684 results
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2. Raising the profile of epidemiological research: discussion paper.
- Author
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Roth CA and Lenfant C
- Subjects
- Humans, National Institutes of Health (U.S.), Peer Review, Research Support as Topic, United States, Epidemiology, Research
- Published
- 1989
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Thirty Years Later: AIDS Experts Reflect on Efforts to Eradicate the Disease, Create Awareness about How It Is Transmitted
- Author
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Hawkins, B. Denise
- Abstract
Even on paper three decades ago, HIV, the virus that causes AIDS, invoked fear and loathing. Despite increased public awareness and billions spent in search of a cure, the disease still generates fear today. As the disease has morphed into a global pandemic that is still without a cure, Black America battles the highest rate of new HIV infections and new AIDS diagnoses compared to any other racial group. Even in the early days of the disease in the United States--first largely identified as a disease of gay White men--Blacks constituted a disproportionate number of new AIDS cases reported between 1981 and 1983. By the late 1980s, Blacks led Whites in the number of new HIV infections. By 2006, Blacks were 7.3 times more likely than Whites to be infected, according to the Black AIDS Institute. "Diverse" shares conversations and reflections from some HBCU stakeholders working on the front line of HIV/AIDS, both in the classroom and in the community. This article presents the views of AIDS experts who reflect on efforts to eradicate the disease and create awareness about how it is transmitted.
- Published
- 2011
4. Kratom safety and toxicology in the public health context: research needs to better inform regulation.
- Author
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Henningfield, Jack E., Grundmann, Oliver, Huestis, Marilyn A., and Smith, Kirsten E.
- Subjects
KRATOM ,PUBLIC safety ,SEX addiction - Abstract
Although kratom use has been part of life for centuries in Southeast Asia, the availability and use of kratom in the United States (US) increased substantially since the early 2000s when there was little information on kratom pharmacology, use patterns, and effects, all critical to guiding regulation and policy. Here we provide a synthesis of research with several hundred English-language papers published in the past 5 years drawing from basic research, epidemiological and surveillance data, and recent clinical research. This review of available literature aims to provide an integrated update regarding our current understanding of kratom's benefits, risks, pharmacology, and epidemiology, which may inform United States-based kratom regulation. Recent surveillance indicates there are likely several million past-year kratom consumers, though estimates vary widely. Even without precise prevalence data, kratom use is no longer a niche, with millions of United States adults using it for myriad reasons. Despite its botanical origins in the coffee tree family and its polypharmacy, kratom is popularly characterized as an opioid with presumed opioid-system-based risks for addiction or overdose. Neuropharmacology, toxicology, and epidemiology studies show that kratom is more accurately characterized as a substance with diverse and complex pharmacology. Taken together the work reviewed here provides a foundation for future scientific studies, as well as a guide for ongoing efforts to regulate kratom. This work also informs much-needed federal oversight, including by the United States Food and Drug Administration. We conclude with recommendations for kratom regulation and research priorities needed to address current policy and knowledge gaps around this increasingly used botanical product. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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5. The Limitations of a Hypothetical All-Variant COVID-19 Vaccine: A Simulation Study.
- Author
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Kosinski, Robert J.
- Subjects
COVID-19 vaccines ,SARS-CoV-2 ,VACCINE hesitancy ,VACCINE trials ,VACCINATION - Abstract
This paper simulates a hypothetical pan-coronavirus vaccine that confers immediate sterilizing immunity against all SARS-CoV-2 variants. Simulations used a SEIIS (susceptible, exposed, infective, immune, susceptible) spreadsheet model that ran two parallel subpopulations: one that accepted vaccination and another that refused it. The two subpopulations could transmit infections to one another. Using data from the United States (US), the simulated vaccine was tested against limiting factors such as vaccine hesitancy, slow vaccination distribution, and the development of high-transmission variants. The vaccine was often successful at reducing cases, but high-transmission variants and discontinuation of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as masking greatly elevated cases. A puzzling outcome was that if NPIs were discontinued and high-transmission variants became common, the model predicted consistently higher rates of disease than are actually observed in the US in 2024. However, if cumulative exposure to virus antigens increased the duration of immunity or decreased the infectivity of the virus, the model predictions were brought back into a more realistic range. The major finding was that even when a COVID-19 vaccine always produces sterilizing immunity against every SARS-CoV-2 variant, its ability to control the epidemic can be compromised by multiple common conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. High-Dimensional Contact Network Epidemiology.
- Author
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Ackerman, Andrew, Martin, Briquelle, Tanisha, Martin, Edoh, Kossi, and Ward, John Paul
- Subjects
INFLUENZA pandemic, 1918-1919 ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,INFECTIOUS disease transmission ,AIR travel ,CITIES & towns - Abstract
Contact network models are recent alternatives to equation-based models in epidemiology. In this paper, the spread of disease is modeled on contact networks using bond percolation. The weight of the edges in the contact graphs is determined as a function of several variables in which case the weight is the product of the probabilities of independent events involving each of the variables. In the first experiment, the weight of the edges is computed from a single variable involving the number of passengers on flights between two cities within the United States, and in the second experiment, the weight of the edges is computed as a function of several variables using data from 2012 Kenyan household contact networks. In addition, the paper explored the dynamics and adaptive nature of contact networks. The results from the contact network model outperform the equation-based model in estimating the spread of the 1918 Influenza virus. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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7. Qualitative Epidemiologic Methods Can Improve Local Prevention Programming among Adolescents
- Author
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Daniulaityte, Raminta, Siegal, Harvey A., Carlson, Robert G., Kenne, Deric R., Starr, Sanford, and DeCamp, Brad
- Abstract
The Ohio Substance Abuse Monitoring Network (OSAM) is designed to provide accurate, timely, qualitatively-oriented epidemiologic descriptions of substance abuse trends and emerging problems in the state's major urban and rural areas. Use of qualitative methods in identifying and assessing substance abuse practices in local communities is one of the main assets of OSAM Network. Qualitative methods are sensitive to local contextual variability, flexible enough to capture emergent trends, and can be implemented with limited financial resources. This paper describes how qualitative epidemiologic methods, like those used by the OSAM Network, could be applied to inform substance abuse prevention activities, particularly those directed at adolescents.
- Published
- 2004
8. The prevalence of HIV infection among blood donors: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
- Author
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Kasraian, Leila, Hosseini, Sahar, Ebrahimi, Alireza, Bhimani, Rohan, and Ashkani-Esfahani, Soheil
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HIV infection risk factors ,HIV infection epidemiology ,PATIENTS ,TRANSPLANTATION of organs, tissues, etc. ,HEALTH status indicators ,DISEASE prevalence ,META-analysis ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,SYSTEMATIC reviews ,MEDLINE ,SEARCH engines ,ONLINE information services ,DATA analysis software ,AIDS - Abstract
Blood recipients, particularly frequent receivers, are at high-risk of receiving human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and no current serologic tests eliminate this transmission risk. The current paper aimed to provide an updated comprehensive report on the prevalence of HIV infection among blood donors in different parts of the world. HIV infection prevalence in blood donors was determined based on electronically published data through a systematic review of literature in international databases until February 2020. Studies published in Farsi and English reporting the prevalence of HIV were included. Meta-analysis was performed, and final results were classified according to World Health Organization (WHO) divisions of the world. Out of 1,859 articles, 241 met the inclusion criteria. The prevalence of HIV was higher in first-time donors, males, and replacement therapy receivers. The pooled prevalence was 502.74 in 100,000. AFRO with 2,384.99 and Europe with 19.04 in 100,000 had the highest and the lowest rates, respectively. Gabon represented the highest rate of 20,623, while the USA showed the lowest rate, i.e., 4.33, among the countries. Updated reports on the prevalence of HIV among blood donors help policy-makers and care providers realize the possible need for improving the screening, diagnostics, and treatment protocols. Although the prevalence has decreased in many parts of the world, improving the current protocols is still necessary to minimize the risks in transfusion systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Origins of the AIDS viruses, HIV-1 and HIV-2: fact or fiction? Discussion paper.
- Author
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Seale, John
- Subjects
AIDS ,HIV ,EPIDEMICS ,EPIDEMIOLOGY - Abstract
The article discusses the controversy regarding the origins of the AIDS viruses, HIV-1 and HIV-2. According to some theories and explanation, HIV-1 and HIV-2 are ancient human viruses originated in central and west Africa which spread throughout Europe. In addition, it is plausible that AIDS epidemic started through a hostile power in 1970 in the U.S.
- Published
- 1988
- Full Text
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10. Nonfatal Injuries Sustained in Mass Shootings in the US, 2012- 2019: Injury Diagnosis Matrix, Incident Context, and Public Health Considerations.
