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Purpose: Our goal was to analyze results from 22 years of followup in the Göteborg randomized prostate cancer (PC) screening trial., Materials and Methods: In December 1994, 20,000 men born 1930-1944 were randomly extracted from the Swedish population register and were randomized (1:1) into either a screening group (SG) or to a control group (CG). Men in the SG were repeatedly invited for biennial prostate specific antigen testing up to an average age of 69 years. Main endpoints were PC incidence and mortality (intention-to-screen principle)., Results: After 22 years, 1,528 men in the SG and 1,124 men in the CG had been diagnosed with PC. In total, 112 PC deaths occurred in the SG and 158 in the CG. Compared with the CG, the SG showed a PC incidence rate ratio (RR) of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.31-1.53) and a PC mortality RR of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55-0.91). The 22-year cumulative PC mortality rate was 1.55% (95% CI, 1.29-1.86) in the SG and 2.13% (95% CI, 1.83-2.49) in the CG. Correction for nonattendance (Cuzick method) yielded a RR of PC mortality of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.43-0.80). Number needed to invite and number needed to diagnose was estimated to 221 and 9, respectively. PC death risk was increased in the following groups: nontesting men, men entering the program after age 60 and men with >10 years of followup after screening termination., Conclusions: Prostate specific antigen-based screening substantially decreases PC mortality. However, not attending, starting after age 60 and stopping at age 70 seem to be major pitfalls regarding PC death risk.

Purpose: We sought to determine long-term outcomes after deferred radical prostatectomy., Materials and Methods: The study population consisted of all 132 men with screening detected prostate cancer who underwent deferred radical prostatectomy from January 1, 1995 to December 31, 2014 after active surveillance in the Göteborg Randomized, Population-based Prostate Cancer Screening Trial. The last date of followup was May 15, 2017. Followup during active surveillance was performed with prostate specific antigen tests every 3 to 6 months and repeat biopsies every 2 to 4 years. Triggers for radical prostatectomy were disease progression based on prostate specific antigen, grade and/or stage, or patient request. Outcomes included adverse pathology findings at radical prostatectomy, defined as Gleason score greater than 3 + 4, extraprostatic extension, positive margins, seminal vesicle invasion and/or N+, whether the index tumor at radical prostatectomy was identified at biopsy and prostate specific antigen relapse-free survival. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed., Results: Median time from diagnosis to surgery was 1.9 years (IQR 1.2-4.2) and median postoperative followup was 10.9 years (IQR 7.5-14.5). A total of 52 men (39%) experienced at least 1 unfavorable pathology feature at radical prostatectomy. The 10-year prostate specific antigen relapse-free survival was 79.5%. The index tumor was not identified in the diagnostic biopsy in 38 of the 132 men (29%) or at the last repeat biopsy that preceded radical prostatectomy 22 of 105 (21%)., Conclusions: A large proportion of men had unfavorable pathology findings at deferred radical prostatectomy and the index tumor was frequently not identified. There is a clear need for better risk classification and protocols to determine disease progression during active surveillance., (Copyright © 2018 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: We investigated the effect of age and number of screens on the risk of prostate cancer diagnosis., Materials and Methods: Since 1995 the Göteborg randomized population based prostate cancer screening trial has invited men biennially for prostate specific antigen testing, until the upper age limit of 70 years. Men with a prostate specific antigen above the threshold of 2.5 ng/ml were recommended further evaluation including 10-core biopsy (sextant before 2009). The present study comprises 9,065 men born between 1930 and 1943 (1944 excluded due to different screening algorithm). Complete attendees were defined as men who accepted all screening invitations (maximum 3 to 9 invitations). The cumulative incidence of prostate cancer was calculated using standard methods., Results: Of the 3,488 (38%) complete attendees 667 were diagnosed with prostate cancer (followup 1995 to June 30, 2014). At age 70 years there was no significant difference in prostate cancer risk among those who started screening at the age of 52 (9 screens), 55 (7 screens) or 60 (5 screens) years. However, the cumulative risk of prostate cancer diagnosis increased dramatically with age, and was 7.9% at age 60, 15% at age 65 and 21% at age 70 for men who had been screened 4 or more times., Conclusions: There was no clear association between risk of prostate cancer and the number of screens. Starting screening at an early age appears to advance the time of prostate cancer diagnosis but does not seem to increase the risk of being diagnosed with the disease. Age at termination of screening is strongly associated with the risk of being diagnosed with prostate cancer., (Copyright © 2016 American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)