0.001). Median index surgery expenditures were higher among patients with ADRD (ADRD: $28,815 [IQR $14,333-$39,273] vs. no ADRD: $27,101 [IQR $13,433-$38,578]; p < 0.001) (p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, patients with ADRD had higher odds of postoperative complications (OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.25-1.40), extended length-of-stay (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.21-1.32), 90-day readmission (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.31-1.43), and 90-day mortality (OR 1.76, 95% CI 1.66-1.86) (all p < 0.001)., Conclusion: Preoperative diagnosis of ADRD was an independent risk factor for poor postoperative outcomes, discharge to non-home settings, as well as higher healthcare expenditures. These data should serve to inform discussions and decision-making about surgery among the growing number of older patients with cognitive deficits., (© 2024 International Society of Surgery/Société Internationale de Chirurgie (ISS/SIC).)

Background: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have a heterogeneous presentation, as well as different long-term outcomes following surgical resection. We sought to use machine learning to cluster patients into different prognostic groups based on preoperative characteristics., Methods: Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from a large international multi-institutional database. A hierarchical cluster analysis was performed based on preoperative factors to characterize patterns of presentation and define disease-free survival (DFS)., Results: Among 966 with HCC, 3 distinct clusters were identified: Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%), Cluster 2 (n = 537, 55.6%) and Cluster 3 (n = 269, 27.8%). Cluster 1 (n = 160, 16.5%) consisted of female patients (n = 160, 100%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate tumor burden score (TBS) (median: 4.71) and high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels (median 41.3 ng/mL); Cluster 2 consisted of male individuals (n = 537, 100%), mainly with a history of HBV infection (n = 429, 79.9%), low inflammation-based scores, intermediate AFP levels (median 26.0 ng/mL) and lower TBS (median 4.49); Cluster 3 was comprised of older patients (median age 68 years) predominantly male (n = 248, 92.2%) who had low incidence of HBV/HCV infection (7.1% and 8.2%, respectively), intermediate AFP levels (median 16.8 ng/mL), high inflammation-based scores and high TBS (median 6.58). Median DFS worsened incrementally among the three different clusters with Cluster 3 having the lowest DFS (Cluster 1: median not reached; Cluster 2: 34 months, 95% CI 23.0-48.0, Cluster 3: 19 months, 95% CI 15.0-29.0, p < 0.05)., Conclusion: Cluster analysis classified HCC patients into three distinct prognostic groups. Cluster assignment predicted DFS following resection of HCC with the female cluster having the most favorable prognosis following HCC resection., (© 2023. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Société Internationale de Chirurgie.)

Background: The prognostic impact of major postoperative complications (POCs) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains ill-defined. We sought to analyze the relationship between POCs and outcomes relative to lymph node metastases (LNM) and tumor burden score (TBS)., Methods: Patients who underwent resection of ICC between 1990-2020 were included from an international database. POCs were defined according to Clavien-Dindo classification ≥ 3. The prognostic impact of POCs was estimated relative to TBS categories (i.e., high and low) and lymph node status (i.e., N0 or N1)., Results: Among 553 patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC, 128 (23.1%) individuals experienced POCs. Low TBS/N0 patients who experienced POCs presented with a higher risk of recurrence and death (3-year cumulative recurrence rate; POCs: 74.8% vs. no POCs: 43.5%, p = 0.006; 5-year overall survival [OS], POCs 37.8% vs. no POCs 65.8%, p = 0.003), while POCs were not associated with worse outcomes among high TBS and/or N1 patients. The Cox regression analysis confirmed that POCs were significant predictors of poor outcomes in low TBS/N0 patients (OS, hazard ratio [HR] 2.91, 95%CI 1.45-5.82, p = 0.003; recurrence free survival [RFS], HR 2.42, 95%CI 1.28-4.56, p = 0.007). Among low TBS/N0 patients, POCs were associated with early recurrence (within 2 years) (Odds ratio [OR] 2.79 95%CI 1.13-6.93, p = 0.03) and extrahepatic recurrence (OR 3.13, 95%CI 1.14-8.54, p = 0.03), in contrast to patients with high TBS and/or nodal disease., Conclusions: POCs were independent, negative prognostic determinants for both OS and RFS among low TBS/N0 patients. Perioperative strategies that minimize the risk of POCs are critical to improving prognosis, especially among patients harboring favorable clinicopathologic features., (© 2023. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to Société Internationale de Chirurgie.)

