Search

Head and neck cancer is often diagnosed late and prognosis for most head and neck cancer patients remains poor. To aid early detection, we developed a risk prediction model based on demographic and lifestyle risk factors, human papillomavirus (HPV) serological markers and genetic markers. A total of 10 126 head and neck cancer cases and 5254 controls from five North American and European studies were included. HPV serostatus was determined by antibodies for HPV16 early oncoproteins (E6, E7) and regulatory early proteins (E1, E2, E4). The data were split into a training set (70%) for model development and a hold‐out testing set (30%) for model performance evaluation, including discriminative ability and calibration. The risk models including demographic, lifestyle risk factors and polygenic risk score showed a reasonable predictive accuracy for head and neck cancer overall. A risk model that also included HPV serology showed substantially improved predictive accuracy for oropharyngeal cancer (AUC = 0.94, 95% CI = 0.92‐0.95 in men and AUC = 0.92, 95% CI = 0.88‐0.95 in women). The 5‐year absolute risk estimates showed distinct trajectories by risk factor profiles. Based on the UK Biobank cohort, the risks of developing oropharyngeal cancer among 60 years old and HPV16 seropositive in the next 5 years ranged from 5.8% to 14.9% with an average of 8.1% for men, 1.3% to 4.4% with an average of 2.2% for women. Absolute risk was generally higher among individuals with heavy smoking, heavy drinking, HPV seropositivity and those with higher polygenic risk score. These risk models may be helpful for identifying people at high risk of developing head and neck cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Although early diagnosis and surgical resection of the tumor have been shown to be the most important predictors of lung cancer survival, long‐term survival for surgically‐resected early‐stage lung cancer remains poor. Aims: In this prospective study we aimed to investigate the survival and prognostic factors of surgically‐resected early‐stage non‐small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Central and Eastern Europe. Methods: We recruited 2052 patients with stage I‐IIIA NSCLC from 9 centers in Russia, Poland, Serbia, Czech Republic, and Romania, between 2007–2016 and followed them annually through 2020. Results: During follow‐up, there were 1121 deaths (including 730 cancer‐specific deaths). Median survival time was 4.9 years, and the 5‐year overall survival was 49.5%. In the multivariable model, mortality was increased among older individuals (HR for each 10‐year increase: 1.31 [95% CI: 1.21–1.42]), males (HR:1.24 [1.04–1.49]), participants with significant weight loss (HR:1.25 [1.03–1.52]), current smokers (HR:1.30 [1.04–1.62]), alcohol drinkers (HR:1.22 [1.03–1.44]), and those with higher stage tumors (HR stage IIIA vs. I: 5.54 [4.10 – 7.48]). However, education, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD), and tumor histology were not associated with risk of death. All baseline indicators of smoking and alcohol drinking showed a dose‐dependent association with the risk of cancer‐specific mortality. This included pack‐years of cigarettes smoked (p‐trend = 0.04), quantity of smoking (p‐trend = 0.008), years of smoking (p‐trend = 0.010), gram‐days of alcohol drank (p‐trend = 0.002), frequency of drinking (p‐trend = 0.006), and years of drinking (p‐trend = 0.016). Conclusion: This study shows that the 5‐year survival rate of surgically‐resected stage I‐IIIA NSCLC is still around 50% in Central and Eastern Europe. In addition to non‐modifiable prognostic factors, lifetime patterns of smoking and alcohol drinking affected the risk of death and disease progression in a dose‐dependent manner in this population. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ABSTRACT Background To better understand the associations between a history of tobacco use and survival outcomes, cigarette use was prospectively surveyed in 687 previously untreated patients with cancer of the oral cavity ( n = 271), oropharynx ( n = 257), larynx ( n = 135), or hypopharynx ( n = 24). Methods Kaplan-Meier and Cox models explored the associations of tobacco use intensity (packs/day), duration (years of use), and timing before diagnosis with overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Results Cigarette use duration, timing, and intensity were significant predictors for all outcomes in univariate analysis. Never smoking and pack-years were not significantly associated with outcomes after adjustment for prognostic factors, such as stage, comorbidities, and human papillomavirus (HPV) status, which were strongly associated with clinical outcomes. Conclusion The findings confirm the association between smoking history and survival and the importance of clinical variables in evaluating smoking as a prognostic factor. Timing, intensity, and duration of cigarette use should be considered with other prognostic factors when considering risk stratification for treatment planning. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Head Neck 38: 1810-1820, 2016 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Because immune responses within the tumor microenvironment are important predictors of tumor biology, correlations of types of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) with clinical outcomes were determined in 278 patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Methods Infiltrating levels of CD4 (helper T cells), CD8 (cytotoxic/suppressor T cells), FoxP3 (regulatory T cells), CD68 (myeloid-derived suppressor cells,) and CD1a (Langerhans) cells were measured in tissue microarrays (TMAs). Cox models tested associations with patient outcomes after adjusting for all known prognostic factors. Median follow-up was 36.6 months. Results Higher CD4 and CD8 TIL levels were associated with improved overall survival (OS; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.77; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.65-0.93; p = .005 and HR = 0.77; 95% CI = 0.64-0.94; p = .008, respectively), and relapse-free survival (RFS; p = .03 and .05, respectively). After controlling for prognostic factors, higher CD4 levels predicted improved OS and disease-specific survival (DSS; p = .003 and p = .004, respectively). Conclusion The findings suggest that TILs are a significant independent prognostic factor for HNSCC that differ by treatment. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Head Neck 38: 1074-1084, 2016 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background As cancer progresses, methylation patterns change to promote the tumorigenic phenotype. However, stability of methylation markers over time and the extent that biopsy samples are representative of larger tumor specimens are unknown. This information is critical for clinical use of such biomarkers. Methods Ninety-eight patients with tumor specimens from 2 timepoints were measured for DNA methylation in the promoter regions across 4 genes. Results There were no significant differences in overall methylation of CCNA1 (cyclin A1), NDN (necdin), deleted in colorectal carcinoma ( DCC), and cluster of differentiation 1a ( CD1A) within paired specimens ( p values = .56, .17, .66, and .58, respectively). All genes showed strong correlations between paired specimens across time. Methylation was most consistent for CCNA1 and NDN over time. Conclusion This report provides the first evidence that methylation markers measured in biopsy samples are representative of gene methylation in later specimens and suggests that biopsy markers could be representative biomarkers for use in defining personalized treatment utilizing epigenetic changes. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Head Neck 38: E1325-E1331, 2016 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]