Search

Fugitive methane (CH 4) emissions occur in the whole chain of oil and gas production, including from extraction, transportation, storage, and distribution. Such emissions are usually detected and quantified by conducting surveys as close as possible to the source location. However, these surveys are labour-intensive, are costly, and fail to not provide continuous emissions monitoring. The deployment of permanent sensor networks in the vicinity of industrial CH 4 emitting facilities would overcome the limitations of surveys by providing accurate emission estimates, thanks to continuous sampling of emission plumes. Yet high-precision instruments are too costly to deploy in such networks. Low-cost sensors using a metal oxide semiconductor (MOS) are presented as a cheap alternative for such deployments due to their compact dimensions and to their sensitivity to CH 4. In this study, we demonstrate the ability of two types of MOS sensors (TGS 2611-C00 and TGS 2611-E00) manufactured by Figaro® to reconstruct a CH 4 signal, as measured by a high-precision reference gas analyser, during a 7 d controlled release campaign conducted by TotalEnergies® in autumn 2019 near Pau, France. We propose a baseline voltage correction linked to atmospheric CH 4 background variations per instrument based on an iterative comparison of neighbouring observations, i.e. data points. Two CH 4 mole fraction reconstruction models were compared: multilayer perceptron (MLP) and second-degree polynomial. Emission estimates were then computed using an inversion approach based on the adjoint of a Gaussian dispersion model. Despite obtaining emission estimates comparable with those obtained using high-precision instruments (average emission rate error of 25 % and average location error of 9.5 m), the application of these emission estimates is limited to adequate environmental conditions. Emission estimates are also influenced by model errors in the inversion process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

​​​​​​​We have used the variational inversion drivers of the recent Community Inversion Framework (CIF), coupled to a European configuration of the CHIMERE regional chemistry transport model and its adjoint to derive carbon monoxide (CO) emissions from Measurement of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT) TIR-NIR (thermal-infrared near-infrared) observations, for a period of over 10 years from 2011 to 2021. The analysis of the inversion results reveals the challenges associated with the inversion of CO emissions at the regional scale over Europe. Annual budgets of national emissions have decreased by about 1 %–11 % over the decade and across Europe. These decreases are mainly due to negative corrections during autumn and winter. The posterior CO emissions follow a decreasing trend over the European Union and United Kingdom area of about - 2.2 % yr -1 , slightly lower than in the prior emissions. The assimilation of the MOPITT observation in the inversions indeed attenuates the decreasing trend of the CO emissions in the TNO inventory over areas benefiting from the highest number of MOPITT super-observations (particularly over Italy and over the Balkans), and particularly in autumn and winter. The small corrections of the CO emissions at national scales by the inversion can be attributed, first, to the general consistency between the TNO-GHGco-v3 inventory and the satellite data. Analysis of specific patterns such as the impact of the Covid-19 crisis reveals that it can also be seen as a lack of observation constraints to adjust the prior estimate of the emissions. The large errors associated with the observations in our inversion framework and the lack of data over large parts of Europe are sources of limitation on the observational constraint. Emission hotspots generate a relatively strong local signal, which is much better caught and exploited by the inversions than the larger-scale signals, despite the moderate spatial resolution of the MOPITT data. This is why the corrections of these hotspot emissions are stronger and more convincing than the corrections of the national- and continental-scale emissions. Accurate monitoring of the CO national anthropogenic emissions may thus require modelling and inversion systems at spatial resolutions finer than those used here as well as satellite images at high spatial resolution. The CO data of the TROPOMI instrument on board the Sentinel-5P mission should be well suited for such a perspective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Methane emissions from natural gas systems are increasingly scrutinized, and accurate reporting requires quantification of site- and source-level measurement. We evaluate the performance of 10 available state-of-the-art CH 4 emission quantification approaches against a blind controlled-release experiment at an inerted natural gas compressor station in 2021. The experiment consisted of 17 blind 2 h releases at a single exhaust point or multiple simultaneous ones. The controlled releases covered a range of methane flow rates from 0.01 to 50 kg h -1. Measurement platforms included aircraft, drones, trucks, vans, ground-based stations, and handheld systems. Herewith, we compare their respective strengths, weaknesses, and potential complementarity depending on the emission rates and atmospheric conditions. Most systems were able to quantify the releases within an order of magnitude. The level of errors from the different systems was not significantly influenced by release rates larger than 0.1 kg h -1 , with much poorer results for the 0.01 kg h -1 release. It was found that handheld optical gas imaging (OGI) cameras underestimated the emissions. In contrast, the "site-level" systems, relying on atmospheric dispersion, tended to overestimate the emission rates. We assess the dependence of emission quantification performance on key parameters such as wind speed, deployment constraints, and measurement duration. At the low wind speeds encountered (below 2 m s -1), the experiments did not reveal a significant dependence on wind speed. The ability to quantify individual sources degraded during multiple-source releases. Compliance with the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership's (OGMP 2.0) highest level of reporting may require a combination of the specific advantages of each measurement technique and will depend on reconciliation approaches. Self-reported uncertainties were either not available or were based on the standard deviation in a series of independent realizations or fixed values from expert judgment or theoretical considerations. For most systems, the overall relative errors estimated in this study are higher than self-reported uncertainties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fugitive methane (CH4) emission occur in the whole chain of oil and gas production, from the extraction, transportation, storage and distribution. The detection and quantification of such emissions are conducted usually from surveys as close as possible to the source location. However, these surveys are labor intensive, costly and they do not provide continuous monitoring of the emissions. The deployment of permanent networks of sensors in the vicinity of industrial facilities would overcome the limitations of surveys by providing accurate estimates thanks to continuous sampling of the plumes. High precision instruments are too costly to deploy in such networks. Low-cost sensors like Metal oxide semiconductors (MOS) are presented as a cheap alternative for such deployments due to its compact dimensions and to its sensitivity to CH4. In this study we test the ability of two types of MOS sensors from the manufacturer Figaro® (TGS 2611-C00 and TGS 2611-E00) deployed in six chambers to reconstruct an actual signal from a source in open air corresponding to a series of controlled CH4 releases and we assess the accuracy of the emission estimates computed from reconstructed CH4 mole fractions from voltages measurements of these sensors. A baseline correction of the voltage linked to background variations is presented based on an iterative comparison of neighboring observations. Two reconstruction models were compared, multilayer perceptron (MLP) and 2nd degree polynomial, providing similar performances meeting our target requirement on all the chambers when the input variable is the TGS 2611-C00 sensor. The emission estimates were then computed using an inversion approach based on the adjoint of a Gaussian dispersion model obtaining promising results with an emission rate error of 25% and a location error of 9.5 m. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We have used the variational inversion drivers of the recent Community Inversion Framework (CIF), coupled to a European configuration of the CHIMERE regional chemistry transport model and its adjoint to derive carbon monixide (CO) emissions from the MOPITT TIR-NIR observations, for a period of over 10 years from 2011 to 2021. The analysis of the inversion results reveals the challenges associated with the inversion of CO emissions at the regional scale over Europe. Annual budgets of the national emissions are decreased by about 1–11 % over the decade and across Europe. These decreases are mainly due to negative corrections during autumn and winter. The posterior CO emissions follow a decreasing trend over the European Union + United Kingdom area with a trend of about -2.2 %/year, slightly lower than in the prior emissions. The assimilation of the MOPITT observation in the inversions indeed attenuates the decreasing trend of the CO emissions in the TNO inventory over areas benefiting from the highest number of MOPITT super-observations (particularly over Italy and over the Balkans), and particularly in autumn and winter. The small corrections of the CO emissions at national scales by the inversion can be attributed, first, to the general consistency between the TNO-GHGco-v3 inventory and the satellite data. Analysis of specific patterns such as the impact of the covid-19 crisis reveal that it can also be seen as a lack of observation constraint to adjust the prior estimate of the emissions. The large