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Objective: The tapering of biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (b-DMARD) therapy for patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in stable remission is frequently undertaken, but specific guidance on how to successfully taper is lacking. The objective of this study is to identify predictors of flare in patients in stable b-DMARD-induced clinical remission, who did or did not follow structured b-DMARD tapering., Methods: Patients with RA receiving b-DMARD treatment who had achieved sustained remission according to a Disease Activity Score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein level (DAS28-CRP) <2.6 for ≥6 months were offered tapering. Clinical, ultrasound (US) (total power Doppler [PD]/grayscale abnormalities), CD4 + T cell subsets, and patient-reported outcomes (PROs) were collected at inclusion. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of flare (loss of DAS28-CRP remission) over 12 months. Logistic regression analyses identified predictors of flare. Dichotomization into high/low-risk groups was based on 80% specificity using the area under the receiving operator curve (AUROC)., Results: Of 63 patients choosing tapering, 23 (37%) flared compared with 12 of 60 (20%) on stable treatment (P = 0.043). All patients who flared regained remission upon reinstating treatment. In the tapering group, flare was associated with lower regulatory T cell (Treg) (P < 0.0001) and higher CRP levels (P < 0.0001), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (P < 0.035), and inflammation-related cells (IRCs) (P = 0.054); stepwise modeling selected Tregs (odds ratio [OR] = 0.350, P = 0.004), IRCs (OR = 1.871, P = 0.007), and CRP level (OR = 1.577, P = 0.004) with 81.7% accuracy and AUROC = 0.890. In the continued therapy group, modeling retained the tender joint count, total PD, and visual analog scale pain score, with 82.1% accuracy and AUROC = 0.899. Most patients in the study were considered low risk of flare (80 of 123 patients [65%]). Only 5 of 37 (13.5%) of the low-risk patients who tapered flared, which was notable compared with the continued therapy group (20% flare)., Conclusion: Flare on tapering b-DMARDs was predicted by lower Tregs and elevated inflammation biomarkers (IRCs/CRP level); flare on continued b-DMARDs was associated with raised pain parameters and US inflammation. Knowledge of these biomarkers should improve outcomes by targeted selection for tapering, and by increased monitoring of those on continued therapy predicted to flare., (© 2024 The Authors. ACR Open Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To investigate the role of third-generation anticyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP3) antibodies in predicting progression to inflammatory arthritis (IA) in individuals with new musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms and a negative second-generation anti-CCP antibody test (anti-CCP2-)., Methods: 469 anti-CCP2- individuals underwent baseline anti-CCP3 testing (QUANTA Lite CCP3; Inova Diagnostics) and received a post enrolment 12-month questionnaire. A rheumatologist confirmed or excluded diagnosis of IA. Univariable/multivariable analyses were performed to assess the value of anti-CCP3 in predicting IA development in these anti-CCP2- individuals., Results: Only 16/469 (3.4%) anti-CCP2- individuals had a positive anti-CCP3 test. Of these 16 individuals, 4 developed IA. In addition, 61/469 (13.0%) anti-CCP2- individuals self-reported, to have developed, IA. Progression was confirmed in 43/61 of them (70.5%); of whom 30/43 (69.8%) and 13/43 (30.2%) were given a diagnosis of IA and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), respectively. In qualitative univariable analysis, anti-CCP3 positivity was associated with self-reported progression (p<0.01) and IA (p=0.03), but not with RA. Anti-CCP3 levels differed significantly between progressors and non-progressors (p<0.01) for all three categories. At the manufacturer's cut-off, OR for progression ranged from 2.4 (95% CI 0.5 to 18.6; RA) to 7.5 (95% CI 2.3 to 24.0; self-reported progression). Interestingly, when cut-offs for anti-CCP3 were optimised, lower values (≥5 units) significantly increased the OR for progression in all three categories. In multivariable analysis, anti-CCP3 positivity at the manufacturer's cut-off did not remain associated with IA progression, while this lower cut-off value (≥5 units) was associated with diagnosis of RA (p=0.02)., Conclusions: Anti-CCP3 testing could improve the prediction of IA development in anti-CCP2- individuals with new MSK symptoms., Competing Interests: Competing interests: ADM has received speaking fees from Janssen. KM reports personal fees from Abbvie, Lilly, Galapagos, UCB and Serac Healthcare outside the submitted work and research grants from Gilead, Serac Healthcare and Lilly. MM is employed at Werfen, a diagnostic company that commercialises the CCP3 assay. He does not have stocks or shares of the company or other incentives for the product. Testing was done at the University of Leeds and MM was not involved. PE reports providing expert advice to Abbvie, Astra-Zeneca, BMS, Boehringer Ingelheim, Galapagos, Gilead, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Samsung outside the submitted work. He also reports research grants from AbbVie, BMS, Lilly and Samsung. The remaining authors have declared no conflicts of interest., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Objectives: Intervention in the pre-arthritis phase of RA could prevent or delay the onset of disease. The primary aim of this study was to explore perspectives of being at risk and potential preventive interventions among individuals at risk of developing RA and to identify factors influencing their engagement with prevention. A secondary aim, established during the analytical process, was to understand and compare different approaches to health-related behaviours related to prevention of RA., Methods: Anti-CCP-positive (CCP + ) at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal symptoms but no synovitis participated in semi-structured interviews. Data were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis, followed by a secondary ideal-type analysis., Results: Nineteen CCP + at-risk individuals (10 women; age range 35-70 years) participated. Three overarching themes were identified: being CCP + at risk; aiming to