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Background: High dietary diversity has been found to be associated with frailty. However, the trajectory of dietary diversity intake in relation to frailty is unclear. Methods: Using the latent class trajectory modeling approach, we identified distinctive dietary variety trajectory groups among 2017 participants based on the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey acquired at four time points within a 10-year period. Frailty status was assessed using a frailty index comprising 37 health deficits. Dietary diversity was quantified using the dietary variety score (DVS), based on food category consumption frequency. Logistic regression analyses were employed to explore the association between DVS change trajectories and frailty. Results: This study identified two distinct DVS trajectories: "Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth", encompassing 810 (40.16%) individuals, and "Moderate-Slow growth-Accelerated decline", including 1207 (59.84%) individuals. After adjusting for covariates, the odds ratio for DVS in the "Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth" group was 1.326 (95% confidence interval: 1.075–1.636) compared to the "Moderate-Slow growth-Accelerated decline" group. The "Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth" trajectory continued to decrease and was maintained at a low level in the early stages of aging. Conclusion: Sustaining a high dietary diversity trajectory over time, particularly in the early stages of aging, could potentially decrease the risk of frailty among older Chinese adults. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: High dietary diversity has been found to be associated with frailty. However, the trajectory of dietary diversity intake in relation to frailty is unclear. Methods: Using the latent class trajectory modeling approach, we identified distinctive dietary variety trajectory groups among 2017 participants based on the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey acquired at four time points within a 10-year period. Frailty status was assessed using a frailty index comprising 37 health deficits. Dietary diversity was quantified using the dietary variety score (DVS), based on food category consumption frequency. Logistic regression analyses were employed to explore the association between DVS change trajectories and frailty. Results: This study identified two distinct DVS trajectories: “Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth”, encompassing 810 (40.16%) individuals, and “Moderate-Slow growth-Accelerated decline”, including 1207 (59.84%) individuals. After adjusting for covariates, the odds ratio for DVS in the “Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth” group was 1.326 (95% confidence interval: 1.075–1.636) compared to the “Moderate-Slow growth-Accelerated decline” group. The “Moderate-Slow decline-Slow growth” trajectory continued to decrease and was maintained at a low level in the early stages of aging. Conclusion: Sustaining a high dietary diversity trajectory over time, particularly in the early stages of aging, could potentially decrease the risk of frailty among older Chinese adults.

Guangda He,1 Runqing Ji,1 Xiqian Huo,1 Xiaoming Su,1 Jinzhuo Ge,1 Wei Li,1 Lubi Lei,1 Boxuan Pu,1 Aoxi Tian,1 Jiamin Liu,1 Lihua Zhang,1 Yongjian Wu2 On behalf of the China PEACE Collaborative Group1National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, People’s Republic of China; 2Department of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Lihua Zhang, National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, NHC Key Laboratory of Clinical Research for Cardiovascular Medications, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, 167 Beilishi Road, Beijing, 100037, People’s Republic of China, Email zhanglihua@fuwai.com Yongjian Wu, Department of Cardiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100037, People’s Republic of China, Email wuyongjian@fuwai.comBackground: Inflammation contributes to the progression of heart failure (HF). However, long-term inflammatory trajectories and their associations with outcomes in patients with acute HF remain unclear.Methods: Data was obtained from the China Patient-Centered Evaluative Assessment of Cardiac Events Prospective Heart Failure Study, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) was used to reflect the inflammatory level. Only patients who survived over 12-month and had hsCRP data at admission, 1-, and 12-month after discharge were included. The latent class trajectory modeling was used to characterize hsCRP trajectories. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to explore the association between hsCRP trajectories and following mortality.Results: Totally, 1281 patients with a median 4.77 (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.24– 5.07) years follow-up were included. The median age was 64 years (IQR: 54– 73 years); 453 (35.4%) were female. Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were characterized: persistently low (n = 419, 32.7%), very high-marked decrease (n = 99, 7.7%), persistently high (n = 649, 50.7%), and persistently very high (n = 114, 8.9%). Compared with the persistently low trajectory, the all-cause mortality was increased in a graded pattern in the persistently high (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23– 2.07) and persistently very high (HR: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.83– 3.70) trajectories; nevertheless, the mortality was not significantly increased in very high-marked decrease trajectory (HR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.57– 1.54).Conclusion: Four distinct inflammatory trajectories were identified among patients with acute HF who survived over 12-month. Patients with persistently high and very high trajectories had significantly higher mortality than those with the persistently low trajectory.Keywords: heart failure, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, trajectory, latent class trajectory modeling, mortality