errors in the observations, and the lack of data over large parts of Europe are sources of limitation on the observational constraint. Emission hot spots generate a relatively strong local signal, which is much better caught and exploited by the inversions than the larger scale signals, despite the moderate spatial resolution of the MOPITT data. This is why the corrections of these hot spot emissions are stronger and more convincing than the corrections of the national and continental scale emissions. Accurate monitoring of the CO national anthropogenic emissions may thus require modeling and inversion systems at spatial resolution finer than those used here, as well satellite images at high spatial resolution. The CO data of the TROPOMI instrument onboard the Sentinel-5P mission should be well suited for such a perspective. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Quantification of land surface–atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO 2) and their trends and uncertainties is essential for monitoring progress of the EU27 + UK bloc as it strives to meet ambitious targets determined by both international agreements and internal regulation. This study provides a consolidated synthesis of fossil sources (CO 2 fossil) and natural (including formally managed ecosystems) sources and sinks over land (CO 2 land) using bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) approaches for the European Union and United Kingdom (EU27 + UK), updating earlier syntheses (Petrescu et al., 2020, 2021). Given the wide scope of the work and the variety of approaches involved, this study aims to answer essential questions identified in the previous syntheses and understand the differences between datasets, particularly for poorly characterized fluxes from managed and unmanaged ecosystems. The work integrates updated emission inventory data, process-based model results, data-driven categorical model results, and inverse modeling estimates, extending the previous period 1990–2018 to the year 2020 to the extent possible. BU and TD products are compared with the European national greenhouse gas inventory (NGHGI) reported by parties including the year 2019 under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The uncertainties of the EU27 + UK NGHGI were evaluated using the standard deviation reported by the EU member states following the guidelines of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and harmonized by gap-filling procedures. Variation in estimates produced with other methods, such as atmospheric inversion models (TD) or spatially disaggregated inventory datasets (BU), originate from within-model uncertainty related to parameterization as well as structural differences between models. By comparing the NGHGI with other approaches, key sources of differences between estimates arise primarily in activities. System boundaries and emission categories create differences in CO 2 fossil datasets, while different land use definitions for reporting emissions from land use, land use change, and forestry (LULUCF) activities result in differences for CO 2 land. The latter has important consequences for atmospheric inversions, leading to inversions reporting stronger sinks in vegetation and soils than are reported by the NGHGI. For CO 2 fossil emissions, after harmonizing estimates based on common activities and selecting the most recent year available for all datasets, the UNFCCC NGHGI for the EU27 + UK accounts for 926 ± 13 Tg C yr -1 , while eight other BU sources report a mean value of 948 [ 937,961 ] Tg C yr -1 (25th, 75th percentiles). The sole top-down inversion of fossil emissions currently available accounts for 875 Tg C in this same year, a value outside the uncertainty of both the NGHGI and bottom-up ensemble estimates and for which uncertainty estimates are not currently available. For the net CO 2 land fluxes, during the most recent 5-year period including the NGHGI estimates, the NGHGI accounted for - 91 ± 32 Tg C yr -1 , while six other BU approaches reported a mean sink of - 62 [ -117,-49 ] Tg C yr -1 , and a 15-member ensemble of dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) reported - 69 [ -152,-5 ] Tg C yr -1. The 5-year mean of three TD regional ensembles combined with one non-ensemble inversion of - 73 Tg C yr -1 has a slightly smaller spread (0th–100th percentiles of [ -135,+45 ] Tg C yr -1), and it was calculated after removing net land–atmosphere CO 2 fluxes caused by lateral transport of carbon (crop trade, wood trade, river transport, and net uptake from inland water bodies), resulting in increased agreement with the NGHGI and bottom-up approaches. Results at the category level (Forest Land, Cropland, Grassland) generally show good agreement between the NGHGI and category-specific models, but results for DGVMs are mixed. Overall, for both CO 2 fossil and net CO 2 land fluxes, we find that current independent approaches are consistent with the NGHGI at the scale of the EU27 + UK. We conclude that CO 2 emissions from fossil sources have decreased over the past 30 years in the EU27 + UK, while land fluxes are relatively stable: positive or negative trends larger (smaller) than 0.07 (- 0.61) Tg C yr -2 can be ruled out for the NGHGI. In addition, a gap on the order of 1000 Tg C yr -1 between CO 2 fossil emissions and net CO 2 uptake by the land exists regardless of the type of approach (NGHGI, TD, BU), falling well outside all available estimates of uncertainties. However, uncertainties in top-down approaches to estimate CO 2 fossil emissions remain uncharacterized and are likely substantial, in addition to known uncertainties in top-down estimates of the land fluxes. The data used to plot the figures are available at 10.5281/zenodo.8148461 (McGrath et al., 2023). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Methane emissions from natural gas systems are increasingly scrutinized and accurate reporting requires site- and source-level measurement-based quantification. We evaluate the performance of ten available, state-of-the-art CH4 emission quantification approaches against a blind controlled release experiment at an inerted natural gas compressor station in 2021. The experiment consisted of 17 blind, 2-hour releases at single or multiple simultaneous exhaust points. The controlled releases covered a range of methane flow rates from 0.01 kg h-1 to 50 kg h-1. Measurement platforms included aircraft, drones, trucks, van, and ground-based stations, as well as handheld systems. Herewith, we compare their respective strengths, weaknesses, and potential complementarity depending on the emission rates and atmospheric conditions. Most systems were able to quantify the releases within an order of magnitude. The level of errors from the different systems was not significantly influenced by release rates larger than 0.1 kg h-1, with much poorer results for the 0.01 kg h-1 release. It was found that handheld OGI cameras underestimated the emissions. In contrast, the 'site-level' systems, relying on atmospheric dispersion, tended to overestimate the emission rates. We assess the dependence of the emission quantification performance against key parameters such as wind speed, deployment constraints and measurement duration. At the low windspeeds encountered (below 2 m s-1), the experiments did not reveal a significant dependence on wind speed. The ability to quantify individual sources was degraded during multiple-source releases. Compliance with the Oil and Gas Methane Partnership (OGMP2.0) highest level of reporting may require a combination of the specific advantages of each measurement technique and will depend on reconciliation approaches. Self-reported uncertainties were either not available, or based on standard deviation in a series of independent realizations or fixed value from expert judgement or theoretical considerations. For most systems, site-level overall relative errors estimated in this study are higher than self-reported uncertainties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Detecting and quantifying CH 4 gas emissions at industrial facilities is an important goal for being able to reduce these emissions. The nature of CH 4 emissions through "leaks" is episodic and spatially variable, making their monitoring a complex task; this is partly being addressed by atmospheric surveys with various types of instruments. Continuous records are preferable to snapshot surveys for monitoring a site, and one solution would be to deploy a permanent network of sensors. Deploying such a network with research-level instruments is expensive, so low-cost and low-power sensors could be a good alternative. However, low cost usually entails lower accuracy and the existence of sensor drifts and cross-sensitivity to other gases and environmental parameters. Here we present four tests conducted with two types of Figaro® Taguchi gas sensors (TGSs) in a laboratory experiment. The sensors were exposed to ambient air and peaks of CH 4 concentrations. We assembled four chambers, each containing one TGS sensor of each type. The first test consisted in comparing parametric and non-parametric models to reconstruct the CH 4 peak signal from observations of the voltage variations of TGS sensors. The obtained relative accuracy is better than 10 % to reconstruct the maximum amplitude of peaks (RMSE ≤2 ppm). Polynomial regression and multilayer perceptron (MLP) models gave the highest performances for one type of sensor (TGS 2611C, RMSE =0.9 ppm) and for the combination of two sensors (TGS 2611C + TGS 2611E, RMSE =0.8 ppm), with a training set size of 70 % of the total observations. In the second test, we compared the performance of the same models with a reduced training set. To reduce the size of the training set, we employed a stratification of the data into clusters of peaks that allowed us to keep the same model performances with only 25 % of the data to train the models. The third test consisted of detecting the effects of age in the sensors after 6 months of continuous measurements. We observed performance degradation through our models of between 0.6 and 0.8 ppm. In the final test, we assessed the capability of a model