prevent RA; and influencers of engagement. Participants described distress related to symptoms and uncertainty about disease progression. Many participants had concerns about medication side effects. In contrast, most participants expressed willingness to make lifestyle changes with the aim of preventing RA. Engagement with preventive measures was influenced by symptom severity, personal risk level, co-morbidities, experiences of taking other medications/supplements, knowledge of RA, risk factors and medications, and perceived effort. Three types of participants were identified from the data: proactive preventers, change considerers and fearful avoiders. Overall orientation to health behaviours also impacted the attitude towards preventing RA., Conclusion: Findings could inform recruitment and retention in RA prevention research and promote uptake of preventive interventions in clinical practice., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: Periodontitis and underlying bacteria have been linked to the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). One suggested pathogen is Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans ( A.a .), which expresses leukotoxin A (LtxA) that can citrullinate human proteins, providing a possible trigger for the production of anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA). In this study, we seek to determine the presence of antibodies toward LtxA in patients at risk of developing RA., Methods: Two prospective observational patient cohorts (one Swedish and one British) with symptomatic at-risk patients were studied. Anti-LtxA antibodies were analyzed by a cell-based neutralization assay in baseline serum and compared to 100 Swedish blood donors that served as controls., Results: Serum anti-LtxA levels or positivity did not differ between patients and blood donors. In the British cohort, anti-LtxA was more prevalent among ACPA-positive arthralgia patients compared with ACPA-negative arthralgia cases (24% vs. 13%, p < 0.0001). In the Swedish at-risk cohort, anti-LtxA positive patients were at increased risk of progression to arthritis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.10, 95% CI 1.04-4.20), but this was not confirmed in the UK at-risk cohort (HR 0.99, CI 0.60-1.65)., Conclusion: Serum anti-LtxA is not elevated before RA diagnosis, and associations with disease progression and ACPA levels differ between populations. Other features of the oral microbiome should be explored in upcoming periodontitis-related RA research., Competing Interests: KMan reports personal fees from AbbVie, Lilly, and UCB AbbVie, outside the submitted work and research grants from Gilead and Lilly. PE reports consultant fees from BMS, AbbVie, MSD, Pfizer, Novartis, and Roche and personal fees from Abbvie, Gilead, Lilly, and Novartis, outside the submitted work and also reports research grants from AbbVie, BMS, Lilly, and Samsung. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Martinsson, Di Matteo, Öhman, Johansson, Svärd, Mankia, Emery and Kastbom.)

Studies of neurodegenerative disease risk in gout are contradictory. Relationships with neuroimaging markers of brain structure, which may offer insights, are uncertain. Here we investigated associations between gout, brain structure, and neurodegenerative disease incidence. Gout patients had smaller global and regional brain volumes and markers of higher brain iron, using both observational and genetic approaches. Participants with gout also had higher incidence of all-cause dementia, Parkinson's disease, and probable essential tremor. Risks were strongly time dependent, whereby associations with incident dementia were highest in the first 3 years after gout diagnosis. These findings suggest gout is causally related to several measures of brain structure. Lower brain reserve amongst gout patients may explain their higher vulnerability to multiple neurodegenerative diseases. Motor and cognitive impairments may affect gout patients, particularly in early years after diagnosis., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Treatment with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) frequently triggers immune-related adverse events (irAEs), causing considerable morbidity. In 214 patients receiving ICB for melanoma, we observed increased severe irAE risk in minor allele carriers of rs16906115, intronic to IL7. We found that rs16906115 forms a B cell-specific expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) to IL7 in patients. Patients carrying the risk allele demonstrate increased pre-treatment B cell IL7 expression, which independently associates with irAE risk, divergent immunoglobulin expression and more B cell receptor mutations. Consistent with the role of IL-7 in T cell development, risk allele carriers have distinct ICB-induced CD8 + T cell subset responses, skewing of T cell clonality and greater proportional repertoire occupancy by large clones. Finally, analysis of TCGA data suggests that risk allele carriers independently have improved melanoma survival. These observations highlight key roles for B cells and IL-7 in both ICB response and toxicity and clinical outcomes in melanoma., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

In recent years rheumatologists have begun to shift focus from early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) to studying individuals at risk of developing the disease. It is now possible to use blood, clinical and imaging biomarkers to identify those at risk of progression before the onset of clinical synovitis. The use of imaging, in particular ultrasound (US) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), has become much more widespread in individuals at-risk of RA. Numerous studies have demonstrated that imaging can help us understand RA pathogenesis as well as identifying individuals at high risk of progression. In addition, imaging techniques are becoming more sophisticated with newer imaging modalities such as high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQRCT), nuclear imaging and whole body-MRI (WB-MRI) starting to emerge. Imaging studies in at risk individuals are heterogeneous in nature due to the different at-risk populations, imaging modalities and protocols used. This review will explore the available imaging modalities and the rationale for their use in the main populations at risk of RA., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Harnden, Di Matteo and Mankia.)

