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Vegetation gross primary production (GPP) is the largest terrestrial carbon flux and plays an important role in regulating the carbon sink. Current terrestrial ecosystem models (TEMs) are indispensable tools for evaluating and predicting GPP. However, to which degree the TEMs can capture the interannual variability (IAV) of GPP remains unclear. With large data sets of remote sensing, in situ observations, and predictions of TEMs at a global scale, this study found that the current TEMs substantially underestimate the GPP IAV in comparison to observations at global flux towers. Our results also showed the larger underestimations of IAV in GPP at nonforest ecosystem types than forest types, especially in arid and semiarid grassland and shrubland. One cause of the underestimation is that the IAV in GPP predicted by models is strongly dependent on canopy structure, that is, leaf area index (LAI), and the models underestimate the changes of canopy physiology responding to climate change. On the other hand, the simulated interannual variations of LAI are much less than the observed. Our results highlight the importance of improving TEMs by precisely characterizing the contribution of canopy physiological changes on the IAV in GPP and of clarifying the reason for the underestimated IAV in LAI. With these efforts, it may be possible to accurately predict the IAV in GPP and the stability of the global carbon sink in the context of global climate change. Key Points: Current terrestrial ecosystem models (TEMs) substantially underestimate the interannual variability (IAV) of gross primary production (GPP) in comparison to observations at global flux sitesThe IAV of GPP in TEMs is strongly depended on leaf area index (LAI), which is one of the causes for the underestimation of IAV in GPP and the simulated IAV in LAI from TEMs is much less than the observationPrecisely characterizing the contribution of vegetation physiological changes may improve the performance of predicting IAV in GPP from TEMs [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Drought largely affects terrestrial gross primary productivity (GPP) by its duration (i.e., drought time‐scales). However, the large‐scale impact of drought time‐scales on GPP is still not well understood, partly due to limited understanding of ecological processes and difficulties in quantifying drought time‐scales. Here, we examined the responses of GPP to drought in China during the last four decades, using state‐of‐the‐art GPP data estimates and a multiscalar drought metric. Most of the GPP data suggested that the time‐scales at which drought has the largest influence on annual GPP (dominant drought time‐scales) were well related to climate region and vegetation type. The GPP responded to drought more rapidly in arid regions than that in semiarid and subhumid regions, with a mean dominant drought time‐scale of 15 and 20 months, respectively; as plants in arid regions can rapidly adapt to water shortage through physiological strategies, while, in semiarid and subhumid regions plants usually can withstand a degree of water deficits. In a humid region, GPP did not rapidly respond to drought, probably because the high soil water availability buffered the effect of drought. In addition, most of the GPP estimates suggested that grasslands and croplands tended to respond to drought at shorter time‐scales than that of forests, shrublands, and sparse vegetation. The study highlights the importance of improving the effects of water availability on vegetation activity and further consideration of vegetation adaptability to drought in both remote sensing GPP algorithms and parameterizations of current terrestrial ecosystem models. Plain Language Summary: Gross primary productivity (GPP) is the entire photosynthetic production of organic compounds in an ecosystem. It plays an important role in carbon cycles, and is the basis for food, fiber, and wood production. Drought widespreadly and negatively affects GPP by its duration (i.e., drought time‐scales). Thus, it is critical to understand the dominant time‐scale at which drought has the largest influence on GPP. We investigated dominant time‐scales of GPP response to drought in China using six GPP estimates and a multiscalar drought metric. We found that the dominant time‐scales were well related to climate region and vegetation type. The GPP responded to drought more quickly in arid regions than that in semiarid and subhumid regions. This might be due to plants in arid regions can rapidly adapt them to water shortage, while, in semiarid and subhumid regions, plants can withstand a degree of water deficits. In a humid region, GPP did not rapidly respond to drought, probably because the high soil water availability buffered the effect of drought. The grasslands and croplands responded to drought at shorter time‐scales than forests, shrublands, and sparse vegetation. The study could benefit the management and mitigation of drought effects on GPP. Key Points: The magnitudes of gross primary productivity (GPP) response to drought highly vary among different GPP estimates and across time‐scalesGPP responds to drought at shorter time‐scales in arid regions than that in other climate regionsGPP of forests responds to drought at longer time‐scales than that of shrublands, grasslands, and croplands [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The persistent terrestrial carbon sink regulates long-term climate change, but its size, location, and mechanisms remain uncertain. One of the most promising terrestrial biogeochemical carbon sequestration mechanisms is the occlusion of carbon within phytoliths, the silicified features that deposit within plant tissues. Using phytolith content-biogenic silica content transfer function obtained from our investigation, in combination with published silica content and aboveground net primary productivity ( ANPP) data of leaf litter and herb layer in China's forests, we estimated the production of phytolith-occluded carbon (PhytOC) in China's forests. The present annual phytolith carbon sink in China's forests is 1.7 ± 0.4 Tg CO2 yr −1, 30% of which is contributed by bamboo because the production flux of PhytOC through tree leaf litter for bamboo is 3-80 times higher than that of other forest types. As a result of national and international bamboo afforestation and reforestation, the potential of phytolith carbon sink for China's forests and world's bamboo can reach 6.8 ± 1.5 and 27.0 ± 6.1 Tg CO2 yr−1, respectively. Forest management practices such as bamboo afforestation and reforestation may significantly enhance the long-term terrestrial carbon sink and contribute to mitigation of global climate warming. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Among the most promising approaches of long-term atmospheric CO2 sequestration is terrestrial biogeochemical carbon sequestration. One of the most promising terrestrial biogeochemical carbon sequestration mechanisms is the occlusion of carbon within phytoliths, the silicified features that deposit within plant tissues. Using phytolith content-biogenic silica content transfer function obtained from our investigation, in combination with published silica content and above-ground net primary productivity ( ANPP) data of China's grasslands, we estimated the production of phytoliths and phytolith-occluded carbon ( PhytOC) in grasslands. The results show that the average above-ground phytolith production rates of China's grasslands (10.9 106 t yr−1 or 1.45% of world grasslands) are much lower than those of other grasslands (e.g. North American nonwoody grasslands) mainly because of much lower ANPP. Assuming a median content of PhytOC of 1.5%, the average above-ground PhytOC production rates of China's grasslands and world grasslands are estimated to be 0.6 106 t CO2 yr−1 and 41.4 106 t CO2 yr−1, respectively. The management of grasslands to maximize ANPP has the potential to result in considerable quantities of phytoliths and securely bio-sequestered carbon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Among the most promising approaches of long-term atmospheric CO2 sequestration is terrestrial biogeochemical carbon sequestration. One of the most promising terrestrial biogeochemical carbon sequestration mechanisms is the occlusion of carbon within phytoliths, the silicified features that deposit within plant tissues. Using phytolith content-biogenic silica content transfer function obtained from our investigation, in combination with published silica content and above-ground net primary productivity ( ANPP) data of China's grasslands, we estimated the production of phytoliths and phytolith-occluded carbon ( PhytOC) in grasslands. The results show that the average above-ground phytolith production rates of China's grasslands (10.9 106 t yr−1 or 1.45% of world grasslands) are much lower than those of other grasslands (e.g. North American nonwoody grasslands) mainly because of much lower ANPP. Assuming a median content of PhytOC of 1.5%, the average above-ground PhytOC production rates of China's grasslands and world grasslands are estimated to be 0.6 106 t CO2 yr−1 and 41.4 106 t CO2 yr−1, respectively. The management of grasslands to maximize ANPP has the potential to result in considerable quantities of phytoliths and securely bio-sequestered carbon. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]