6,800 results
Search Results
2. PAPERS AND DISCUSSIONS, PASADENA MEETING (Continued)
- Author
-
Gorton, A. F., McEwen, George F., Blochman, L. E., Blake, Dean, Quinn, Eugene H., Reed, Thomas R., Cameron, Donald C., Young, Floyd D., Little, Delbert M., and Eklund, Ernest E.
- Published
- 1931
3. THE HOLE IN THE MAP OF THE WORLD.
- Author
-
UPSON, SANDRA
- Subjects
ATLANTIC meridional overturning circulation ,BODIES of water ,OCEAN temperature ,INTERTROPICAL convergence zone ,MARINE biology - Abstract
The article explores the concept of a "warming hole" in the North Atlantic, where temperatures have not risen as much as in other regions due to a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). This current system, which transports warm water from the tropics to northern Europe, is crucial for global climate systems. Scientists are studying ice cores from Greenland to gain insights into past climate changes and predict future tipping points. The article emphasizes the importance of addressing the potential consequences of a weakened AMOC. It also discusses a scientific paper that predicts the collapse of the AMOC, causing disruptions to global climate patterns and food systems. However, the paper has faced criticism from other scientists who question the data and assumptions used in the study. Further research and action are needed to understand and mitigate the risks associated with the potential collapse of the AMOC. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2024
4. A mesoscale eddy reconstruction method based on generative adversarial networks.
- Author
-
Xiaodong Ma, Lei Zhang, Weishuai Xu, Maolin Li, and Xingyu Zhou
- Subjects
GENERATIVE adversarial networks ,MESOSCALE eddies ,OCEAN dynamics ,ACOUSTIC field ,SPEED of sound ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
Mesoscale eddies are phenomena that widely exist in the ocean and have a significant impact on the ocean's temperature and salt structure, as well as on acoustic propagation effects. Currently, utilizing the limited data on mesoscale eddy environments for refined acoustic field reconstruction in offshore conditions at mid-to-far-ocean distances is an urgent problem that needs to be addressed. In this paper, we propose a mesoscale eddy reconstruction method (EddyGAN) based on the generative adversarial network (GAN) model which is inspired by the concept of global localization. We adopt a hybrid algorithm for eddy identification using JCOPE2M high-resolution reanalysis data and Archiving, Validation, and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic (AVISO) satellite altimeter data to extract mesoscale eddy sound speed profile (SSP) sample data, and then apply the EddyGAN model to train this dataset and perform mesoscale eddy acoustic field reconstruction. We also propose an evaluation method for mesoscale eddy acoustic field reconstruction that uses RMSE, SSIM, and convergence zone (CZ) accuracy based on World Ocean Atlas (WOA) climate state data completion as indicators. The reconstruction result of this model achieves an RMSE of 1.7 m/s, an SSIM of 0.77, and an average CZ accuracy of over 70%. This method better characterizes the mesoscale eddy sound field than the native GAN and other reconstruction methods, improves the accuracy of mesoscale eddy acoustic field reconstruction, and provides superior performance, offering significant reference value for mesoscale eddy reconstruction technology and subsequent ocean acoustic research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Changing seasonality of the Baltic Sea.
- Author
-
Kahru, M., Elmgren, R., and Savchuk, O. P.
- Subjects
PHENOLOGY ,ECOLOGICAL zones ,CLIMATE change ,OCEAN temperature ,DIATOMS - Abstract
Changes in the phenology of physical and ecological variables associated with climate change are likely to have significant effect on many aspects of the Baltic ecosystems. We apply a set of phenological indicators to multiple environmental variables measured by satellite sensors for 17-35 years to detect possible changes in the seasonality in the Baltic Sea environment. We detect significant temporal changes such as earlier start of the summer season and prolongation of the productive season in multiple variables ranging from basic physical drivers to ecological status indicators. While increasing trends in the absolute values of variables like sea-surface temperature (SST), diffuse attenuation of light (Ked490) and satellite-detected chlorophyll concentration (CHL) are detectable, the corresponding changes in their seasonal cycles are more dramatic. For example, the cumulative sum of 30 000Wm
-2 of surface incoming shortwave irradiance (SIS) was reached 23 days earlier in 2014 compared to the beginning of the time series in 1983. The period of the year with SST of at least 17 °C has almost doubled (from 29 days in 1982 to 56 days in 2014), the period with Ked490 over 0.4m-1 has increased from about 60 days in 1998 to 240 days in 2013, i.e. quadrupled. The period with satellite-detected CHL of at least 3mgm-3 has doubled from approximately 110 days in 1998 to 220 days in 2013. While the timing of both the phytoplankton spring and summer blooms have advanced, the annual CHL maximum that in the 1980s corresponded to the spring diatom bloom in May has now switched to the summer cyanobacteria bloom in July. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Continuous Time Simulation and System-Level Model of a MVDC Distribution Grid Including SST and MMC-Based AFE.
- Author
-
Siemaszko, Daniel and Carpita, Mauro
- Subjects
CONTINUOUS time models ,POWER electronics ,OCEAN temperature ,SEMICONDUCTOR switches ,POWER system simulation ,SCHOOL supplies - Abstract
Medium-voltage DC (MVDC) technology has gained increasing attention in recent years. Power electronics devices dominate these grids. Accurate simulation of such a grid, with detailed models of switching semiconductors, can quickly became very time-consuming, according to the number of connected devices to be simulated. A simulation approach based on interactions on a continuous time model can be very interesting, especially for developing a system-level control model of such a modern MVDC distribution grid. The aim of this paper is to present all the steps required for obtaining a continuous time modelling of a +/−10 kV MVDC grid case study, including a solid-state transformer (SST)- and modular multilevel converter (MMC)-based active front end (AFE). An additional aim of this paper is to supply educational content about the use of the continuous time simulation approach, thanks to a detailed description of the various devices modelled into the presented MVDC grid. The results of a certain number of simulation scenarios are eventually presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. Observational Studies of Ocean Fronts: A Systematic Review of Chinese-Language Literature.
- Author
-
Shen, Xin-Tang and Belkin, Igor M.
- Subjects
FRONTS (Meteorology) ,OCEAN temperature ,OCEAN color ,SEAWATER salinity ,OCEANOGRAPHY ,SCIENTIFIC observation ,REMOTE sensing ,RESEARCH personnel - Abstract
This review will serve as an entry point for international researchers who would like to tap into the vast scientific potential of Chinese-language literature on oceanic fronts. We focused on observational physical oceanography studies of marine fronts. A thorough bibliographic search netted 95 papers published in 1982–2023, with a sharp increase in the total number of papers from 2006–2010 to 2011–2015, when this number almost tripled. This trend continued unabated through the early 2020s. The sharp increase in Chinese-language publications preceded by several years a rapid increase in English-language publications in the same field. Regionally, the overwhelming majority of papers is focused on the China Seas, particularly the East China Seas and northern South China Sea. Elsewhere, a number of papers were dedicated to the Southern Ocean and North Atlantic. Thematically, papers on remote sensing of ocean fronts dominate the literature, with special attention to the development of front-detection algorithms that can be applied to satellite data on sea surface temperature, salinity, chlorophyll, and sea level anomaly. Numerous papers on marine fronts in the China Seas present important results that have to be considered by international researchers. Overall, this review emphasizes the significant contributions made by Chinese oceanographers, particularly to studies of the frontal oceanography of the China Seas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. A two-dimensional model of the methane cycle in a sedimentary accretionary wedge.
- Author
-
Archer, D. E. and Buffett, B. A.
- Subjects
METHANE ,TWO-dimensional models ,SEDIMENTS ,CARBON compounds ,OCEAN temperature ,HYDRATES ,SUBDUCTION zones - Abstract
A two-dimensional model of sediment column geophysics and geochemistry has been adapted to the problem of an accretionary wedge formation, patterned after the margin of the Juan de Fuca plate as it subducts under the North American plate. Much of the model description was given in a companion paper about application of the model to a passive margin setting; here we build on that formulation to simulate the deformation of the sediment wedge as it approaches the subduction zone. The active margin configuration of the model shares sensitivities with the passive margin configuration, in that sensitivities to organic carbon deposition and respiration kinetics, and to vertical bubble transport and redissolution in the sediment, are stronger than the sensitivity to ocean temperature. The active margin simulation also shows a sensitivity to plate subduction velocity, with higher plate velocities producing less hydrate per meter of coastline than slower velocities or the passive margin configuration. However, the local hydrate concentrations, as pore volume saturation, are higher in the active setting than the passive, as generally observed in the field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. A new parameterization for surface ocean light attenuation in Earth System Models: assessing the impact of light absorption by colored detrital material.
- Author
-
Kim, G. E., Pradal, M.-A., and Gnanadesikan, A.
