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Background and Purpose: Few community-based studies have examined the long-term survival and prognostic factors for death within 5 years after an acute first-ever stroke. This study aimed to determine the absolute and relative survival and the independent baseline prognostic factors for death over the next 5 years among all individuals and among 30-day survivors after a first-ever stroke in a population of Perth, Western Australia., Methods: Between February 1989 and August 1990, all individuals with a suspected acute stroke or transient ischemic attack of the brain who were resident in a geographically defined region of Perth, Western Australia, with a population of 138 708 people, were registered prospectively and assessed according to standardized diagnostic criteria. Patients were followed up prospectively at 4 months, 12 months, and 5 years after the index event., Results: Three hundred seventy patients with first-ever stroke were registered, and 362 (98%) were followed up at 5 years, by which time 210 (58%) had died. In the first year after stroke the risk of death was 36.5% (95% CI, 31.5% to 41.4%), which was 10-fold (95% CI, 8.3% to 11.7%) higher than that expected among the general population of the same age and sex. The most common cause of death was the index stroke (64%). Between 1 and 5 years after stroke, the annual risk of death was approximately 10% per year, which was approximately 2-fold greater than expected, and the most common cause of death was cardiovascular disease (41%). The independent baseline factors among 30-day survivors that predicted death over 5 years were intermittent claudication (hazard ratio [HR], 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.9), urinary incontinence (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1. 3 to 3.0), previous transient ischemic attack (HR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.4 to 4.1), and prestroke Barthel Index <20/20 (HR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.2)., Conclusions: One-year survivors of first-ever stroke continue to die over the next 4 years at a rate of approximately 10% per year, which is twice the rate expected among the general population of the same age and sex. The most common cause of death is cardiovascular disease. Long-term survival after stroke may be improved by early, active, and sustained implementation of effective strategies for preventing subsequent cardiovascular events.

Background and Purpose: Few community-based studies have examined the long-term risk of recurrent stroke after an acute first-ever stroke. This study aimed to determine the absolute and relative risks of a first recurrent stroke over the first 5 years after a first-ever stroke and the predictors of such recurrence in a population-based series of people with first-ever stroke in Perth, Western Australia., Methods: Between February 1989 and August 1990, all people with a suspected acute stroke or transient ischemic attack of the brain who were resident in a geographically defined region of Perth, Western Australia, with a population of 138 708 people, were registered prospectively and assessed according to standardized diagnostic criteria. Patients were followed up prospectively at 4 months, 12 months, and 5 years after the index event., Results: Three hundred seventy patients with a first-ever stroke were registered, of whom 351 survived >2 days. Data were available for 98% of the cohort at 5 years, by which time 199 patients (58%) had died and 52 (15%) had experienced a recurrent stroke, 12 (23%) of which were fatal within 28 days. The 5-year cumulative risk of first recurrent stroke was 22.5% (95% confidence limits [CL], 16.8%, 28.1%). The risk of recurrent stroke was greatest in the first 6 months after stroke, at 8.8% (95% CL, 5.4%, 12.1%). After adjustment for age and sex, the prognostic factors for recurrent stroke were advanced, but not extreme, age (75 to 84 years) (hazard ratio [HR], 2.6; 95% CL, 1.1, 6.2), hemorrhagic index stroke (HR, 2.1; 95% CL, 0.98, 4.4), and diabetes mellitus (HR, 2.1; 95% CL, 0.95, 4.4)., Conclusions: Approximately 1 in 6 survivors (15%) of a first-ever stroke experience a recurrent stroke over the next 5 years, of which 25% are fatal within 28 days. The pathological subtype of the recurrent stroke is the same as that of the index stroke in 88% of cases. The predictors of first recurrent stroke in this study were advanced age, hemorrhagic index stroke, and diabetes mellitus, but numbers of recurrent events were modest. Because the risk of recurrent stroke is highest (8.8%) in the first 6 months after stroke, strategies for secondary prevention should be initiated as soon as possible after the index event.

The validity of a clinical classification system was assessed for subtypes of cerebral infarction for use in clinical trials of putative stroke therapies and clinical decision making in a population based stroke register (n = 536) compiled in Perth, Western Australia in 1989-90. The Perth Community Stroke Project (PCSS) used definitions and methodology similar to the Oxfordshire Community Stroke Project (OCSP) where the classification system was developed. In the PCSS, 421 cases of cerebral infarction and primary intracerebral haemorrhage (PICH), confirmed by brain imaging or necropsy, were classified into the subtypes total anterior circulation syndrome (TACS), partial anterior circulation syndrome (PACS), lacunar syndrome (LACS), and posterior circulation syndrome (POCS). In this relatively unselected population, relying exclusively on LACS for a diagnosis of PICH had a very low sensitivity (6%) and positive predictive value (3%). Comparison of the frequencies and outcomes (at one year after the onset of symptoms) for each subgroup of first ever cerebral infarction in the PCSS (n = 248) with the OCSP (n = 543) registers showed uniformity only for LACI. For example, there were 27% of cases of TACI in the PCSS compared with 17% in the OCSP (difference = 10%; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 4% to 16%) and 15% of cases in the PCSS compared with 24% in the OCSP were POCI (difference = 9%; 95% CI 3% to 15%). Case fatalities and long-term handicap across the subgroups were not significantly different between studies, but the frequencies of recurrent stroke were significantly greater for POCI in the OCSP compared with the PCSS. Although this classification system defines subtypes of stroke with different outcomes, simple clinical measures-level of consciousness, paresis, disability, and incontinence at onset-are more powerful predictors of death or dependency at one year. It is concluded that simple clinical measures that reflect the severity of the neurological deficit should complement this classification system in clinical trials and practice.