Mastitis is a very common inflammatory disease of the mammary gland of dairy cows, resulting in a reduction of milk production and quality. Probiotics may serve as an alternative to antibiotics to prevent mastitis, and the use of probiotics in this way may lessen the risk of antibiotic resistant bacteria developing. We investigated the effect of oral feeding of probiotic Bacillus subtilis (BS) C-3102 strain on the onset of mastitis in dairy cows with a previous history of mastitis. BS feeding significantly decreased the incidence of mastitis, the average number of medication days and the average number of days when milk was discarded, and maintained the mean SCC in milk at a level substantially lower than the control group. BS feeding was associated with lower levels of cortisol and TBARS and increased the proportion of CD4 + T cells and CD11c + CD172a high dendritic cells in the blood by flow cytometry analysis. Parturition increased the migrating frequency of granulocytes toward a milk chemoattractant cyclophilin A in the control cows, however, this was reduced by BS feeding, possibly indicating a decreased sensitivity of peripheral granulocytes to cyclophilin A. These results reveal that B. subtilis C-3102 has potential as a probiotic and has preventative capacity against mastitis in dairy cows., (© 2022 The Authors. Animal Science Journal published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Japanese Society of Animal Science.)

Background: Pancreatic fistulas remain a significant concern after pancreatectomy owing to the associated high risk of mortality and high costs. It is not possible to perform preoperative risk stratification for all patients. This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of the measurement of portal vein (PV) distance as a predictive indicator of pancreatic fistula development after pancreatoduodenectomy and compare it with the usefulness of other indicators such as body mass index (BMI), and abdominal fat area., Methods: Patient characteristics, preoperative laboratory data, radiographic findings, and their association with pancreatic fistula development after pancreatoduodenectomy were analyzed for 157 patients who underwent resection during 2011-2017. Clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistulas (CR-POPF) were defined as Grade B or C fistulas based on the International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) 2016 consensus., Results: CR-POPF developed in 38 patients (24.2%). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that PV distance and BMI were potential candidates for predictive models for pancreatic fistula development, and small pancreatic duct diameter, diabetes mellitus development, and pathology of non-pancreatic cancers were independent factors for CR-POPF. When comparing the two risk models (PV distance- and BMI-based models), the PV distance-derived risk model was compatible to the BMI-based stratification models (area under the curve 0.831 vs. 0.830)., Conclusions: PV distance was confirmed to be a useful risk predictor for CR-POPF. This research highlighted the efficacy of abdominal thickness measurement, which is simple and easily applicable in the clinical setting.

Background: The treatment strategy for pancreatic metastasis (PM) from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is unclear due to its rarity. The aim of this study was to reveal the role of surgery for PM from RCC., Methods: A systematic literature search was conducted using PubMed and the Cochrane Library. The effectiveness of surgery for PM was evaluated based on the primary outcome of overall survival (OS), which was investigated in relation to surgical procedures and metastatic sites via subgroup analyses., Results: There was no significant difference in the rate of 2-year OS between the surgery and control group (OR 0.43, 95% CI 0.14-1.26, P = 0.12). However, the rate of 5-year OS was significantly higher in the surgery group than the control group (OR = 0.41, 95% CI 0.18-0.93, P = 0.03). The rates of the complications and OS were not significantly different between radical and conservative pancreatectomies. The rate of 5-year OS of the patients with PM was higher than that with other metastases (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.20-0.74, P = 0.004)., Conclusion: Surgical resection for PM from RCC is associated with good prognosis. Limited surgery may be a useful option depending on the location of the lesion.