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,EARTH system science ,LIGHT absorption ,BIOMASS energy ,PARAMETERIZATION ,CHLOROPHYLL - Abstract
Light limitation can affect the distribution of biota and nutrients in the ocean. Light absorption by colored detrital material (CDM) was included in a fully coupled Earth System Model using a new parameterization for shortwave attenuation. Two model runs were conducted, with and without light attenuation by CDM. In a global average sense, greater light limitation associated with CDM increased surface chlorophyll, biomass and nutrients together. These changes can be attributed to the movement of biological productivity higher up the water column, which increased surface chlorophyll and biomass while simultaneously decreasing total biomass. Meanwhile, the reduction in biomass resulted in greater nutrient availability throughout the water column. Similar results were found on a regional scale in an analysis of the oceans by biome. In coastal regions, surface chlorophyll increased by 35% while total integrated phytoplankton biomass diminished by 18 %. The largest relative increases in modeled surface chlorophyll and biomass in the open ocean were found in the equatorial biomes, while largest decreases in depth-integrated biomass and chlorophyll were found in the subpolar and polar biomes. This mismatch of surface and subsurface trends and their regional dependence was analyzed by comparing the competing factors of diminished light availability and increased nutrient availability on phytoplankton growth in the upper 200 m. Overall, increases in surface biomass were expected to accompany greater nutrient uptake and therefore diminish surface nutrients, but changes in light limitation decoupled trends between these two variables. Understanding changes in biological productivity requires both surface and depth-resolved information. Surface trends may be minimal or of the opposite sign to depth-integrated amounts, depending on the vertical structure of phytoplankton abundance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. Short Paper Water temperature and salinity during the occurrence of Dinophysis fortii and D. acuminata in Kesennuma Bay, northern Japan.
- Author
-
Hoshiai, Gen-Ichi, Suzuki, Toshiyuki, Takashi Kamiyama, Makoto Yamasaki, Toshiyuki, and Kazuhiko Ichimi, Toshiyuki
- Subjects
- *
PLANKTON collection & preservation , *PLANKTON , *SEA water analysis , *OCEAN temperature - Abstract
Studies the impact of the water currents, temperature and salinity along the coastal areas of northern Japan on the occurrence of Dinophysis species, the causative plankton of diarrhetic shellfish poisoning. Collection of samples of the species and seawater along Kesennuma Bay; Determination and monitoring of inorganic concentration of nitrogen and phosphorus; Influences of salinity and the different environmental conditions to the appearance of the species.
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Spatiotemporal Fusion Prediction of Sea Surface Temperatures Based on the Graph Convolutional Neural and Long Short-Term Memory Networks.
- Author
-
Liu, Jingjing, Wang, Lei, Hu, Fengjun, Xu, Ping, and Zhang, Denghui
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,CONVOLUTIONAL neural networks ,ENVIRONMENTAL protection ,FORECASTING ,FUSION reactors - Abstract
Sea surface temperature (SST) prediction plays an important role in scientific research, environmental protection, and other marine-related fields. However, most of the current prediction methods are not effective enough to utilize the spatial correlation of SSTs, which limits the improvement of SST prediction accuracy. Therefore, this paper first explores spatial correlation mining methods, including regular boundary division, convolutional sliding translation, and clustering neural networks. Then, spatial correlation mining through a graph convolutional neural network (GCN) is proposed, which solves the problem of the dependency on regular Euclidian space and the lack of spatial correlation around the boundary of groups for the above three methods. Based on that, this paper combines the spatial advantages of the GCN and the temporal advantages of the long short-term memory network (LSTM) and proposes a spatiotemporal fusion model (GCN-LSTM) for SST prediction. The proposed model can capture SST features in both the spatial and temporal dimensions more effectively and complete the SST prediction by spatiotemporal fusion. The experiments prove that the proposed model greatly improves the prediction accuracy and is an effective model for SST prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Spatial and Temporal Characteristics and Mechanisms of Marine Heatwaves in the Changjiang River Estuary and Its Surrounding Coastal Regions.
- Author
-
Xie, Minghong, Ji, Qiyan, Zheng, Qingdan, Meng, Ziyin, Wang, Yuting, and Gao, Meiling
- Subjects
MARINE heatwaves ,ESTUARIES ,EL Nino ,HEAT flux ,OCEAN temperature ,WIND speed ,ECOSYSTEMS ,MARINE ecology - Abstract
Marine heatwave (MHW) events have significant consequences for marine ecosystems and human society. This paper investigates a MHW's spatial–temporal characteristics in the Changjiang River Estuary and its surrounding coastal regions (CRESs), as well as analyzes the drivers, using satellite and reanalysis data spanning from 1982–2021. The findings show that, during the last 40 years, all four of the MHW indicators have increased. The summer MHW is more severe than other seasons, showing a rising pattern from southeast to northwest. The rise of MHWs can be attributed to the increase in sea surface heat flux, weak wind speed, and powerful El Niño events. Additionally, two special MHW events were detected during the entire study period: Event A lasted for 191 days from 9 October 2006 to 17 April 2007; Event B had an average intensity of 4.93 °C from 5 July 1994 to 1 August 1994. For locations so close to each other, the characteristics of MHWs can also vary, and the mechanisms behind them are highly complex. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Design of OMC-Sagnac Loop Using PDMS and Different Package Structures to Improve Sensing Performance and Optimize the Ill-Conditioned Matrix.
- Author
-
Zhang, Shumao, Yu, Yang, Hu, Xiaoyang, Bian, Qiang, Wang, Dongying, Weng, Junjie, Liang, Jianqiao, Wei, Linyi, Jiang, Peng, Luo, Hong, Yang, Linfeng, Yang, Junbo, and Zhang, Zhenrong
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,OPTICAL couplers ,STRUCTURAL optimization ,MACHINE learning ,DEMODULATION ,OCEAN color - Abstract
In the process of ocean exploration, highly accurate and sensitive measurements of seawater temperature and pressure significantly impact the study of seawater's physical, chemical, and biological processes. In this paper, three different package structures, V-shape, square-shape, and semicircle-shape, are designed and fabricated, and an optical microfiber coupler combined Sagnac loop (OMCSL) is encapsulated in these structures with polydimethylsiloxane (PDMS). Then, the temperature and pressure response characteristics of the OMCSL, under different package structures, are analyzed by simulation and experiment. The experimental results show that structural change hardly affects temperature sensitivity, and square-shape has the highest pressure sensitivity. In addition, with an input error of 1% F.S., temperature and pressure errors were calculated, which shows that a semicircle-shape structure can increase the angle between lines in the sensitivity matrix method (SMM), and reduce the effect of the input error, thus optimizing the ill-conditioned matrix. Finally, this paper shows that using the machine learning method (MLM) effectively improves demodulation accuracy. In conclusion, this paper proposes to optimize the ill-conditioned matrix problem in SMM demodulation by improving sensitivity with structural optimization, which essentially explains the cause of the large errors for multiparameter cross-sensitivity. In addition, this paper proposes to use the MLM to solve the problem of large errors in the SMM, which provides a new method to solve the problem of the ill-conditioned matrix in SMM demodulation. These have practical implications for engineering an all-optical sensor that can be used for detection in the ocean environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Sea surface temperature and torrential rains in the Valencia region: modelling the role of recharge areas.
- Author
-
Pastor, F., Valiente, J. A., and Estrela, M. J.
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,AIR masses ,RAINFALL ,MASS casualties - Abstract
Heavy rain events are frequently recorded in the Western Mediterranean causing economic losses and even human casualties. The Western Mediterranean is a deep and almost closed sea surrounded by high mountain ranges and with little exchange of water with the Atlantic ocean. A main factor in the development of torrential rains are ocean-atmosphere exchanges of heat and moisture that can potentially destabilize air masses travelling over the sea. The study of air mass trajectories previous to the rain event permits the identification of sea areas that could probably contribute to the development or intensification of rainfall. From a previous Mediterranean sea surface temperature climatology, its spatio-temporal distribution patterns have been studied showing two main distribution modes in winter and summer and transitional regimes in spring and autumn. Hence, three heavy precipitation events, for such winter and summer sea temperature regimes and for fall transition, affecting the Valencia region have been selected to study the effect of sea surface temperature in torrential rains. Simula tions with perturbed sea surface temperature in different areas along the air mass path were run to compare results with unperturbed simulation. The variation of sea surface temperature in certain areas caused significant changes in model accumulated values and its spatial distribution. Therefore, the existence of recharge areas where air-sea interaction favors the development of torrential rainfall in Valencia region has been shown. This methodology could be extended to the whole Mediterranean basin to look for such potential recharge areas. The identification of sea areas that contribute to the development or intensification of heavy rain events in the Mediterranean countries could be a useful prognosis and/or monitoring tool. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Determination of land surface reflectance using the AATSR dual-view capability.
- Author
-
Sogacheva, L., Kolmonen, P., Virtanen, T. H., Rodriguez, E., Sundström, A. M., and de Leeuw, G.
