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Purpose: There are few markers to identify those likely to recur or progress after treatment with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG). We developed and validated artificial intelligence (AI)-based histologic assays that extract interpretable features from transurethral resection of bladder tumor digitized pathology images to predict risk of recurrence, progression, development of BCG-unresponsive disease, and cystectomy., Materials and Methods: Pre-BCG resection-derived whole-slide images and clinical data were obtained for high-risk nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer cases treated with BCG from 12 centers and were analyzed through a segmentation and feature extraction pipeline. Features associated with clinical outcomes were defined and tested on independent development and validation cohorts. Cases were classified into high or low risk for recurrence, progression, BCG-unresponsive disease, and cystectomy., Results: Nine hundred forty-four cases (development: 303, validation: 641, median follow-up: 36 months) representative of the intended use population were included (high-grade Ta: 34.1%, high-grade T1: 54.8%; carcinoma in situ only: 11.1%, any carcinoma in situ: 31.4%). In the validation cohort, "high recurrence risk" cases had inferior high-grade recurrence-free survival vs "low recurrence risk" cases (HR, 2.08, P < .0001). "High progression risk" patients had poorer progression-free survival (HR, 3.87, P < .001) and higher risk of cystectomy (HR, 3.35, P < .001) than "low progression risk" patients. Cases harboring the BCG-unresponsive disease signature had a shorter time to development of BCG-unresponsive disease than cases without the signature (HR, 2.31, P < .0001). AI assays provided predictive information beyond clinicopathologic factors., Conclusions: We developed and validated AI-based histologic assays that identify high-risk nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer cases at higher risk of recurrence, progression, BCG-unresponsive disease, and cystectomy, potentially aiding clinical decision making.

Purpose: The treated natural history of nonmetastatic plasmacytoid variant of bladder cancer (PV-BCa) is poorly understood owing to its rarity. We sought to examine the disease recurrence and metastasis patterns in this select group of patients in order to identify opportunities for intervention., Materials and Methods: We conducted a natural language processing algorithm-augmented retrospective chart review of 56 consecutive patients who were treated with curative intent for nonmetastatic PV-BCa at our institution between 1998 and 2018. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox regression methods were used for survival analyses., Results: The stage at presentation was: ≤ cT2N0 in 22 (39.3%), cT3N0 in 15 (26.8%), cT4N0 in 13 (23.2%), and ≥ cN1 in 6 patients (10.7%). Forty-nine patients (87.5%) received chemotherapy, and 42 (75%) were able to undergo the planned surgery. Notably, only 4 patients (7.2%) had pT0 stage, while 22 (52.4%) had pN+ disease at the time of surgery. At 36-month follow-up, 28.4% of patients (95% CI: 22.1%-34.5%) were alive and 22.2% (95% CI: 16.1%-28.5%) were free of metastatic disease. The benefit of surgical extirpation was stage specific: successful completion of surgery was associated with improved metastasis-free survival (at 36 months 32.4% vs 0%, log-rank P < .001) in patients with localized or locally advanced disease (≤cT2N0/cT3N0); however, in patients with regionally advanced disease (cT4N0/≥cN1), consolidative surgery following chemotherapy was not associated with improved metastasis-free survival (12.5% vs 10% at 36 months, log-rank P = .49). The median time to metastasis from primary treatment end was 6.5 months (IQR: 2.9-14.7). The predominant site of recurrence/metastasis was the peritoneum (76.1%), either in isolation or along with extraperitoneal lesions. Salvage immunotherapy in these patients significantly reduced the risk of death (HR = 0.11, P = .001)., Conclusions: PV-BCa is a disease with high lethality. Despite multimodal treatment, a vast majority of patients develop atypical intraperitoneal metastasis soon after therapy and rapidly succumb to it. Clinical trials evaluating utility of hyperthermic intraperitoneal chemotherapy and/or immunotherapy may be warranted in this high-risk population.

