23 results on '"JEN-YAO LEE"'
Search Results
2. The consumer price index prediction using machine learning approaches: Evidence from the United States
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Tien-Thinh Nguyen, Hong-Giang Nguyen, Jen-Yao Lee, Yu-Lin Wang, and Chien-Shu Tsai
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Consumer price index ,Forecasting ,Multivariate linear regression model ,Support vector regression model ,Autoregressive distributed lag model ,Multivariate adaptive regression splines model ,Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
The consumer price index (CPI) is one of the most important macroeconomic indicators for determining inflation, and accurate predictions of CPI changes are important for a country's economic development. This study uses multivariate linear regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) to predict the CPI of the United States. Data from January 2017 to February 2022 were randomly selected and divided into two stages: 80 % for training and 20% for testing. The US CPI was modeled for the observed period and relied on a mix of elements, including crude oil price, world gold price, and federal fund effective rate. Evaluation metrics—mean absolute percentage value, mean absolute error, root mean square error, R-squared, and correlation of determination—were employed to estimate forecasted values. The MLR, SVR, ARDL, and MARS models attained high accuracy parameters, while the MARS algorithm generated higher accuracy in US CPI forecasts than the others in the testing phase. These outputs could support the US government in overseeing economic policies, sectors, and social security, thereby boosting national economic development.
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- 2023
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3. Evaluating the Influence of Criteria Revitalization Strategy Implementation for the Hospitality Industry in the Post-Pandemic Era
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Tien-Chin Wang, Hsiu-Chin Hsieh, Xuan-Huynh Nguyen, Chin-Ying Huang, and Jen-Yao Lee
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revitalization strategy ,COVID-19 pandemic ,hospitality ,fuzzy preference relations ,post-pandemic ,Social Sciences - Abstract
This study applies consistent fuzzy preference relations (CFPR) to evaluate the influential criteria of revitalization strategies (RS) for the hospitality industry in the post-pandemic (COVID-19) era in Taiwan. A real case applies CFPR in order to analyze the relationship between governmental implementation and industrial expectations in Taiwan. The results indicate that “market revitalization”, such as the Taiwanese government’s implementation of various stimulus vouchers and coupons to encourage market consumption and revitalize the overall economy, is considered the most essential/important criteria for RS. This study strengthens the government sector by evaluating the heterogeneity of revitalization strategies best used to formulate the actions to pilot industries as a global contribution to fight the COVID-19 pandemic within a global crisis.
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- 2022
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4. Network Externalities and Downstream Collusion under Asymmetric Costs: A Note
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Jen-Yao Lee, Chen-Chia Fan, and Chien-Shu Tsai
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collusion ,cost asymmetry ,network externalities ,Technology ,Social Sciences - Abstract
This paper considers the collusive stability of downstream competition in a vertical market with network externalities and cost asymmetry. A dynamic collusion game is constructed, and backward induction is employed to solve the subgame perfect Nash equilibrium. We show that larger network externalities lead to less collusive incentive for an inefficient firm, while for an efficient firm, this depends on the efficiency gap. An increase in network externalities will destabilize the downstream collusion when the cost asymmetry is large and network externalities are relatively weak.
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- 2023
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5. Managerial Delegation and Conflicting Interest in Unionized Duopoly with Firm Heterogeneity
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Shih-Shen Chen, Po-Sheng Ko, Chien-Shu Tsai, and Jen-Yao Lee
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unionized oligopoly ,firm heterogeneity ,managerial delegation ,stakeholders ,Mathematics ,QA1-939 - Abstract
This paper utilized a three-stage dynamic game to analyze the conflicts of interest between stakeholders caused by firm heterogeneity. We show that the higher the degree of heterogeneity, the higher the sales delegation incentive given. The firm’s heterogeneity scale will cause industry profit, union utility, consumer surplus and manager bonus conflicts of interest. Furthermore, the intensity of conflict is lower between the industry and the union than between the industry and consumer and between the industry and manager if the degree of heterogeneity is relatively small.