- Subjects
RADIOMETERS ,OCEAN temperature ,MODIS (Spectroradiometer) ,LAND surface temperature ,REFLECTANCE measurement ,ARTIFICIAL satellites - Abstract
In this study, a method is presented to retrieve the surface reflectance using reflectance measured at the top of the atmosphere for the two views provided by the Along-Track Scanning Radiometer (AATSR). In the first step, the aerosol optical depth (AOD) is obtained using the AATSR dual view algorithm (ADV) by eliminating the effect of the surface on the measured radiances. Hence the AOD is independent of surface properties and can thus be used in the second step to provide the aerosol part of the atmospheric correction which is needed for the surface reflectance retrieval. The method is applied to provide monthly maps of both AOD and surface reflectance at two wavelengths (555 and 659 nm) for the whole year of 2007. The results are validated vs. surface reflectance provided by the AERONET-based Surface Reflectance Validation Network (ASRVN). Correlation coefficients are 0.8 and 0.9 for 555 and 659 nm, respectively. The standard deviation is 0.001 for both wavelengths and the absolute error is less than 0.02. Pixel-by-pixel comparison with MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectrometer) monthly averaged surface reflectances show a good correlation (0.91 and 0.89 for 555 and 659 nm, respectively) with some (up to 0.05) overestimation by ADV over bright surfaces. The difference between the ADV and MODIS retrieved surface reflectance is smaller than ±0.025 for 68.3% of the collocated pixels at 555nm and 79.9% of the collocated pixels at 659 nm. An application of the results over Australia illustrates the variation of the surface reflectances for different land cover types. The validation and comparison results suggest that the algorithm can be successfully used for the both AATSR and ATSR-2 (which has characteristics similar to AATSR) missions, which together cover 17 years period of measurements (1995-2012), as well as a prototype for The Sea and Land Surface Temperature Radiometer (SLSTR) to be launched in 2015 onboard the Sentinel-3 satellite. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Transient simulations of the present and the last interglacial climate using a coupled general circulation model: effects of orbital acceleration.
- Author
-
Varma, V., Prange, M., and Schulz, M.
- Subjects
COMPUTER simulation ,CIRCULATION models ,GENERAL circulation model ,INTERGLACIALS ,MATHEMATICAL models ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
Numerical simulations provide a considerable aid in studying past climates. Out of the various approaches taken in designing numerical climate experiments, transient simulations have been found to be the most optimal when it comes to comparison with proxy data. However, multi-millennial or longer simulations using fully coupled general circulation models are computationally very expensive such that acceleration techniques are frequently applied. In this study, we compare the results from transient simulations of the present and the last interglacial with and without acceleration of the orbital forcing, using the comprehensive coupled climate model CCSM3 (Community Climate System Model 3). Our study shows that in most parts of the world, the simulation of long-term variations in interglacial surface climate is not significantly affected by the use of the acceleration technique (with an acceleration factor 10) and, hence, large-scale model-data comparison of surface variables is not hampered. However, in high-latitude regions where the surface climate has a direct connection to the deep ocean, e.g. in the Southern Ocean or the Nordic Seas, acceleration-induced biases in sea-surface temperature evolution may occur with potential influence on the dynamics of the overlying atmosphere. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. The influence of dynamic vegetation on the present-day simulation and future projections of the South Asian summer monsoon in the HadGEM2 family.
- Author
-
Martin, G. M. and Levine, R. C.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change models ,CLIMATE research ,OCEAN temperature ,VEGETATION & climate ,LAND cover - Abstract
The article presents a study which examines the influence climatic changes in land cover from the interactive terrestrial carbon cycle in the HadGEM2 Earth System configuration (HadGEM2-ES). The study used the 1980-2005 sections of the historical coupled model runs and observed the sea surface temperatures (SSTs). The study shows that the response of the dynamic vegetation to biases in regional climate can impact the existing climate simulation and climatic changes scenarios.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Power-law behavior in millennium climate simulations.
- Author
-
Henriksson, S. V., Räisänen, P., Silen, J., Järvinen, H., and Laaksonen, A.
- Subjects
CLIMATE research ,POWER law (Mathematics) ,DISCRETE Fourier transforms ,OCEAN temperature ,SIMULATION methods & models ,SENSITIVITY analysis - Abstract
The article presents a study which examines the power-law behavior in millennium climate simulations using the method of discrete Fourier transform. The study integrates COSMOS network Earth System Model, sensitivity analysis, and oscillatory timescales to determine the global mean temperature of the power-law. Results show that land areas have lower β than the ocean.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. MOMBA 1.1 - a high-resolution Baltic Sea configuration of GFDL's modular ocean model.
- Author
-
Dietze, H., Löptien, U., and Getzlaff, K.
- Subjects
OCEAN circulation ,NAUTICAL mile ,OCEAN temperature ,BIOGEOCHEMICAL cycles - Abstract
We present a new coupled ocean circulation - ice model configuration of the Baltic Sea. The model features, contrary to most existing configurations, a high horizontal resolution of ≈ 1 nautical mile which is eddy resolving over much of the domain. The vertical discretisation comprises a total of 47 vertical levels. Results from a 1987 to 1999 hind cast simulation show that the model's fidelity is competitive. As suggested by a comparison with sea surface temperatures observed from space, this applies especially to near-surface processes. Hence, the configuration is well suited to serve as a nucleus of a full-fledged coupled ocean circulation biogeochemical model (which is yet to be developed). A caveat is that the model fails to reproduce major inflow events. We trace this back to spurious vertical circulation patterns at the sills which may well be endemic to high resolution models based on geopotential coordinates. Further, we present indications that - so far neglected - eddy/wind effects exert significant control on wind-induced up- and downwelling. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. S4CAST v2.0: sea surface temperature based statistical seasonal forecast model.
- Author
-
Suárez-Moreno, R. and Rodríguez-Fonseca, B.
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,WEATHER forecasting ,METEOROLOGY statistical methods - Abstract
Sea Surface Temperature is the key variable when tackling seasonal to decadal climate forecast. Dynamical models are unable to properly reproduce tropical climate variability, introducing biases that prevent a skillful predictability. Statistical methodologies emerge as an alternative to improve the predictability and reduce these biases. Recent studies have put forward the non-stationary behavior of the teleconnections between tropical oceans, showing how the same tropical mode has different impacts depending on the considered sequence of decades. To improve the predictability, the Sea Surface Temperature based Statistical Seasonal foreCAST model (S
4 CAST) introduces the novelty of considering the non-stationary links between the predictor and predictand fields. This paper describes the development of S4 CAST model whose operation is focused on the study of the predictability of any variable related to sea surface temperature. An application focused on West African rainfall predictability has been implemented as a benchmark example. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Capturing optically important constituents and properties in a marine biogeochemical and ecosystem model.
- Author
-
Dutkiewicz, S., Hickman, A. E., Jahn, O., Gregg, W. W., Mouw, C. B., and Follows, M. J.
- Subjects
MARINE ecology ,BIOGEOCHEMISTRY ,RADIATIVE transfer ,SPECTRAL irradiance ,OCEAN temperature ,RIVER ecology - Abstract
We present a numerical model of the ocean that couples a three-stream radiative transfer component with a marine biogeochemical-ecosystem in a dynamic threedimensional physical framework. The radiative transfer component resolves spectral irradiance as it is absorbed and scattered within the water column. We explicitly include the effect of several optically important water constituents (the phytoplankton community, detrital particles, and coloured dissolved organic matter, CDOM). The model is evaluated against in situ observed and satellite derived products. In particular we compare to concurrently measured biogeochemical, ecosystem and optical data along a north-south transect of the Atlantic Ocean. The simulation captures the patterns and magnitudes of these data, and estimates surface upwelling irradiance analogous to that observed by ocean colour satellite instruments. We conduct a series of sensitivity experiments to demonstrate, globally, the relative importance of each of the water constituents, and the crucial feedbacks between the light field and the relative fitness of phytoplankton types, and the biogeochemistry of the ocean. CDOM has proportionally more importance at short wavelengths and in more productive waters, phytoplankton absorption is especially important at the deep chlorophyll a (Chl a) maximum, and absorption by water molecules is relatively most important in the highly oligotrophic gyres. Sensitivity experiments in which absorption by any of the optical constituents was increased led to a decrease in the size of the oligotrophic regions of the subtropical gyres: lateral nutrient supplies were enhanced as a result of decreasing high latitude productivity. Scattering does not as strongly affect the ecosystem and biogeochemistry fields within the water column but is important for setting the surface upwelling irradiance, and hence sea surface reflectance. Having a model capable of capturing bio-optical feedbacks will be important for improving our understanding of the role of light and optical constituents on ocean biogeochemistry, especially in a changing environment. The potential benefits of capturing surface upwelling irradiance will be important for making closer connections to satellite derived products in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Impact of seawater Ca2+ on the calcification and calcite Mg / Ca of Amphistegina lessonii.
- Author
-
Mewes, A., Langer, G., Thoms, S., Nehrke, G., Reichart, G.-J., de Nooijer, L. J., and Bijma, J.
- Subjects
CALCIUM ions ,OCEAN temperature ,CALCITE ,MAGNESIUM ,FORAMINIFERA - Abstract
Mg / Ca ratios in foraminiferal tests are routinely used as paleo temperature proxy, but on long timescales, also hold the potential to reconstruct past seawater Mg / Ca. Impact of both temperature and seawater Mg/Ca on Mg incorporation in foraminifera have been quantified by a number of studies. The underlying mechanism responsible for Mg incorporation in foraminiferal calcite and its sensitivity to environmental conditions, however, is not fully identified. A recently published biomineralization model (Nehrke et al., 2013) proposes a combination of transmembrane transport and seawater leakage or vacuolization to link calcite Mg / Ca to seawater Mg /Ca and explains inter-species variability in Mg / Ca ratios. To test the assumptions of this model, we conducted a culture study in which seawater Mg / Ca was manipulated by varying [Ca
2+ ] and keeping [Mg2+ ] constant. Foraminiferal growth rates, test thickness and calcite Mg / Ca of newly formed chambers were analyzed. Results showed optimum growth rates and test thickness at Mg / Ca closest to that of ambient seawater. Calcite Mg / Ca is positively correlated to seawater Mg / Ca, indicating that not absolute seawater [Ca2+ ] and [Mg2+ ], but the telative ratio controls Mg / Ca in tests. These results demonstrate that the calcification process cannot be based only on seawater vacuolization, supporting the mixing model proposed by Nehrke et al. (2013). Here we, however, suggest a transmembrane transport fractionation that is not as strong as suggested by Nehrke et al. (2013). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Cross-Calibration of HY-1D/COCTS Thermal Emissive Bands in the South China Sea.