- Author
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Czaja, Matthew P., Kraus, Chadd K., Phyo, Su, Olivieri, Patrick, Mederos, Dalier R., Puente, Ivan, Mohammed, Salman, Berkeley, Ross P., Slattery, David, Gildea, Thomas H., Hardman, Claire, and Palmer, Brandi
- Subjects
TRAUMATOLOGY diagnosis ,DISASTERS ,SHOOTINGS (Crime) ,PUBLIC health ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,DISEASES ,WEAPONS ,CRIME ,SEVERITY of illness index ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,MASS casualties ,WOUNDS & injuries ,ELECTRONIC health records ,EMERGENCY medicine - Abstract
Introduction: The epidemic of gun violence in the United States (US) is exacerbated by frequent mass shootings. In 2021, there were 698 mass shootings in the US, resulting in 705 deaths and 2,830 injuries. This is a companion paper to a publication in JAMA Network Open, in which the nonfatal outcomes of victims of mass shootings have been only partially described. Methods: We gathered clinical and logistic information from 31 hospitals in the US about 403 survivors of 13 mass shootings, each event involving greater than 10 injuries, from 2012-19. Local champions in emergency medicine and trauma surgery provided clinical data from electronic health records within 24 hours of a mass shooting. We organized descriptive statistics of individual-level diagnoses recorded in medical records using International Classification of Diseases codes, according to the Barell Injury Diagnosis Matrix (BIDM), a standardized tool that classifies 12 types of injuries within 36 body regions. Results: Of the 403 patients who were evaluated at a hospital, 364 sustained physical injuries—252 by gunshot wound (GSW) and 112 by non-ballistic trauma—and 39 were uninjured. Fifty patients had 75 psychiatric diagnoses. Nearly 10% of victims came to the hospital for symptoms triggered by, but not directly related to, the shooting, or for exacerbations of underlying conditions. There were 362 gunshot wounds recorded in the Barell Matrix (1.44 per patient). The Emergency Severity Index (ESI) distribution was skewed toward higher acuity than typical for an emergency department (ED), with 15.1% ESI 1 and 17.6% ESI 2 patients. Semi-automatic firearms were used in 100% of these civilian public mass shootings, with 50 total weapons for 13 shootings (Route 91 Harvest Festival, Las Vegas. 24). Assailant motivations were reported to be associated with hate crimes in 23.1%. Conclusion: Survivors of mass shootings have substantial morbidity and characteristic injury distribution, but 37% of victims had no GSW. Law enforcement, emergency medical systems, and hospital and ED disaster planners can use this information for injury mitigation and public policy planning. The BIDM is useful to organize data regarding gun violence injuries. We call for additional research funding to prevent and mitigate interpersonal firearm injuries, and for the National Violent Death Reporting System to expand tracking of injuries, their sequelae, complications, and societal costs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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11. Prevalence of gestational diabetes in the United States and Canada: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
- Author
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Eades, Claire E., Burrows, Katherine A., Andreeva, Roza, Stansfield, Daniel R., and Evans, Josie MM.
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GESTATIONAL diabetes ,RANDOM effects model ,PREGNANT women ,MEDICAL screening - Abstract
Background: An understanding of the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus among pregnant women is essential at local, national and international level so that appropriate health care interventions can be planned, financed and delivered. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis of primary research reporting the prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in Canada or the United States were carried out according to Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines. Four electronic databases were systematically searched in June 2023 to identify articles that reported gestational diabetes mellitus prevalence using universal screening in pregnant women from eligible general population samples. Estimates were combined using a random effects model, and the effects of moderator variables analysed. Results: There were 36 separate samples of women or deliveries (total sample size 1,550,917). Overall mean prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus was 6.9% (95% CI: 5.7–8.3); 13.7% (95% CI: 10.7–17.3) in studies using a one-step screening strategy, and 5.2% (95% CI: 4.4–6.1) in those using a two-step strategy. Heterogeneity in technical methods between studies produced differences in estimates, as did different diagnostic thresholds used. Conclusions: The meta-analysis suggests a slightly higher prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus in Canada and the United States, compared to Europe, but highlights the need for standardised protocols for estimating gestational diabetes mellitus prevalence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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12. Defending legitimate epidemiologic research: combating Lysenkopseudoscience.
- Author
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Enstrom, James E.
- Subjects
EPIDEMIOLOGY ,PSEUDOSCIENCE ,SMOKING ,MORTALITY ,PUBLIC health - Abstract
This analysis presents a detailed defense of my epidemiologic research in the May 17, 2003 British Medical Journal that found no significant relationship between environmental tobacco smoke (ETS) and tobacco-related mortality. In order to defend the honesty and scientific integrity of my research, I have identified and addressed in a detailed manner several unethical and erroneous attacks on this research. Specifically, I have demonstrated that this research is not "fatally flawed," that I have not made "inappropriate use" of the underlying database, and that my findings agree with other United States results on this relationship. My research suggests, contrary to popular claims, that there is not a causal relationship between ETS and mortality in the U.S. responsible for 50,000 excess annual deaths, but rather there is a weak and inconsistent relationship. The popular claims tend to damage the credibility of epidemiology. In addition, I address the omission of my research from the 2006 Surgeon General's Report on Involuntary Smoking and the inclusion of it in a massive U.S. Department of Justice racketeering lawsuit. I refute erroneous statements made by powerful U.S. epidemiologists and activists about me and my research and I defend the funding used to conduct this research. Finally, I compare many aspect of ETS epidemiology in the U.S. with pseudoscience in the Soviet Union during the period of Trofim Denisovich Lysenko. Overall, this paper is intended to defend legitimate research against illegitimate criticism by those who have attempted to suppress and discredit it because it does not support their ideological and political agendas. Hopefully, this defense will help other scientists defend their legitimate research and combat "Lysenko pseudoscience." [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
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13. Injury Prevention in Female Athletes: Defining the Boundaries of Scientific Literature.
- Author
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Sheikhhoseini, Rahman
- Subjects
SPORTS injury prevention ,BIBLIOGRAPHIC databases ,CONTENT analysis ,HEALTH ,DEVELOPED countries ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,CITATION analysis ,BIBLIOMETRICS ,MEDICAL research ,COMPARATIVE studies ,DATA analysis software ,SPORTS sciences - Abstract
Purpose: This study aims to perform a bibliometric analysis centered on recent advancements in injury prevention for female athletes. Methods: The study employed Excel, VOSviewer, and the bibliometric R-package tools to analyze and evaluate relevant records obtained from the Web of Science (WOS) database, using a reliable search methodology. Results: From the WOS database, a collection of 10 560 scientific records was acquired using specific keywords, covering the period between 2010 and 2023. These records were subjected to content analysis, revealing the prevalent themes in this research area. Noteworthy topics included risk, risk factors, prevention, women, exercise, physical activity, epidemiology, injuries, performance, injury, strength, and health. The investigation also indicated that the journals "American journal of sports medicine" and "journal of athletic training" demonstrated the highest level of activity in this field. Regarding research productivity, developed countries, such as the United States and Canada stood out as the most prolific contributors. Moreover, the study recognized Gregory D Myer as the most active author in this area. Conclusion: The convergence of injury prevention in female athletes continues to be a subject of significant research attention. This study highlights that the bulk of the literature on this subject originates from researchers in developed countries. However, it is crucial to recognize that a substantial segment of the global population, particularly in developing nations, lacks sufficient representation in research related to early life psychology concerning exercise and physical activity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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14. AIDS Researcher Gives Retrospective
- Author
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Hawkins, B. Denise
- Abstract
Nearly 30 years ago, renowned immunologist James E.K. Hildreth, M.D., Ph.D., was compelled to start researching the virus that causes AIDS. He marveled at its enigma and was pressed into action by its ability to cut lives short and devastate communities. The disease set him on a course of medical inquiry that has included biomedical breakthroughs in understanding its transmission. In this conversation, Dr. Hildreth discusses his latest move to UC Davis, his tenure at Meharry Medical College, why he's frightened for Black women and what makes him hopeful about HIV/AIDS 30 years after the first AIDS cases were reported in the United States.
- Published
- 2011
15. Conceptualizing, Contextualizing, and Operationalizing Race in Quantitative Health Sciences Research.
- Author
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Lett, Elle, Asabor, Emmanuella, Beltrán, Sourik, Cannon, Ashley Michelle, and Arah, Onyebuchi A.
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INSTITUTIONAL racism ,PUBLIC health research ,RACIAL inequality ,HEALTH equity ,RACE identity - Abstract
Differences in health outcomes across racial groups are among the most commonly reported findings in health disparities research. Often, these studies do not explicitly connect observed disparities to mechanisms of systemic racism that drive adverse health outcomes among racialized and other marginalized groups in the United States. Without this connection, investigators inadvertently support harmful narratives of biologic essentialism or cultural inferiority that pathologize racial identities and inhibit health equity. This paper outlines pitfalls in the conceptualization, contextualization, and operationalization of race in quantitative population health research and provides recommendations on how to appropriately engage in scientific inquiry aimed at understanding racial health inequities. Race should not be used as a measure of biologic difference, but rather as a proxy for exposure to systemic racism. Future studies should go beyond this proxy use and directly measure racism and its health impacts.VISUAL ABSTRACTAppeared as Annals "Online First" article. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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16. Optimizing Buccal Cell DNA Yields in Mothers and Infants for Human Leukocyte Antigen Genotyping.
- Author
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Saftlas, Audrey F., Waldschmidt, Marianella, Logsden-Sackett, Nyla, Triche, Elizabeth, and Field, Elizabeth
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DIAGNOSTIC specimens ,DNA ,HLA histocompatibility antigens ,INFANT physiology ,EPIDEMIOLOGY - Abstract
Buccal cells provide a convenient source of DNA for epidemiologic studies. Mouthwash rinses yield a higher quality and quantity of DNA than cytobrushes but are not practical for collection from infants. Although cytobrushes yield sufficient DNA for most genotyping analyses, human leukocyte antigen (HLA) analysis can require 1,000-fold more DNA. In Iowa City, Iowa, in 2002, the authors tested two cytobrush collection methods to optimize total DNA yield and purity for HLA genotyping in mothers and infants: 1) brushing the left and right inner cheeks (standard method) and 2) brushing the upper and lower “gutters”, that is, the space between the gums and the inner lips/cheeks along the front and sides of the mouth (test method). Storage and mailing experiments were performed to define conditions for optimizing DNA yield and purity. Mothers’ gutter samples yielded significantly higher total amounts of DNA (mean yield = 15.0 µg/two brushes) than cheek samples (mean yield = 7.6 µg/two brushes) (paired t test: p < 0.001), while DNA yields from cheek and gutter collections from infants were equivalent. Cytobrushes stored and/or mailed in paper envelopes yielded significantly more and higher-purity DNA than brushes in plastic bags or tubes. Cytobrush sampling of the mouth’s gutter areas can enhance DNA yield in mothers but not in young infants. DNA yields can be further optimized by controlling mailing and storage conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
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17. International population-based health surveys linked to outcome data: A new resource for public health and epidemiology.
