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Sigma factors, often in conjunction with other transcription factors, regulate gene expression in prokaryotes at the transcriptional level. Specific transcription factors tend to co-occur with specific sigma factors. To predict new members of the transcription factor regulon, we applied Bayes rule to combine the Bayesian probability of sigma factor prediction calculated from microarray data and the sigma factor binding sequence motif, the motif score of the transcription factor associated with the sigma factor, the empirically determined distance between the transcription start site to the cis-regulatory region, and the tendency for specific sigma factors and transcription factors to co-occur. By combining these information sources, we improve the accuracy of predicting regulation by transcription factors, and also confirm the sigma factor prediction. We applied our proposed method to all genes in Bacillus subtilis to find currently unknown gene regulations by transcription factors and sigma factors.

We predict the operon structure of the Bacillus subtilis genome using the average operon length, the distance between genes in base pairs, and the similarity in gene expression measured in time course and gene disruptant experiments. By expressing the operon prediction for each method as a Bayesian probability, we are able to combine the four prediction methods into a Bayesian classifier in a statistically rigorous manner. The discriminant value for the Bayesian classifier can be chosen by considering the associated cost of misclassifying an operon or a non-operon gene pair. For equal costs, an overall accuracy of 88.7% was found in a leave-one-out analysis for the joint Bayesian classifier, whereas the individual information sources yielded accuracies of 58.1%, 83.1%, 77.3%, and 71.8% respectively. The predicted operon structure based on the joint Bayesian classifier is available from the DBTBS database (http://dbtbs.hgc.jp).