- Author
-
Chen, Rui, Guan, Lei, Liu, Mingkun, and Qu, Liqin
- Subjects
OCEAN color ,OCEAN temperature ,SPECTRAL sensitivity ,INFRARED imaging ,COLOR temperature ,BRIGHTNESS temperature ,CALIBRATION - Abstract
Haiyang-1D (HY-1D) is the second operational satellite in China's Haiyang-1 series of satellites, carrying the Chinese Ocean Color and Temperature Scanner (COCTS) to provide ocean color and temperature observations. The radiometric calibration is a prerequisite to guarantee the quality of the satellite observations and the derived products, and the radiometric calibration of the thermal emissive bands of HY-1D/COCTS can effectively improve the accuracy of sea surface temperature (SST) derived from the thermal infrared data. In this paper, a study on the regional cross-calibration of the COCTS thermal emissive bands is conducted for high-accuracy SST observations in the South China Sea. The Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) on board the NOAA-20 satellite launched by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is selected as the calibration reference sensor, and a double-difference cross-calibration method is used for HY-1D/COCTS thermal infrared brightness temperature (BT) evaluation. The results show that the bias of the 11 µm and 12 µm thermal emissive bands of COCTS and VIIRS in the South China Sea are 0.101 K and 0.892 K, respectively, and the differences in BTs between the two sensors show temperature dependence. The cross-calibration coefficients are obtained and used to correct the BT of the COCTS thermal emissive bands. The bias of the BT of the 11 µm and 12 µm bands of COCTS are about 0.01 K after cross-calibration. To further validate the results, COCTS post-calibration data were examined using the NOAA-20 Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) data as a third-party source. The BT is calculated with the spectral response functions of the COCTS thermal emissive bands using the convolution calculation of the CrIS hyperspectral region observations. The comparison shows a small bias between the post-calibration COCTS thermal emissive band observations and CrIS, which is consistent with the comparison between VIIRS and CrIS. The accuracy of the post-calibration COCTS thermal emissive band BT data in the South China Sea has been significantly improved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Evaluation of in situ observations on Marine Weather Observer during Typhoon Sinlaku.
- Author
-
He, Wenying, Chen, Hongbin, Yu, Hongyong, Li, Jun, Pan, Jidong, Ma, Shuqing, Zhang, Xuefen, Guo, Rang, Zhao, Bingke, Chen, Xi, Xia, Xiangao, and Wang, Kaicun
- Subjects
TYPHOONS ,ATMOSPHERIC physics ,OCEANOGRAPHIC observations ,OCEAN temperature ,ATMOSPHERIC temperature ,WEATHER - Abstract
The mobile ocean weather observation system, named Marine Weather Observer (MWO), developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP), consists of a fully solar-powered, unoccupied vehicle and meteorological and hydrological instruments. One of the MWOs completed a long-term continuous observation, actively approaching the center of Typhoon Sinlaku from 24 July to 2 August 2020, over the South China Sea. The in situ and high-temporal-resolution (1 min) observations obtained from MWO were analyzed and evaluated through comparison with the observations made by two types of buoys during the evolution of Typhoon Sinlaku. First, the air pressure and wind speed measured by MWO are in good agreement with those measured by the buoys before the typhoon, reflecting the equivalent measurement capabilities of the two methods under normal sea conditions. The sea surface temperature (SST) between MWO and the mooring buoys is highly consistent throughout the observation period, indicating the high stability and accuracy of SST measurements from MWO during the typhoon evolution. The air temperature and relative humidity measured by MWO have significant diurnal variations, generally lower than those measured by the buoys, which may be related to the mounting height and sensitivity of sensors. When actively approaching the typhoon center, the air pressure from MWO can reflect some drastic and subtle changes, such as a sudden drop to 980 hPa, which is difficult to obtain by other observation methods. As a mobile meteorological and oceanographic observation station, MWO has shown its unique advantages over traditional observation methods, and the results preliminarily demonstrate the reliable observation capability of MWO in this paper. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Modeling the dynamics of a marine system using the fractional order approach to assess its susceptibility to global warming.
- Author
-
Premakumari, R. N., Baishya, Chandrali, Sajid, Mohammad, and Naik, Manisha Krishna
- Subjects
GLOBAL warming ,CAPUTO fractional derivatives ,OCEAN temperature ,SYSTEM dynamics ,OXYGEN content of seawater - Abstract
In the marine ecosystem, phytoplankton plays a vital role as the primary supplier of oxygen, contributing to 50% of the total oxygen production. Not only does it serve as a significant source of food for other species, but it also sustains life in the ocean. However, the rising ocean temperatures caused by global warming have severely hindered the ability of phytoplankton to generate oxygen. Furthermore, fishes are crucial consumers of oxygen within the marine ecosystem. This research paper presents a model that intricately connects the dynamics of oxygen, phytoplankton, zooplankton, and fish using the Caputo fractional derivative. The model aims to examine the impact of global warming on the collective dynamics by considering the relationship between the rate of oxygen generation, temperature, and time. The paper establishes the existence and uniqueness of solutions and also analyzes the stability of equilibrium points. Numerical simulations are conducted to demonstrate the impact of fractional derivatives and global warming on oxygen depletion and species extinction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Introduction to the project DUNE, a DUst experiment in a low Nutrient, low chlorophyll Ecosystem.
- Author
-
Guieu, C., Dulac, F., Ridame, C., and Pondaven, P.
- Subjects
CHLOROPHYLL ,ECOSYSTEMS ,ATMOSPHERIC deposition ,ENVIRONMENTAL impact analysis ,OCEAN temperature ,BIOGEOCHEMISTRY - Abstract
The main goal of the project DUNE was to estimate the impact of atmospheric deposition on an oligotrophic ecosystem based on mesocosm experiments simulating strong atmospheric inputs of Aeolian dust. Atmospheric deposition is now recognized as a significant source of macro- and micro-nutrients for the surface ocean, but the quantification of its role on the biological carbon pump is still poorly determined. We proposed in DUNE to investigate the role of atmospheric inputs on the functioning of an oligotrophic system particularly well adapted to this kind of study: the Mediterranean Sea. The Mediterranean Sea - etymologically, sea surrounded by land - is submitted to atmospheric inputs that are very variable both in frequency and intensity. During the thermal stratification period, only atmospheric deposition is prone to fertilize Mediterranean surface waters which has become very oligotrophic due to the nutrient depletion (after the spring bloom). This paper describes the objectives of DUNE and the implementation plan of a series of mesocosms experiments during which either wet or dry and a succession of two wet deposition fluxes of 10 gm-2 of Saharan dust have been simulated. After the presentation of the main biogeochemical initial conditions of the site at the time of each experiment, a general overview of the papers published in this special issue is presented, including laboratory results on the solubility of trace elements in erodible soils in addition to results from the mesocosm experiments. Our mesocosm experiments aimed at being representative of real atmospheric deposition events onto the surface of oligotrophic marine waters and were an original attempt to consider the vertical dimension in the study of the fate of atmospheric deposition within surface waters. Results obtained can be more easily extrapolated to quantify budgets and parameterize processes such as particle migration through a "captured water column". The strong simulated dust deposition events were found to impact the dissolved concentrations of inorganic dissolved phosphorus, nitrogen, iron and other trace elements. In the case of Fe, adsorption on sinking particles yields a decrease in dissolved concentration unless binding ligands were produced following a former deposition input and associated fertilization. For the first time, a quantification of the C export induced by the aerosol addition was possible. Description and parameterization of biotic (heterotrophs and autotrophs, including diazotrophs) and abiotic processes (ballast effect due to lithogenic particles) after dust addition in sea surface water, result in a net particulate organic carbon export in part controlled by the "lithogenic carbon pump". [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. An interaction network perspective on the relation between patterns of sea surface temperature variability and global mean surface temperature.
- Author
-
Tantet, A. and Dijkstra, H. A.
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,PRECIPITATION variability ,SEA level ,SPATIOTEMPORAL processes ,ORTHOGONAL functions ,COMMUNITY life research - Abstract
On interannual-to-multidecadal time scales variability in sea surface temperature appears to be organized in large-scale spatiotemporal patterns. In this paper, we investigate these patterns by studying the community structure of interaction networks con- structed from sea surface temperature observations. Much of the community structure as well as the first neighbour maps can be interpreted using known dominant patterns of variability, such as the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and teleconnections. The community detection method allows to overcome some shortcomings of Empirical Orthogonal Function analysis or composite analysis and hence provides additional information with respect to these classical analysis tools. The community analysis provides also new insight into the relationship between patterns of sea surface temperature and the global mean surface temperature (GMST). On the decadal-to-multidecadal time scale, we show that only two communities (Indian Ocean and North Atlantic) determine most of the GMST variability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Implementation of an optimal stomatal conductance model in the Australian Community Climate Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS1.3b).