- Author
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Fisher S, Bennett C, Hennessy D, Robertson T, Leyland A, Taljaard M, Sanmartin C, Jha P, Frank J, Tu JV, Rosella LC, Wang J, Tait C, and Manuel DG
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Alcohol Drinking, Canada, Diet, Female, Health Behavior, Humans, Male, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Middle Aged, Population Surveillance, Scotland, United States, Young Adult, Epidemiology, Exercise, Health Surveys, Population Health, Public Health, Smoking
- Abstract
Background: National health surveys linked to vital statistics and health care information provide a growing source of individual-level population health data. Pooling linked surveys across jurisdictions would create comprehensive datasets that are larger than most existing cohort studies, and that have a unique international and population perspective. This paper's objectives are to examine the feasibility of pooling linked population health surveys from three countries, facilitate the examination of health behaviours, and present useful information to assist in the planning of international population health surveillance and research studies., Data and Methods: The design, methodologies and content of the Canadian Community Health Survey (2003 to 2008), the United States National Health Interview Survey (2000, 2005) and the Scottish Health Survey (SHeS) (2003, 2008 to 2010) were examined for comparability and consistency. The feasibility of creating common variables for measuring smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity and diet was assessed. Sample size and estimated mortality events were collected., Results: The surveys have comparable purposes, designs, sampling and administration methodologies, target populations, exclusions, and content. Similar health behaviour questions allow for comparable variables to be created across the surveys. However, the SHeS uses a more detailed risk factor evaluation for alcohol consumption and diet data. Therefore, comparisons of alcohol consumption and diet data between the SHeS and the other two surveys should be performed with caution. Pooling these linked surveys would create a dataset with over 350,000 participants, 28,424 deaths and over 2.4 million person-years of follow-up., Discussion: Pooling linked national population health surveys could improve population health research and surveillance. Innovative methodologies must be used to account for survey dissimilarities, and further discussion is needed on how to best access and analyze data across jurisdictions.
- Published
- 2020
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18. Fine-scale spatial clustering of measles nonvaccination that increases outbreak potential is obscured by aggregated reporting data.
- Author
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Masters, Nina B., Eisenberg, Marisa C., Delamater, Paul L., Kay, Matthew, Boulton, Matthew L., and Jon Zelner
- Subjects
MEASLES ,INFECTIOUS disease transmission ,MEASLES vaccines ,COVID-19 pandemic ,COMMUNICABLE diseases - Abstract
The United States experienced historically high numbers of measles cases in 2019, despite achieving national measles vaccination rates above the World Health Organization recommendation of 95% coverage with two doses. Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, resulting in suspension of many clinical preventive services, pediatric vaccination rates in the United States have fallen precipitously, dramatically increasing risk of measles resurgence. Previous research has shown that measles outbreaks in high-coverage contexts are driven by spatial clustering of nonvaccination, which decreases local immunity below the herd immunity threshold. However, little is known about how to best conduct surveillance and target interventions to detect and address these high-risk areas, and most vaccination data are reported at the statelevel-- a resolution too coarse to detect community-level clustering of nonvaccination characteristic of recent outbreaks. In this paper, we perform a series of computational experiments to assess the impact of clustered nonvaccination on outbreak potential and magnitude of bias in predicting disease risk posed by measuring vaccination rates at coarse spatial scales. We find that, when nonvaccination is locally clustered, reporting aggregate data at the state- or county-level can result in substantial underestimates of outbreak risk. The COVID-19 pandemic has shone a bright light on the weaknesses in US infectious disease surveillance and a broader gap in our understanding of how to best use detailed spatial data to interrupt and control infectious disease transmission. Our research clearly outlines that finer-scale vaccination data should be collected to prevent a return to endemic measles transmission in the United States. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. A framework for evaluating epidemic forecasts.
- Author
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Tabataba, Farzaneh Sadat, Chakraborty, Prithwish, Ramakrishnan, Naren, Venkatramanan, Srinivasan, Jiangzhuo Chen, Lewis, Bryan, Marathe, Madhav, and Chen, Jiangzhuo
- Subjects
EPIDEMIOLOGY ,FORECASTING ,PERFORMANCE evaluation ,DETERMINISTIC algorithms ,EPIDEMIOLOGICAL models ,INFLUENZA epidemiology ,AGE distribution ,ALGORITHMS ,EPIDEMICS ,MATHEMATICAL models ,RESEARCH funding ,STATISTICS ,THEORY - Abstract
Background: Over the past few decades, numerous forecasting methods have been proposed in the field of epidemic forecasting. Such methods can be classified into different categories such as deterministic vs. probabilistic, comparative methods vs. generative methods, and so on. In some of the more popular comparative methods, researchers compare observed epidemiological data from the early stages of an outbreak with the output of proposed models to forecast the future trend and prevalence of the pandemic. A significant problem in this area is the lack of standard well-defined evaluation measures to select the best algorithm among different ones, as well as for selecting the best possible configuration for a particular algorithm.Results: In this paper we present an evaluation framework which allows for combining different features, error measures, and ranking schema to evaluate forecasts. We describe the various epidemic features (Epi-features) included to characterize the output of forecasting methods and provide suitable error measures that could be used to evaluate the accuracy of the methods with respect to these Epi-features. We focus on long-term predictions rather than short-term forecasting and demonstrate the utility of the framework by evaluating six forecasting methods for predicting influenza in the United States. Our results demonstrate that different error measures lead to different rankings even for a single Epi-feature. Further, our experimental analyses show that no single method dominates the rest in predicting all Epi-features when evaluated across error measures. As an alternative, we provide various Consensus Ranking schema that summarize individual rankings, thus accounting for different error measures. Since each Epi-feature presents a different aspect of the epidemic, multiple methods need to be combined to provide a comprehensive forecast. Thus we call for a more nuanced approach while evaluating epidemic forecasts and we believe that a comprehensive evaluation framework, as presented in this paper, will add value to the computational epidemiology community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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20. Strategies for Using the National Death Index and the Social Security Administration for Death Ascertainment in Large Occupational Cohort Mortality Studies.
- Author
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Wojcik, Nancy C., Huebner, Wendy W., and Jorgensen, Gail
- Subjects
VITAL statistics ,SOCIAL security ,DEATH certificates ,EMPLOYEES ,EPIDEMIOLOGY - Abstract
This paper describes a multistage process to improve the completeness and time-/cost-effectiveness of ascertaining deaths in large employee cohorts. The process uses the vital status data service of the Social Security Administration (SSA) to identify people who can be confirmed as living, in order to reduce the number of records submitted for a National Death Index (NDI) search. The accuracy of SSA results is verified by submitting a sample of known-living and known-deceased people. For the NDI search results, an algorithm based on a discrete combination of matching variables is applied to distinguish NDI records as true, false, or questionable matches to reduce the number of death certificate requests to state offices. Subsequent decision making is based on manual reviews at various stages. In a cohort of over 200,000 employees, an SSA vital status search reduced the size of the NDI death record search by 85%. The algorithm sorted thousands of NDI records into 15 distinct strata and reduced the number of death certificate requests by 76%. The authors believe that the matching process is enhanced by obtaining paper copies of death certificates from the states, because death certificates often provide additional information and aid in determining true matches to company employees. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
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21. Population Thinking Instruction in High Schools: a Public Health Intervention with Triple Benefits.
- Author
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D'Agostino, Emily M. and Freudenberg, Nicholas
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COMMUNITY-school relationships ,HIGH school curriculum ,PUBLIC schools ,HIGH schools ,PUBLIC health ,PUBLIC health education ,VIOLENCE in the community - Abstract
America faces a series of intersecting problems that relate to health inequities, failing schools, and an inadequate science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) workforce, particularly in cities and among low-income Black and Latino youth. Here, we propose a solution, namely reforming secondary school education to include mandatory exposure to population thinking instruction to address these overlapping issues. Public health education has expanded in recent decades in undergraduate education, though it has yet to become an integral component of high school curricula. In this paper, we make the case that all youth should gain exposure to the skills of population thinking through public health education initiated in high school. We further provide a rationale for this approach drawn from multiple youth development frameworks and the community schools movement for honing youth critical thinking skills and problem solving relating to individual and community health, policy, and activism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Adult Hodgkin lymphoma incidence trends in the United States from 2000 to 2020.