Summary: Background: Few longitudinal data characterize kidney function decline among South Asians, one of the world's largest population groups. We aimed to identify estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectories in a population-based cohort from India and assess predictors of rapid kidney function decline. Methods: We used 6-year longitudinal data from participants of a population-representative study from Delhi and Chennai, India who had at least two serum creatinine measures and baseline CKD-EPI eGFR> 60 ml/min/1.73m2 (n=7779). We used latent class trajectory modeling to identify patterns of kidney function trajectory (CKD-EPI eGFR) over time. In models accounting for age, sex, education, and city, we tested the association between 15 hypothesized risk factors and rapid kidney function decline. Findings: Baseline mean eGFR was 108 (SD 16); median eGFR was 110 [IQR: 99-119] ml/min/1.73m2. Latent class trajectory modeling and functional characterization identified three distinct patterns of eGFR: class-1 (no decline; 58%) annual eGFR change 0.2 [0.1, 0.3]; class-2 (slow decline; 40%) annual eGFR change −0.2 [−0.4, −0.1], and class-3 (rapid decline; 2%) annual eGFR change −2.7 [−3.4, −2.0] ml/min/1.73m2. Albuminuria (>30 mg/g) was associated with rapid eGFR decline (OR for class-3 vs class-1: 5.1 [95% CI: 3.2; 7.9]; class-3 vs. class-2: 4.3 [95% CI:2.7; 6.6]). Other risk factors including self-reported diabetes, cardiovascular disease, peripheral arterial disease, and metabolic biomarkers such as HbA1c and systolic blood pressure were associated with rapid eGFR decline phenotype but potential ‘non-traditional’ risk factors such as manual labor or household water sources were not. Interpretation: Although mean and median eGFRs in our population-based cohort were higher than those reported in European cohorts, we found that a sizeable number of adults residing in urban India are experiencing rapid kidney function decline. Early and aggressive risk modification among persons with albuminuria could improve kidney health among South Asians. Funding: The CARRS study has been funded with federal funds from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, under Contract No. HHSN2682009900026C and P01HL154996. Dr. Anand was supported by NIDDK K23DK101826 and R01DK127138.

Background Rheumatic mitral stenosis is a significant cause of valvular heart disease. Pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) reflects the hemodynamic consequences of mitral stenosis and is used to determine treatment strategies. However, PASP progression and expected outcomes based on PASP changes in patients with moderately severe mitral stenosis remain unclear. Methods and Results A total of 436 patients with moderately severe rheumatic mitral stenosis (valve area 1.0–1.5 cm2) were enrolled. Composite outcomes included all‐cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure. Data‐driven phenotyping identified 2 distinct trajectory groups based on PASP progression: rapid (8.7%) and slow (91.3%). Patients in the rapid progression group were older and had more diabetes and atrial fibrillation than those in the slow progression group (all P40 mm Hg was independently associated with allocation to the rapid progression group (odds ratio, 4.95 [95% CI, 2.08–11.99]; P40 mm Hg.