- Author
-
Kala, J., De Kauwe, M. G., Pitman, A. J., Lorenz, R., Medlyn, B. E., Wang, Y.-P., Lin, Y.-S., and Abramowitz, G.
- Subjects
STOMATA ,TAIGAS ,BIOSPHERE ,LAND-atmosphere interactions ,SIMULATION methods & models ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
We implement a new stomatal conductance model, based on the optimality approach, within the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) land surface model. Coupled land-atmosphere simulations are then performed using CABLE within the Australian Community Climate and Earth Systems Simulator (ACCESS) with prescribed sea surface temperatures. As in most land surface models, the default stomatal conductance scheme only accounts for differences in model parameters in relation to the photosynthetic pathway, but not in relation to plant functional types. The new scheme allows model parameters to vary by plant functional type, based on a global synthesis of observations of stomatal conductance under different climate regimes over a wide range of species. We show that the new scheme reduces the latent heat flux from the land surface over the boreal forests during the Northern Hemisphere summer by 0.5 to 1.0 mm day
-1 . This leads to warmer daily maximum and minimum temperatures by up to 1.0 °C and warmer extreme maximum temperatures by up to 1.5 °C. These changes generally improve the climate model's climatology and improve existing biases by 10-20 %. The change in the surface energy balance also affects net primary productivity and the terrestrial carbon balance. We conclude that the improvements in the global climate model which result from the new stomatal scheme, constrained by a global synthesis of experimental data, provide a valuable advance in the long-term development of the ACCESS modelling system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Is a vital ocean current heading for a tipping point?
- Author
-
Cuff, Madeleine
- Subjects
ATLANTIC meridional overturning circulation ,MELTWATER ,OCEAN currents ,GREENHOUSE gases ,ICE sheet thawing ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
Two recent studies suggest that the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), an ocean current system that transports warm water and nutrients around the Atlantic Ocean, could collapse by the middle of the century. This collapse could lead to severe consequences such as a drop in temperatures across northern Europe, rapid sea level rise in North America, and disruption to monsoons in Asia. However, these predictions are controversial, and there are still significant uncertainties and limitations in using early warning signals (EWS) to predict the behavior of the AMOC. Some experts argue that climate models and historical data are not yet accurate enough to confidently make such predictions. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2024
30. Interdecadal Changes in the Links Between Late‐Winter NAO and North Atlantic Tripole SST and Possible Mechanism.
- Author
-
Song, Xiaolei, Yin, Zhicong, and Wang, Huijun
- Subjects
NORTH Atlantic oscillation ,OCEAN temperature ,CLIMATE extremes ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,EDDY flux - Abstract
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and North Atlantic tripole sea surface temperature (SST_tri) are important modes in the atmosphere and ocean over the North Atlantic, respectively. The link between the two is well‐known. However, this link weakened during 1980–2001, which is particularly pronounced in late winter and was not detected in early winter. This phenomenon has not been well revealed. The role of NAO in the above correlation changes was discussed. In late winter, a significant eastward shift (up to 20° longitude) of NAO south center during 1980–2001 was observed in both observation and CMIP6, accompanied by the eastward expansion of NAO north center. Spatial shift of the NAO forced the region of strong air‐sea interactions to shift and resulting in the collapse of NAO‐related SST_tri. These findings deepen our understanding of the NAO on the subseasonal scale. Plain Language Summary: A significant correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the North Atlantic tripole sea surface temperature (SST_tri) is widely recognized. However, this study found that the correlation between the two was significantly weakened in late winter during 1980–2001 while no such change was detected in early winter. Therefore, this paper will focus on the late winter and discuss the role of NAO spatial structure in the above correlation changes. When the NAO south center is located over the North Atlantic, both observations and the climate models indicate that the corresponding North Atlantic SST shows a significant tripole pattern. However, during 1980–2001, the NAO south center shift significantly eastward from the North Atlantic toward Western Europe (up to 20° longitude). At the same time, the NAO north center expanded eastward significantly. The eastward shift of the NAO results in the significant eastward shift of the turbulent heat flux and wind stress anomalies. Shift in the region of strong air‐sea interaction led to the collapse of NAO‐related SST_tri. These findings deepen our understanding of the NAO on the subseasonal scale and also provide implications for subseasonal‐seasonal predictions of Eurasian climate extremes. Key Points: The link between NAO and North Atlantic tripole SST weakened obviously during 1980–2001 late winter, which was not detected in early winterThe eastward shift of ∼20° longitude in NAO south center forced the strong air‐sea interactions region to shift in observations and CMIP6NAO's spatial shift in late winter caused the changes in the link between NAO and North Atlantic tripole SST [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. The Analysis of North Brazil Current Rings from Automatic Identification System Data and Altimetric Currents.
- Author
-
Boussidi, Brahim, Le Goff, Clément, Galard, Corentin, Carton, Xavier, and Speich, Sabrina
- Subjects
ANGULAR momentum (Mechanics) ,OCEAN temperature ,AUTOMATIC identification ,OCEAN currents ,TRACKING algorithms - Abstract
This paper aims to analyze the North Brazil Current (NBC) rings during the initial 5 months of 2020 using surface currents derived from Automatic Identification System (AIS) data in comparison with altimetry-based Archiving, Validation and Interpretation of Satellite Oceanographic Data (AVISO) current fields. The region of NBC rings is characterized by relatively high marine traffic, facilitating an accurate current estimation. Our investigation primarily focused on a brief period coinciding with intensive in situ measurements (EUREC4A-OA experiment). The Angular Momentum Eddy Detection and tracking Algorithm (AMEDA) detection algorithm was then employed to detect and track eddies in both fields. Subsequently, a particular NBC ring present in the region in January and February 2020 was examined. The comparison demonstrated that AIS data exhibited the precision and resolution necessary to effectively identify the NBC rings and smaller surrounding eddies, aligning well with other datasets such as in situ measurements, sea surface temperature (SST), and sea surface salinity (SSS) data. Moreover, we established that AIS data yielded accurate regional velocity fields, as evidenced by an analysis of energy spectra. Furthermore, our analysis revealed that AIS data captured aspects of eddy–eddy interactions which were not adequately depicted in AVISO fields. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Observational data on the reproductive condition of female Oceania fantail rays, Taeniura lessoni, from Drawaqa Island, Fiji.
- Author
-
Glaus, Kerstin, Vierus, Tom, and Macfarlane, Robert
- Subjects
SEXUAL cycle ,OCEAN temperature ,LIFE history theory ,BODY marking ,PECTORAL fins ,PARTURITION ,FEMALES - Abstract
Data on the reproductive biology of elasmobranchs are essential for understanding their life history. Published studies on batoid ray reproductive biology are comparatively scarce, leading to limited understanding and data gaps. The Oceania fantail ray, Taeniura lessoni, is a good example. This Data Deficient nearshore stingray is restricted to Melanesia, with lacking biological and ecological data, including reproduction. To expand upon the limited life-history data for this species, this short paper provides observational data on the reproductive condition in female T. lessoni, at Drawaqa Island, Fiji. Field work involved direct observations and ocean temperature measurements. Over 40 days spanning three months, 105 surveys were conducted across five sites, resulting in 71 sightings of the species. Based on spot patterns and body markings, four female individuals were identified. Between January and March 2024, these females exhibited convex dorsa indicating advanced gestation, transitioning to concave dorsa suggesting parturition. The presence of neonates from early March onwards coincided with the estimated parturition period inferred from the rays' condition. Furthermore, a female previously pregnant was photographed with a dermal abrasion around her pectoral fin, possibly indicating pre-copulatory biting, suggesting a continuous reproductive cycle. The average monthly water temperature at the surveyed sites remained relatively stable throughout the study. Collectively, our findings suggest that Drawaqa Island provides suitable habitat niches for reproductive activities in female T. lessoni. Repeated and long-term data is certainly needed to confirm either a continuous reproductive cycle or seasonal peaks. While preliminary, our observational data represents the first documentation on female reproductive condition in a stingray in Fiji. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Perceptions of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and La Niña Shape Fishers' Adaptive Capacity and Resilience.
- Author
-
Pollnac, Richard, Beitl, Christine M., Vina, Michael A., and Gaibor, Nikita
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,CLIMATE change adaptation ,SCIENTIFIC communication ,EL Nino ,CLIMATE change - Abstract
Much research has raised concerns about how a warming planet will interact with natural cyclical climatic variations, and the implications for the resilience and vulnerability of coastal communities. As the anticipated effects of climate change will continue to intensify, it is necessary to understand the response and adaptive capacity of individuals and communities. Coastal communities in Ecuador have evolved in an environment of such cyclical climatic variations referred to as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and La Niña. These climatic events are frequently characterized by extreme variations in precipitation, violent storms, and coastal flooding during El Niño and lowered sea water temperatures and drought during La Niña. This paper draws on survey data and long-term ethnographic research in Ecuadorian coastal communities to explore how fishers understand the impacts of ENSO and implications for their livelihood decisions and resilience to climate variability. The results suggest that fishers along the coast of Ecuador understand and respond differentially to the impacts of ENSO depending on social, cultural, environmental, and geographical factors. These differential levels of response suggest that livelihood diversification may uphold social resilience, which has implications for how coastal communities may adapt to the increasingly harsh weather conditions predicted by many climate models. Our findings further suggest that the impacts of El Niño are more salient than the impacts of La Niña; these findings have significant implications for fisheries management and science communication. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Skin sea surface temperature schemes in coupled ocean–atmosphere modelling: the impact of chlorophyll-interactive e-folding depth.