- Author
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Aslani, Armin, Morsali, Soroush, Mousavi, Seyed Ehsan, Choupani, Samireh, Yekta, Zahra, and Nejadghaderi, Seyed Aria
- Subjects
ETHNICITY ,HODGKIN'S disease ,COVID-19 ,NOSOLOGY ,ADULTS ,AGE groups - Abstract
Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) is a rare malignancy affecting the lymphatic system. Our study examined the incidence rates of adult HL based on sex, race/ethnicity, age, and histological subgroups in the United States (US) from 2000 to 2020. Data for this study were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 22 database. HL patients were identified utilizing the International Classification of Diseases for Oncology version 3 and categorized as classical HL, lymphocyte-rich/mixed cell/lymphocyte depleted, nodular sclerosis, classical HL, not otherwise specified, and nodular lymphocyte-predominant HL. The study reported average annual percent change (AAPC). All estimates were presented as counts and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) per 100,000 individuals. Between 2000 and 2019, a total of 70,924 cases of HL were reported in the US. Classical HL was the predominant subtype (94.27%), and most incident cases were among non-Hispanic Whites (66.92%) and those aged 20–29 years (24.86%). The ASIR per 100,000 population was 3.83 for men and 2.92 for women. Both sexes showed declines in the AAPCs between 2000 and 2019 (− 0.64% [− 0.99, − 0.28] and − 0.40% [− 0.77, − 0.03] for men and women, respectively). There was a significant decrease in ASIRs after COVID-19 among both sexes (percent change: − 7.49% [− 11.58, − 3.40]). Throughout all age groups, men had a higher incidence rate compared to women, except for those aged 20–29 years. Although the overall HL incidence rate was lowered in the study period from 2000 to 2019, a dramatic decrease in ASIRs of HL patients following COVID-19 pandemic was observed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Epidemiology of American Football-Related Fractures in the United States 2002-2021.
- Author
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Ladehoff, Lauren C., Kuruvilla, Davis, Coughlin, Emily, Mhaskar, Rahul, and Remaley, D. Trey
- Subjects
PEARSON correlation (Statistics) ,SPORTS injuries ,CHI-squared test ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,AGE distribution ,SEVERITY of illness index ,FOOTBALL injuries ,BONE fractures ,RESEARCH methodology ,ANALYSIS of variance ,ATHLETIC ability ,DATA analysis software ,WELL-being ,EPIDEMIOLOGICAL research - Abstract
Background: American football is the most popular sport in the United States, with over 5.6 million people >6 years old playing the sport. Fractures in American football athletes are significant, as they compromise an athlete's performance and can also lead to prolonged recovery periods, affecting team dynamics and player careers. Analyzing these injuries is critical to evaluate preventive measures and tailor rehabilitation strategies to ensure the well-being and sustained peak performance of football athletes on and off the field. Purpose: To analyze the trend of American football fractures by body site, sex, and age in amateur athletes over a 20-year period between 2002 and 2021. Study Design: Descriptive epidemiology study. Methods: The National Electronic Injury Surveillance System (NEISS) database was queried to characterize football-related fractures and injuries from 2002 to 2021 in patients aged 0-99 years old. National injury estimates were calculated using sample weights. Chi-square analysis and one-way ANOVA were performed to compare categorical variables. Results: Of 56,809 cases of American football-related fractures over 20 years, patients aged 10 to 14 years had the highest incidence of fractures, composing 41.2% of all fractures (n = 23,389), and patients aged <18 years represented 88.8% of all fractures (n = 50,457). The median age of players when fractures occurred was 13 years. Upper extremity fractures (n = 41,863 [73.7%]) were the most common fracture reported compared with lower extremity and head, neck, and trunk fractures. Among upper extremity fractures, finger fractures had the highest prevalence (35.6%), followed by lower arm fractures (19.9%) and wrist fractures (13%). While most cases resulted in release after treatment (93.1%), 5.9% resulted in treatment and hospitalization. When analyzing trends in American football-related fractures over time, we observed the largest number of fractures in 2006 (n = 3664), while the smallest number of fractures occurred in 2020 (n = 1313). Also, a downward trend was found in American football-related fractures since 2006, with a mean of 101 fewer fractures each year. Conclusion: Our analysis showed that American football-related fractures diagnosed in the emergency department in the United States were most likely to occur in pediatric patients (10-18 years old). In addition, patients experiencing American football-related fractures were most likely to have an upper extremity fracture and not require hospitalization. The trend in American football-related fractures has been decreasing since 2006. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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24. Research landscape analysis on dual diagnosis of substance use and mental health disorders: key contributors, research hotspots, and emerging research topics.
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Sweileh, Waleed M.
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SUBSTANCE abuse diagnosis ,PSYCHIATRIC diagnosis ,DUAL diagnosis ,SERIAL publications ,ENVIRONMENTAL health ,DIFFUSION of innovations ,SOCIAL factors ,CULTURE ,AT-risk people ,HEALTH policy ,TREATMENT effectiveness ,SYSTEMATIC reviews ,ECONOMICS ,NEUROBIOLOGY ,MEDICAL research ,BIBLIOMETRICS ,QUALITY of life ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,PUBLIC health ,COMORBIDITY ,PSYCHOSOCIAL functioning - Abstract
Background: Substance use disorders (SUDs) and mental health disorders (MHDs) are significant public health challenges with far-reaching consequences on individuals and society. Dual diagnosis, the coexistence of SUDs and MHDs, poses unique complexities and impacts treatment outcomes. A research landscape analysis was conducted to explore the growth, active countries, and active journals in this field, identify research hotspots, and emerging research topics. Method: A systematic research landscape analysis was conducted using Scopus to retrieve articles on dual diagnosis of SUDs and MHDs. Inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied to focus on research articles published in English up to December 2022. Data were processed and mapped using VOSviewer to visualize research trends. Results: A total of 935 research articles were found. The number of research articles on has been increasing steadily since the mid-1990s, with a peak of publications between 2003 and 2012, followed by a fluctuating steady state from 2013 to 2022. The United States contributed the most articles (62.5%), followed by Canada (9.4%). The Journal of Dual Diagnosis, Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment, and Mental Health and Substance Use Dual Diagnosis were the top active journals in the field. Key research hotspots include the comorbidity of SUDs and MHDs, treatment interventions, quality of life and functioning, epidemiology, and the implications of comorbidity. Emerging research topics include neurobiological and psychosocial aspects, environmental and sociocultural factors, innovative interventions, special populations, and public health implications. Conclusions: The research landscape analysis provides valuable insights into dual diagnosis research trends, active countries, journals, and emerging topics. Integrated approaches, evidence-based interventions, and targeted policies are crucial for addressing the complex interplay between substance use and mental health disorders and improving patient outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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25. Traumatic Brain Injury in Admitted Patients with Ocular Trauma.
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Zhang, Kevin, Truong, Timothy, He, Catherine H., Parsikia, Afshin, and Mbekeani, Joyce N.
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OPTIC nerve injuries ,WOUNDS & injuries ,PATIENTS ,T-test (Statistics) ,TRAFFIC accidents ,OCULAR injuries ,HOSPITAL admission & discharge ,SCIENTIFIC observation ,LOGISTIC regression analysis ,TRAUMA severity indices ,EYE-socket fractures ,SKULL base ,RETROSPECTIVE studies ,CHI-squared test ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,GLASGOW Coma Scale ,FIREARMS ,HEMORRHAGIC stroke ,ODDS ratio ,SELF-mutilation ,SKULL fractures ,BRAIN injuries ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC factors ,ACCIDENTAL falls ,ASSAULT & battery - Abstract
Objectives: To characterize the epidemiology of simultaneous traumatic brain injury (TBI) and ocular trauma. Materials and Methods: In this retrospective, observational study, de-identified data from patients admitted with ocular trauma and TBI was extracted from the National Trauma Data Bank (2008-2014) using International Classification of Diseases 9th Revision, Clinical Modification diagnostic codes and E-codes relating to injury circumstances. Mechanisms, types of ocular and head injuries, intention, and demographic distribution were determined. Association of variables was calculated with Student's t and chi-squared tests and logistic regression analysis. Results: Of 316,485 patients admitted with ocular trauma, 184,124 (58.2%) also had TBI. The mean (standard deviation [SD]) age was 41.8 (23) years. Most were males (69.8%). Race/ethnicity distribution was 68.5% white, 13.3% black, and 11.4% Hispanic patients. The mean (SD) Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) was 12.4 (4.4) and Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 17 (10.6). Frequent injuries were orbital fractures (49.3%) and eye/adnexa contusions (38.3%). Common mechanisms were falls (27.7%) and motor vehicle-occupant (22.6%). Firearm-related trauma (5.2%) had the greatest odds of very severe injury (ISS >24) (odds ratio [OR]: 4.29; p<0.001) and severe TBI (GCS <8) (OR: 5.38; p<0.001). Assault injuries were associated with the greatest odds of mild TBI (OR: 1.36; p<0.001) and self-inflicted injuries with severe TBI (OR: 8.06; p<0.001). Eye/adnexal contusions were most associated with mild TBI (OR: 1.25; p<0.001). Optic nerve/visual pathway injuries had greater odds of severe TBI (OR: 2.91; p<0.001) and mortality (OR: 2.27; p<0.001) than other injuries. Of associated head injuries, the odds of severe TBI were greatest with skull base fractures (OR: 4.07; p<0.001) and mortality with intracerebral hemorrhages (OR: 4.28; p<0.001). Mortality occurred in 5.9% of patients. Conclusion: TBI occurred in nearly two-thirds of ocular trauma admissions. The mortality rate was low with implications for challenging rehabilitation and long-term disability in survivors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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26. The Last Twenty-Five Years of the American Epidemiological Society: 1972–1996.
