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China's fast pace industrialization and growing population has led to several accidental surface water pollution events in the last decades. The government of China, after the 2005 Songhua River incident, has pushed for the development of early warning systems (EWS) for drinking water source protection. However, there are still many weaknesses in EWS in China such as the lack of pollution monitoring and advanced water quality prediction models. The application of Data Driven Models (DDM) such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) has acquired recent attention as an alternative to physical models. For a case study in a south industrial city in China, a DDM based on genetic algorithm (GA) and ANN was tested to increase the response time of the city's EWS. The GA-ANN model was used to predict NH3-N, CODmn and TOC variables at station B 2 h ahead of time while showing the most sensitive input variables available at station A, 12 km upstream. For NH3-N, the most sensitive input variables were TOC, CODmn, TP, NH3-N and Turbidity with model performance giving a mean square error (MSE) of 0.0033, mean percent error (MPE) of 6% and regression (R) of 92%. For COD, the most sensitive input variables were Turbidity and CODmn with model performance giving a MSE of 0.201, MPE of 5% and R of 0.87. For TOC, the most sensitive input variables were Turbidity and CODmn with model performance giving a MSE of 0.101, MPE of 2% and R of 0.94. In addition, the GA-ANN model performed better for 8 h ahead of time. For future studies, the use of a GA-ANN modelling technique can be very useful for water quality prediction in Chinese monitoring stations which already measure and have immediately available water quality data., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Contamination events in water distribution systems (WDSs) are highly dangerous events in very vulnerable infrastructure where a quick response by water utility managers is indispensable. Various studies have explored methods to respond to water events and a variety of models have been developed to simulate the consequences and the reactions of all stakeholders involved. This study proposes a novel contamination response and recovery methodology using machine learning and knowledge of the topology and hydraulics of a water network inside of an agent-based model (ABM). An artificial neural network (ANN) is trained to predict the possible source of the contamination in the network, and the knowledge of the WDS and the possible flow directions throughout a demand pattern is utilized to verify that prediction. The utility manager agent can place mobile sensor equipment to trace the contamination spread after identifying the source to identify endangered and safe places in the water network and communicate that information to the consumer agents through water advisories. The contamination status of the network is continuously updated, and the consumers reaction and decision making are determined by a fuzzy logic system considering their social background, recent stress factors based on findings throughout the COVID-19 pandemic and their location in the network. The results indicate that the ANN-based support tool, paired with knowledge of the network, provides a promising support tool for utility managers to identify the source of a possible water event. The optimization of the ANN and the methodology led to accuracies up to 80%, depending on the number of sensors and the prediction types. Furthermore, the specified water advisories according to the mobile sensor placement provide the consumer agents with information on the contamination spread and urges them to seek for help or support less. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Water distribution systems are liable to be contaminated. Depending on the nature of the contamination the cleaning process may include disinfection. The common requirement for disinfection is that the disinfectants will have a minimal contact time and a predefined minimum concentration with the pipe. The regulations consider disinfection of a single main but no specific procedures are given for larger portions of the network. This paper presents a multi-objective optimal operation plan for disinfection of water systems. The objective functions are to minimize the disinfection time and minimize the disinfectant quantities used while keeping the required regulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: The presented study features an event detection model alerting for contamination events in water distribution systems. The developed model comprises a minimum volume ellipsoid (MVE) classifier, detecting outlier measurements, and a following sequence analysis utilizing the MVE binary output, for the classification of events. The model is updated continuously and exploits a constantly growing data base. The MVE enables simultaneous analysis of the water quality parameters. The multivariate analysis explores the relations between water quality parameters and detects changes in their common patterns. The suggested model applied an un-supervised classification method, eliminates the need for simulated events examples in the classifier construction. In the absent of satisfying information regarding the influence of contamination event on the parameter measurements, eliminating the use of any assumption contributes to the model reliability and generality. The model was trained on a real water utility data, and tested on randomly simulated events that were superimposed on the original data base. The model showed high accuracy and detection ability compared to previous studies. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Municipal water distribution systems may consist of thousands to tens of thousands of hydraulic components such as pipelines, valves, tanks, hydrants, and pumping units. With the capabilities of today’s computers and database management software, “all pipe” hydraulic simulation models can be easily constructed. However, the uncertainty and complexity of water distribution systems interrelationships makes it difficult to predict its performances under various conditions such as failure scenarios, detection of sources of contamination intrusions, sensor placement locations, etc. A possible way to cope with these difficulties is to gain insight in to the system behavior by simplifying its operation through topological/connectivity analysis. In this study a tool of this kind based on graph theory is developed and demonstrated. The algorithm divides the system into clusters according to the flow directions in pipes. The resulted clustering is generic and can be utilized for different purposes such as water security enhancements by sensor placements at clusters, or efficient isolation of a contaminant intrusion. The methodology is demonstrated on a benchmark water distribution system from the research literature. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Drinking water contamination events in water networks are major challenges which require fast handling by the responsible water utility manager agent, and have been explored in a variety of models and scenarios using, e.g., agent-based modelling. This study proposes to use recent findings during the COVID-19 pandemic outbreak and draw analogies regarding responses and reactions to these kinds of challenges. This happens within an agent-based model coupled to a hydraulic simulation where the decision making of the individual agents is based on a fuzzy logic system reacting to a contamination event in a water network. Upon detection of anomalies in the water the utility manager agent places mobile sensor equipment in order to determine endangered areas in the water network and warn the consumer agents. Their actions are determined according to their social backgrounds, location in the water network and possible symptoms from ingesting contaminated water by utilising a fuzzy logic system. Results from an example application suggest that placing mobile equipment and warning consumers in real time is essential as part of a proper response to a contamination event. Furthermore, social background factors such as the age or employment status of the population can play a vital role in the consumer agents' response to a water event. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Water distribution networks (WDNs) are critical infrastructure for the welfare of society. Due to their spatial extent and difficulties in deployment of security measures, they are vulnerable to threat scenarios that include the rising concern of cyber-physical attacks. To protect WDNs against different kinds of water contamination, it is customary to deploy water quality (WQ) monitoring sensors. Cyber-attacks on the monitoring system that employs WQ sensors combined with deliberate contamination events via backflow attacks can lead to severe disruptions to water delivery or even potentially fatal consequences for consumers. As such, the water sector is in immediate need of tools and methodologies that can support cyber-physical quality attack simulation and vulnerability assessment of the WQ monitoring system under such attacks. In this study we demonstrate a novel methodology to assess the resilience of placement schemes generated with the Threat Ensemble Vulnerability Assessment and Sensor Placement Optimization Tool (TEVA-SPOT) and evaluated under cyber-physical attacks simulated using the stress-testing platform RISKNOUGHT, using multidimensional metrics and resilience profile graphs. The results of this study show that some sensor designs are inherently more resilient than others, and this trait can be exploited in risk management practices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study deals with the integration of contamination simulations and a spatial event detection model. The simulation of contaminant intrusion includes detailed chemical-specific reactions within a multi-species water quality model. This set-up generates a scenario of contaminant distribution and produces a continuous multiple sensor stations database. Three organophosphates pesticides, Chlorpyrifos, Malathion, and Parathion, are modeled as possible contaminants. The event detection model comprises both local and spatial data analysis. The local model applies a previously developed single-sensor event detection model with a higher alert threshold that reduces false alarm rates. The spatial model considers upstream sensor datasets which are examined for their uniqueness and mutual resemblance in a sliding time window. The model utilizes outlier detection, data analyses, and network hydraulics for the detection of suspicious spatial trends. The proposed algorithm is capable of detecting events with low contamination signatures and spatial influence. Two case studies are explored and compared to the single sensor model. The proposed methodology resulted in a lower number of false alarms compared to the previous single sensor event detection modeling approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Optimal sensor placement for detecting contamination events in water distribution systems is a well explored problem in water distribution systems security. We study herein the problem of sensor placement in water networks to minimize the consumption of contaminated water prior to contamination detection. For any sensor placement, the average consumption of contaminated water prior to event detection amongst all simulated events is employed as the sensing performance metric. A branch and bound sensor placement algorithm is proposed based on greedy heuristics and convex relaxation. Compared to the state of the art results of the battle of the water sensor networks (BWSN) study, the proposed methodology demonstrated a significant performance enhancement, in particular by applying greedy heuristics to repeated sampling of random subsets of events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]