Objectives: The association of periodontal disease in people diagnosed with RA is emerging as an important driver of the RA autoimmune response. Screening for and treating periodontal disease might benefit people with RA. We performed a systematic literature review to investigate the effect of periodontal treatment on RA disease activity., Methods: Medline/PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases were searched. Studies investigating the effect of periodontal treatment on various RA disease activity measures were included. The quality of included studies was assessed. Data were grouped and analysed according to RA disease outcome measures, and a narrative synthesis was performed., Results: We identified a total of 21 studies, of which 11 were of non-randomized experimental design trials and 10 were randomized controlled trials. The quality of the studies ranged from low to serious/critical levels of bias. RA DAS-28 was the primary outcome for most studies. A total of 9 out of 17 studies reported a significant intra-group change in DAS-28. Three studies demonstrated a significant intra-group improvement in ACPA level after non-surgical periodontal treatment. Other RA biomarkers showed high levels of variability at baseline and after periodontal treatment., Conclusion: There is some evidence to suggest that periodontal treatment improves RA disease activity in the short term, as measured by DAS-28. Further high-quality studies with longer durations of follow-up are needed. The selection of the study population, periodontal interventions, biomarkers and outcome measures should all be considered when designing future studies. There is a need for well-balanced subject groups with prespecified disease characteristics., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To investigate whether anti-CCP2-positive at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms but without clinical synovitis (CCP2+ at-risk) develop US subclinical synovitis before inflammatory arthritis and if US subclinical synovitis can be predicted., Methods: First, US scans of CCP2+ at-risk individuals who developed inflammatory arthritis ('progressors') were reviewed for subclinical synovitis prior to inflammatory arthritis development. Patients in whom the pre-progression US scan was negative but the scan was conducted >6 months before progression were excluded. Subsequently, regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of US synovitis in CCP2+ at-risk individuals without baseline US abnormalities who had one or more longitudinal US scan and a complete dataset., Results: US subclinical synovitis was detected in one or more scan in 75 of 97 progressors (77.3%) {median time to inflammatory arthritis development from first evidence of US synovitis 26.5 weeks [interquartile range (IQR) 7-60]}, in whom one or more scan was available, excluding those with a negative scan >6 months from inflammatory arthritis development (n = 38). In 220 CCP2+ at-risk individuals with normal baseline US scans, who had one or more longitudinal US scan and a complete dataset, US synovitis was detected in 69/220 (31.4%) [median time to first developing US synovitis 56.4 weeks (IQR 33.0-112.0)]. In the multivariable analysis, only anti-CCP3 antibodies were predictive for the development of US synovitis [odds ratio 4.75 (95% CI 1.97, 11.46); P < 0.01]., Conclusions: In anti-CCP2+ at-risk individuals, a stage of subclinical synovitis usually precedes the development of inflammatory arthritis. Anti-CCP2+/CCP3+ individuals without clinical or US subclinical synovitis may represent the optimal window of opportunity for intervention to prevent joint disease., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To assess antibody and T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) on disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (DMARDs)., Methods: This prospective study recruited 100 patients with RA on a variety of DMARDs for antibody and T cell analysis, pre-vaccination and 4 weeks post-vaccination. Positive antibody response was defined as sera IgG binding to ≥1 antigen. Those that remained seronegative after first vaccination were retested 4 weeks after second vaccination; and if still seronegative after vaccination three. A T cell response was defined an ELISpot count of ≥7 interferon (IFN)γ-positive cells when exposed to spike antigens. Type I IFN activity was determined using the luminex multiplex assay IFN score., Results: After vaccine one, in patients without prior SARS-CoV-2 exposure, 37/83 (45%) developed vaccine-specific antibody responses, 44/83 (53%) vaccine-specific T cell responses and 64/83 (77%) developed either antibody or T cell responses. Reduced seroconversion was seen with abatacept, rituximab (RTX) and those on concomitant methotrexate (MTX) compared to 100% for healthy controls (p<0.001). Better seroconversion occurred with anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) versus RTX (p=0.012) and with age ≤50 (p=0.012). Pre-vaccine SARS-CoV-2 exposure was associated with higher quantitative seroconversion (≥3 antibodies) (p<0.001). In the subgroup of non-seroconverters, a second vaccination produced seroconversion in 54% (19/35), and after a third in 20% (2/10). IFN score analysis showed no change post-vaccine., Conclusion: Patients with RA on DMARDs have reduced vaccine responses, particularly on certain DMARDs, with improvement on subsequent vaccinations but with approximately 10% still seronegative after three doses., Competing Interests: Competing interests: BS: Speaker fees for Pfizer and Galapagos, L-AB: Honoraria for UCB, Abbvie and Galapagos, KM: Personal: Abbvie, Lilly, UCB.Grants: Lilly, Gilead, FD: received research support and consultancies, not related to the topic of this manuscript from ABBVIE, AstraZeneca, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Capella, Chemomab, Kymab, Mitsubishi-TanabePaul Emery: Grants : AbbVie, BMS, Lilly, Samsung. Consulting fees: BMS, AbbVie, MSD, Pfizer, Novartis, and Roche. Payment or honoraria for lectures, presentations, speakers bureaus, manuscript writing or educational events:Abbvie, Gilead, Lilly, Novartis., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms are among the commonest reasons for primary care assessments; however, few individuals will be diagnosed with an inflammatory arthritis (IA) within the following year. The purpose of this study was to investigate, in individuals with new MSK symptoms, the association between patient factors and risk of progression to IA, in order to optimise primary care referrals to rheumatology., Methods: Individuals ≥16 years old with new non-specific MSK symptoms and no clinical synovitis were recruited by primary care across the UK from July 2007 until May 2019. Those testing positive for the anti-CCP2 assay (anti-CCP+) were invited to Leeds for follow-up. Subjects with a negative result (anti-CCP-) were sent a 1-year questionnaire, and general practitioners were contacted to confirm whether the individual had been diagnosed with an IA by a rheumatologist. Predictors for progression were assessed using multivariable regression analysis., Results: Six thousand seven hundred eighty individuals were recruited: 3% were anti-CCP+, of whom 45% progressed to IA, predominantly rheumatoid arthritis. Anti-CCP+ participants with high antibody levels had an odds ratio (OR) for progression to IA of 9.42 [P < 0.001, 95% CI (3.13-28.30)], hand pain, OR 2.74 [P = 0.043, 95% CI (1.03-7.27)] and foot pain, OR 4.10 [P = 0.003, 95% CI (1.59-10.54)]. In low-level anti-CCP+ individuals, absence of pain in hands or feet had a negative predictive value of 96% for progression to IA. One-year follow-up data were available for 5640 anti-CCP- individuals, of whom 53 were diagnosed with IA (0.93%). Pain in hands, OR 2.51 [P = 0.018, 95% CI (1.17-5.39)] or knees, OR 3.03 [P = 0.003, 95% CI (1.47-6.25)] were associated with development of IA within 12 months., Conclusions: This is the largest prospective primary care study of individuals at risk of IA, and the first one to prospectively investigate the outcome of MSK symptoms in a large anti-CCP- cohort. High anti-CCP levels and pain in hands/feet indicated an increased likelihood of progression to IA. In patients with low anti-CCP level and no pain in the hands/feet, progression is unlikely. In anti-CCP- patients, those with hand or knee pain were at increased risk of progression. This study demonstrates that routinely available tests and joint symptoms provide useful discrimination that may be used to prioritise referrals to rheumatology and avoid a delayed diagnosis., Trial Registration: NCT, NCT02012764 . Registered 25 January 2007., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

There is increasing evidence supporting an association between periodontal disease (PD) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA), both mechanistically and clinically. Trials have shown that treating PD in people with RA may improve RA disease activity. Patients with musculoskeletal symptoms without arthritis, who test positive for cyclic-citrullinated protein antibodies, are at risk of RA (CCP+ at-risk), with seropositivity preceding arthritis onset by months or years. Importantly, there is evidence to suggest that periodontal inflammation may precede joint inflammation in CCP+ at-risk and, therefore, this could be a trigger for RA. There has been increased research interest in RA prevention and the phenotyping of the pre-RA disease phase. This review will examine the merits of identifying individuals who are CCP+ at-risk and performing screening for PD. In addition, we discuss how PD should be treated once identified. Finally, the review will consider future research needed to advance our understanding of this disease association.