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Paul, Oglesby
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EPIDEMIOLOGY ,MEDICINE ,PUBLIC health research ,HISTORY of societies ,PROFESSIONAL associations ,HISTORY of medicine - Abstract
The American Epidemiological Society (AES) was founded in 1927. A history of the first 45 years of the Society was written in the early 1970s by Dr. John Rodman Paul (Yale J Biol med 1973; 46: 1–84). The past 25 years have seen the AES continue as a small, relatively elite organization characterized by a membership of senior leaders in the field of epidemiology. The Society has continued to hold an annual meeting at which free, informed, and uninhibited discussion is encouraged. In this paper, the author presents an account of the affairs of the AES during the past quarter century. Am J Epidemiol 1998;148:104–30. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
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- 1998
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27. THE EPIDEMIOLOGIC RATIONALE FOR THE FAILURE TO ERADICATE MEASLES IN THE UNITED STATES.
- Author
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Conrad, J.L., Wallace, Robert, and Witte, John J.
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MEASLES ,VIRUS diseases ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,PUBLIC health ,PREVENTIVE medicine ,CURATIVE medicine ,MEDICAL care ,HEALTH facilities ,THERAPEUTICS - Abstract
Predictions that measles would be eradicated through vaccination have not been fulfilled. The reasons for this failure are analyzed in this paper, and the possibilities for successful action against measles are outlined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1971
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28. Editorial: Updated epidemiology of steatotic liver disease in people with HIV in the United States.
- Author
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Manikat, Richie, Kim, Seung Up, Ahmed, Aijaz, and Kim, Donghee
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- *
HIV-positive persons , *LIVER diseases , *EPIDEMIOLOGY , *HEPATITIS C virus - Abstract
LINKED CONTENT: This article is linked to Gawrieh et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17849 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17886 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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29. Measuring the Speed of Aging across Population Subgroups.
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Sanderson, Warren C. and Scherbov, Sergei
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POPULATION aging ,BIOMARKERS ,GRIP strength ,REGRESSION analysis ,EDUCATION - Abstract
People in different subgroups age at different rates. Surveys containing biomarkers can be used to assess these subgroup differences. We illustrate this using hand-grip strength to produce an easily interpretable, physical-based measure that allows us to compare characteristic-based ages across educational subgroups in the United States. Hand-grip strength has been shown to be a good predictor of future mortality and morbidity, and therefore a useful indicator of population aging. Data from the Health and Retirement Survey (HRS) were used. Two education subgroups were distinguished, those with less than a high school diploma and those with more education. Regressions on hand-grip strength were run for each sex and race using age and education, their interactions and other covariates as independent variables. Ages of identical mean hand-grip strength across education groups were compared for people in the age range 60 to 80. The hand-grip strength of 65 year old white males with less education was the equivalent to that of 69.6 (68.2, 70.9) year old white men with more education, indicating that the more educated men had aged more slowly. This is a constant characteristic age, as defined in the Sanderson and Scherbov article “The characteristics approach to the measurement of population aging” published 2013 in Population and Development Review. Sixty-five year old white females with less education had the same average hand-grip strength as 69.4 (68.2, 70.7) year old white women with more education. African-American women at ages 60 and 65 with more education also aged more slowly than their less educated counterparts. African American men with more education aged at about the same rate as those with less education. This paper expands the toolkit of those interested in population aging by showing how survey data can be used to measure the differential extent of aging across subpopulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
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30. The Impact of Cost and Network Topology on Urban Mobility: A Study of Public Bicycle Usage in 2 U.S. Cities.
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Jurdak, Raja
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ELECTRIC network topology ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,URBAN planning ,HUMAN mechanics ,BICYCLE sharing programs ,PRICING - Abstract
Understanding the drivers of urban mobility is vital for epidemiology, urban planning, and communication networks. Human movements have so far been studied by observing people's positions in a given space and time, though most recent models only implicitly account for expected costs and returns for movements. This paper explores the explicit impact of cost and network topology on mobility dynamics, using data from 2 city-wide public bicycle share systems in the USA. User mobility is characterized through the distribution of trip durations, while network topology is characterized through the pairwise distances between stations and the popularity of stations and routes. Despite significant differences in station density and physical layout between the 2 cities, trip durations follow remarkably similar distributions that exhibit cost sensitive trends around pricing point boundaries, particularly with long-term users of the system. Based on the results, recommendations for dynamic pricing and incentive schemes are provided to positively influence mobility patterns and guide improved planning and management of public bicycle systems to increase uptake. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
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31. Trends in pancreatic adenocarcinoma incidence and mortality in the United States in the last four decades; a SEER-based study.
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Saad, Anas M., Turk, Tarek, Al-Husseini, Muneer J., and Abdel-Rahman, Omar
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PANCREATIC cancer diagnosis ,ADENOCARCINOMA ,CANCER-related mortality ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,DISEASE incidence ,PUBLIC health - Abstract
Background: Pancreatic cancer is the fourth-leading cause of cancer deaths in the United States. The silent nature of the disease and its poor prognosis, the need for further research, along with the need to assess the outcomes of current approaches necessitate an ongoing evaluation of the epidemiology and mortality-trends of this malignancy. Continuous monitoring of disease-patterns, on population-levels, may help scientists assess the quality of healthcare delivery, boost their understanding of diseases' characteristics and risk factors, and detect gaps whereby further research is needed. None of the previous reports shed light on pancreatic adenocarcinomas (PAC), the most common type of Pancreatic Cancer, as the primary outcome. In this study we aim to investigate PAC's incidence and mortality trends over the last four decades in the United States.Methods: We used SEER 9 database to study PAC cases during 1974-2014. Incidence and mortality rates were calculated by sex, age, race, state and stage of PAC. Annual percent change (APC) was calculated using joinpoint regression software.Results: We reviewed 67,878 PAC cases; most of these cases were in the head of pancreas. Overall PAC incidence rates increased 1.03% (95% CI, 0.86-1.21, p <.001) per year over the study period. Rates of adenocarcinoma of the head of pancreas increased 0.87% (95% CI, 0.68-1.07, p <.001), and rates of adenocarcinoma of the body and tail of pancreas increased 3.42% (95% CI, 3.06-3.79, p <.001) per year during 1973-2014. PAC incidence-based mortality increased 2.22% (95% CI, 1.93-2.51, p <.001) per year. However, during 2012-2014 there was a statistically significant decrease in PAC incidence-based mortality; APC, -24.70% (95% CI, -31.78 - -16.88, p <.001).Conclusion: PAC's incidence and mortality rates have been increasing for decades. However, the last few years have shown a promising decrease in mortality. We believe that further advances in healthcare delivery and research can lead to a further mortality decrease. Future studies can use this paper as a baseline to keep monitoring the outcomes of PAC's therapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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32. Development and implementation of an injury and illness surveillance system for team USA.
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Post, Eric G., Anderson, Travis, Samson, Olivia, Gidley, Alexis D., Triplett, Ashley N., Donaldson, Amber T., Finnoff, Jonathan T., and Adams, William M.
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WOUNDS & injuries ,PUBLIC health surveillance ,CONSENSUS (Social sciences) ,COMPUTER software ,SYSTEMS development ,SPORTS injuries ,SPORTS for people with disabilities ,LEADERSHIP ,SPORTS teams ,SPORTS re-entry ,SPORTS events ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,STAKEHOLDER analysis - Abstract
Background: The purpose of this report is to provide insight and details regarding the development and implementation of an injury and illness surveillance (IIS) system for the United States Olympic and Paralympic Committee (USOPC). Methods: The development and deployment of the IIS employed a multiphase approach. First, researchers determined variables to include in the IIS using the recommendations from the 2020 IOC consensus statement for reporting sport epidemiological data. Second, the hosting and deployment platforms were comprehensively evaluated for their suitability, ease of use, flexibility, and backend data structure (for both capture and aggregation). Third, focus groups consisting of the Sports Medicine department leadership and clinicians piloted the IIS system and revisions were made based on their feedback. Pilot testing of the IIS and follow-up focus groups were then conducted among all departmental clinicians to solicit additional feedback and drive further revisions. Finally, the IIS system was piloted among providers working during the 2023 Pan American and Parapan American Games to refine the system for future Games. After reviewing all potential software platform options (electronic medical record [EMR] system, athlete management systems, secure data collection platforms), Qualtrics (Qualtrics, Provo, UT, USA) was selected to host the IIS system. This choice was made due to the inability of the EMR and athlete-management systems to make frequent updates, modify existing questions, and provide the necessary form logic for the variety of scenarios in which the IIS system would be deployed. Feedback from the department's leadership and clinicians resulted in a number of changes, most notably being the ability to enter multiple diagnoses for a single injury event. Additionally, clinician feedback resulted in the creation of additional diagnostic codes not currently present in the OSIICS v14.0 diagnostic coding system, adding "non-sport" as an additional variable for injury setting, and developing a system for reporting return-to-sport date for time-loss injuries. Discussion: A multi-stage process of extensive planning, stakeholder feedback, and ongoing updates is required in order to successfully develop and implement an IIS system within a National Olympic and Paralynpic Committee. This process can be used to inform the development and implementation of IIS systems in other sporting organizations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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33. Burden of drug use disorders in the United States from 1990 to 2021 and its projection until 2035: results from the GBD study.
