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Aim: A limitation of species distribution models (SDMs) is that species with low sample sizes are difficult to model. Yet, it is often important to know the habitat associations of poorly known species to guide conservation efforts. Techniques have been proposed for modelling species' distributions from a few records, but their performance relative to one another has not been compared. Because these models are built and evaluated with small data sets, sampling error could cause severely biased sampling in environmental space. As a result, SDMs are likely to underpredict geographic distributions given small sample sizes. We perform the first comparison of methods explicitly promoted or developed for predicting the geographic ranges of species with very low sample sizes. Location: North Carolina, USA. Taxon: South Mountains Grey‐cheeked Salamander (Plethodon meridianus). Methods: Using the sparse, existing georeferenced records of P. meridianus, we built SDMs using a range of methods that previous researchers have argued should work for low sample sizes. We then tested each SDM's ability to accurately predict independent survey data that were not georeferenced prior to our study. We compared SDMs using omission error and AUC. Results: Roughly half of the models successfully predicted survey records in the range centre, and all models had high omission error rates in the range exterior. In the range of interior or exterior, the 'ensemble of small models' technique produced SDMs with high omission error rates. Spatial filtering had a negligible impact on model performance. Most, but not all, models outperformed predictions using distance from known populations. Using one of the best‐performing methods, we developed an improved range map of P. meridianus. Main Conclusions: Geographically peripheral populations were difficult to predict for all SDMs, though some methods were clearly inferior for our data set. We recommend that when sample sizes are low, researchers use Maxent with species‐specific model settings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Eurycea bislineata complex ("two-lined salamanders") of eastern North America contains six described species, of which three have very similar morphologies and relatively broad geographic distributions, and three have more divergent morphologies with narrow geographic distributions. Recent molecular phylogenetic analyses found that four of the six species in the complex contain deep genetic structure, and that two of the species (E. cirrigera and E. wilderae) are paraphyletic in mitochondrial and nuclear DNA, inferring that current taxonomy does not reflect actual species boundaries in the complex. The member of this complex in the Sandhills physiographic region of south-central North Carolina, USA, is notable for its distinctive coloration and ecology, and a study on allozymic variation published over 30 years ago demonstrated that it is genetically distinct but clustered within the paraphyletic E. cirrigera. This study investigates the taxonomic status of the Sandhills population using morphology, mitochondrial DNA, and a 21-locus nuclear DNA data set to test if the Sandhills taxon represents a local ecomorph that is conspecific with adjacent populations of E. cirrigera, or if it represents a divergent evolutionary lineage that warrants taxonomic recognition. Mitochondrial and nuclear DNA revealed that the Sandhills taxon is genetically distinct and phylogenetically unrelated to adjacent populations of E. cirrigera. Principal components analysis of 316 adult specimens of the Sandhills taxon and the three morphologically similar species in the complex found considerable overlap among these taxa, but pairwise comparisons of heavily loading morphological characters showed that the Sandhills taxon usually has a shorter body, shorter tail, and narrower head. Based on these corroborated lines of evidence, the hypothesis that the Sandhills taxon represents only a local ecomorph is rejected and it is described as a new species. Clarification of the extent of its geographic range (including its possible presence in South Carolina), differentiation of larvae from other members of the complex, and verification of hypothesized narrow zones of hybridization with E. cirrigera at the peripheries of its geographic range are needed. The description of the Sandhills taxon brings the number of endemic salamander species in North Carolina to seven. Integrative taxonomic revisions of the E. bislineata complex, particularly E. cirrigera and E. wilderae, are needed to estimate species diversity and distributions of these salamanders more accurately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]