Background: There is significant interest in determining risk factors in individuals at risk of rheumatoid arthritis (RA). A core set of risk factors for clinical arthritis development has not been defined., Methods: A literature search and systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted to identify risk factors in individuals at risk of RA using Medline, Embase, PubMed and Central databases., Results: 3854 articles were identified by the literature search. After screening of titles, 138 abstracts were reviewed and 96 articles finally included. Fifty-three articles included data on risk factors including autoantibodies, subclinical inflammation on imaging, clinical features, serum and cellular biomarkers and genetic markers. Risk factors were dependent on the at-risk population. There was good evidence for serum anticitrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) levels, as risk factors for arthritis in all at-risk populations (n=13 articles). Subclinical inflammation on ultrasound (n=12) and MRI (n=6) was reported as a risk factor in multiple studies in at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms and undifferentiated arthritis (UA). Clinical features were reported as a risk factor in at-risk individuals with MSK symptoms and UA (n=13). Other risk factors, including serum and cellular markers were less frequently reported., Conclusions: Risk factors for arthritis development in RA are specific to the at-risk population. Serum ACPA confers risk in all populations; subclinical inflammation on imaging and clinical features confer risk in at-risk individuals with MSK symptoms. This SLR informed the EULAR taskforce for points to consider on conducting clinical trials and studies in individuals at risk of RA., Competing Interests: Competing interests: KM: honoraria from AbbVie, Lilly, UCB; grants from Lilly, Gilead. HJS: none declared. AK: speakers bureau, consultancy: AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli-Lilly, Gilead, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Novartis and Pfizer. DA-R: scientific advisor for GSK. ADM: none declared. JK: none declared. DA: none declared. PE: expert advice to Pfizer, AbbVie, Amgen, MSD, Roche, Sanofi, BMS, Novartis, Lilly, Gilead, Samsung, Celltrion; grants from AbbVie, Lilly, BMS, Samsung. The review was not registered. Data collection forms and other materials used in the review available from authors on request., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Objective: Individuals with newly diagnosed RA have a distinct microbiome when compared with healthy controls. However, little is known as to when these microbiome perturbations begin. Using a prospective at-risk cohort of individuals positive for anti-citrullinated protein (anti-CCP) antibody with new onset musculoskeletal symptoms, but without clinical arthritis, we investigated for the presence of a gut dysbiosis before the onset of RA., Methods: The gut microbiota of 25 anti-CCP positive individuals without clinical synovitis were sequenced targeting the V4 region of the 16S rRNA gene. Using a publicly available database, a control population of 44 individuals, approximately matched in age, gender, diet and ethnicity was selected for comparison, using the same sequencing methodology. Median interval between sample collection and progression to RA was 188 days. Taxonomic analysis was performed using QIIME and MEGAN, and statistical analysis using R software., Results: There were significant differences (P =0.01) at family level in gut microbiomes of anti-CCP positive individuals vs controls. The anti-CCP positive population had an overabundance of Lachnospiraceae, Helicobacteraceae, Ruminococcaceae, Erysipelotrichaceae and Bifidobacteriaceae, among others. Five individuals progressed to RA between sample collection and analysis. Clustering of the progressor population was observed on a phylogenetic network created using a probabilistic similarity index (Goodall's index)., Conclusions: Anti-CCP positive at-risk individuals without clinical synovitis appear to have a distinct gut microbiome compared with healthy controls. Phylogenetic clustering was observed in individuals who progressed to RA, suggesting that distinct taxa are associated with the development of RA many months before its onset., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objectives: To investigate the prevalence, distribution and predictive value for the development of inflammatory arthritis (IA) of conventional radiography (CR) bone erosions (BE) in anti-CCP positive (CCP+) at-risk individuals with musculoskeletal (MSK) symptoms but without clinical synovitis., Methods: Baseline CR of the hands and feet of 418 CCP+ at-risk individuals were analysed. The presence of US-BE was explored in the anatomical areas in which CR-BE were reported. Hands and feet CR at the time of progression were analysed in a subset of individuals who developed IA (73/123, 59.3%). Logistic regression analyses were performed to calculate the predictive value of baseline CR-BE for the development of IA in 394 CCP+ individuals with ≥1 follow-up visit., Results: BE were detected in 17/418 (4.1%) CCP+ at-risk individuals (median Simple Erosions Narrowing Score-BE = 2.0, IQR: 1.0-2.0; median Sharp van der Heijde score-BE = 4.0, IQR: 3.0-8.5), most frequently in the foot joints (11/17, 64.7% individuals). A total of 123/394 (31.2%) CCP+ at-risk individuals developed IA; 7/17 (41.2%) with, and 116/377 (30.8%) without BE on CR (P = 0.37). US-BE were found in 4/7 (57.1%) individuals with CR-BE who developed IA, but only in 1/10 (10.0%) who did not. At the time of progression, new BE were detected in 4/73 (5.5%) CCP+ individuals on repeated CR. In the regression analyses, baseline CR-BE were not predictive for the development of IA., Conclusions: In CCP+ at-risk individuals with MSK symptoms, CR-detected BE are uncommon and do not predict the development of IA., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