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- 2022
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6. Towards Predictive Crude Oil Purchase: A Case Study in the USA and Europe
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Jen-Yu Lee, Tien-Thinh Nguyen, Hong-Giang Nguyen, and Jen-Yao Lee
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crude oil purchase price ,forecasting ,ARIMA model ,SARIMA model ,Technology - Abstract
Crude oil price volatility impacts the global economy in general, as well as the economies of Europe and the United States in particular; it is supremely difficult to describe its tendency precisely, hence it leads to a forecasting methodology. This study aims to use the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) approaches to cope with this problem in the United States and Europe. The data was gathered from the U.S. Energy Information Administration and federal research economic data (FRED) from January 2017 to September 2021. Simultaneously, values from January 2017 to March 2021, with 51 observations accounting for 90% of the total samples, were employed for the training phase, and the rest were used for the testing phase. The forecast result also indicated that the root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values, applied by ARIMA models in Europe and the United States, have higher accurate indicators than SARIMA models. As a result, the ARIMA model achieved the best accuracy in both Europe and the USA, with MAPEEurope−ARIMA = 0.05, and MAPEUSA−ARIMA=0.05. Based on these accuracy parameters, the forecasting models appear incredibly reliable; similarly, the study results might assist governing bodies in making significant decisions, thereby accelerating socio-economic development in the world’s two largest economies.
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- 2022
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7. Inward Foreign Direct Investment and Trade Openness in Vietnam: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach
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Jen-Yao Lee, Ya-Chuan Hsiao, Ngochien Bui, and Tien-Thinh Nguyen
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ARDL model ,NARDL model ,foreign direct investment ,trade openness ,tax rate ,political stability ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
This study aims to examine the asymmetric relationship between trade openness and FDI (foreign direct investment) inflows to Vietnam by using NARDL (nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag) during the period from 1997 to 2019. Our findings show that the influence of FDI on trade openness is asymmetric in the short-run and long-run. But the influence of trade openness on FDI is symmetric in the short-run and asymmetric in the long run.
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- 2021
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8. Does compensative subsidy alleviate pollutant emission and improve welfare under cross-industry pollution?
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Po-Sheng Ko, Chien-Shu Tsai, and Jen-Yao Lee
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Economics and Econometrics - Published
- 2022
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9. Relative-Performance Delegation destabilizes Upstream Collusion
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Jen-Yao Lee, Leonard F. S. Wang, and Ji Sun
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This paper analyzes upstream firms’ collusive sustainability when downstream firms adopt the relative-performance delegation in an infinitely repeated Cournot or Bertrand game. We find that relative-performance delegation makes managers acting more aggressive and that leads to more difficult for upstream collusion to be sustained comparing with sales-revenue delegation regardless of the competition modes. The driving force behind our result is that downstream relative-performance delegation decreases input price, while it makes more profit for deviated firm.JEL classification: D21; D43; L13; L21
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- 2022
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10. A Study on the Trends of the Global Cruise Tourism Industry, Sustainable Development, and the Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic
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Li-Ying Lin, Chang-Ching Tsai, and Jen-Yao Lee
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cruise tourism industry ,sustainable development ,financial management ,Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Building and Construction ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law - Abstract
Stable financial operation is the essential factor for the sustainable development of the cruise tourism industry. The cruise industry was one of the fastest growing before the COVID-19 pandemic. The industry is capital intensive, has an enormous supply chain, serves to improve many ports-of-call economies, hires an immense quantity of people worldwide, and has a substantial economic contribution worldwide, especially in coastal countries or areas. COVID-19 has disrupted what had been an unending development of growth and success for the cruise industry. This study aims to analyze the financial performance of the worldwide cruise industry and realize the trends in the cruise tourism industry. The study examines the statistical data of the top three cruise companies that account for nearly 74.6–91.8% of the worldwide cruise tourism for 2015–2021. The financial analysis includes economic structure, solvency, operating ability, profitability, and financial leverage. We also analyze the economic indicators of the top three cruise companies with frequency analysis, correlation analysis, regression analysis, and the financial management risks of the top three cruise companies with the Z-Score Model. In addition, the study organizes and summarizes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on global cruise tourism. The study found that from mid-March 2020 until July 2021, the temporary suspension decreased passenger numbers, operating losses, and stock price losses. The research results confirm that the COVID-19 pandemic has caused the suspension of cruise ships worldwide. The break has led to a sharp drop in the number of cruise passengers, resulting in a significant decrease in operating income and profits of cruise companies, and the debt-to-assets ratio and leverage ratio have increased significantly. The excessive debt ratio will affect the sustainable operation of cruise companies and the sustainable development of the cruise industry. Because of the enormous impact and damage caused to the cruise industry by the COVID-19 pandemic, it is suggested that the cruise industry should take effective preventive strategies against highly contagious infectious diseases, deploy these strategies ahead of time, and strengthen the resilience and pandemic prevention ability of the cruise industry, to achieve the goal of sustainably developing the cruise industry.