- Author
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Zhang, Tongchao, Sun, Lin, Yin, Xiaolin, Chen, Hui, Yang, Lejin, and Yang, Xiaorong
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SUBSTANCE-induced disorders ,OPIOID abuse ,GLOBAL burden of disease ,GOAL (Psychology) - Abstract
Background: Drug use disorders (DUDs) have emerged as one of the most significant public health crises, exerting a substantial influence on both community health and socio-economic progress. The United States (US) also suffers a heavy burden, it is necessary to figure out the situation from multiple perspectives and take effective measures to deal with it. Therefore, using the data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) 2021, we evaluated this topic. Methods: Annual data on DUDs-related burden were collected from the GBD study 2021. We calculated the indicator of estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) to evaluate the changing trend of burden. The Bayesian model for age-period-cohort was introduced to forecast the burden. Results: In 2021, the number and age-standardized rate of prevalence were particularly prominent, with 12,146.95 thousand and 3821.43 per 100,000, respectively. Higher burden was also observed in males, 15–45 years old populations, and opioid use disorders subtype. From 1990 to 2021, the DUDs-related burden increased in the US and all states, especially in West Virginia; and the national death-related burden with the highest increase (EAPC = 7.96). Other significant inverse associations were seen between EAPC, age-standardized rates, and socio-demographic index (SDI). Moreover, in the next 14 years, the projected DUDs burden remains exigent. Conclusions: The burden of DUDs in the US is heavy and has been enlarging. This study proposes that greater attention should be paid to the strategies in males, the younger population, opioid use disorders, and low-SDI states implemented by decision-makers to achieve goals such as reducing burden. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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34. Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries.
- Author
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Bray, Freddie, Laversanne, Mathieu, Sung, Hyuna, Ferlay, Jacques, Siegel, Rebecca L., Soerjomataram, Isabelle, and Jemal, Ahmedin
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TUMOR treatment ,OBESITY complications ,TUMOR risk factors ,TUMOR diagnosis ,TUMOR prevention ,RISK assessment ,HEALTH services accessibility ,STOMACH tumors ,SKIN tumors ,MELANOMA ,RESEARCH funding ,SMOKING ,BREAST tumors ,INVESTMENTS ,INTERNATIONAL agencies ,PROSTATE tumors ,COLORECTAL cancer ,CAUSES of death ,DESCRIPTIVE statistics ,WORLD health ,LUNG tumors ,TUMORS ,EARLY diagnosis ,DISEASE incidence ,DEMOGRAPHY - Abstract
This article presents global cancer statistics by world region for the year 2022 based on updated estimates from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). There were close to 20 million new cases of cancer in the year 2022 (including nonmelanoma skin cancers [NMSCs]) alongside 9.7 million deaths from cancer (including NMSC). The estimates suggest that approximately one in five men or women develop cancer in a lifetime, whereas around one in nine men and one in 12 women die from it. Lung cancer was the most frequently diagnosed cancer in 2022, responsible for almost 2.5 million new cases, or one in eight cancers worldwide (12.4% of all cancers globally), followed by cancers of the female breast (11.6%), colorectum (9.6%), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (4.9%). Lung cancer was also the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18.7%), followed by colorectal (9.3%), liver (7.8%), female breast (6.9%), and stomach (6.8%) cancers. Breast cancer and lung cancer were the most frequent cancers in women and men, respectively (both cases and deaths). Incidence rates (including NMSC) varied from four‐fold to five‐fold across world regions, from over 500 in Australia/New Zealand (507.9 per 100,000) to under 100 in Western Africa (97.1 per 100,000) among men, and from over 400 in Australia/New Zealand (410.5 per 100,000) to close to 100 in South‐Central Asia (103.3 per 100,000) among women. The authors examine the geographic variability across 20 world regions for the 10 leading cancer types, discussing recent trends, the underlying determinants, and the prospects for global cancer prevention and control. With demographics‐based predictions indicating that the number of new cases of cancer will reach 35 million by 2050, investments in prevention, including the targeting of key risk factors for cancer (including smoking, overweight and obesity, and infection), could avert millions of future cancer diagnoses and save many lives worldwide, bringing huge economic as well as societal dividends to countries over the forthcoming decades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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35. A spatial-temporal analysis of low birth weight prevalence in Georgia, USA.
- Author
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Tian, Jie, Tu, Wei, Tedders, Stuart, and Chen, Dongmei
- Subjects
SPATIAL analysis (Statistics) ,LOW birth weight ,PUBLIC health ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,DEVELOPED countries - Abstract
Low birth weight (LBW), defined as a live birth weighing <2,500 g, is a significant public health problem in the United States, especially a few states including Georgia. Although much work has been done to study the epidemiology of LBW in various regions, the spatial-temporal patterns of LBW prevalence in Georgia remain unclear to a large degree. This paper investigates the temporal trend of LBW rates over a time span of 11 years and the spatial clusters of LBW prevalence in the state of Georgia at the county level. Comparison is also made between race and gender groups, and between county groups of different socioeconomic statuses to uncover disparities. Results showed a steady and prevalent increase of LBW rate in the state over the study period. Three counties and two county clusters with significantly higher LBW rates than the state rate were detected for 1999-2001, while one more county and two more county clusters of high LBW rates were detected for 2007-2009. More urbanized counties were found to have a relatively lower LBW rate when compared with the less urbanized ones as groups. The findings from this paper are expected to provide valuable insights to better understanding the etiology of LBW and more effective allocating prenatal health care resources in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
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36. Awareness of prostate cancer among patients and the general public: results of an international survey.
- Author
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Fitzpatrick, J. M., Kirby, R. S., Brough, C. L., and Saggerson, A. L.
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PROSTATE cancer ,CANCER patients ,CANCER in men ,AGING - Abstract
The objective of this study was to assess the level of awareness of prostate cancer (PCa) among the general public and PCa patients in Europe and North America. A survey was undertaken across four European countries (UK, Germany, Italy and Spain), and across the United States and Canada in late 2007. In total, 1008 men with PCa and their partners (the ‘prostate sample’), and 911 men without PCa and their partners (the ‘well sample’) participated in the survey, all aged 50 years. Interviews were conducted through telephone, pen and paper, and online. Many people surveyed (53%) thought that breast cancer is more common than PCa. Moreover, 1 in 10 people from the well sample (10%) thought that PCa affects both men and women. When the prostate sample was asked about their perceived level of risk of PCa before diagnosis, 50% believed that they/their husband or partner were previously at low or very low risk, before they were diagnosed. Awareness of the major risk factors for PCa (age and family history) was generally good, but respondents were less clear about the role of other potential factors, such as smoking and drinking alcohol. This international survey, thought to be largest of its type, shows that although patient and public awareness of PCa is generally satisfactory, there is still a considerable lack of clarity about PCa risk factors, and a danger for people to underestimate their own/their partner's perceived risk for PCa. Programmes to responsibly educate and inform men and their partners about risk factors, prevalence and screening tools for PCa are required. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
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37. The Founding of Modern Cancer Epidemiology.
- Author
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Lilienfeld, David E.
- Subjects
EPIDEMIOLOGY ,HEALTH surveys ,CANCER ,ETIOLOGY of diseases ,DISEASE incidence ,POPULATION - Abstract
The development of modern epidemiology, particularly cancer epidemiology, is often seen as a post-World War II phenomenon. However, the First National Cancer Survey, conducted from 1937 to 1939 as part of the newly formed National Cancer Institute's initial activities, provided the first data on the occurrence of cancer in the United States. This project was directed by a young sociologist, Harold Fred Dom. Through Dom, many of the methodological innovations in sociology, such as the use of surveys and observational study designs, were incorporated into modern epidemiology. I examine Dorn's training and early career in the content of the First National Cancer Survey as a means of investigating the beginnings of modem epidemiology. (Am J Public Health. 2008;98:2150-2158. doi:10.2105/AJPH.2007.1l7440) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
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38. Survey of the Biological Effects of Refractory Ceramic Fibres: Overload and Its Possible Consequences.
- Author
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BROWN, R. C., BELLMANN, B., MUHLE, H., DAVIS, J. M. G., and MAXIM, L. D.
- Subjects
REFRACTORY materials ,CERAMICS ,INORGANIC fibers ,MESOTHELIOMA ,BIOLOGICAL assay ,LUNG cancer ,ANIMAL research ,FIBERS - Abstract
This paper summarizes the biological effects of refractory ceramic fibres (RCFs). RCFs are aluminosilicate glass insulation wools with similar chemical properties to other synthetic vitreous fibres (SVFs) or ‘man-made vitreous fibres’ (MMVFs). There is concern that RCFs could be significantly more pathogenic than other SVFs. This paper critically reviews the data on which this perception is based. Morbidity studies on workers in RCF manufacturing indicated that, in the United states, RCF exposure was associated with an increased incidence of pleural plaques and in both the united states and Europe with statistically significant changes in some measures of lung function (though not at present exposure levels). No interstitial fibrosis was found. An ongoing mortality study of limited statistical power has failed to indicate any increased incidence of lung cancer or mesothelioma. Findings in several early animal studies led to a large series of inhalation studies where rats exposed to high levels of RCF developed fibrosis and tumours but not those exposed to other SVFs. Similarly hamsters exposed to one sample (RCF1) developed mesothelioma. Subsequent analyses of the data indicated that the RCF used in these experiments had a significantly greater proportion of non-fibrous particles than those present in the other types of SVFs tested or in workplace air. Short-term studies indicated that pulmonary overload occurred at the same as RCF tissue burdens as those in the long-term animal bioassay. When RCFs were prepared in the same way as the other SVFs, a sample resulted with a more representative ratio of particles to fibres; this sample did not produce overload in short-term tests. SVFs have various abilities to persist in the lung tissue and thus accumulate to varying degrees. It is suggested that biopersistence is a key property. While RCFs are among the more persistent they are similar to many other fibre types. The scientific and regulatory implications of these findings are examined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
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39. Evaluation of reporting timeliness of public health surveillance systems for infectious diseases.
- Author
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Jajosky, Ruth Ann and Groseclose, Samuel L.
