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Most of the nature‐related economic costs and human losses in many regions of Europe are due to extreme weather events such as heat waves, cold spells, persistent droughts, heavy precipitation and intense cyclonic wind‐storms. Extreme precipitation events are projected by climatic models to become more intense over the continent while droughts might last longer by the end of the century. In dry regions as Southern Europe, soils are predicted to dry out as temperatures and evapotranspiration rise and rain‐bearing atmospheric circulations become less frequent. Prospects on the future of climate indices linked to extreme phenomena are herein derived by using observed and model projected daily meteorological data. Specifically, E‐OBS high resolution gridded datasets of observed precipitation and surface minimum and maximum temperatures have been used as the regional observed baseline. For projections, the same meteorological variables have been obtained from a set of regional climate models integrated in the European EURO‐CORDEX project, considering the RCP8.5 future emissions scenario. A quantile–quantile adjustment has been applied to the simulated regional scenarios to reduce biases in modelled extreme regimes. Results suggest that warm days will substantially increase across Europe, consistently with a decrease of cold nights. An increase in heat wave amplitude is expected across the continent, with South Eastern Europe and the Mediterranean as the most affected regions. In contrast, Northern Europe will undergo the largest decrease in cold spell magnitude. An overall rise in the frequency and volume of heavy precipitations is projected in all seasons, even if the number of dry days is also expected to increase, except in the Baltic countries. Regarding abnormally long dry periods (extreme droughts), we find that the occurrence of episodes would reduce over Europe as consequence of projected increases in length. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During the hydrological year 2015-2016 (September to August) a severe drought affected the Balearic Islands, with substantial consequences (alleviated partially by desalination plants) on water availability for consumption from reservoirs and aquifers and also on the vegetation cover. In particular, a plague of Xylella fastidiosa reached an alarming level for almond and olive trees. The expansion of this infestation could be attributed to, or at least favored by, the extreme drought. In this paper we analyze this anomalous episode in terms of the corresponding water balance in comparison with the balance obtained from long-term climatological data. It is shown that the drought was the result of a lack of winter precipitation, the lowest in 43 years, which led to a shortage of water storage in the soil. In several meteorological stations analyzed, evaporation was greater than precipitation during all the months of the year. In terms of attribution, it is found that during the 2015-2016 winter the atmospheric circulation over the North Atlantic was largely westerly and intense, with high values of the NAO index that were reflected in high pressures over the Iberian Peninsula and the western Mediterranean. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: A climatology of various parameters associated with severe convective storms has been constructed for Europe. This involves using the reanalysis data base from ERA-40 for the period 1971–2000 and calculating monthly means, variability range and extremes occurrence of fields such as convective available potential energy, convective inhibition energy, mid-tropospheric lapse rate, low-tropospheric moisture content and storm relative helicity for different layers. This process is a first step towards development of a synthetic climatology of European severe weather, and is publicly available at the web site http://ecss.uib.es. Preliminary results derived from these products were presented during the ECSS 2004 conference. This paper is devoted to a more detailed presentation and discussion of the main results. It is hypothesized that preferred areas for severe thunderstorms occurrence in Europe would extend along a zonal belt over the south-central regions, where high helicity associated with the extratropical storm tracks and thermodynamically-favourable profiles established over the southern Atlantic and Mediterranean Sea would most likely be concatenated. Further, this effort has been complemented with a collection of existing reports of significant (at least F2) tornadoes in Europe during the period 1971–2003. We present this data set in this paper and it also can be found at the website http://ecss.uib.es. Thus, the tornado collection can be used to test the appropriateness of the parameters selected for the synthetic climatology. In particular, it is found that the convective available potential energy, low-tropospheric moisture content and environmental shear, when related to the monthly climatology, are reasonably good descriptors of the tornadic environments. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]