9 results on '"Hao, Zhixin"'
Search Results
2. European summer temperatures since Roman times
- Author
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Luterbacher, Juerg, Werner, Johannes, Smerdon, Jason, Barriopedro, David, Fernández-Donado, Laura, Gonzalez-Rouco, J, Ljungqvist, Fredrik, Büntgen, Ulf, Esper, Jan, Zorita, E., Wagner, Sebastian, Frank, David, Barriendos i Vallvé, Mariano, Bertolin, Chiara, Bothe, Oliver, Brázdil, Rudolf, Dario, Camuffo, Dobrovolný, Petr, Gagen, Mary, García-Bustamante, Elena, Ge, Quansheng, Gómez-Navarro, Juan, Guiot, Joel, Hao, Zhixin, Hegerl, Gabriele, Holmgren, Karin, Jungclaus, Johann, Klimenko, Vladimir, Martín-Chivelet, Javier, McCarroll, Danny, Pfister, Christian, Roberts, Neil, Schindler, Anne, Schurer, Andrew, Solomina, Olga, Toreti, Andrea, von Gunten, Lucien, Wahl, Eugene, Wanner, Heinz, Wetter, Oliver, and Universitat de Barcelona
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Climatology ,Avaluació d'impacte ambiental ,Environmental impact analysis ,Climatologia ,Summer ,Canvi climàtic ,Estiu ,Climatic changes ,Canvis climàtics ,Climatic change - Abstract
The spatial context is critical when assessing present-day climate anomalies, attributing them to potential forcings and making statements regarding their frequency and severity in a long-term perspective. Recent international initiatives have expanded the number of high-quality proxy-records and developed new statistical reconstruction methods. These advances allow more rigorous regional past temperature reconstructions and, in turn, the possibility of evaluating climate models on policy-relevant, spatio-temporal scales. Here we provide a new proxy-based, annually-resolved, spatial reconstruction of the European summer (June-August) temperature fields back to 755 CE based on Bayesian hierarchical modelling (BHM), together with estimates of the European mean temperature variation since 138 BCE based on BHM and composite-plus-scaling (CPS). Our reconstructions compare well with independent instrumental and proxy-based temperature estimates, but suggest a larger amplitude in summer temperature variability than previously reported. Both CPS and BHM reconstructions indicate that the mean 20th century European summer temperature was not significantly different from some earlier centuries, including the 1st, 2nd, 8th and 10th centuries CE. The 1st century (in BHM also the 10th century) may even have been slightly warmer than the 20th century, but the difference is not statistically significant. Comparing each 50 yr period with the 1951-2000 period reveals a similar pattern. Recent summers, however, have been unusually warm in the context of the last two millennia and there are no 30 yr periods in either reconstruction that exceed the mean average European summer temperature of the last 3 decades (1986-2015 CE). A comparison with an ensemble of climate model simulations suggests that the reconstructed European summer temperature variability over the period 850-2000 CE reflects changes in both internal variability and external forcing on multi-decadal time-scales. For pan-European temperatures we find slightly better agreement between the reconstruction and the model simulations with high-end estimates for total solar irradiance. Temperature differences between the medieval period, the recent period and the Little Ice Age are larger in the reconstructions than the simulations. This may indicate inflated variability of the reconstructions, a lack of sensitivity and processes to changes in external forcing on the simulated European climate and/or an underestimation of internal variability on centennial and longer time scales
- Published
- 2016
3. Meiyu in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River since 1736
- Author
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Guo Xifeng, Zheng Jingyun, Ge Quansheng, and Hao Zhixin
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Multidisciplinary ,South china ,Climatology ,East asian summer monsoon ,Yangtze river ,North china ,Precipitation ,China ,Rainband ,Monsoon ,Geology - Abstract
“Yu Xue Fen Cun” records during the Qing Dynasty are used to identify the starting and ending dates of Meiyu at the period of 1736–1911. These results, along with the instrumental meteorological records, are used to reconstruct the series of length and precipitation of Meiyu during 1736–2000 over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The characteristics of Meiyu are analyzed since 1736. Moreover, the strength of East Asian Summer Monsoon and locations of rainband are discussed, based on the relationship between the length of Meiyu and the Index of East Asian Summer Monsoon. It is found that the starting and ending dates and the length of Meiyu have significant interannual and interdecadal variations. Apart from 7–8 years, 20–30 years and 40 years cycles for the lengths of Meiyu, the centennial oscillation is also presented. The length of Meiyu, monsoon rainband movement over eastern China, and the strength of East Asian Summer Monsoon (EASM) have a very good correlation, which can be expressed in the following: during the periods of 1736–1770, 1821–1870 and 1921–1970, the EASM was stronger, and the monsoon rainband was located in North China and South China easily, corresponding to the decreased length of Meiyu. Whereas during the periods of 1771–1820, 1871–1920 and 1971–2000, the EASM was weaker and monsoon rainband usually stopped at the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, corresponding to the increased length of Meiyu.