Background and Purpose: Few studies have evaluated the factors influencing or predicting long-term survival after stroke in an unselected series of patients in whom the underlying cerebrovascular pathology is clearly defined. Moreover, the relative importance of risk factors for stroke, including sociodemographic and premorbid variables, has not been described in detail., Methods: The study cohort consisted of 492 patients with stroke who were registered with a population-based study of acute cerebrovascular disease undertaken in Perth, Western Australia, during an 18-month period in 1989 and 1990. Objective evidence of the pathological basis of the stroke was obtained in 86% of cases, and all deaths among patients during a follow-up of 1 year were reviewed., Results: One hundred twenty patients (24%) died within 28 days of the onset of stroke. Among the different subtypes of stroke, the 1-year case fatality (mean, 38%) varied from 6% and 16% for boundary zone infarction and lacunar infarction, respectively, to 42% and 46% for subarachnoid hemorrhage and primary intracerebral hemorrhage, respectively. Using Cox proportional-hazards analysis, a predictive model was developed on 321 patients with acute stroke (test sample). The best model contained five baseline variables that were independent predictors of death within 1 year: coma (relative risk [RR], 3.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 to 8.4), urinary incontinence (RR, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.4 to 10.6), cardiac failure (RR, 6.5; 95% CI, 2.8 to 15.1), severe paresis (RR, 4.9; 95% CI, 1.6 to 15.5), and atrial fibrillation (RR, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.5). The sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value of this model for predicting death were 90%, 83%, and 95%, respectively. When applied to a second randomly selected validation sample of 171 events, sensitivity was 94%, specificity 62%, and negative predictive value 92%, indicating stability of the model., Conclusions: Although the case fatality, timing, and cause of death vary considerably among the different pathological subtypes of stroke, simple clinical measures that reflect the severity of the neurological deficit and associated cardiac disease at onset independently predict death by 1 year and may help to direct management.

In a population based register of stroke (n = 536) compiled in Perth, Western Australia during an 18 month period in 1989-90, 60 cases (11%) of primary intracerebral haemorrhage were identified among 56 persons (52% men). The mean age of these patients was 68 (range 23-93) and 46 (77%) events were first ever strokes. The crude annual incidence was 35 per 100,000, with a peak in the eighth decade, and a male predominance. Deep and lobar haemorrhages each accounted for almost one third of all cases. The clinical presentations included sudden coma (12%), headache (8%), seizures (8%), and pure sensory-motor stroke (3%). Primary intracerebral haemorrhage was the first presentation of leukaemia in two cases (both fatal) and it followed an alcoholic binge in four cases. 55% had a history of hypertension. 16 (27%) patients, half of whom had a history of hypertension, were taking antiplatelet agents, and one patient was taking warfarin. There were only two confirmed cases of amyloid angiopathy. The overall 28 day case fatality was 35%, but this varied from 100% for haemorrhages in the brainstem to 22% for those in the basal ganglionic or thalamic region. Other predictors of early death were intraventricular extension of blood, volume of haematoma, mass effect, and coma and severe paresis at onset. Although based on small numbers, these data confirm the heterogeneous nature of primary intracerebral haemorrhage, but they also suggest a different clinical spectrum of this type of stroke in the community compared with the experience of specialist neurological units.

Background and Purpose: Population-based studies are crucial for identifying explanations for the decline in mortality from stroke and for generating strategies for public health policy. However, the present particular methodological difficulties, and comparability between them is generally poor. In this article we compare the incidence and case fatality of stroke as assessed by two independent well-designed incidence studies., Methods: Two registers of acute cerebrovascular events were compiled in the geographically defined metropolitan areas of Auckland, New Zealand (population 945,369), during 1991-1992 for 12 months and Perth, Australia (population 138,708), during 1989-1990 for 18 months. The protocols for each register included prospective ascertainment of cases using multiple overlapping sources and the application of standardized definitions and criteria for stroke and case fatality., Results: In Auckland, 1803 events occurred in 1761 residents, 73% of which were first-ever strokes. The corresponding figures for Perth were 536 events in 492 residents, 69% of which were first-ever strokes. Both studies identified a substantial proportion of nonfatal strokes managed solely outside the hospital system: 28% in Auckland and 22% in Perth of all patients registered. The age-standardized annual incidence of stroke (all events) was 27% higher among men in Perth compared with Auckland (odds ratio, 1.27; P = .016); women tended to have higher rates in Auckland, although these differences were not statistically significant. In both centers approximately a quarter of all patients died within the first month after a stroke. There were significant differences in the prevalence of hypertension among first-ever strokes., Conclusions: These two studies emphasize the importance of identifying all patients with stroke, both hospitalized and nonhospitalized, in order to measure the incidence of stroke accurately. The incidence and case fatality of stroke were remarkably similar in Auckland and Perth in the early 1990s. However, there are differences in the sex-specific rates that correspond to differences in the pattern of risk factors.