- Subjects
PUBLIC health surveillance ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,COMMUNICABLE diseases ,PUBLIC health - Abstract
Background: Timeliness is a key performance measure of public health surveillance systems. Timeliness can vary by disease, intended use of the data, and public health system level. Studies were reviewed to describe methods used to evaluate timeliness and the reporting timeliness of National Notifiable Diseases Surveillance System (NNDSS) data was evaluated to determine if this system could support timely notification and state response to multistate outbreaks. Methods: Published papers that quantitatively measured timeliness of infectious disease surveillance systems operating in the U.S. were reviewed. Median reporting timeliness lags were computed for selected nationally notifiable infectious diseases based on a state-assigned week number and various date types. The percentage of cases reported within the estimated incubation periods for each disease was also computed. Results: Few studies have published quantitative measures of reporting timeliness; these studies do not evaluate timeliness in a standard manner. When timeliness of NNDSS data was evaluated, the median national reporting delay, based on date of disease onset, ranged from 12 days for meningococcal disease to 40 days for pertussis. Diseases with the longer incubation periods tended to have a higher percentage of cases reported within its incubation period. For acute hepatitis A virus infection, which had the longest incubation period of the diseases studied, more than 60% of cases were reported within one incubation period for each date type reported. For cryptosporidiosis, Escherichia coli O157:H7 infection, meningococcal disease, salmonellosis, and shigellosis, less than 40% of cases were reported within one incubation period for each reported date type. Conclusion: Published evaluations of infectious disease surveillance reporting timeliness are few in number and are not comparable. A more standardized approach for evaluating and describing surveillance system timeliness should be considered; a recommended methodology is presented. Our analysis of NNDSS reporting timeliness indicated that among the conditions evaluated (except for acute hepatitis A infection), the long reporting lag and the variability across states limits the usefulness of NNDSS data and aberration detection analysis of those data for identification of and timely response to multistate outbreaks. Further evaluation of the factors that contribute to NNDSS reporting timeliness is warranted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
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40. Host outdoor exposure variability affects the transmission and spread of Zika virus: Insights for epidemic control.
- Author
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Ajelli, Marco, Moise, Imelda K., Hutchings, Tricia Caroline S. G., Brown, Scott C., Kumar, Naresh, Johnson, Neil F., and Beier, John C.
- Subjects
ZIKA virus ,ZIKA virus infections ,URBAN ecology (Sociology) ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,MOSQUITO vectors ,VECTOR control ,VIRAL transmission - Abstract
Background: Zika virus transmission dynamics in urban environments follow a complex spatiotemporal pattern that appears unpredictable and barely related to high mosquito density areas. In this context, human activity patterns likely have a major role in Zika transmission dynamics. This paper examines the effect of host variability in the amount of time spent outdoors on Zika epidemiology in an urban environment. Methodology/Principal findings: First, we performed a survey on time spent outdoors by residents of Miami-Dade County, Florida. Second, we analyzed both the survey and previously published national data on outdoors time in the U.S. to provide estimates of the distribution of the time spent outdoors. Third, we performed a computational modeling evaluation of Zika transmission dynamics, based on the time spent outdoors by each person. Our analysis reveals a strong heterogeneity of the host population in terms of time spent outdoors–data are well captured by skewed gamma distributions. Our model-based evaluation shows that in a heterogeneous population, Zika would cause a lower number of infections than in a more homogenous host population (up to 4-fold differences), but, at the same time, the epidemic would spread much faster. We estimated that in highly heterogeneous host populations the timing of the implementation of vector control measures is the major factor for limiting the number of Zika infections. Conclusions/Significance: Our findings highlight the need of considering host variability in exposure time for managing mosquito-borne infections and call for the revision of the triggers for vector control strategies, which should integrate mosquito density data and human outdoor activity patterns in specific areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
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41. Influence of exposure differences on city-to-city heterogeneity in PM2.5-mortality associations in US cities.
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Baxter, Lisa K., Crooks, James L., and Sacks, Jason D.
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DIFFERENTIAL psychology ,ECOLOGICAL heterogeneity ,CITIES & towns ,MORTALITY ,REGIONAL disparities ,AIR pollution ,CLUSTER analysis (Statistics) ,METROPOLITAN areas ,ENVIRONMENTAL exposure ,PARTICULATE matter - Abstract
Background: Multi-city population-based epidemiological studies have observed heterogeneity between city-specific fine particulate matter (PM2.5)-mortality effect estimates. These studies typically use ambient monitoring data as a surrogate for exposure leading to potential exposure misclassification. The level of exposure misclassification can differ by city affecting the observed health effect estimate.Methods: The objective of this analysis is to evaluate whether previously developed residential infiltration-based city clusters can explain city-to-city heterogeneity in PM2.5 mortality risk estimates. In a prior paper 94 cities were clustered based on residential infiltration factors (e.g. home age/size, prevalence of air conditioning (AC)), resulting in 5 clusters. For this analysis, the association between PM2.5 and all-cause mortality was first determined in 77 cities across the United States for 2001-2005. Next, a second stage analysis was conducted evaluating the influence of cluster assignment on heterogeneity in the risk estimates.Results: Associations between a 2-day (lag 0-1 days) moving average of PM2.5 concentrations and non-accidental mortality were determined for each city. Estimated effects ranged from -3.2 to 5.1% with a pooled estimate of 0.33% (95% CI: 0.13, 0.53) increase in mortality per 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5. The second stage analysis determined that cluster assignment was marginally significant in explaining the city-to-city heterogeneity. The health effects estimates in cities with older, smaller homes with less AC (Cluster 1) and cities with newer, smaller homes with a large prevalence of AC (Cluster 3) were significantly lower than the cluster consisting of cities with older, larger homes with a small percentage of AC.Conclusions: This is the first study that attempted to examine whether multiple exposure factors could explain the heterogeneity in PM2.5-mortality associations. The results of this study were found to explain a small portion (6%) of this heterogeneity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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42. Editorial: Updated epidemiology of steatotic liver disease in people with HIV in the United States—Authors' reply.
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Gawrieh, Samer, Sulkowski, Mark, Chalasani, Naga, and Loomba, Rohit
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- *
HIV-positive persons , *LIVER diseases , *EPIDEMIOLOGY , *AUTHORS , *HEPATITIS C virus - Abstract
LINKED CONTENT: This article is linked to Gawrieh et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17849 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17871 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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43. Race and Mental Illness: An Epidemiologic Update.
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Warheit, George J., Holzer III, Charles E., and Arey, Sandra A.
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MENTAL health ,RACE ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,ANALYSIS of variance ,SOCIAL status ,SOCIODEMOGRAPHIC factors ,PHOBIAS - Abstract
This paper presents findings on the relationship between race and mental health extracted from a major five year epidemiologic study conducted in the southeastern United States. Mental health scores on five separate psychiatric scales are compared for blacks and whites. These comparisons are made in two ways. First, simple correlations using Tints and analysis of variance are computed; then the variable race is included with age, sex and socioeconomic status in a stepwise multiple regression equation. The results show that blacks had higher mean scores than whites on all the scales: the differences are statistically significant on every measure. When controlled for the oilier sociodemographic factors, however, the variable black is statistically significant in only two of the equations and in one of these the significance level is quite minimal. Being black is a highly significant variable when scores on a phobia scale are analyzed. In every instance, low socioeconomic status is the most powerful predictor of high mental health scores. The authors conclude that there is no definitive evidence that race alone is a primary etiologic factor in accounting for differences in the rates of mental illness between blacks and whites. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1975
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44. The Origin and Diffusion of AIDS: A View from Medical Geography.
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Shannon, Gary W. and Pyle, Gerald F.
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AIDS ,HIV ,MEDICAL geography ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,VACCINES - Abstract
The integration of the history and geography of diseases is essential to understanding and revealing a true picture of epidemiology and disease patterns as they are today. This is particularly true for the current pandemic of the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS). The complexity and capabilities of the disease agent, the Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-I), generate increasing concern about this fatal disease. Thus far, treatment merely temporarily extends lives of the victims, and hope for a vaccine against infection remains remote. Understanding the mechanisms and patterns of the origin and diffusion of the infection and disease are central to developing appropriate intervention strategies for controlling its spread. In this paper an overview of AIDS is presented from the perspective of medical geography. Characteristics of the virus and the mechanisms of infection are described, and, using available evidence, an attempt is made to piece together the spatial-temporal patterns of the disease. Theories about the African origin and its diffusion there are discussed and pathways out of Africa to other parts of the world presented. Specific attention is directed to the spatial diffusion of AIDS within the United States. Cultural, social, behavioral, economic, political and transportation factors play important roles in the current and historical spatial patterns of AIDS. The historic importance of this disease and the complex of geographic factors necessary to its understanding require the interest and cooperation of a broad range of geographic specialties. We hope this paper informs and stimulates discussion among geographers to undertake this effort. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1989
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45. Bronchiectasis-associated infections and outcomes in a large, geographically diverse electronic health record cohort in the United States.