The identification of biomarkers that help identify individuals at imminent risk of progression to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is of crucial importance for disease prevention. In recent years, several studies have highlighted the value of musculoskeletal (MSK) ultrasound (US) in predicting progression to inflammatory arthritis (IA) in individuals 'at-risk' of RA. These studies have highlighted the following main aspects: first, in RA-related autoantibody-positive individuals, MSK symptoms seem to develop before 'sub-clinical' joint inflammation occurs on US. Second, the detection of 'sub-clinical' synovitis (and/or bone erosions) greatly increases the risk of IA development in these 'at-risk' individuals. US has a potential key role for better understanding the 'pre-clinical' stages in individuals 'at-risk' of RA, and for the early identification of those individuals at high risk of developing IA. Further research is needed to address questions on image analysis and standardization. In this review, we provide an overview of the most relevant studies which have investigated the value of US in the prediction of RA development in individuals 'at-risk' of RA who have MSK symptoms, but no clinical evidence of IA. We highlight recent insights, limitations, and future perspectives of US use in this important population.

Objective: To 1) determine the prevalence of anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide 3 (anti-CCP3) antibodies in anti-CCP2 antibody-positive (anti-CCP2+) at-risk individuals, and 2) explore the additional value of anti-CCP3 antibodies in anti-CCP2+ at-risk individuals for predicting progression to inflammatory arthritis., Methods: Stored serum samples obtained from 347 anti-CCP2+ (BioPlex 2200; Bio-Rad) at-risk individuals without clinical synovitis were tested for anti-CCP3 antibodies. Anti-CCP2 titers were categorized as low or high, and anti-CCP3 titers were categorized as negative, low, or strong. Progression to inflammatory arthritis was defined as the development of clinical synovitis in ≥1 joint. Only subjects with ≥1 follow-up visit were included in the progression analysis (n = 291)., Results: In the 347 samples included, anti-CCP3 antibody titers tended to be either negative (n = 138 [39.7%]) or strongly positive (n =189 [54.4%]), with very few subjects showing a low titer (n = 20 [5.7%]). In contrast, for anti-CCP2 antibodies, more low titers were observed (n = 103 [29.7%]). Eighty-eight of 291 subjects (30.2%) developed inflammatory arthritis. The rate of progression to inflammatory arthritis in the low-titer anti-CCP2 group and the high-titer anti-CCP2 group fell from 7.5% to 3.3% and from 38.9% to 9.8%, respectively, when anti-CCP3 was negative. Progression in the high-titer anti-CCP2 group increased from 38.9% to 48.4% when anti-CCP3 was strongly positive. The area under the curve was 0.72 for anti-CCP2 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.66, 0.78) and 0.76 for anti-CCP3 (95% CI 0.70, 0.81) for assessment of progression. In the multivariable analysis, the odds ratio for the development of inflammatory arthritis in anti-CCP3+ subjects was 1.73 (95% CI 1.20, 2.51) (P < 0.01)., Conclusion: Anti-CCP3 antibodies improve the prediction of inflammatory arthritis in anti-CCP2+ at-risk individuals. The impact of anti-CCP3 antibody status for the risk stratification of individuals with high-titer anti-CCP2 is particularly notable., (© 2020 The Authors. Arthritis & Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

In individuals at-risk of developing inflammatory arthritis, the value of an ultrasound (US) scan assessment to predict progression has been demonstrated repeatedly. However, depending on recruitment criteria, these individuals may be at different stages in the arthritis development continuum, therefore representing a heterogeneous population. As a consequence, the predictive value of ultrasound results may differ between cohorts. As other reviews have focused on the challenges in population recruitment or have combined biomarkers predicting value according to one recruitment pathway, we wanted to focus on the sole use of ultrasound assessment and its variation according to population recruitment criteria. In this review, we discuss the use of ultrasound in the different at-risk populations across the inflammatory arthritis disease continuum. This review demonstrates that although some sub-population data is scarce, ultrasound is best predictive in three at-risk populations: those with a positive ACPA test in the context of non-specific MSK symptoms, those with clinically suspect arthralgia and those with palindromic rheumatism. We consider that ultrasound assessment will be a cornerstone in prediction risk modeling and prevention studies of the preclinical phases of IA in the future., (Copyright © 2020 Duquenne, Chowdhury, Mankia and Emery.)