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- 2008
4. Temperature and precipitation changes in China during the Holocene
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Ge Quansheng, Caiming Shen, Wang Shaowu, Hao Zhixin, and Wen Xin-Yu
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Atmospheric Science ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Volcano ,Climatology ,Spatial ecology ,Holocene climatic optimum ,Common spatial pattern ,Climate change ,East Asian Monsoon ,China ,Holocene ,Geology - Abstract
We review here proxy records of temperature and precipitation in China during the Holocene, especially the last two millennia. The quality of proxy data, methodology of reconstruction, and uncertainties in reconstruction were emphasized in comparing different temperature and precipitation reconstruction and clarifying temporal and spatial patterns of temperature and precipitation during the Holocene. The Holocene climate was generally warm and wet. The warmest period occurred in 9.6–6.2 cal ka BP, whereas a period of maximum monsoon precipitation started at about 11.0 cal ka BP and lasted until about 8.0–5.0 cal ka BP. There were a series of millennial-scale cold or dry events superimposed on the general trend of climate changes. During past two millennia, a warming trend in the 20th century was clearly detected, but the warming magnitude was smaller than the maximum level of the Medieval Warm Period and the Middle Holocene. Cold conditions occurred over the whole of China during the Little Ice Age (AD 1400–AD 1900), but the warming of the Medieval Warm Period (AD 900–AD 1300) was not distinct in China, especially west China. The spatial pattern of precipitation showed significant regional differences in China, especially east China. The modern warm period has lasted 20 years from 1987 to 2006. Bi-decadal oscillation in precipitation variability was apparent over China during the 20th century. Solar activity and volcanic eruptions both were major forcings governing the climate variability during the last millennium.
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- 2007
5. Reconstruction of high‐resolution climate data over China from rainfall and snowfall records in the Qing Dynasty.
- Author
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Hao, Zhixin, Yu, Yingzhuo, Ge, Quansheng, and Zheng, Jingyun
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CLIMATOLOGY ,CLIMATE change ,RAINFALL ,SNOW ,QING dynasty, China, 1644-1912 - Abstract
In recent years, researchers studying historical climates have given an increasing amount of attention to the Yu‐Xue‐Fen‐Cun record of the Qing Dynasty of China. These records play an important role in the quantitative reconstruction of the climate from the past 300 years in China due to their uniform recording formats and measurement methods. As a result of collective effort, methods for climate reconstruction are constantly improving, and regions with reconstructed high‐resolution historical climate data are expanding. This study reviews the features of the Yu‐Xue‐Fen‐Cun record and summarizes the progress and primary results achieved over the past 20 years. Studies showed that temperature variations over eastern China had three stages: a relatively cold phase in the 18th century, the coldest phase in the 19th century, and the warmest phase during and after the 20th century. However, the amplitudes between the maximum and minimum temperatures differed from 4.2 to 5.7 °C among different regions and sites. The variation in annual precipitation in North China showed an opposite phase to the Meiyu rainfall in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in the periods of 1736–1767, 1916–1948, and after 1955, and a consistent phase in the periods of 1792–1836 and 1845–1885. The rainband regularly moved away from South China in early May to the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River in mid‐June, and then finally arrived in North China in early July. This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Modern Climate Change [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. 1876--1878 severe drought in North China: Facts, impacts and climatic background.
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HAO ZhiXin, ZHENG JingYun, WU GuoFeng, ZHANG XueZhen, and GE QuanSheng
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DROUGHTS , *METEOROLOGICAL precipitation , *EMIGRATION & immigration , *ECONOMIC impact , *AGRICULTURAL prices , *POPULATION , *CLIMATOLOGY , *MORTALITY , *HARVESTING - Abstract
Based on the reconstructed precipitation series in North China from historical documents, the 1876--1878 drought was identified as the most severe and extreme one in North China over the past 300 years. Meanwhile, the spatial patterns of seasonal and annual precipitation during 1876--1877 were analyzed and the social and economic impacts related with this drought event were evaluated according to the descriptions in the historical documents. The results indicated that this long-lasting drought started by the spring of 1876 and did not stop until the spring of 1878. Within the three years, the harvest failures brought the rice price increased to 5--10 times than that in the normal year, and the total population in the five provinces over North China decreased by more than 20 million due to a large number of dead people and migrations. In addition, related investigations suggested that the 1876--1878 drought was prevalent worldwide, which has possible link with abnormal high SST in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, strong El Niño episode and positive AAO anomalies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2010
- Full Text
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7. Impacts of climate warming on plants phenophases in China for the last 40 years.
