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2. A Flash of Insight: Learning Lessons from the 2017 Northern Great Plains Drought

Author

Hoell, Andrew, Parker, Britt-Anne, Downey, Michael, Umphlett, Natalie, Jencso, Kelsey, Akyuz, F. Adnan, Peck, Dannele, Hadwen, Trevor, Fuchs, Brian, Kluck, Doug, Edwards, Laura, Perlwitz, Judith, Eischeid, Jon, Deheza, Veva, Pulwarty, Roger, and Bevington, Kathryn

Subjects
Great Plains -- Environmental aspects, Droughts -- Environmental aspects -- Models -- United States, Distant early warning system -- Methods, Business, Earth sciences
Abstract

A familiar saying among agricultural producers of the U.S. northern Great Plains region comprising Montana, the Dakotas, and the adjacent Canadian Prairies is, 'We're always in a drought. It just [...]

Published
2021
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3. The future of resilience-based management in coral reef ecosystems

Author

Mcleod, Elizabeth, Anthony, Kenneth R.N., Mumby, Peter J., Maynard, Jeffrey, Beeden, Roger, Graham, Nicholas A.J., Heron, Scott F., Hoegh-Guldberg, Ove, Jupiter, Stacy, MacGowan, Petra, Mangubhai, Sangeeta, Marshall, Nadine, Marshall, Paul A., McClanahan, Tim R., Mcleod, Karen, Nyström, Magnus, Obura, David, Parker, Britt, Possingham, Hugh P., Salm, Rodney V., and Tamelander, Jerker

Published
2019
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9. A climate-informed, ecosystem approach to fisheries management

Author

Heenan, Adel, Pomeroy, Robert S, Bell, Johann D, Munday, Philip L, Cheung, William, Logan, Cheryl, Brainard, Russell E, Amri, Affendi Yang, Alino, Porfirio, Armada, Nygiel, David, Laura, Rivera-Guieb, Rebecca, Green, Stuart, Jompa, Jamaluddin, Leonardo, Teresa, Mamauag, Samuel, Parker, Britt, Shackeroff, Janna, Yasin, Zulfigar, Heenan, Adel, Pomeroy, Robert S, Bell, Johann D, Munday, Philip L, Cheung, William, Logan, Cheryl, Brainard, Russell E, Amri, Affendi Yang, Alino, Porfirio, Armada, Nygiel, David, Laura, Rivera-Guieb, Rebecca, Green, Stuart, Jompa, Jamaluddin, Leonardo, Teresa, Mamauag, Samuel, Parker, Britt, Shackeroff, Janna, and Yasin, Zulfigar

Abstract

This paper outlines the benefits of using the framework for an ecosystem approach to fisheries management (EAFM) for dealing with the inevitable yet unclear impacts of climate change and ocean acidification on coastal fisheries. With a focus on the Asia-Pacific region, it summarizes the projected biological and socio-economic effects of increased emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) for coastal fisheries and illustrates how all the important dimensions of climate change and ocean acidification can be integrated into the steps involved in the EAFM planning process. The activities required to harness the full potential of an EAFM as an adaptation to climate change and ocean acidification are also described, including: provision of the necessary expertise to inform all stakeholders about the risks to fish habitats, fish stocks and catches due to climate change promotion of trans-disciplinary collaboration; facilitating the participation of all key stakeholders; monitoring the wider fisheries system for climate impacts; and enhancing resources and capacity to implement an EAFM. By channeling some of the resources available to the Asia-Pacific region to adapt to climate change into an EAFM, developing countries will not only build resilience to the ecological and fisheries effects of climate change, they will also help address the habitat degradation and overfishing presently reducing the productivity of coastal fisheries.

Published
2015

10. Anthropogenic warming has ushered in an era of temperature-dominated droughts in the western United States.

Author

Yizhou Zhuang, Rong Fu, Lisonbee, Joel, Sheffield, Amanda M., Parker, Britt A., and Deheza, Genoveva

Subjects
*DROUGHT management, *ATMOSPHERIC models, *SURFACE temperature, *SUPPLY & demand, *DROUGHTS
Abstract

Historically, meteorological drought in the western United States (WUS) has been driven primarily by precipitation deficits. However, our observational analysis shows that, since around 2000, rising surface temperature and the resulting high evaporative demand have contributed more to drought severity (62%) and coverage (66%) over the WUS than precipitation deficit. This increase in evaporative demand during droughts, mostly attributable to anthropogenic warming according to analyses of both observations and climate model simulations, is the main cause of the increased drought severity and coverage. The unprecedented 2020-2022 WUS drought exemplifies this shift in drought drivers, with high evaporative demand accounting for 61% of its severity, compared to 39% from precipitation deficit. Climate model simulations corroborate this shift and project that, under the fossil-fueled development scenario (SSP5-8.5), droughts like the 2020-2022 event will transition from a one-in-more-than-a-thousand-year event in the pre-2022 period to a 1-in-60-year event by the mid-21st century and to a 1-in-6-year event by the late-21st century. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2024
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11. Anthropogenic warming has ushered in an era of temperature-dominated droughts in the western United States.

Author

Zhuang Y, Fu R, Lisonbee J, Sheffield AM, Parker BA, and Deheza G

Abstract

Historically, meteorological drought in the western United States (WUS) has been driven primarily by precipitation deficits. However, our observational analysis shows that, since around 2000, rising surface temperature and the resulting high evaporative demand have contributed more to drought severity (62%) and coverage (66%) over the WUS than precipitation deficit. This increase in evaporative demand during droughts, mostly attributable to anthropogenic warming according to analyses of both observations and climate model simulations, is the main cause of the increased drought severity and coverage. The unprecedented 2020-2022 WUS drought exemplifies this shift in drought drivers, with high evaporative demand accounting for 61% of its severity, compared to 39% from precipitation deficit. Climate model simulations corroborate this shift and project that, under the fossil-fueled development scenario (SSP5-8.5), droughts like the 2020-2022 event will transition from a one-in-more-than-a-thousand-year event in the pre-2022 period to a 1-in-60-year event by the mid-21st century and to a 1-in-6-year event by the late-21st century.

Published
2024
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