- Author
-
de Toma, Vincenzo, Ciani, Daniele, Hesham Essa, Yassmin, Yang, Chunxue, Artale, Vincenzo, Pisano, Andrea, Cavaliere, Davide, Santoleri, Rosalia, and Storto, Andrea
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,ATMOSPHERE ,SPRING ,ENTHALPY ,AUTUMN ,SOLAR radiation ,OCEAN color - Abstract
In this paper, we explore different prognostic methods to account for skin sea surface temperature diurnal variations in a coupled ocean–atmosphere regional model of the Mediterranean Sea. Our aim is to characterise the sensitivity of the considered methods with respect to the underlying assumption of how the solar radiation shapes the warm layer of the ocean. All existing prognostic methods truncate solar transmission coefficient at a warm-layer reference depth that is constant in space and time; instead, we implement a new scheme where this latter is estimated from a chlorophyll dataset as the e -folding depth of solar transmission, which thus allows it to vary in space and time depending on seawater's transparency conditions. Comparison against satellite data shows that our new scheme, compared to the one already implemented within the ocean model, improves the spatially averaged diurnal signal, especially during winter, and the seasonally averaged one in spring and autumn, while showing a monthly basin-wide averaged bias smaller than 0.1 K year-round. In April, when most of the drifters' measurements are available, the new scheme mitigates the bias during nighttime, keeping it positive but smaller than 0.12 K during the rest of the monthly averaged day. The new scheme implemented within the ocean model improves the old one by about 0.1 K, particularly during June. All the methods considered here showed differences with respect to objectively analysed profiles confined between 0.5 K during winter and 1 K in summer for both the eastern and the western Mediterranean regions, especially over the uppermost 60 m. The new scheme reduces the RMSE on the top 15 m in the central Mediterranean for summertime months compared to the scheme already implemented within the ocean model. Overall, the surface net total heat flux shows that the use of a skin sea surface temperature (SST) parameterisation brings the budget about 1.5 Wm-2 closer to zero on an annual basis, despite all simulations showing an annual net heat loss from the ocean to the atmosphere. Our "chlorophyll-interactive" method proved to be an effective enhancement of existing methods, its strength relying on an improved physical consistency with the solar extinction implemented in the ocean component. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Influence of Radiation Stress on Upper-Layer Ocean Temperature under Geostrophic Condition.
- Author
-
Cao, Xuhui, Shi, Jian, Chen, Jie, Wang, Qianhui, Lv, Jialei, and Zhao, Zeqi
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,WAVE-current interaction ,TURBULENT mixing ,MIXING height (Atmospheric chemistry) ,WATER waves ,OCEAN currents ,WATER demand management ,OCEAN - Abstract
Wave-induced radiation stress (RS), as a primary driver of ocean currents influenced by waves, plays an important role in the response of upper ocean temperatures under typhoons. Previous studies have mainly focused on wave-generated currents and coastal currents in nearshore areas. This paper incorporates the geostrophic effect into the wave-induced radiation stress of wave-current interaction, and the effect of waves on the changes in upper ocean temperature (including sea surface temperature (SST) and mixed layer temperature) under typhoon Nanmadol (2022) is studied. The FVCOM-SWAVE model is used to conduct a preliminary numerical study in the western Pacific Ocean. The RS with the geostrophic effect increased the horizontal and vertical components, leading to an enhancement in turbulent mixing and a decrease in SST by up to 1.0 °C to 1.4 °C, which is closer to the SST obtained by OISST remote sensing fusion observation data. In the strong divergence domain, the direction of the vortex flow exhibits a more pronounced turn to the right, accompanied by an increase in water velocity. The vertical temperature profile of the ocean shows that the water below is perturbed by the RS component of the geostrophic effect, and the depth of the mixed layer increases by about 2 m, which is closer to the depth of the mixed layer observed by the Argo floats, indirectly enhancing the vertical mass transport of the ocean. In general, this shows that RS, which takes into account geostrophic effects, enhances the effect of waves on the water below, indirectly leading to lower temperatures in the upper ocean, and the simulated results align more closely with the observed data, offering valuable insights for enhancing marine numerical forecasting accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks.
- Author
-
Teleti, Praveen, Hawkins, Ed, and Wood, Kevin R.
- Subjects
WORLD War II ,WARSHIPS ,OCEAN temperature ,LOGBOOKS ,WEATHER - Abstract
The number and coverage of weather observations over the oceans were considerably reduced during World War II (WW2) due to disruptions to normal trade routes. The observations that do exist for this period are often unavailable to science as they are still only available as paper records or scanned images. We have rescued the detailed hourly weather observations contained in more than 28,000 logbook images of the US Navy Pacific Fleet stationed at Hawai'i during 1941–1945 to produce a dataset of more than 630,000 records. Each record contains the date and time, positional information and several meteorological measurements, totalling more than 3 million individual observations. The data rescue process consisted of a citizen science project asking volunteers to transcribe the observations from the available images, followed by additional quality control processes. This dataset not only contains hourly weather observations of air temperature, sea surface temperature, atmospheric pressure, wind speed and wind direction, mainly in the Pacific Ocean but also includes some observations from the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The new observations are found to be of good quality by inter‐comparing independent measurements taken on ships travelling in convoy and by comparing with the 20th‐Century Reanalysis. This dataset provides invaluable instrumental weather observations at times and places during WW2, which fill gaps in existing reconstructions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. A Stochastic, Lagrangian Model of Sinking biogenic aggregates in the ocean (SLAMS 1.0): model formulation, validation and sensitivity.
- Author
-
Jokulsdottir, T. and Archer, D.
- Subjects
ZOOPLANKTON ,CLIMATE change ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
We present a new mechanistic model, Stochastic Lagrangian Aggregate Model of Sinking particles (SLAMS) for the biological pump in the ocean, which tracks the evolution of individual particles as they aggregate, disaggregate, sink, and are altered by chemical and biological processes. SLAMS considers the impacts of ballasting by mineral phases, binding of aggregates by transparent exopolymer particles (TEP), zooplankton grazing, and the fractal geometry (porosity) of the aggregates. Parameterizations for age-dependent organic carbon (orgC) degradation kinetics, and disaggregation driven by zooplankton grazing and TEP degradation, are motivated by observed particle fluxes and size spectra throughout the water column. The model is able to explain observed variations in orgC export efficiency and rain ratio from the euphotic zone and to the sea floor as driven by sea surface temperature and the primary production rate and sea-sonality of primary production. The model provides a new mechanistic framework with which to predict future changes on the flux attenuation of orgC in response to climate change forcing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. The tropical Atlantic surface wind divergence belt and its effect on clouds.
- Author
-
Tubul, Y., Koren, I., and Altaratz, O.
- Subjects
INTERTROPICAL convergence zone ,SPATIOTEMPORAL processes ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
A well-defined surface wind divergence (SWD) belt with distinct cloud properties forms over the equatorial Atlantic during the boreal summer months. This belt separates the deep convective clouds of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) from the shallow marine stratocumulus cloud decks forming over the cold-water subtropical region of the southern Hadley cell. Using the QuikSCAT-SeaWinds and Aqua-MODIS instruments, we examined the large-scale spatiotemporal variability of the SWD belt during a 6 year period (2003-2008) and the related links to cloud properties over the Atlantic Ocean. The Atlantic SWD belt was found to be most pronounced from May to August, between the equator and 2° N latitude. A positive correlation and a strong link were observed between formation of the SWD belt and a sharp sea-surface temperature gradient on the northern border of the cold tongue, supporting Wallace's vertical-mixing mechanism. The dominant cloud type over this region was shallow cumulus. Cloud properties were shown to be strongly linked to the formation and strength of the SWD zone. Our findings help understand the link between ocean-atmosphere dynamics and cloud properties over this region, and suggest that the SWD zone be considered a unique cloud belt of the southern branch of the Atlantic Hadley cell. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. New insights of pCO2 variability in the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean using SMOS SSS.
- Author
-
Brown, C. W., Boutin, J., and Merlivat, L.
- Subjects
PARTIAL pressure ,OCEAN-atmosphere interaction ,OCEAN temperature ,ATMOSPHERIC pressure - Abstract
Complex oceanic circulation and air--sea interaction make the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean (ETPO) a highly variable source of CO
2 to the atmosphere. Although the scientific community have amassed 70 000 surface partial-pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2 ) datapoints within the ETPO region over the past 25 years, the spatial and temporal resolution of this dataset is insufficient to fully quantify the seasonal to inter-annual variability of the region, a region where pCO2 has been observed to fluctuate by >300 µatm. Upwelling and rainfall events dominate the surface physical and chemical characteristics of the ETPO, with both yielding unique signatures in sea surface temperature and salinity. Thus, we explore the potential of using a statistical description of pCO2 within sea-surface salinity-temperature space. These SSS/SST relationships are based on in-situ SOCAT data collected within the ETPO. This statistical description is then applied to high resolution (0.25°) SMOS sea surface salinity and OSTIA sea surface temperature in order to compute regional pCO2 . As a result, we are able to resolve pCO2 at sufficiently high resolution to elucidate the influence various physical processes have on the pCO2 of the surface ETPO. Normalised (to 2014) oceanic pCO2 between July 2010 and June 2014 within the entire ETPO was 41 µatm supersaturated with respect to 2014 atmospheric partial pressures. Values of pCO2 within the ETPO were found to be broadly split between southeast and a northwest regions. The north west, central and South Equatorial Current regions were supersaturated, with wintertime wind jet driven upwelling found to be the first order control on pCO2 values. This contrasts with the southeastern/Gulf of Panama region, where heavy rainfall combined with rapid stratification of the upper water-column act to dilute dissolved inorganic carbon, and yield pCO2 values under-saturated with respect to atmospheric partial pressures of CO2 . [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Seasonal dynamics of nitrogen fixation and the diazotroph community in the temperate coastal region of the northwestern North Pacific.