Once referred to as "normal commensal flora" the human microbiome plays an integral role between health and disease. The host mucosal surface replete with a multitude of immune cells is a vast arena constantly sensing and responding to antigen presentation and microbial by-products. It is this key role that may allow the microbiome to prime or protect the host from autoimmune disease. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic, disabling inflammatory condition characterized by a complex multifactorial etiology. The presence of certain genetic markers has been proven to increase susceptibility to RA however it does not guarantee disease development. Given low concordance rates demonstrated in monozygotic twin studies there is a clear implication for the involvement of external players in RA pathogenesis. Since the historical description of rheumatoid factor, numerous additional autoantibodies have been described in the sera of RA patients. The presence of anti-cyclic citrullinated protein antibody is now a standard test, and is associated with a more severe disease course. Interestingly these antibodies are detectable in patient's sera long before the clinical signs of RA occur. The production of autoantibodies is driven by the lack of tolerance of the immune system, and how tolerance is broken is a crucial question for understanding RA development. Here we review current literature on the role of the microbiome in RA development including periodontal, gut and lung mucosa, with particular focus on proposed mechanisms of host microbiome interactions. We discuss the use of Mendelian randomization to assign causality to the microbiome and present considerations for future studies., (Copyright © 2020 Rooney, Mankia and Emery.)

Importance: The prevalence of periodontitis is increased in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and periodontopathic bacteria can citrullinate proteins. Periodontitis may, therefore, be an initiator of RA and a target for prevention. Periodontal disease and periodontal bacteria have not been investigated in at-risk individuals with RA autoimmunity but no arthritis., Objective: To examine periodontal disease and periodontopathic bacteria in anti-cyclic citrullinated protein (anti-CCP) antibody-positive at-risk individuals without arthritis., Design, Setting, and Participants: This cross-sectional study took place at a teaching hospital from April 27, 2015, to May 8, 2017. Forty-eight anti-CCP-positive individuals without arthritis (CCP+ at-risk) were recruited nationally. Twenty-six patients with early RA (ERA) and 32 healthy control individuals were recruited locally. Data were analyzed between June 1, 2017, and December 1, 2017., Interventions: Periodontal assessment and examination of joints using ultrasonography., Main Outcomes and Measures: Prevalence of diseased periodontal sites, clinical periodontitis, and periodontal inflamed surface area in CCP+ at-risk individuals compared with patients with ERA and healthy individuals matched for age and smoking. Paired-end sequencing of DNA from subgingival plaque from diseased and healthy periodontal sites was performed and DNA was profiled and analyzed., Results: A total of 48 CCP+ at-risk individuals (mean [SD] age, 51.9 [11.4] years; 31 [65%] female), 26 patients with ERA (mean [SD] age, 54.4 [16.7] years; 14 [54%] female), and 32 healthy individuals (mean [SD] age, 49.4 [15.3] years; 19 [59%] female) were recruited. Of 48 CCP+ at-risk individuals, 46 had no joint inflammation on ultrasonography. Thirty-five CCP+ at-risk individuals (73%), 12 healthy individuals (38%), and 14 patients with ERA (54%) had clinical periodontitis. The median (interquartile range) percentage of periodontal sites with disease was greater in CCP+ at-risk individuals compared with healthy individuals (3.3% [0%-11.3%] vs 0% [0%-0.7%]) and similar to patients with ERA (1.1% [0%-13.1%]). Median (interquartile range) periodontal inflamed surface area was higher in CCP+ at-risk individuals compared with healthy individuals (221 mm2 [81-504 mm2] vs 40 mm2 [12-205 mm2]). Patients with CCP+ at-risk had increased relative abundance of Porphyromonas gingivalis (but not Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans) at healthy periodontal sites compared with healthy individuals (effect size, 3.00; 95% CI, 1.71-4.29) and patients with ERA (effect size, 2.14; 95% CI, 0.77-3.52)., Conclusions and Relevance: This study found increased prevalence of periodontitis and P gingivalis in CCP+ at-risk individuals. This suggests periodontitis and P gingivalis are associated with disease initiation and could be targets for preventive interventions in RA.