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Dean, Samantha G, Blakney, Rebekah A, Ricotta, Emily E, Chalmers, James D, Kadri, Sameer S, Olivier, Kenneth N, and Prevots, D Rebecca
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BRONCHIECTASIS ,ELECTRONIC health records ,BACTERIAL colonies ,MYCOBACTERIUM avium ,LUNG diseases ,LUNG infections - Abstract
Background: Bronchiectasis is a pulmonary disease characterized by irreversible dilation of the bronchi and recurring respiratory infections. Few studies have described the microbiology and prevalence of infections in large patient populations outside of specialized tertiary care centers. Methods: We used the Cerner HealthFacts Electronic Health Record database to characterize the nature, burden, and frequency of pulmonary infections among persons with bronchiectasis. Chronic infections were defined based on organism-specific guidelines. Results: We identified 7,749 patients who met our incident bronchiectasis case definition. In this study population, the organisms with the highest rates of isolate prevalence were Pseudomonas aeruginosa with 937 (12%) individuals, Staphylococcus aureus with 502 (6%), Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) with 336 (4%), and Aspergillus sp. with 288 (4%). Among persons with at least one isolate of each respective pathogen, 219 (23%) met criteria for chronic P. aeruginosa colonization, 74 (15%) met criteria for S. aureus chronic colonization, 101 (30%) met criteria for MAC chronic infection, and 50 (17%) met criteria for Aspergillus sp. chronic infection. Of 5,795 persons with at least two years of observation, 1,860 (32%) had a bronchiectasis exacerbation and 3,462 (60%) were hospitalized within two years of bronchiectasis diagnoses. Among patients with chronic respiratory infections, the two-year occurrence of exacerbations was 53% and for hospitalizations was 82%. Conclusions: Patients with bronchiectasis experiencing chronic respiratory infections have high rates of hospitalization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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46. Association between dietary folate intake and severe abdominal aorta calcification in adults: A cross-sectional analysis of the national health and nutrition examination survey.
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Kai Zhang, Jianguo Chen, Bowen Chen, Yu Han, Tianyi Cai, JiaYu Zhao, ZhaoXuan Gu, Min Gao, Zhengyan Hou, Xiaoqi Yu, FangMing Gu, Yafang Gao, Rui Hu, Jinyu Xie, Tianzhou Liu, Dan Cui, and Bo Li
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HEALTH & Nutrition Examination Survey ,FOOD consumption ,ABDOMINAL aorta ,CROSS-sectional method ,CALCIFICATION - Abstract
Background: Prior studies have established a connection between folate intake and cardiovascular disease (CVD). Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) has been introduced as a good predictor of CVD events, but no previous study has investigated the relationship between dietary folate intake and severe AAC. Therefore, the study aims to explore the association between dietary folate intake and severe AAC in the United States (US) middle-aged and elderly population. Methods: This study employed cross-sectional data from the 2013-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) to examine the relationship between dietary folate intake and severe AAC. Two 24-h dietary recall interviews were conducted to assess dietary folate intake and its sources, while a DXA scan was used to determine the AAC score. To analyze the association between dietary folate intake and severe AAC, a multivariable logistic regression model was applied, and a subgroup analysis was performed. Results: Our analysis utilized data from 2640 participants aged 40 years and above, including 288 individuals diagnosed with severe AAC. After adjusting for confounding factors, we observed an inverted L-shaped association between folate intake and severe AAC. Upon further adjustment for specific confounding factors and covariates, the multivariable-adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the second, third, and fourth quartiles of folate intake, using the first quartile as the reference, were as follows: 1.24 (0.86-1.79), 0.86 (0.58-1.27), and 0.63 (0.41-0.97), respectively. Subgroup analysis results were consistent with the logistic regression models, indicating concordant findings. Moreover, no significant interaction was observed in the subgroup analyses. Conclusions: The study findings suggest an inverted L-shaped association between dietary folate intake and severe AAC. However, additional prospective investigations are necessary to explore the impact of dietary folate intake on severe AAC in patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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47. Myopia, Sodium Chloride, and Vitreous Fluid Imbalance: A Nutritional Epidemiology Perspective.
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Brown, Ronald B.
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SALT-free diet ,SALT ,MYOPIA ,DIETARY sodium ,EAST Asians ,EPIDEMIOLOGY - Abstract
Theories of myopia etiology based on near work and lack of outdoor exposure have had inconsistent support and have not prevented the rising prevalence of global myopia. New scientific theories in the cause and prevention of myopia are needed. Myopia prevalence is low in native people consuming traditional diets lacking in sodium chloride, and nutritional epidemiological evidence supports the association of rising myopia prevalence with dietary sodium intake. East Asian populations have among the highest rates of myopia associated with high dietary sodium. Similar associations of sodium and rising myopia prevalence were observed in the United States in the late 20th century. The present perspective synthesizes nutritional epidemiology evidence with pathophysiological concepts and proposes that axial myopia occurs from increased fluid retention in the vitreous of the eye, induced by dietary sodium chloride intake. Salt disturbs ionic permeability of retinal membranes, increases the osmotic gradient flow of fluid into the vitreous, and stretches ocular tissue during axial elongation. Based on the present nutritional epidemiology evidence, experimental research should investigate the effect of sodium chloride as the cause of myopia, and clinical research should test a very low-salt diet in myopia correction and prevention. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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48. Reconstruction of incidence reporting rate for SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant of COVID-19 pandemic in the US.
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Smirnova, Alexandra and Baroonian, Mona
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SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant ,REPORTING of diseases ,COVID-19 pandemic ,INCUBATION period (Communicable diseases) ,VACCINATION - Abstract
In recent years, advanced regularization techniques have emerged as a powerful tool aimed at stable estimation of infectious disease parameters that are crucial for future projections, prevention, and control. Unlike other system parameters, i.e., incubation and recovery rates, the case reporting rate, J, and the time-dependent effective reproduction number, Re(t), are directly influenced by a large number of factors making it impossible to pre-estimate these parameters in any meaningful way. In this study, we propose a novel iteratively-regularized trust-region optimization algorithm, combined with SuSvIuIvRD compartmental model, for stable reconstruction of J and Re(t) from reported epidemic data on vaccination percentages, incidence cases, and daily deaths. The innovative regularization procedure exploits (and takes full advantage of) a unique structure of the Jacobian and Hessian approximation for the nonlinear observation operator. The proposed inversion method is thoroughly tested with synthetic and real SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant data for different regions in the United States of America from July 9, 2021, to November 25, 2021. Our study shows that case reporting rate during the Delta wave of COVID-19 pandemic in the US is between 12% and 37%, with most states being in the range from 15% to 25%. This confirms earlier accounts on considerable under-reporting of COVID-19 cases due to the impact of "silent spreaders" and the limitations of testing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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49. Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales in Children at 18 US Health Care System Study Sites: Clinical and Molecular Epidemiology From a Prospective Multicenter Cohort Study.
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Fisher, Matthew, Komarow, Lauren, Kahn, Jordan, Patel, Gopi, Revolinski, Sara, Huskins, W Charles, Duin, David van, Banerjee, Ritu, and Fries, Bettina C
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MOLECULAR epidemiology ,CLINICAL epidemiology ,MEDICAL care ,KLEBSIELLA infections ,WHOLE genome sequencing ,COHORT analysis - Abstract
Background Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales (CRE) are an urgent public health threat in the United States. Objective Describe the clinical and molecular epidemiology of CRE in a multicenter pediatric cohort. Methods CRACKLE-1 and CRACKLE-2 are prospective cohort studies with consecutive enrollment of hospitalized patients with CRE infection or colonization between 24 December 2011 and 31 August 2017. Patients younger than age 18 years and enrolled in the CRACKLE studies were included in this analysis. Clinical data were obtained from the electronic health record. Carbapenemase genes were detected using polymerase chain reaction and whole-genome sequencing. Results Fifty-one children were identified at 18 healthcare system study sites representing all U.S. census regions. The median age was 8 months, with 67% younger than age 2 years. Median number of days from admission to culture collection was 11. Seventy-three percent of patients had required intensive care and 41% had a history of mechanical ventilation. More than half of children had no documented comorbidities (Q1, Q3 0, 2). Sixty-seven percent previously received antibiotics during their hospitalization. The most common species isolated were Enterobacter species (41%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (27%), and Escherichia coli (20%). Carbapenemase genes were detected in 29% of isolates tested, which was lower than previously described in adults from this cohort (61%). Thirty-four patients were empirically treated on the date of culture collection, but only 6 received an antibiotic to which the CRE isolate was confirmed susceptible in vitro. Thirty-day mortality was 13.7%. Conclusions CRE infection or colonization in U.S. children was geographically widespread, predominantly affected children younger than age 2 years, associated with significant mortality, and less commonly caused by carbapenemase-producing strains than in adults. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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50. The spirit of St Louis: the contributions of Lee N. Robins to North American psychiatric epidemiology.
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Campbell ND
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- Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, History, 20th Century, Mental Disorders diagnosis, Mental Disorders epidemiology, Missouri, Research, Substance-Related Disorders epidemiology, Substance-Related Disorders psychology, United States, Epidemiology, Interview, Psychological, Mental Disorders classification, Psychiatry history, Substance-Related Disorders diagnosis
- Abstract
This article takes up the history of North American psychiatric epidemiology with reference to production of knowledge concerning sociopathic or antisocial personality disorder and drug dependence, abuse, and/or addiction. These overlapping arenas provide a microcosm within which to explore the larger shift of postwar psychiatric epidemiology from community studies based on psychological scales to studies based on specific diagnostic criteria. This paper places the figure of sociologist Lee Nelken Robins within the context of the Department of Psychiatry in the School of Medicine at Washington University in St Louis, Missouri. The St Louis research group--to which Robins was both marginal and central--developed the basis for specific diagnostic criteria and was joined by Robert Spitzer, Jean Endicott and other architects of DSM-III in reorienting American psychiatry towards medical, biological and epidemiological models. Robins was a key linchpin working at the nexus of the psychiatric epidemiological and sociological drug addiction research networks. This article situates her work within the broader set of societal and governmental transformations leading to the technologically sophisticated turn in American psychiatric epidemiology and research on the aetiology of drug abuse and mental health and illness., (Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association © The Author 2013; all rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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