1. Stratifying risk outcomes among adult COVID-19 inpatients with high flow oxygen: The R4 score
- Author
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Reynaldo Lara-Medrano, J.F. Moreno-Hoyos, E.S. Velázquez-Ávila, G.M. Rhoades, C.A. Diaz-Garza, Victor M Sánchez-Nava, G.M. Aguirre-García, Guillermo Torre-Amione, M.T. Ramírez-Elizondo, Michel F. Martinez-Resendez, D. Ramonfaur, and Fernando Castilleja-Leal
- Subjects
Risk ,HFO, High flow oxygen therapy ,Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Respiratory distress syndrome ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Disease ,CVD, cardiovascular disease ,RT-PCR, reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction ,AUC, area under the curve ,FiO2, fraction of inspired oxygen ,Internal medicine ,Diabetes mellitus ,medicine ,Clinical endpoint ,IL-6, interleukin-6 ,IQR, interquartile range ,COT, conventional oxygen therapy ,SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment ,Asthma ,Mechanical ventilation ,SARS-CoV-2, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ,BNP, brain natriuretic peptide ,COPD ,COVID-19, Coronavirus infectious disease 2019 ,LDH, lactate dehydrogenase ,Oxygen inhalation therapy ,Proportional hazards model ,business.industry ,NIV, non-invasive ventilation ,medicine.disease ,HR, hazard ratio ,Comorbidity ,ROC, receiver operating characteristic ,Coronavirus ,PSI, Pneumonia Severity Index ,IMV, invasive mechanical ventilation ,COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease ,HS, highly sensitive ,CRP, C-reactive protein ,Original Article ,business ,IV, intravenous ,NEWS 2, National Early Warning Score 2 - Abstract
Background High flow oxygen therapy (HFO) is a widely used intervention for pulmonary complications. Amid the coronavirus infectious disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, HFO became a popular alternative to conventional oxygen supplementation therapies. Risk stratification tools have been repurposed –and new ones developed– to estimate outcome risks among COVID-19 patients. This study aims to provide a simple risk stratification system to predict invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or death among COVID-19 inpatients on HFO. Methods Among 529 adult inpatients with COVID-19 pneumonia, we selected unadjusted clinical risk factors for developing the composite endpoint of IMV or death. The risk for the primary outcome by each category was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. Bootstrapping was used to validate the results. Results Age above 62, eGFR under 60 ml/min, room air SpO2 ≤89 % upon admission, history of hypertension, history of diabetes, and any comorbidity (cancer, cardiovascular disease, COPD/ asthma, hypothyroidism, or autoimmune disease) were considered for the score. Each of the six criteria scored 1 point. The score was further simplified into 4 categories: 1) 0 criteria, 2) 1 criterion, 3) 2-3 criteria, and 4) ≥4 criteria. Taking the first category as the reference, risk estimates for the primary endpoint were HR; 2.94 [1.67 – 5.26], 4.08 [2.63 – 7.05], and 6.63 [3.74 – 11.77], respectively. In ROC analysis, the AUC for the model was 0.72. Conclusions Our score uses simple criteria to estimate the risk for IMV or death among COVID-19 inpatients with HFO. Higher category reflects consistent increases in risk for the endpoint.
- Published
- 2023
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