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Mediterranean- and tropical-climate regions harbour the richest regional-scale floras globally. Until recently, however, comparisons of their diversities have been hindered by a lack of comprehensive inventories of tropical floras. Using taxonomically verified floras, we analyse area-adjusted plant diversities of five Mediterranean- and 35 tropical-climate regions to determine which are the most species-rich regions on Earth. On average, the Neotropics and tropical Southeast Asia support the most diverse floras globally. However, the area-adjusted diversities of the richest floras in these tropical regions are matched by those of two Mediterranean-climate floras, namely the Cape (second richest) and Mediterranean Basin (sixth richest). Except for Madagascar and Burundi, the Afrotropical regions were substantially less diverse than other tropical floras and half of the Afrotropical floras were poorer than the least diverse Mediterranean-climate region, namely Central Chile. We evaluate the likely ecological and evolutionary drivers of these plant diversity patterns in terms of three hypotheses that are apposite for global scale comparisons, namely water-energy dynamics, biome stability, and ecological heterogeneity. Water-energy dynamics appear to have little influence in explaining these diversity patterns: nodes of high global plant diversity are associated with climates that support year-round plant production (tropical climates) and those where the growing season is constrained by a winter rainfall regime (Mediterranean-type climates). Moreover, while the Afrotropics have higher primary production than the Neotropics and Southeast Asian tropics, they have markedly lower plant diversity. Instead, these patterns appear to be consistent with the hypothesis that the synergy of historical biome stability (reducing extinction rates) and high ecological heterogeneity (promoting speciation rates) better explain global patterns of regional-scale plant diversity.

Fire plays a pivotal role in driving ecological shifts between Mediterranean‐type vegetation and subtropical ecosystems in South Africa. This study investigates long‐term environmental dynamics and ecological regime changes at the Mediterranean‐type vegetation /subtropical boundary using a 6000‐year palaeoecological sequence from the Baviaanskloof – a region of South Africa characterized by high levels of biodiversity and climate dynamism. Combining fossil pollen and microcharcoal data from a rock hyrax Procavia capensis midden, we analyse vegetation responses to environmental changes. Our findings reveal that Mediterranean‐type vegetation resilience prevailed until ca 2800 cal year BP when a major fire event triggered a transition to a subtropical thicket‐dominated environment. This abrupt ecological turnover underscores the significance of fire as a major driver of vegetation change at the Mediterranean‐type vegetation /subtropical boundary. Our study emphasizes the vulnerability of Mediterranean‐type vegetation ecosystems to global environmental change, suggesting potential implications for similar biome boundaries worldwide. By integrating multi‐proxy palaeoecological evidence, we gain insights into the resilience and vulnerability of these ecosystems, aiding in understanding future responses to climate change scenarios. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]