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- 2022
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11. Analysis of Taiwan’s Mask Collection and Plan Evasion during the COVID-19 Pandemic
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Po-Sheng Ko and Jen-Yao Lee
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planned quota ,Sequential game ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Taiwan ,lcsh:Medicine ,Plan (drawing) ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Pandemic ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Set (psychology) ,Pandemics ,Finance ,Government ,SARS-CoV-2 ,business.industry ,mask shortage ,lcsh:R ,Masks ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Rationing ,COVID-19 ,Evasion (ethics) ,030210 environmental & occupational health ,plan evasion ,business - Abstract
This study established a two-stage dynamic game strategy to analyze how the planned quota and price of masks were set and why mask manufacturing firms on the national mask team (NMT) in Taiwan evaded the plan. Plan evasion occurred when the NMT decided to produce less than the quota set by the government, even though they were incentivized and able to produce more. Taiwan’s experience shows that through the collection of masks and the Name-Based Mask Rationing System, the people’s right to procure masks can be guaranteed, however, to promote market transaction efficiency, the government should adopt a lower quota for the collection of masks and allow firms to freely sell them in the market after they complete their plans. The self-interest of the government played a key role in inducing plan evasion.
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- 2021
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12. Prediction of Knowledge Management for Success of Franchise Hospitality in a Post-Pandemic Economy
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Tien-Chin Wang, Jen-Yao Lee, Xuan-Huynh Nguyen, and Hsiu-Chin Hsieh
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Knowledge management ,post-pandemic ,Geography, Planning and Development ,TJ807-830 ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,consistent fuzzy preference relations ,TD194-195 ,Renewable energy sources ,Hospitality ,0502 economics and business ,Pandemic ,GE1-350 ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,business.industry ,05 social sciences ,franchise ,Business failure ,COVID-19 ,hospitality industry ,knowledge management ,Hospitality industry ,Preference ,Environmental sciences ,The Conceptual Framework ,Pairwise comparison ,business ,050203 business & management ,050212 sport, leisure & tourism ,Tourism - Abstract
Due to its unpredictability, the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has changed the global business climate and commercial management practices in unprecedented ways. As a direct result of the pandemic, the hospitality and tourism sectors have shut down, and business failure rates have occurred exponentially. The franchise hospitality industry has experienced significant impact and challenged a basic understanding of knowledge management (KM) implementation in the face of the COVID-19 outbreak. A strategic KM implementation practice can not only guide a large-scale operation, but also adjust an organization’s performance and competitiveness. The purpose of this study is to examine the influential criteria of success through effective KM implementation and to predict the probability of successful KM in a post-pandemic era. The conceptual framework for KM applies an analytic hierarchical prediction model reliant upon consistent fuzzy preference relations to assist the franchise hospitality sector’s consciousness of the influential criteria. An empirical case study is used to apply pairwise comparisons used to determine the priority weights and two possible outcomes. The case study will assist franchise organizations to analyze whether or not to implement KM, interdict application, or adopt revised actions. This assistance will enhance the success possibility of KM implementation within such a crisis environment. This study uses a case setting by assessing 15 franchises hospitality experts’ opinions in Taiwan relevant to KM implementation.
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- 2020
13. Centralized and Decentralized Recycle Policy with Transboundary Pollution
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Yu-Lin Wang, Chien-Hui Lee, Jen-Yao Lee, Jiong-Hung Kwo, and Po-Sheng Ko
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treatment subsidy ,Sequential game ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Natural resource economics ,transboundary pollution ,020209 energy ,recycling fee ,Environmental pollution ,Social Welfare ,Subsidy ,02 engineering and technology ,010501 environmental sciences ,recycle policy ,01 natural sciences ,lcsh:TD1-1066 ,Intervention (law) ,Spillover effect ,Complete information ,Central government ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Business ,lcsh:Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
In this study, under the existence of unilateral cross-border environmental pollution in two regions, a complete information dynamic game theory is constructed to discuss the environmental policy (recycling fee and treatment subsidy) formulation of the central government by two local governments. As a result, it was found that the spillover effect will reduce the level of social welfare. At the same time, the intervention of the central government and the adoption of policies tailored to local conditions will be conducive to the improvement of social welfare.
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- 2020
14. Does Uniform Wage Decline the Welfare in a Budget-Constraint Mixed Market?
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Chu-Chuan Hsu, Chien-Shu Tsai, Kuang-Feng Cheng, Chienchih Chen, Ting-Chung Tsai, and Jen-Yao Lee
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Oligopoly ,Labour economics ,Pricing strategies ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Wage ,Mixed economy ,Economics ,Monopoly ,Productivity ,Welfare ,Budget constraint ,media_common - Abstract
In this paper, we explore the influence of union structure and wage pricing strategies on the welfare under a mixed oligopoly which has a public firm with budget constraint. We showed that, the total utilities of the decentralized unions are higher than the utility of the centralized union under mixed duopoly if the centralized union charges a uniform wage and the productivity difference is large. The government should restrict the centralized union formed by the public and the private firm to charge discriminatory wages, and to avoid the improper use of the monopoly power of the labour union.