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Zheng Jingyun, Ge Quansheng, and Hao Zhixin
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CLIMATOLOGY ,GLOBAL warming ,PLANT phenology ,PHENOLOGY - Abstract
Presents an analysis of the change of plant phenophase in spring and the impact of climate warming on the plant phenophase in China for the last 40 years, based on plant phenology data from 26 stations of the Chinese Phenology Observation Network of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the climate data. Reconstruction of the geographical distribution models of phenophase in every decade; Study of the impact of climate warming on geographical distribution model of phenophase;. Description of the results. which show that (i) the response of phenophase advance or delay to temperature change is nonlinear.
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- 2002
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8. Winter temperatures of southern China reconstructed from phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents over the past 500 years.
- Author
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Zheng, Jingyun, Liu, Yang, Hao, Zhixin, Zhang, Xuezhen, Ma, Xiang, Liu, Haolong, and Ge, Quansheng
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WINTER , *CLIMATOLOGY , *REGRESSION analysis , *HIGH temperature (Weather) , *COLD (Temperature) - Abstract
We reconstructed a 500-year long winter (November to February) temperature series with a yearly resolution in southern China. The series is based on six types of proxies extracted from historical documents, including the southern limits of frost disaster, freezing disaster and snow, along with snowfall days and the first/last frost disaster dates. In the reconstruction, linear regression models are established among each proxy and regional winter temperature. Variance matching, minimum selection, and envelope analysis methods are performed to eliminate non-homogeneous effects because of different proxy types, missing data, and the changing amount of records. Compared with the average temperatures during 1851–1950, the reconstruction shows that southern China experienced a cold period in the first 40 years of the sixteenth century with an average of −0.40 °C with frequent extremes. An upturning occurred during the 1540s to mid-1560s, followed by a stable phase until the 1620s. Then the temperature started to fall from the 1630s and reached its lowest in 1660, where it dropped to −2.01 °C. Moreover, the mean value was −0.49 °C between the years 1648–1697, which was the coldest 50 years over the last five centuries. The temperatures during the eighteenth century to the middle of the twentieth century was characterized by annual to decadal fluctuations, with two moderately warm intervals in the 1770s and 1840s–1850s, as well as three moderately cold intervals in 1790s, 1830s, and 1870s to the mid-1890s. Over the recent century, the warming rate since 1901 was 0.56 °C/100a, whereas the temperature reached 0.32 °C/10a after 1979. The hottest five years during the last five centuries all occurred after 1990. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2018
- Full Text
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9. Comparing the current and early 20th century warm periods in China.
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Soon, Willie Wei-Hock, Connolly, Ronan, Connolly, Michael, O'Neill, Peter, Zheng, Jingyun, Ge, Quansheng, Hao, Zhixin, and Yan, Hong
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CLIMATOLOGY , *EARTH temperature , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature , *GLOBAL warming & the environment - Abstract
Abstract Most estimates of Chinese regional Surface Air Temperatures since the late-19th century have identified two relatively warm periods – 1920s–40s and 1990s–present. However, there is considerable debate over how the two periods compare to each other. Some argue the current warm period is much warmer than the earlier warm period. Others argue the earlier warm period was comparable to the present. In this collaborative paper, including authors from both camps, the reasons for this ongoing debate are discussed. Several different estimates of Chinese temperature trends, both new and previously published, are considered. A study of the effects of urbanization bias on Chinese temperature trends was carried out using the new updated version of the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) – version 4 (currently in beta production). It is shown that there are relatively few rural stations with long records, but urbanization bias artificially makes the early warm period seem colder and the recent warm period seem warmer. However, current homogenization approaches (which attempt to reduce non-climatic biases) also tend to have similar effects, making it unclear whether reducing or increasing the relative warmth of each period is most appropriate. A sample of 17 Chinese temperature proxy series (12 regional and 5 national) is compared and contrasted specifically for the period since the 19th century. Most proxy series imply a warm early-20th century period and a warm recent period, but the relative warmth of these two periods differs between proxies. Also, with some proxies, one or other of the warm periods is absent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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