1. Quadruple Collocation Analysis of In‐Situ, Scatterometer, and NWP Winds.
- Author
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Vogelzang, Jur and Stoffelen, Ad
- Subjects
COLLOCATION methods ,OCEAN waves ,OCEANOGRAPHY ,WINDS ,OCEAN surface topography - Abstract
Triple collocation is an established technique for retrieving linear calibration coefficients and observation error variances of a physical quantity observed simultaneously by three different observation systems. The formalism is extended to an arbitrary number of systems, and representativeness errors and associated cross‐covariances are included in a natural way. It is applied to quadruple collocations of ocean surface vector winds from two scatterometers (ASCAT‐A, ASCAT‐B, or ScatSat), buoy measurements, and NWP model forecasts. There are 15 possible sets of quadruple collocation equations, 12 of which are solvable for the essential variables (calibration coefficients, observation error variances, and common variance) as well as two additional error covariances, each set leading to a different solution. The quadruple collocation equations by themselves give little information on the representativeness errors involved; these have to be estimated using other methods. The spreading in the solutions is a measure of the accuracy of the underlying error model. Variation of the scale at which the spatial variances are evaluated yields an optimal scale of 100–200 km. From triple collocation subsets the error in the scatterometer error standard deviations is found to be 0.03–0.05 m s−1, more than expected on statistical grounds. A more precise determination requires an error model that better describes the data error properties. Plain Language Summary: When a quantity like wind speed over the ocean is measured at (almost) the same time and place by three different measuring systems, it is possible to calculate the calibration of two systems with respect to the third as well as the measurement errors in each of the three systems. This is not possible if the measurements are made by only two systems. In case of quadruple collocations there are four measurement systems, and besides the calibrations and the measurement errors also two additional error correlations can be obtained. The advent of new satellite systems makes it possible to perform quadruple collocation analyses of the wind speed at the ocean surface. Triple and quadruple collocation analyses give no clue on how to improve the error model; such improvements must be found using other techniques. However, they do show the weaknesses of the error model. In particular, they show that the scatterometer error estimates are less precise than previously thought, but it should be remembered that this is "the error in the error": the scatterometer errors in the wind components are around 0.5 m s−1, and the accuracy of this estimate is 0.05 m s−1—an order of magnitude smaller, so quite useful. Key Points: Triple and quadruple collocation analyses show consistent results to a high degreeScatterometer error estimates from triple collocation are well within 0.05 m s−1When using prior information on error covariances, quadruple collocation analyses can provide limited information on representativeness errors [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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