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- 2019
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15. Environmental Policy and Social Efficiency under Free Entry
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Shih-Shen Chen, Yi-Shan Lu, Jen-Yao Lee, Ting-Chung Tsai, and Chu-Chuan Hsu
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Government ,050208 finance ,05 social sciences ,Policy mix ,Control (management) ,General Engineering ,Oligopoly ,Microeconomics ,Market structure ,0502 economics and business ,medicine ,Economics ,Production (economics) ,050207 economics ,Free entry ,medicine.symptom ,Externality - Abstract
In this paper, we first show that if the firm’s production leads to environmental damage and the government does not implement any environmental policy by using a two-stage game model, the “excess-entry” theorem holds. We then show that entry can be socially insufficient in the presence of production externality and policy mix is needed for pollution control in oligopoly industry with endogenous market structure. Hence, the anti-competitive entry regulation policy suggested by the “excess-entry” theorem does not always hold.
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- 2019
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16. Priority Weights for Predicting the Success of Hotel Sustainable Business Models
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Tien-Chin Wang, Chin-Ying Huang, Shu-Li Huang, and Jen-Yao Lee
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sustainable business model ,hotel industry ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Geography, Planning and Development ,TJ807-830 ,Building and Construction ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,consistent fuzzy preference relations ,sustainability ,TD194-195 ,Renewable energy sources ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 ,ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS - Abstract
This study proposes the use of consistent fuzzy preference relations to evaluate the structure of hotel sustainable business model (HSBM) dimensions and the corresponding hierarchy of evaluation indicators, and predict the overall probability of success. As fuzzy preference relations require, a group of hotel professionals in Taiwan was asked to process pairwise comparisons using linguistic variables to determine the weights of dimensions and indicators. According to the results, finances were found to be the most important dimension, followed by human capital. The number of local cultural events in the hotel was identified as the most important indicator. The predictive values revealed the possibility for successful HSBM implementation, shedding light on the vision of sustainability for the hotel industry. The results of the present study contribute to the literature on sustainability by determining the importance and weights of dimensions and indicators for hotel business models, providing an example of the use of this strategic tool in generating and modifying sustainable business models for the hotel industry.
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- 2021
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17. Emission Tax and Compensation Subsidy with Cross-Industry Pollution
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Kuang-Feng Cheng, Chien-Shu Tsai, Jen-Yao Lee, Chu-Chuan Hsu, Szu-Chung Lin, and Ting-Chung Tsai
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010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Natural resource economics ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Geography, Planning and Development ,TJ807-830 ,Social Welfare ,010501 environmental sciences ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,TD194-195 ,01 natural sciences ,Renewable energy sources ,labor subsidy ,Economics ,Revenue ,Production (economics) ,emission tax ,GE1-350 ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,media_common ,productivity of labor ,Environmental effects of industries and plants ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Subsidy ,Environmental sciences ,production externality ,Emissions trading ,Welfare ,Externality ,Labor union - Abstract
This paper establishes a cross-industry pollution externality model. To explain a benevolent government, it may be possible to tax part of the welfare gains and use the revenue to compensate the affected polluted industry for the damage cost, thereby improving welfare. We show that the social welfare under emission tax with production subsidy is higher than the results of emission tax without production subsidy. The welfare of the polluted sector under emissions trading will be lower than the results of unbalanced budget environmental policy with subsidy. The welfare of the polluted labor union under lobby for compensation will be higher than the results of environmental policy with subsidy if the pollution damage and the weight on political contributions are sufficiently high.
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- 2019
18. On the Sustainability of Technology Licensing Under Asymmetric Information Game
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Chien-Hui Lee, Ting-Chung Tsai, Chien-Shu Tsai, Jen-Yao Lee, Yu-Lin Wang, and Po-Sheng Ko
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Fixed fee ,050208 finance ,Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,05 social sciences ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Market size ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,Profit (economics) ,patent ,Information asymmetry ,asymmetric information ,0502 economics and business ,Sustainability ,Business ,technology licensing ,050207 economics ,Industrial organization - Abstract
Past research indicates that a licensor tends to adopt the fixed fee, in order to obtain higher profit rather than secure royalty when he participates in zero production in the market. This study instead finds that the patentee&rsquo, s optimum strategy may vary. In addition to the fixed-fee strategy, royalty or mixed licensing, or fixed fee plus royalty may be potential choices for the patentee as well which is depend on the market scale, incidence of market scale, and magnitude of cost-saving. The patentee may choose to only authorize a type of high market size based on self-interested motives. The technology licensing market is not sustainable.
