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Abstract: The use of satellite-based soil moisture retrievals for hydrologic, meteorological and climatological applications is advancing significantly due to increasing capability and temporal coverage of current and future missions. Characterisation of the relative skill of soil moisture products from different satellite sensors on a common spatial grid is crucial to achieve synergetic applications. This paper therefore evaluates three soil moisture products from AMSR-E (Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer — Earth Observing System), ASCAT (Advanced Scatterometer) and SMOS (Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity) in absolute soil moisture units and on a common grid, against in-situ observations from southeast Australia. Before renormalisation, the three products yield correlations of 0.63–0.71 and a similar root-mean-square difference (RMSD) in the order of 0.1m3 m−3, although showing different levels of error contributions from bias, variance and correlations. The results are compared with land and precipitation data to investigate the sensitivity of their errors to land surface features. Three renormalisation strategies – minimum–maximum matching, mean/standard-deviation (μ–σ) matching and cumulative distribution function (CDF) matching – are considered for correcting systematic differences between ground and satellite data. The renormalised satellite data is found to retain RMSDs of 0.04–0.06m3 m−3 on average. The CDF method produces only marginal further improvements to correlations (0.67–0.75) and RMSDs compared to the μ–σ approach. The renormalisations by μ–σ and CDF methods also bring three products into better agreements with each other, but lead to strong correlations between RMSD and the dynamic range of in-situ soil moisture. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Soil water is a critical resource in many rain-fed agricultural systems. Climate variability represents a significant risk in these systems, which has been addressed in the past through seasonal weather outlooks. This study undertakes a pilot assessment of the potential to extend seasonal weather outlooks to plant available soil water (PASW). We analyse 20 sites in the southeast Australian wheat belt using seasonal weather outlooks from the Predictive Ocean-Atmosphere Model for Australia (POAMA; (the operational seasonal model of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology), which were downscaled and used in conjunction with the Agricultural Production Simulator (APSIM). Hindcast rainfall, potential evapotranspiration ( PET ) and PASW outlooks were produced on a monthly basis for 33 years at a point scale. The outlooks were assessed using a range of ensemble verification tools. The results showed hit rates that outperformed climatology for rainfall and PET in the short-term (0–2 months), and for PASW with longer lead times (2–5 months). Continuous rank probability skill scores (CRPSS) were generally statistically worse than climatology for rainfall and PET and statistically better than climatology for PASW over 1–3 months. The influence of initial soil water is seasonally dependent, with longer dependence in low evapotranspiration periods. Improved weather model downscaling approaches would transition to climatology and could improve both weather and PASW outlooks. PASW outlooks were strongly reliant on initial conditions, indicating the importance of understanding current soil water status, which needs to be interpreted in a seasonal context as its influence varies over the year. Expanded operational soil water monitoring would be important if PASW outlooks are to become routine. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]