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In this study we present AI Prediction of Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (APE), a machine learning model that can accurately predict the Ionospheric Bubble Index (IBI) on the Swarm spacecraft. IBI is a correlation ($R^2$) between perturbations in plasma density and the magnetic field, whose source can be Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs). EPBs have been studied for a number of years, but their day-to-day variability has made predicting them a considerable challenge. We build an ensemble machine learning model to predict IBI. We use data from 2014-22 at a resolution of 1sec, and transform it from a time-series into a 6-dimensional space with a corresponding EPB $R^2$ (0-1) acting as the label. APE performs well across all metrics, exhibiting a skill, association and root mean squared error score of 0.96, 0.98 and 0.08 respectively. The model performs best post-sunset, in the American/Atlantic sector, around the equinoxes, and when solar activity is high. This is promising because EPBs are most likely to occur during these periods. Shapley values reveal that F10.7 is the most important feature in driving the predictions, whereas latitude is the least. The analysis also examines the relationship between the features, which reveals new insights into EPB climatology. Finally, the selection of the features means that APE could be expanded to forecasting EPBs following additional investigations into their onset., Comment: 13 Pages, 9 Figures

A compressible liquid-drop model (CLDM) is used to correlate uncertainties associated with the properties of the neutron star (NS) crust with theoretical estimates of the uncertainties associated with the equation of state (EOS) of homogeneous neutron and nuclear matter. For the latter, we employ recent calculations based on Hamiltonians constructed using Chiral Effective Field theory. Fits to experimental nuclear masses are employed to constrain the CLDM further, and we find that they disfavor some of the Chiral Hamiltonians. The CLDM allows us to study the complex interplay between bulk, surface, curvature, and Coulomb contributions, and their impact on the NS crust. It also reveals how the curvature energy alters the correlation between the surface energy and the bulk symmetry energy. Our analysis quantifies how the uncertainties associated with the EOS of homogeneous matter implies significant uncertainties for the composition of the crust, its proton fraction, and the volume fraction occupied by nuclei. We find that the finite-size effects impact the crust composition, but have a negligible effect on the net isospin asymmetry of matter. The isospin asymmetry is largely determined by the bulk properties and the isospin dependence of the surface energy. The most significant uncertainties associated with matter properties in the densest regions of the crust, the precise location of the crust-core transition, are found to be strongly correlated with uncertainties associated with the Hamiltonians. By adopting a unified model to describe the crust and the core of NSs, we tighten the correlation between their global properties such as their mass-radius relationship, moment of inertia, crust thickness, and tidal deformability with uncertainties associated with the nuclear Hamiltonians.

Gravitational waves from neutron-star mergers are expected to provide stringent constraints on the structure of neutron stars. At the same time, recent advances in nuclear theory have enabled reliable calculations of the low density equation of state using effective field theory based Hamiltonians and advanced techniques to solve the quantum many-body problem. In this paper, we address how the first observation of gravitational waves from GW170817 can be combined with modern calculations of the equation of state to extract useful insights about the equation of state of matter encountered inside neutron stars. We analyze the impact of various uncertainties and we show that the tidal deformability extracted from GW170817 is compatible, while less constraining, than modern nuclear physics knowledge., Comment: arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1901.09874

As of today, we have directly detected exactly one source in both gravitational waves (GWs) and electromagnetic (EM) radiation, the binary neutron star merger GW170817, its associated gamma-ray burst GRB170817A, and the subsequent kilonova SSS17a/AT 2017gfo. Within ten years, we will detect hundreds of events, including new classes of events such as neutron-star-black-hole mergers, core-collapse supernovae, and almost certainly something completely unexpected. As we build this sample, we will explore exotic astrophysical topics ranging from nucleosynthesis, stellar evolution, general relativity, high-energy astrophysics, nuclear matter, to cosmology. The discovery potential is extraordinary, and investments in this area will yield major scientific breakthroughs. Here we outline some of the most exciting scientific questions that can be answered by combining GW and EM observations., Comment: submitted to Astro2020

Dark matter could be composed of compact dark objects (CDOs). A close binary of CDOs orbiting in the interior of solar system bodies can be a loud source of gravitational waves (GWs) for the LIGO and VIRGO detectors. We perform the first search ever for this type of signal and rule out close binaries, with separations of order 300 m, orbiting near the center of the Sun with GW frequencies (twice the orbital frequency) between 50 and 550 Hz and CDO masses above $\approx 10^{-9} M_\odot$. This mass limit is eight orders of magnitude lower than the mass probed in a LIGO search at extra galactic distances., Comment: 5 pages, 3 figures, Phys. Lett. B in press

Multi-messenger observations of neutron star (NS) mergers have the potential to revolutionize nuclear astrophysics. They will improve our understanding of nucleosynthesis, provide insights about the equation of state (EOS) of strongly-interacting matter at high densities, and enable tests of the theory of gravity and of dark matter. Here, we focus on the EOS, where both gravitational waves (GWs) from neutron-star mergers and X-ray observations from space-based detectors such as NICER will provide more stringent constraints on the structure of neutron stars. Furthermore, recent advances in nuclear theory have enabled reliable calculations of the EOS at low densities using effective field theory based Hamiltonians and advanced techniques to solve the quantum many-body problem. In this paper, we address how the first observation of GWs from GW170817 can be combined with modern calculations of the EOS to extract useful insights about the EOS of matter encountered inside neutron stars. We analyze the impact of various uncertainties, the role of phase transitions in the NS core, and discuss how future observations will improve our understanding of dense matter., Comment: 18 pages, 10 figures, published version; Invited contribution prepared for the EPJ A Topical Issue "First joint gravitational wave and electromagnetic observations: Implications for nuclear and particle physics."