Objective: The usefulness of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (GPS) as a prognostic tool remains unclear for patients undergoing curative surgery for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). Therefore, this study investigated the prognostic usefulness of the GPS for patients who underwent ICC surgery., Method: All ICC patients who had a curative-intent hepatectomy at 17 institutions between 2000 and 2016 were included. The correlation was assessed between the preoperative GPS and the baseline characteristics of the patients, histopathological parameters, surgical parameters, and the postresection overall survival (OS)., Result: There were 273 patients who met the eligibility criteria between the years 2000 and 2016. The postoperative OS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 83.8%, 56.3%, and 41.5%, respectively (median OS, 47.7 months). A multivariate analysis revealed the factors that were associated with a worse OS, which included an increased GPS (hazard ratio = 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-2.53; P = 0.03), an elevated carcinoembryonic antigen level (hazard ratio = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.06-2.41; P = 0.02), an elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 level (hazard ratio = 1.55; 95% CI: 1.05-2.30; P = 0.03), undifferentiated carcinoma (hazard ratio = 2.41; 95% CI: 1.56-3.67; P < 0.01), and positive metastasis to the lymph nodes (hazard ratio = 2.54; 95% CI: 1.76-3.67; P < 0.01). In ICC patients after a hepatectomy, an elevated GPS was associated with poorer OS, even if the tumour factors that affected GPS were eliminated by propensity-score matching., Conclusion: Preoperative GPS can be useful to predict the postoperative outcomes of ICC patients. Therefore, this relatively simple and inexpensive scoring system can be utilized to further refine patient stratification as well as to predict survival.

Objective: To clarify the significance of immunometabolism in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and to determine the effect of calcium/calmodulin-dependent protein kinase 4 (CaMK4) on T cell metabolism., Methods: Metabolomic profiling was performed using capillary electrophoresis mass spectrometry in naive T cells from MRL/lpr mice treated with anti-CD3/CD28 antibodies in the absence or presence of a CaMK4 inhibitor (KN-93). The expression of GLUT1 and CaMK4 in CD4+ T cells from healthy controls (n = 16), patients with inactive SLE (n = 13), and patients with active SLE (n = 14) was examined by flow cytometry and quantitative polymerase chain reaction. In vitro experiments were performed to determine the effect of KN-93 on the expression of GLUT1 during Th17 cell differentiation in T cells from patients with SLE., Results: CaMK4 inhibition significantly decreased the levels of glycolytic intermediates such as glucose-6-phosphate, fructose-6-phosphate, fructose-1,6-diphosphate, pyruvate, and lactate (P < 0.05), whereas it did not affect the levels of the pentose phosphate pathway intermediates such as 6-phospho-d-gluconate, ribulose-5-phosphate, ribose-5-phosphate, and phosphoribosyl pyrophosphate. The expression levels of GLUT1 and CaMK4 in effector memory CD4+ T cells were significantly higher in patients with active SLE compared to healthy controls (P < 0.01 and P < 0.05, respectively) and patients with inactive SLE (P < 0.05 and P < 0.01, respectively). A functional analysis revealed that CaMK4 inhibition decreased the expression of GLUT1 during Th17 cell differentiation (P < 0.01), followed by a reduction of interleukin-17 (IL-17) production (P < 0.05)., Conclusion: The results of the study indicate that the activity of CaMK4 could be responsible for glycolysis, which contributes to the production of IL-17, and CaMK4 may contribute to aberrant expression of GLUT1 in T cells from patients with active SLE., (© 2018, American College of Rheumatology.)

Objective: To determine mortality and predictive factors for lower intestinal perforation (LIP) among patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases., Methods: This retrospective, single-center, observational study analyzed mortality rates in 31 autoimmune rheumatic disease patients with LIP who were admitted to our hospital from January 2002 to June 2017. The primary outcome was the mortality rate during hospitalization., Results: The median age at the time of LIP was 61 years, and the survival rate at discharge was 64.5%. Eleven patients died of sepsis during hospitalization. Cox univariable analysis for mortality during hospitalization showed that absence of abdominal pain (hazard ratio (HR) 5.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38-22.9), higher age (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01-1.11), chronic kidney disease (HR 6.89, 95% CI 1.85-25.7), systemic vasculitis (HR 3.95, 95% CI 1.14-13.6), higher blood urea nitrogen (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.04), higher serum creatinine (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.06-1.87), and LIP due to malignancy (HR 14.3, 95% CI 1.95-105.1) significantly increased mortality., Conclusion: Abdominal pain was absent in 16% of LIP patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases, and this absence was a poor prognostic factor in this cohort. Moreover, higher age, chronic kidney disease, systemic vasculitis, and LIP due to malignancy were associated with significantly increased mortality. Physicians should be aware of LIP in autoimmune disease patients with higher age, chronic kidney diseases, or systemic vasculitis even if patients reveal mild abdominal symptoms.