- Author
-
Shiozaki, T., Nagata, T., Ijichi, M., and Furuya, K.
- Subjects
NITROGEN fixation ,OCEAN temperature ,ANAEROBIC bacteria ,EUPHOTIC zone - Abstract
Nitrogen fixation in temperate oceans is a potentially important, but poorly understood process that may influence the marine nitrogen budget. This study determined seasonal variations in nitrogen fixation and nifH gene diversity within the euphotic zone in the temperate coastal region of the northwestern North Pacific. Nitrogen fixation as high as 13.6 nmolN L
-1 d-1 was measured from early summer to fall when the surface temperature exceeded 14.2 °C and the surface nitrate concentration was low (≤ 0.30 µM), although we also detected nitrogen fixation in subsurface layers (42-62 m) where nitrate concentrations were high (> 1 µM). During periods with high nitrogen fixation, the nifH sequences of UCYN-A were recovered, suggesting that these groups played a key role in nitrogen fixation. The nifH genes were also recovered in spring and winter when nitrogen fixation was undetectable. These genes consisted of many sequences affiliated with Cluster III diazotrophs (putative anaerobic bacteria), which hitherto have rarely been reported to be abundant in surface diazotroph communities in marine environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. Methodological aspects of a pattern-scaling approach to produce global fields of monthly means of daily maximum and minimum temperature.
- Author
-
Kremser, S., Bodeker, G. E., and Lewis, J.
- Subjects
CLIMATE change ,EMISSIONS (Air pollution) ,QUANTITATIVE research ,SURFACE temperature ,REGRESSION analysis ,GREENHOUSE gases ,OCEAN temperature ,ATMOSPHERIC models - Abstract
A Climate Pattern-Scaling Model (CPSM) that simulates global patterns of climate change, for a prescribed emissions scenario, is described. A CPSM works by quantitatively establishing the statistical relationship between a climate variable at a specific location (e.g. daily maximum surface temperature, T
max ) and one or more predictor time series (e.g. global mean surface temperature, Tglobal ) - referred to as the "training" of the CPSM. This training uses a regression model to derive fit-coefficients that describe the statistical relationship between the predictor time series and the target climate variable time series. Once that relationship has been determined, and given the predictor time series for any greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenario, the change in the climate variable of interest can be reconstructed - referred to as the "application" of the CPSM. The advantage of using a CPSM rather than a typical atmosphere-ocean global climate model (AOGCM) is that the predictor time series required by the CPSM can usually be generated quickly using a simple climate model (SCM) for any prescribed GHG emissions scenario and then applied to generate global fields of the climate variable of interest. The training can be performed either on historical measurements or on output from an AOGCM. Using model output from 21st century simulations has the advantage that the climate change signal is more pronounced than in historical data and therefore a more robust statistical relationship is obtained. The disadvantage of us20 ing AOGCM output is that the CPSM training might be compromised by any AOGCM inadequacies. For the purposes of exploring the various methodological aspects of the CPSM approach, AOGCM output was used in this study to train the CPSM. These investigations of the CPSM methodology focus on monthly mean fields of daily temperature extremes (Tmax and Tmin ). Key conclusions are: (1) overall, the CPSM trained on simulations based on the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 emissions scenario is able to reproduce AOGCM simulations of Tmax and Tmin based on predictor time series from an RCP 4.5 emissions scenario; (2) access to hemisphere average land and ocean temperatures as predictors improves the variance that can be explained, particularly over the oceans; (3) regression model fit-coefficients derived from individual simulations based on the RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5 emissions scenarios agree well over most regions of the globe (the Arctic is the exception); (4) training the CPSM on concatenated time series from an ensemble of simulations does not result in fit-coefficients that explain significantly more of the variance than an approach that weights results based on single simulation fits; and (5) the inclusion of a linear time dependence in the regression model fit-coefficients improves the variance explained, primarily over the oceans. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Inter-annual variation of chlorophyll in the northern South China Sea observed at the SEATS Station and its asymmetric responses to climate oscillation.
- Author
-
Liu, K.-K., Wang, L.-W., Dai, M., Tseng, C.-M., Yang, Y., Sui, C.-H., Oey, L., Tseng, K.-Y., and Huang, S.-M.
- Subjects
CHLOROPHYLL ,CLIMATE change ,OCEAN temperature ,WIND pressure ,THERMOCLINES (Oceanography) ,MULTIVARIATE analysis - Abstract
It is widely recognized that the variation of average surface chlorophyll a concentration (Chl) in the South China Sea (SCS) is closely related to wind forcing, especially during the intense winter monsoon. In this study we demonstrate that, after removal of the seasonal cycles, the variation of Chl showed strong asymmetric responses to wind speed under El Ni ñ;o or La Ni ña conditions. The analysis was based on a time-series of Chl in the study area (115-117 °E, 17-19 °N) around the SEATS (South-East Asian Timeseries Study) station located in the central northern SCS from September 1997 to the end of 2011, which was constructed by merging the SeaWiFS data (1997-2006) and MODIS data (2003-2011). The merged daily data were validated by shipboard observations at the SEATS station. The non-seasonal variations of monthly mean Chl, wind speed, sea surface height (SSH) and sea surface temperature (SST) were examined against the multivariate ENSO index (MEI). The analysis reveals strongly asymmetric correlations of Chl and SST with positive MEI (El Ni ño) or negative MEI (La Ni ña). Under El Ni ño conditions, both showed significant correlations with MEI or wind speed; under La Niña conditions, both showed weak or insignificant correlations. The contrast was more pronounced for Chl than for SST. The subdued responses of Chl to wind forcing under La Ni ña conditions were probably attributed to a deepened thermocline, for which wind driven nutrient pumping is less efficient. A deeper thermocline, which was observed during the 1999-000 La Ni ña event and inferred by positive SSH anomalies during other La Ni ña events, was probably caused by reduced SCS throughflow under La Ni ña conditions. Intrusion of the nutrient-depleted Kuroshio water in the surface layer as observed during the 1999-2000 La Ni ña could be partially responsible for the suppressed Chl response. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Numerical modelling of methyl iodide in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic.
- Author
-
Stemmler, I., Rothe, M., and Hense, I.
- Subjects
NUMERICAL analysis ,METHYL iodide ,VOLATILE organic compounds ,OCEAN temperature ,ORGANIC compounds ,BIOLOGICAL productivity - Abstract
Methyl iodide (CH
3 I) is a volatile organic halogen compound that contributes significantly to the transport of iodine from the ocean to the atmosphere, where it plays an important role in tropospheric chemistry. CH3 I is naturally produced and occurs in the global ocean. The processes involved in the formation of CH3 I, however, are not fully understood. In fact, there is an ongoing debate whether production by phytoplankton or photochemical degradation of organic matter is the main source term. Here, both the biological and photochemical production mechanisms are considered in a biogeochemical module that is coupled to a one-dimensional water column model for the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. The model is able to reproduce observed subsurface maxima of CH3 I concentrations. But, the dominating source process cannot be clearly identified as sub- surface maxima can occur due to both, direct biological and photochemical production. However, good agreement between the observed and simulated difference between surface and subsurface methyl iodide concentrations is achieved only when direct biological production is taken into account. Published production rates for the biological CH3 I source that were derived from laboratory studies are shown to be inappropriate for explaining CH3 I concentrations in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Using particle filter to track horizontal variations of atmospheric duct structure from radar sea clutter.
- Author
-
Zhao, X. F. and Huang, S. X.
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC radio refractivity ,TRACKING radar ,MONTE Carlo method ,OCEAN temperature ,SIMULATION methods & models - Abstract
The article presents a study which aimed to address the issue on estimating height-dependent refractivity's range-varying parameters on the sea surface from radar sea clutter. The study made use of particle filter (PF) for tracking atmospheric duct structure's horizontal variations from radar sea clutter. Results revealed the important role being played by refractivity from clutter (RFC) in radar systems' full usage.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Radiative budget and cloud radiative effect over the Atlantic from ship based observations.
- Author
-
Kalisch, J. and Macke, A.
- Subjects
ATMOSPHERIC radiation ,CLOUDS ,CLIMATE change ,OCEAN temperature - Abstract
The article focuses on a study which seeks to identify cloud-type resolved cloud radiative budgets and cloud radiative effects from surface measurements of broadband radiative fluxes across the Atlantic Ocean. It performs a radiative closure study using the ECHAM5 single column model in identifying the models ability to reproduce the effects of clouds on the climate system. It creates an extensive data base of radiative and atmospheric measurements.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Dynamics of N2 fixation and fate of diazotroph-derived nitrogen in a low nutrient low chlorophyll ecosystem: results from the VAHINE mesocosm experiment (New Caledonia).