Purpose: We sought to evaluate the impact of repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor prior to radical cystectomy on oncologic outcomes in a contemporary cohort at a tertiary care center., Materials and Methods: An Institutional Review Board approved review of 657 patients diagnosed with muscle-invasive bladder cancer who underwent radical cystectomy at our institution for clinical stage T2 urothelial carcinoma between 2005 and 2017 was performed. Patients with and without repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor were matched 1-to-1 by propensity score. Matching was done by age, gender, receipt of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, preoperative hydronephrosis, variant histology, lymphovascular invasion, or carcinoma in situ on index transurethral resection of bladder tumor., Results: A total of 548 patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer were included after matching (2 groups of 274 patients). Kaplan-Meier estimates of recurrence-free and overall survival demonstrated no significant difference based upon performance of repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor ( P = 1.0 and P = .3, respectively). When outcomes were stratified by pathology of repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor specimens, those with pT0 had superior recurrence-free and overall survival compared to those with residual muscle invasive disease ( P < . 001 and P = .001, respectively). Notably, more than 60% of patients who were pT0 on repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor had residual disease at the time of radical cystectomy., Conclusions: Repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor prior to radical cystectomy, irrespective of receipt of neoadjuvant chemotherapy, was not associated with improved survival outcomes in this propensity score matched muscle-invasive bladder cancer cohort. The absence of residual tumor on pathological evaluation of repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor specimen was prognostic and was associated with improved survival outcomes. However, a large percentage of patients with pT0 disease on repeat transurethral resection of bladder tumor had residual disease on radical cystectomy pathology.

Purpose: There is variation amongst guidelines with respect to risk stratification of Ta tumors, specifically high-grade (HG) Ta tumors. We sought to investigate the response of all Ta tumors to bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) and compare response rates based on European Association of Urology (EAU) classification as intermediate- (IR) or high-risk (HR)., Materials and Methods: An institutional review of all patients who received adequate BCG from 2000-2018 was conducted. EAU 2021 prognostic risk groups were used to stratify patients including by the newly proposed adverse risk factors., Results: When patient with Ta tumors were stratified into IR and HR, 37 (16%) had IR low-grade (LG) Ta, 92 (40%) had IR HG Ta and 101 (44%) had HR HG Ta tumors. BCG unresponsiveness developed in 13% of HR HG Ta tumors and 14% of IR HG Ta tumors compared to 0.0% of IR LG Ta tumors (p=0.003). While no patients with IR LG Ta tumors progressed, progression rates were similar in HR HG Ta and IR HG Ta tumors (≥T2: 5.9% and 6.5%; [Formula: see text]T1: 13% and 13%, respectively). Rates of recurrence, BCG unresponsiveness and progression were similar, irrespective of number of EAU risk factors present (p=0.9, p=0.8 and p=0.9, respectively)., Conclusions: All HG Ta tumors, regardless of EAU risk stratification, have inferior response to BCG and increased rates of progression compared to IR LG Ta tumors. EAU clinical risk factors did not improve prediction of oncologic outcomes among HG Ta patients who received adequate BCG. These data support consideration of all HG tumors as high risk.

Purpose: Data from the pre-neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) era suggests patients who progress on bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) to muscle-invasive bladder cancer (P-MIBC) exhibit worse outcomes compared to de novo MIBC (D-MIBC). Herein, we investigate whether P-MIBC is an independent poor risk factor in the setting of contemporary NAC use., Materials and Methods: A review of patients who underwent radical cystectomy (RC) for cT2-3 MIBC from 2005 to 2018 was performed. Patients were stratified into high risk (lymphovascular invasion, variant histology, hydronephrosis, cT3b) vs low risk (no risk factors) and P-MIBC (≤pT1 treated with at least induction BCG who progressed to ≥cT2) vs D-MIBC., Results: Among 801 patients who underwent RC 20.3% had P-MIBC and 79.7% had D-MIBC. In low-risk patients treated without NAC, P-MIBC was associated with pathological upstaging (64.9% vs 42.7%, p=0.004) and worse overall (OS, p=0.006) and cancer-specific survival (CSS, p=0.001) compared to D-MIBC. P-MIBC status conferred uniformly poor survival outcomes to patients who did not receive NAC compared to D-MIBC without NAC (median OS 51.5 months [95% CI 40.0-81.0] vs 85.1 months [95% CI 62.8-96.0], p=0.040; median CSS not reached, p=0.014). However, P-MIBC status did not remain a negative prognostic factor in the setting of NAC (median OS 90.5 months [95% CI 34.0-not estimable] vs 87.8 months [95% CI 68.7-not estimable], p=0.606; median CSS not reached, p=0.448)., Conclusions: P-MIBC confers a poor prognosis when managed with RC alone. Treatment with NAC results in equivalent pathological response and survival outcomes compared to D-MIBC. P-MIBC should be included in risk-stratified approaches to NAC selection.