Objectives: To compare comorbidities in a cohort of cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibody positive patients without or prior to onset of inflammatory arthritis (IA) to those in patients with early IA., Methods: Baseline data from two established cohorts were used. The first recruited people at risk of IA: CCP antibody positive cases without IA (CCP Cohort, n  = 296). The second cohort [the Inflammatory Arthritis CONtinuum study (IACON)] recruited patients with early IA ( n  = 725). Proportions of patients with given comorbidities were compared between cohorts and then logistic regression was used to determine odds ratios (OR) for the CCP cohort having specific comorbidities, compared to IACON patients. Analyses adjusted for gender, age, smoking status, and body mass index., Results: Patients from the CCP cohort were younger (mean age 50, compared to 53 years). The proportion of patients with at least one comorbidity was higher in the IACON than the CCP cohort: (40% compared to 24%, respectively). Results of logistic regression analyses suggested the odds of hypertension, taking a lipid-lowering agent, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, lung disease, and diabetes were not increased in either cohort. However, patients in the CCP cohort were more likely to be taking an antidepressant (OR = 1.62, 95% CI 1.03, 2.56, p  = 0.037)., Conclusion: There was no significant difference in comorbidities among people with CCP antibodies but without IA, compared to those of patients with established IA.

Objective: Endothelial cell activation is an important mediator of monocyte recruitment to sites of vascular inflammation. We hypothesized that high-affinity dual-ligand microparticles of iron oxide (MPIO), targeted to P-selectin and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (PV-MPIO), would identify activated endothelial cells during atherosclerosis progression., Methods and Results: In vivo magnetic resonance imaging in apolipoprotein E-deficient mice showed rapid binding of PV-MPIO to the aortic root, which was maximal 30 minutes post-MPIO injection and maintained at 60 minutes. Minimal binding was observed for control IgG-MPIO. Intensely low magnetic resonance signal areas, corresponding to PV-MPIO binding, were detected early (14 weeks), during foam cell formation. Contrast effects increased at 20 weeks during fibrofatty lesion development (P<0.05), but reduced by 30 weeks (P<0.01). Across all lesion severities, magnetic resonance imaging contrast effects correlated with lesion macrophage area quantified by immunohistochemistry (R=0.53; P<0.01). Near-infrared fluorescently labeled PV-MPIO were shown, by flow cytometry, to bind only activated endothelial cells and not to macrophages. Using en face immunofluorescence, we further demonstrate selective PV-MPIO accumulation at atherosclerosis-susceptible sites, with minimal binding to atherosclerosis-spared regions., Conclusions: This high-affinity leukocyte-mimetic magnetic resonance imaging agent reveals endothelial activation. PV-MPIO demonstrate exceptionally rapid in vivo steady state accumulation, providing conspicuous magnetic resonance contrast effects that can be objectively quantified. In atherosclerosis progression, PV-MPIO tracked closely with the burden and distribution of plaque macrophages, not merely plaque size. On a biocompatible platform, this approach has potential for quantitative magnetic resonance imaging of inflammatory disease activity.

Rationale and Objective: Vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) is upregulated in ischemia reperfusion injury (IRI), persisting after restoration of blood flow. We hypothesized that microparticles of iron oxide targeting VCAM-1 (VCAM-MPIO) would depict "ischemic memory" and enable in vivo assessment of VCAM-1 expression., Methodology and Findings: Mice subject to unilateral, transient (30 minutes) renal ischemia and subsequent reperfusion received intravenous VCAM-MPIO (4.5 mg iron/kg body weight). Contrast agent bound rapidly (<30 minutes) in IRI-kidneys and appeared as intensely low signal areas by MRI in vivo. Automated segmentation and quantification yielded MPIO contrast volumes of 5991±354×10(6) µm(3) in IRI vs. 87±7×10(6) µm(3) in kidneys with no surgical intervention (P<0.001); 90±8×10(6) µm(3) in IRI kidneys exposed to control (IgG-MPIO) and 625±80×10(6) µm(3), in IRI kidneys pre-treated with a blocking dose of VCAM-1 antibody (P<0.001). In keeping with quantitative MRI data, VCAM-1 mRNA expression in IRI was 65-fold higher than in kidneys without surgical intervention (3.06±0.63 vs. 0.05±0.02, P<0.001). Indeed VCAM-1 mRNA expression and VCAM-MPIO contrast volume were highly correlated (R(2)=0.901, P<0.01), indicating that quantification of contrast volume reflected renal VCAM-1 transcription. Serial imaging showed VCAM-MPIO accumulation at target within 30 minutes, persisting for ≥90 minutes, while unbound VCAM-MPIO was cleared rapidly from blood, with sequestration by mac-3 positive Kupffer cells in the liver and monocyte/macrophages in the spleen., Conclusions: (1) VCAM-MPIO detected VCAM-1 expression and defined its 3-dimensional distribution, revealing "ischemic memory" in renal IRI; (2) automated volumetric quantification of VCAM-MPIO accurately reflected tissue levels of VCAM-1 mRNA; and (3) VCAM-MPIO bound rapidly to target with active sequestration of unbound MPIO in the liver and spleen.