Background Both impaired and accelerated postnatal growth have been associated with adult risks of obesity and cardiometabolic diseases, like type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. However, the timing of the onset of cardiometabolic changes and the specific growth trajectories linking early growth with later disease risks are not well understood. Objectives The aim of this study was to identify distinct trajectories of BMI growth from 0 to 5 y and examine their associations with body composition and markers of cardiometabolic risk at age 5 y. Methods In a prospective birth cohort study of 453 healthy and term Ethiopian children with BMIs assessed a median of 9 times during follow-up, we identified subgroups of distinct BMI trajectories in early childhood using latent class trajectory modeling. Associations of the identified growth trajectories with cardiometabolic markers and body composition at 5 y were analyzed using multiple linear regression analyses in 4 adjustment models for each outcome. Results We identified 4 heterogeneous BMI growth trajectories: stable low BMI (19.2%), normal BMI (48.8%), rapid catch-up to high BMI (17.9%), and slow catch-up to high BMI (14.1%). Compared with the normal BMI trajectory, children in the rapid catch-up to high BMI trajectory had higher triglycerides (TGs) (range of β-coefficients in Models 1–4: 19–21%), C-peptides (23–25%), fat masses (0.48–0.60 kg), and fat-free masses (0.50–0.77 kg) across the 4 adjustment models. Children in the stable low BMI trajectory had lower LDL cholesterol concentrations (0.14–0.17 mmol/L), HDL cholesterol concentrations (0.05–0.09 mmol/L), fat masses (0.60–0.64 kg), and fat-free masses (0.35–0.49 kg), but higher TGs (11–13%). Conclusions The development of obesity and cardiometabolic risks may be established already in early childhood; thus, our data provide a further basis for timely interventions targeted at young children from low-income countries with unfavorable growth patterns. The birth cohort was registered at ISRCTN as ISRCTN46718296. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Few longitudinal data characterize kidney function decline among South Asians, one of the world's largest population groups. We aimed to identify estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) trajectories in a population-based cohort from India and assess predictors of rapid kidney function decline., Methods: We used 6-year longitudinal data from participants of a population-representative study from Delhi and Chennai, India who had at least two serum creatinine measures and baseline CKD-EPI eGFR> 60 ml/min/1.73m 2 ( n =7779). We used latent class trajectory modeling to identify patterns of kidney function trajectory (CKD-EPI eGFR) over time. In models accounting for age, sex, education, and city, we tested the association between 15 hypothesized risk factors and rapid kidney function decline., Findings: Baseline mean eGFR was 108 (SD 16); median eGFR was 110 [IQR: 99-119] ml/min/1.73m 2 . Latent class trajectory modeling and functional characterization identified three distinct patterns of eGFR: class-1 (no decline; 58%) annual eGFR change 0.2 [0.1, 0.3]; class-2 (slow decline; 40%) annual eGFR change -0.2 [-0.4, -0.1], and class-3 (rapid decline; 2%) annual eGFR change -2.7 [-3.4, -2.0] ml/min/1.73m 2 . Albuminuria (>30 mg/g) was associated with rapid eGFR decline (OR for class-3 vs class-1 : 5.1 [95% CI: 3.2; 7.9]; class-3 vs. class-2 : 4.3 [95% CI:2.7; 6.6]). Other risk factors including self-reported diabetes, cardiovascular disease, peripheral arterial disease, and metabolic biomarkers such as HbA1c and systolic blood pressure were associated with rapid eGFR decline phenotype but potential 'non-traditional' risk factors such as manual labor or household water sources were not., Interpretation: Although mean and median eGFRs in our population-based cohort were higher than those reported in European cohorts, we found that a sizeable number of adults residing in urban India are experiencing rapid kidney function decline. Early and aggressive risk modification among persons with albuminuria could improve kidney health among South Asians., Funding: The CARRS study has been funded with federal funds from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, under Contract No. HHSN2682009900026C and P01HL154996. Dr. Anand was supported by NIDDK K23DK101826 and R01DK127138., Competing Interests: Nothing to disclose., (© 2022 The Author(s).)

Background Rheumatic mitral stenosis is a significant cause of valvular heart disease. Pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP) reflects the hemodynamic consequences of mitral stenosis and is used to determine treatment strategies. However, PASP progression and expected outcomes based on PASP changes in patients with moderately severe mitral stenosis remain unclear. Methods and Results A total of 436 patients with moderately severe rheumatic mitral stenosis (valve area 1.0-1.5 cm 2 ) were enrolled. Composite outcomes included all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure. Data-driven phenotyping identified 2 distinct trajectory groups based on PASP progression: rapid (8.7%) and slow (91.3%). Patients in the rapid progression group were older and had more diabetes and atrial fibrillation than those in the slow progression group (all P <0.05). The initial mean diastolic pressure gradient and PASP were higher in the rapid progression group than in the slow progression group (6.2±2.4 mm Hg versus 5.1±2.0 mm Hg [ P =0.001] and 42.3±13.3 mm Hg versus 33.0±9.2 mm Hg [ P <0.001], respectively). The rapid progression group had a poorer event-free survival rate than the slow progression group (log-rank P <0.001). Rapid PASP progression was a significant risk factor for composite outcomes even after adjusting for comorbidities (hazard ratio, 3.08 [95% CI, 1.68-5.64]; P <0.001). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that PASP >40 mm Hg was independently associated with allocation to the rapid progression group (odds ratio, 4.95 [95% CI, 2.08-11.99]; P <0.001). Conclusions Rapid PASP progression was associated with a higher risk of the composite outcomes. The main independent predictor for rapid progression group allocation was initial PASP >40 mm Hg.