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In this work, a multi-parameter inter-comparison of diverse ocean forecast models was conducted at the sea surface ranging from global to local scales in a two-phase stepwise strategy. Firstly, a comparison of CMEMS GLOBAL and the nested CMEMS IBI regional system was performed against satellite-derived and in situ observations. Results highlighted the overall benefits of both the GLOBAL direct data assimilation in open water and the increased horizontal resolution of IBI in coastal areas. Besides, IBI (Iberia–Biscay–Ireland) proved to capture shelf dynamics by better representing the horizontal extent and strength of a river freshwater plume, according to the results derived from the validation against in situ observations from a buoy moored in NW Spain. Secondly, a multi-model inter-comparison exercise for 2017 was performed in the Strait of Gibraltar among GLOBAL, IBI, and SAMPA (Sánchez-Garrido et al., 2013) high-resolution coastal forecast systems (partially nested to IBI) in order to elucidate the accuracy of each system to characterize the Atlantic Jet (AJ) inflow dynamics. A quantitative validation against hourly currents from high-frequency radar (HFR) highlighted both the steady improvement in AJ representation in terms of speed and direction when zooming from global to coastal scales through a multi-nesting model approach and also the relevance of a variety of factors at local scale such as a refined horizontal resolution, a tailored bathymetry, and a higher spatio-temporal resolution of the atmospheric forcing. The ability of each model to reproduce a 2 d quasi-permanent full reversal of the AJ surface inflow was examined in terms of wind-induced circulation patterns. SAMPA appeared to better reproduce the reversal events detected with HFR estimations, demonstrating the added value of imposing accurate meteorologically driven barotropic velocities in the open boundaries (imported from the NIVMAR (Álvarez-Fanjul et al., 2001) storm surge model) to take into account the remote effect of the atmospheric forcing over the entire Mediterranean basin, which was only partially included in IBI and GLOBAL systems. Finally, SAMPA coastal model outputs were also qualitatively analysed in the western Alboran Sea to put in a broader perspective the context of the onset, development, and end of such flow reversal episodes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Mediterranean Outflow Water (MOW) is a dense water mass originated in the Strait of Gibraltar. Downstream of the Gulf of Cádiz, the MOW forms a reservoir region west of the Iberian continental slopes at a buoyant depth of approximately 1000 m. This region plays a key role as the main centre where the MOW is mixed and distributed into the North Atlantic. The seafloor in this area is characterized by the presence of a complex bathymetry with three abyssal plains separated by mountain chains. Although the topographic features do not reach the surface, they influence ocean flows at intermediate and deep ocean layers, conditioning the distribution and circulation of MOW. The Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service (CMEMS) Iberian–Biscay–Ireland (IBI) ocean reanalysis is used to provide a detailed view of the circulation and mixing processes of MOW near the Iberian and African continental slopes. This work emphasizes the relevance of the complex bathymetric features defining the circulation processes of MOW in this region. The high resolution of the IBI reanalysis allows us to make a description of the mesoscale features forced by the topography. The temperature, salinity, velocity, transport, and vorticity fields are analysed to understand the circulation patterns of MOW. The high-resolution circulation patterns reveal that Horseshoe Basin and the continental slope near Cape Ghir (a.k.a. Cap Rhir or Cabo de Aguer) are key areas controlling the mixing processes of MOW with the surrounding water masses, mainly North Atlantic Central Water (NACW) and Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW). The water mass variability is also analysed by means of composite analysis. Results indicate the existence of a variability in the MOW tongue which retracts and expands westwards in opposition to the movement of the underlying North Atlantic Deep Water. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, a multi-parameter inter-comparison of diverse ocean forecast models was conducted at the sea surface, ranging from global to local scales in a two-phase strategy. Firstly, a comparison of CMEMS-GLOBAL and the nested CMEMS-IBI regional system was performed against satellite-derived and in situ observations. Results highlighted the overall benefits of both the GLOBAL data assimilation in open-waters and the increased horizontal resolution of IBI in coastal areas, respectively. Besides, IBI proved to capture shelf dynamics by better representing the horizontal extent and strength of a river freshwater plume, according to the results derived from the validation against in situ observations from a buoy moored in NW Spain. Secondly, a multi-model inter-comparison exercise for 2017 was performed in the Strait of Gibraltar among GLOBAL, IBI and the nested SAMPA high-resolution coastal forecast system in order to elucidate the accuracy of each system to characterize the Atlantic Jet (AJ) inflow dynamic. A quantitative validation against High Frequency radar (HFR) hourly currents highlighted both the steady improvement in AJ representation in terms of speed and direction when zooming from global to coastal scales though a multi-nesting model approach and also the relevance of a variety of factors at local scale such as a refined horizontal resolution, a tailored bathymetry and a higher spatio-temporal resolution of the atmospheric forcing. The ability of each model to reproduce a 2-day quasi-permanent full reversal of the AJ surface inflow was examined in terms of wind-induced circulation patterns. SAMPA appeared to better reproduce the reversal events detected with HFR estimations, demonstrating the potential added value of coastal models with respect to coarser parent regional systems. Finally, SAMPA coastal model outputs were also qualitatively analysed in the Western Alboran Sea to put in a broader perspective the context of the onset, development and end of such flow reversal episodes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper describes a case of the implementation of a pan-European operational oceanography service coexisting with non-operative research jobs that are executed on the same computational resources. The complexity of designing a good operational service increases when the resources that will be used are shared with other computational workloads. However, once the implementation is achieved the result is an optimised and robust service. Computational resources and other necessary services are permanently monitored in order to detect and solve potential problems in real-time. These resources can be used by other researchers during the time interval in which they are not needed for this operational service. The goal of this work is to guarantee the time to solution of the operational execution on a shared computing environment without a large impact on the researchers jobs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Mediterranean climate is expected to become warmer and drier during the twenty-first century. Mediterranean Sea response to climate change could be modulated by the choice of the socio-economic scenario as well as the choice of the boundary conditions mainly the Atlantic hydrography, the river runoff and the atmospheric fluxes. To assess and quantify the sensitivity of the Mediterranean Sea to the twenty-first century climate change, a set of numerical experiments was carried out with the regional ocean model NEMOMED8 set up for the Mediterranean Sea. The model is forced by air-sea fluxes derived from the regional climate model ARPEGE-Climate at a 50-km horizontal resolution. Historical simulations representing the climate of the period 1961-2000 were run to obtain a reference state. From this baseline, various sensitivity experiments were performed for the period 2001-2099, following different socio-economic scenarios based on the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. For the A2 scenario, the main three boundary forcings (river runoff, near-Atlantic water hydrography and air-sea fluxes) were changed one by one to better identify the role of each forcing in the way the ocean responds to climate change. In two additional simulations (A1B, B1), the scenario is changed, allowing to quantify the socio-economic uncertainty. Our 6-member scenario simulations display a warming and saltening of the Mediterranean. For the 2070-2099 period compared to 1961-1990, the sea surface temperature anomalies range from +1.73 to +2.97 °C and the SSS anomalies spread from +0.48 to +0.89. In most of the cases, we found that the future Mediterranean thermohaline circulation (MTHC) tends to reach a situation similar to the eastern Mediterranean Transient. However, this response is varying depending on the chosen boundary conditions and socio-economic scenarios. Our numerical experiments suggest that the choice of the near-Atlantic surface water evolution, which is very uncertain in General Circulation Models, has the largest impact on the evolution of the Mediterranean water masses, followed by the choice of the socio-economic scenario. The choice of river runoff and atmospheric forcing both have a smaller impact. The state of the MTHC during the historical period is found to have a large influence on the transfer of surface anomalies toward depth. Besides, subsurface currents are substantially modified in the Ionian Sea and the Balearic region. Finally, the response of thermosteric sea level ranges from +34 to +49 cm (2070-2099 vs. 1961-1990), mainly depending on the Atlantic forcing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]