Background and Purpose: We sought to examine risk factors for all strokes and for ischemic stroke and primary intracerebral hemorrhage separately., Methods: This was a population-based case-control study. Each case subject meeting World Health Organization criteria for stroke (n = 536) from a population-based register of acute cerebrovascular events compiled in Perth, Western Australia, in 1989 to 1990 was matched for age and sex with up to five control subjects drawn from the same geographical area. Objective confirmation of the type of stroke was available from computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, or necropsy for 86% of the case subjects. Data on medical history and lifestyle factors were collected from case and control subjects by interview of the subject or a proxy informant., Results: Current smoking, consumption of meat more than four times weekly, and a history of hypertension or intermittent claudication were each associated with increased risk in multivariate models for all strokes and for all first-ever strokes. Consumption of 1 to 20 g/d alcohol in the preceding week was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of all strokes, all ischemic strokes, and of primary intracerebral hemorrhage, while eating fish more than two times per month appeared to protect against first-ever stroke and against primary intracerebral hemorrhage. Diabetes mellitus was associated with a significantly increased risk of ischemic stroke but a decreased risk of hemorrhagic stroke., Conclusions: Risk factors for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke are not exactly the same. Changes in lifestyle relating to tobacco and diet might make important contributions to further reductions in the incidence of stroke.

There is a definite relationship between the vascular type of benign sexual headache and benign exertional headache. Forty five patients with benign vascular sexual headache were reviewed. Twenty seven (60%) experienced benign vascular sexual headache alone and eighteen (40%) had experienced both benign vascular sexual headache and benign exertional headache on at least one occasion. The mean age was 34.3 years with a male:female ratio of 5.4:1. Thirty patients with a history of benign vascular sexual headache were followed for an average of 74 months. A personal history of migraine was found in 47% of cases and a family history of migraine in 30%. Forty one per cent of patients with benign vascular sexual headache alone had recurrences after diagnosis, and stress and fatigue were considered major contributing factors to the initial and recurrent headache. Nine patients had experienced benign vascular sexual headache and benign exertional headache within 72 hours of each other on at least one occasion, often with a residual headache between the two. Four patients experienced their benign vascular sexual headache and benign exertional headache separated by months to years. The prognosis of benign vascular sexual headache and the clinical and possible pathophysiological relationships between benign vascular sexual headache and benign exertional headache are discussed. Knowledge of the interrelationships of these varieties of headache is valuable in the counselling of patients.

Mortality statistics provided a valuable source of support for data obtained from prevalence surveys of multiple sclerosis in Australia. Firstly, multiple sclerosis mortality data for the decade 1971-80 in the States of Australia confirmed the relationship between increasing disease frequency and increasing south latitude shown by State and regional point prevalence surveys based on the national census day 30 June 1981. Secondly, a comparison with mortality data from the decade 1950-59 showed that in most States there had been a substantial fall in multiple sclerosis mortality in the more recent decade and this was clearly an important contributing factor to the rise in prevalence noted between the morbidity surveys of 1961 and 1981. Thirdly, multiple sclerosis mortality in the UK-born migrant population dying in Australia was found to be similar to that of the Australian-born population and very much lower than that found in the UK. This observation corroborated evidence from the 1981 morbidity surveys and suggested that migration from the UK to Australia may lower the risk of developing multiple sclerosis either through a reduction in disease incidence or the operation of environmental factors curbing disease expression.

The clinical manifestations of thalamic hemorrhage frequently comprise hemiparesis, hemianesthesia, and oculomotor abnormalities. Since the advent of computed tomography, an amnestic syndrome following thalamic hemorrhage has been recognized, but the thalamic structures involved and the mechanism of amnesia have remained uncertain. We report a patient with sudden memory dysfunction following hemorrhage into the anterior nucleus of the left thalamus that was shown neuropathologically to disrupt the mamillothalamic fasciculus, one of the principal components of the limbic system. It is considered that the amnestic syndrome following thalamic (anterior nucleus) hemorrhage is due to interruption of the mamillothalamic fasciculus.

A retrospective survey of 100 patients dying from carcinoma of the lung showed that neurological presentation and central nervous system metastases are more frequently present when the primary carcinoma is situated in the peripheral lung tissue (including lung apex). The high incidence of cases presenting neurologically and the high incidence of single secondary deposits involving the central nervous system from peripheral or apical growths suggest a difference in the mode of spread or other properties of such growths compared with the more common central carcinoma.

It has been claimed that the inhibiting effect of linoleic acid on the macrophage electrophoretic mobility test provides a specific laboratory method for the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (M.S.) and may also enable susceptible relatives of M.S. patients to be identified. Three trials of the method under double-blind conditions have failed to confirm that the test is diagnostically useful.