- Author
-
Bonnet, S., Berthelot, H., Turk-Kubo, K., Fawcett, S., Rahav, E., l'Helguen, S., and Berman-Frank, I.
- Subjects
NITROGEN fixation ,CHLOROPHYLL ,PHOSPHORUS ,OCEAN temperature ,ALKALINE phosphatase - Abstract
N
2 fixation rates were measured daily in large (~ 50 m³) mesocosms deployed in the tropical South West Pacific coastal ocean (New Caledonia) to investigate the spatial and temporal dynamics of diazotrophy and the fate of diazotroph-derived nitrogen (DDN) in a low nutrient, low chlorophyll ecosystem. The mesocosms were intentionally fertilized with ~ 0.8 μM dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) to stimulate diazotrophy. Bulk N2 fixation rates were replicable between the three mesocosms, averaged 18.5 ± 1.1 nmol N L-1 d-1 over the 23 days, and increased by a factor of two during the second half of the experiment (days 15 to 23) to reach 27.3 ± 1.0 nmol N L-1 d-1 . These rates are higher than the upper range reported for the global ocean, indicating that the waters surrounding New Caledonia are particularly favourable for N2 fixation. During the 23 days of the experiment, N2 fixation rates were positively correlated with seawater temperature, primary production, bacterial production, standing stocks of particulate organic carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus, and alkaline phosphatase activity, and negatively correlated with DIP concentrations, DIP turnover time, nitrate, and dissolved organic nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations. The fate of DDN was investigated during the bloom of the unicellular diazotroph, UCYN-C, that occurred during the second half of the experiment. Quantification of diazotrophs in the sediment traps indicates that ~ 10% of UCYN-C from the water column were exported daily to the traps, representing as much as 22.4 ± 5.5% of the total POC exported at the height of the UCYN-C bloom. This export was mainly due to the aggregation of small (5.7 ± 0.8 μm) UCYN-C cells into large (100-500 μm) aggregates. During the same time period, a DDN transfer experiment based on high-resolution nanometer scale secondary ion mass spectrometry (nanoSIMS) coupled with15 N2 isotopic labelling revealed that 16 ± 6% of the DDN was released to the dissolved pool and 21 ± 4% was transferred to non-diazotrophic plankton, mainly picoplankton (18 ± 4%) followed by diatoms (3 ± 2%) within 24 h of incubation. This is consistent with the observed dramatic increase in picoplankton and diatom abundances, primary production, bacterial production and standing stocks of particulate organic carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus during the second half of the experiment in the mesocosms. These results offer insights into the fate of DDN during a bloom of UCYN-C in low nutrient, low chlorophyll ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Technical Note: Towards resolving in situ, centimeter-scale location and timing of biomineralization in calcareous meiobenthos - the Calcein-Osmotic pump method.
- Author
-
Bernhard, J. M., Phalen, W. G., McIntyre-Wressnig, A., Mezzo, F., Wit, J. C., Jeglinski, M., and Filipsson, H. L.
- Subjects
BIOMINERALIZATION ,MEIOFAUNA ,OCEANOGRAPHY ,OCEAN temperature ,NUTRIENT cycles ,ANALYTICAL geochemistry - Abstract
Insights into oceanographic environmental conditions such as paleoproductivity, sea-surface temperatures, deep-water temperatures, salinity, ice volumes, circulation patterns, and nutrient cycling have all been obtained from geochemical analyses of biomineralized carbonate of marine organisms. However, we cannot fully understand geochemical proxy incorporation and the fidelity of such in species until we better understand fundamental aspects of their ecology such as where and when these (micro)organisms calcify. Here, we present an innovative method using osmotic pumps and the fluorescent marker calcein to help identify where and when calcareous meiofauna calcify in situ. Method development initially involved juvenile quahogs (Mercenaria mercenaria); subsequent method refinement involved a neritic benthic foraminiferal community. Future applications of this method will allow determinations of in situ growth rate in calcareous organisms and provide insights about microhabitats where paleoceanographically relevant benthic foraminifera actually calcify. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Exploring and Visualizing Research Progress and Emerging Trends of Event Prediction: A Survey.
- Author
-
Xu, Shishuo, Liu, Jinbo, Li, Songnian, Yang, Su, and Li, Fangning
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,FORECASTING ,DATABASES ,RESEARCH personnel ,TEMPERATURE sensors - Abstract
Over the last decade, event prediction has drawn attention from both academic and industry communities, resulting in a substantial volume of scientific papers published in a wide range of journals by scholars from different countries and disciplines. However, thus far, a comprehensive and systematic survey of recent literature has been lacking to quantitatively capture the research progress as well as emerging trends in the event prediction field. Aiming at addressing this gap, we employed CiteSpace software to analyze and visualize data retrieved from the Web of Science (WoS) database, including authors, documents, research institutions, and keywords, based on which the author co-citation network, document co-citation network, collaborative institution network, and keyword co-occurrence network were constructed. Through analyzing the aforementioned networks, we identified areas of active research, influential literature, collaborations at the national level, interdisciplinary patterns, and emerging trends by identifying the central nodes and the nodes with strong citation bursts. It reveals that sensor data has been widely used for predicting weather events and meteorological events (e.g., monitoring sea surface temperature and weather sensor data for predicting El Nino). The real-time and multivariable monitoring features of sensor data enable it to be a reliable source for predicting multiple types of events. Our work offers not only a comprehensive survey of the existing studies but also insights into the development trends within the event prediction field. These findings will assist researchers in conducting further research in this area and draw a large readership among academia and industrial communities who are engaged in event prediction research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Optimizing Back-Propagation Neural Network to Retrieve Sea Surface Temperature Based on Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm.
- Author
-
Ji, Changming and Ding, Haiyong
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,MACHINE learning ,SPARROWS ,BRIGHTNESS temperature ,SEARCH algorithms ,CLOUDINESS - Abstract
Sea surface temperature (SST) constitutes a pivotal physical parameter in the investigation of atmospheric, oceanic, and air–sea exchange processes. The retrieval of SST through satellite passive microwave (PMW) technology effectively mitigates the interference posed by cloud cover, addressing a longstanding challenge. Nevertheless, conventional functional representations often fall short in capturing the intricate interplay of factors influencing SST. Leveraging neural networks (NNs), known for their adeptness in tackling nonlinear and intricate problems, holds great promise in SST retrieval. Nonetheless, NNs exhibit a high sensitivity to initial weights and thresholds, rendering them susceptible to local optimization issues. In this study, we present a novel machine learning (ML) approach for SST retrieval using PMW measurements, drawing from the Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA) and Back-Propagation neural network (BPNN) methodologies. The core premise involves the optimization of the BP neural network's initial weights and thresholds through an enhanced SSA algorithm employing various optimization strategies. This optimization aims to provide superior parameters for the training of the BP neural network. Employing AMSR2 brightness temperature data, sea surface wind speed data, and buoy SST measurements, we construct the ISSA-BP model for sea surface temperature retrieval. The validation of the ISSA-BP model against the test data is conducted and compared against the multiple linear regression (MLR) model, an unoptimized BP model, and an unimproved SSA-BP model. The results manifest an impressive R-squared (R
2 ) value of 0.9918 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 0.8268 °C for the ISSA-BP model, attesting to its superior accuracy. Furthermore, the ISSA-BP model was applied to retrieve global sea surface temperatures on 15 July 2022, yielding an R2 of 0.9926 and an RMSE of 0.7673 °C for the OISST product on the same day, underscoring its excellent concordance. The results indicate that SST can be efficiently and accurately retrieved using the model proposed in this paper, based on satellite PMW measurements. This finding underscores the potential of employing machine learning algorithms for SST retrieval and offers a valuable reference for future studies focusing on the retrieval of other sea surface parameters. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Sparse Data-Extended Fusion Method for Sea Surface Temperature Prediction on the East China Sea.
- Author
-
Wang, Xiaoliang, Wang, Lei, Zhang, Zhiwei, Chen, Kuo, Jin, Yingying, Yan, Yijun, and Liu, Jingjing
- Subjects
OCEAN temperature ,ADVANCED very high resolution radiometers ,DEEP learning - Abstract
The accurate temperature background field plays a vital role in the numerical prediction of sea surface temperature (SST). At present, the SST background field is mainly derived from multi-source data fusion, including satellite SST data and in situ data from marine stations, buoys, and voluntary observing ships. The characteristics of satellite SST data are wide coverage but low accuracy, whereas the in situ data have high accuracy but sparse distribution. For obtaining a more accurate temperature background field and realizing the fusion of measured data with satellite data as much as possible, we propose a sparse data-extended fusion method to predict SST in this paper. By using this method, the actual observed sites and buoys data in the East China Sea area are fused with Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Pathfinder Version 5.0 SST data. Furthermore, the temperature field in the study area were predicted by using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU) deep learning methods, respectively. Finally, we obtained the results by traditional prediction methods to verify them. The experimental results show that the method we proposed in this paper can obtain more accurate prediction results, and effectively compensate for the uncertainty caused by the parameterization of ocean dynamic process, the discrete method, and the error of initial conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.