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- 2019
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19. FOREIGN OWNERSHIP AND OPTIMAL DISCRIMINATORY TARIFFS UNDER OLIGOPOLISTIC COMPETITION.
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CHIEN-HUI LEE, JEN-YAO LEE, and WANG, LEONARD F. S.
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COMMERCIAL policy ,TARIFF ,FOREIGN ownership of business enterprises ,DIRECT costing ,INDUSTRIAL costs ,INVESTORS ,SUBSIDIES - Abstract
Copyright of International Economics / Economia Internazionale is the property of Camera di Commercio di Genova and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
- Published
- 2021
20. Foreign penetration and undesirable competition
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Jen-yao Lee and Leonard F.S. Wang
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Oligopoly ,Economics and Econometrics ,Market economy ,Foreign ownership ,Economics ,Stackelberg competition ,medicine ,Social Welfare ,Social efficiency ,Free entry ,medicine.symptom ,Consumer welfare ,Profit (economics) - Abstract
This paper examines how the order of the firms' moves affects the social efficiency with foreign ownership and free entry in a mixed oligopoly market. We firstly show that when the foreign shareholding ratio is low, the entry of private followers will lead to a lower consumer welfare and higher social welfare, while the profit of the incumbent nationalized firm is higher under entry than under no entry. Further, we find that there always exists the problem of excessive entry under public leadership regardless of the degree of foreign ownership. Such result is generated by the complementary role played by the leading public firm and the strength of business-stealing effect. Our results thus have important implications for industrial and market-opening policies.
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- 2013
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21. Partial Privatization, Foreign Competition, and Tariffs Ranking
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Leonard F.S. Wang and Jen-yao Lee
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jel:L2 ,jel:F1 ,mixed oligopoly, partial privatization, tariff ranking - Abstract
This paper compares the optimal tariff and revenue maximizing tariffs in the presence of partial privatization. We show that in an international mixed oligopoly with asymmetric costs and partial privatization, when the marginal cost of the privatized firm exceeds a critical value, maximum -revenue tariff is higher than optimum-welfare tariff. Otherwise, optimum-welfare tariff is higher than maximum-revenue tariff. In addition, associating with the market-opening policy, the domestic government should accelerate privatization path and impose a lower welfare-optimum tariff rate.
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- 2010
22. Tariffs Ranking in Mixed Oligopoly with Revenue Constraint
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Long Tang, Jen-yao Lee, Jean Wang, and Leonard F.S. Wang
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TheoryofComputation_MISCELLANEOUS ,Article Subject ,Tariff ,ComputerApplications_COMPUTERSINOTHERSYSTEMS ,Cournot competition ,Microeconomics ,Oligopoly ,Ranking ,Stackelberg competition ,Economics ,Revenue ,Inefficiency ,Constraint (mathematics) ,Industrial organization - Abstract
Utilizing linear mixed oligopoly model, this paper explores the magnitude of the maximum-revenue tariff, optimum-welfare tariff, and revenue-constrained optimal tariff that is especially designed for the consideration of the bureaucratic inefficiency. In particular, the tariff ranking issue is examined under both cases of Cournot competition and domestic public leadership. We found that, under Cournot competition, the optimum-welfare tariff is the highest and it is followed by the revenue-constrained optimal tariff while the maximum-revenue tariff is the lowest. But, under Stackelberg public leadership, if the domestic private firms are fewer than the foreign firms, the maximum-revenue tariff becomes the highest and the optimum-welfare exceeds the revenue-constrained optimal tariff.
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- 2011
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23. Tariffs Ranking in Mixed Oligopoly with Revenue Constraint.
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Wang, Leonard F. S., Wang, Jean, Long Tang, and Jen-Yao Lee
- Abstract
Utilizing linear mixed oligopoly model, this paper explores the magnitude of the maximum-revenue tariff, optimum-welfare tariff, and revenue-constrained optimal tariff that is especially designed for the consideration of the bureaucratic inefficiency. In particular, the tariff ranking issue is examined under both cases of Cournot competition and domestic public leadership. We found that, under Cournot competition, the optimum-welfare tariff is the highest and it is followed by the revenue-constrained optimal tariff while the maximum-revenue tariff is the lowest. But, under Stackelberg public leadership, if the domestic private firms are fewer than the foreign firms, the maximum-revenue tariff becomes the highest and the optimum-welfare exceeds the revenue-constrained optimal tariff. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
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