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The study of the financial repercussions of low-carbon policy has focused mainly on stocks, leaving bonds out of the picture. The objective of this paper is to assess the impact of low-carbon policy upon European bond returns. This is done by extending the Fama and French two factor model for bonds with an EU-ETS participation factor: GMC (Green minus Carbon). This paper makes four contributions. Firstly, it provides a statistically highly significant measure of the sensitivity of bond portfolio returns to the GMC factor. Secondly, it shows the presence of a green premium in the European bond market in between 2008 and 2018. Thirdly, evidence is found that the addition of an environmental factor improves the performance of the original model. Fourthly, the carbon stress test put forward is able to indicate the effects of a plausible but more severe average EU-ETS carbon price on bond returns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, the green bond market has seen significant growth as a means of financing environmentally-friendly projects. While much research has focused on pricing, limited attention has been given to green bond investors. This paper analyzes the preferences of different investor groups for green bonds and introduces the term "green bond preferred habitat". Conceptually, green bond preferred habitat investors hold green bonds disproportionally and display lower price elasticity than other investors. This study combines information from 2693 unique green bonds with confidential bond-level portfolio holdings data from the ECB over the period 2016-Q4 to 2022-Q4, covering more than 12 million observations. The results demonstrate that European investors, particularly mutual funds and pension funds, show a high demand for green bonds. In contrast, insurance corporations tend to avoid green bonds. Our findings show that the demand for green bonds among mutual funds and pension funds is price inelastic, while banks and insurance corporations display an elastic demand. These findings are robust for potential endogeneity concerns when we apply matching techniques, are stronger for domestic green bonds, and also apply to sustainability-linked bonds. These results on the divergence in investor demand are important for green bond issuers because firms and governments issue green bonds to cater certain investors willing to sacrifice returns. One theoretical implication is that if green bond preferred habitat is sufficiently strong, it creates a price wedge due to their high demand for green bonds which explains the existence of a greenium. • Green bond markets have grown significantly in recent years, expanding to over two trillion euros in market size by the end of 2022. While the market has expanded, relatively little is known about who holds green bonds. • Using granular bond-level data from the ECB securities holdings statistics (SHS-S) we aim to fill this gap by showing that European investors invest 3.7% of their bond portfolio in green bonds, while green bonds represent only 1.5% of the total bonds outstanding value. • In particular, we show that mutual funds and pension funds invest disproportionally in green bonds and that their holdings are very price insensitive, which fits into our proposed theoretical framework of "green bond preferred habitat". By contrast and surprisingly, European insurance corporations shun green bonds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Green bonds have increasingly been utilized around the world as a source of financing for renewable energy development, designed with compliance requirements and measurable economic returns to investors, while mitigating climate change. However, the efficacy of green bond arranged in the emerging economies for financing renewable energy assets and how the underlying risks are managed have remained to be explored. The paper aims to examine the evolving green financial system sponsored by both public and private institutions in managing such risks within China's emerging economy. A case study of green financing for a bundle of wind power assets led by a state-owned enterprise (SOE) reveals an alternative approach by structuring public–private collaboration while stipulating market-based financial incentives to institutional stakeholders under a political economy. This institutional consortium is composed of a state development bank, a commercial bank, credit rating agencies, institutional and private investors, regional power purchasers, and carbon trading entities. Financial stakeholders' risk in such emerging sustainable investment is moderated by these participating institutions and structured "upsides" from carbon trading aligned with the framework of green finance and standards for green bond development. The results reveal the potentials of scaling up the development of renewable energy by adequately managing and sharing key risks, while allocating substantial funding into renewable energy projects under such a green financial system that is to be complementary with a scalable post COVID-19 economic recovery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]