Purpose: According to the American Urological Association/American Society of Clinical Oncology/American Society for Radiation Oncology/Society of Urologic Oncology Guideline on treatment of nonmetastatic muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), females requiring radical cystectomy (RC) should undergo concomitant anterior pelvic exenteration despite low rates of malignant involvement of gynecologic organs. We present the clinicopathological characteristics of patients with MIBC treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and evaluate the impact of NAC on gynecologic organ involvement., Materials and Methods: An institutional review board approved review of patients with cT2-T3 MIBC treated with RC at our institution between 2005 and 2018 was performed. Patients were stratified by receipt of NAC., Results: A total of 186 females with cT2-T3 MIBC underwent RC during the study period, of whom 67.7% received NAC prior to RC. Patients who received NAC were more likely to have cT3 disease, preoperative hydronephrosis, and variant histology on transurethral resection (p <0.001, p=0.004, p=0.029, respectively). Rates of recurrence or metastasis were similar between groups (27.0% vs 26.7%, p=0.964). No patients had isolated genitourinary organ recurrence (median followup 32.1 months). Nine patients (5.7%) had gynecologic organ involvement (6 NAC vs 3 no NAC, p=0.978). Among those who underwent hysterectomy, 2 patients (3.1%) who received NAC had uterine involvement compared to none in the no NAC cohort (p=0.551). Rates of vaginal involvement were similar between the groups (4 NAC vs 3 no NAC, p=0.402). Additionally, 1 patient who received NAC had incidentally diagnosed localized endometrial cancer. No women had fallopian tube or ovarian involvement., Conclusions: Even among high risk patients with MIBC, gynecologic organ involvement of MIBC is rare, and organ preservation, especially of the ovaries, is likely safe.

Purpose: Recurrent disease after bacillus Calmette-Guérin treatment presents a therapeutic challenge. To aid trial development, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration defined "adequate bacillus Calmette-Guérin" therapy and adopted the "bacillus Calmette-Guérin unresponsive" disease state. Available data for efficacy benchmark comparison are outdated, leading to concerns about appropriate control arms and sample size calculations. We describe a contemporary cohort of patients with nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with intravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin, and provide benchmark outcomes data., Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed patients receiving adequate bacillus Calmette-Guérin therapy at a tertiary cancer center between January 2004 and August 2018. Unadjusted univariable analysis was conducted using the Pearson chi-square test. Kaplan-Meier estimates for recurrence-free survival-high grade, progression-free survival-muscle-invasive bladder cancer and overall survival were used to create survival curves and compared using the log-rank test., Results: Of the 542 patients who received adequate bacillus Calmette-Guérin, 518 (90%) had European Association Urology high risk disease, with carcinoma in situ present in 175 (32%). With a median followup of 47.8 months, freedom from high grade recurrence at 1, 3 and 5 years was 81%, 76% and 74%, respectively, and progression-free survival was 97%, 93% and 92%. Progression to muscle invasion at 5 years was exclusively seen in patients with high risk disease (progression-free survival 91%; log-rank test, p=0.024)., Conclusions: A contemporary cohort of patients with nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with adequate bacillus Calmette-Guérin demonstrated markedly better outcomes than seen in prior studies. These data could be used in the design of clinical trials, to guide power calculations, as well as serve as benchmarks for comparison to evaluate nonrandomized studies.