to be transferred between chambers in the same type of sensor and found that it is only possible to transfer models if the target range of variation of CH 4 is similar to the one on which the model was trained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The land and ocean act as a sink for fossil-fuel emissions, thereby slowing the rise of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations (1). Although the uptake of carbon by oceanic and terrestrial processes has kept pace with accelerating carbon dioxide emissions until now, atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations exhibit a large variability on interannual timescales (2), considered to be driven primarily by terrestrial ecosystem processes dominated by tropical rainforests (3). We use a terrestrial biogeochemical model, atmospheric carbon dioxide inversion and global carbon budget accounting methods to investigate the evolution of the terrestrial carbon sink over the past 30 years, with a focus on the underlying mechanisms responsible for the exceptionally large land carbon sink reported in 2011 (ref. 2). Here we show that our three terrestrial carbon sink estimates are in good agreement and support the finding of a 2011 record land carbon sink. Surprisingly, we find that the global carbon sink anomaly was driven by growth of semi-arid vegetation in the Southern Hemisphere, with almost 60 per cent of carbon uptake attributed to Australian ecosystems, where prevalent La Nina conditions caused up to six consecutive seasons of increased precipitation. In addition, since 1981, a six per cent expansion of vegetation cover over Australia was associated with a fourfold increase in the sensitivity of continental net carbon uptake to precipitation. Our findings suggest that the higher turnover rates of carbon pools in semi-arid biomes are an increasingly important driver of global carbon cycle inter-annual variability and that tropical rainforests may become less relevant drivers in the future. More research is needed to identify to what extent the carbon stocks accumulated during wet years are vulnerable to rapid decomposition or loss through fire in subsequent years., Each year, on average, land and ocean carbon sinks absorb the equivalent of about half of the global fossil fuel emissions, thereby providing a critical service that slows the rise [...]

Quantification of land surface-atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes and their trends and uncertainties is essential for monitoring progress of the EU27+UK bloc as it strives to meet ambitious targets determined by both international agreements and internal regulation. This study provides a consolidated synthesis of fossil sources (CO2 fossil) and natural sources and sinks over land (CO2 land) using bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) approaches for the European Union and United Kingdom (EU27+UK), updating earlier syntheses (Petrescu et al., 2020, 2021b). Given the wide scope of the work and the variety of approaches involved, this study aims to answer essential questions identified in the previous syntheses and understand the differences between datasets, particularly for poorly characterized fluxes from managed ecosystems. The work integrates updated emission inventory data, process-based model results, data-driven sectoral model results, and inverse modeling estimates, extending the previous period 1990-2018 to the year 2020 to the extent possible. BU and TD products are compared with European National Greenhouse Gas Inventories (NGHGIs) reported by Parties including the year 2019 under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The uncertainties of the EU27+UK NGHGI were evaluated using the standard deviation reported by the EU Member States following the guidelines of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and harmonized by gap-filling procedures. Variation in estimates produced with other methods, such as atmospheric inversion models (TD) or spatially disaggregated inventory datasets (BU), originate from within-model uncertainty related to parameterization as well as structural differences between models. By comparing NGHGIs with other approaches, key sources of differences between estimates arise primarily in activities. System boundaries and emission categories create differences in CO2 fossil datasets, while different land use definitions for reporting emissions from Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) activities result in differences for CO2 land. The latter has important consequences for atmospheric inversions, leading to inversions reporting stronger sinks in vegetation and soils than are reported by the NGHGI. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reliable quantification of the sources and sinks of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2), including that of their trends and uncertainties, is essential to monitoring the progress in mitigating anthropogenic emissions under the Kyoto Protocol and the Paris Agreement. This study provides a consolidated synthesis of estimates for all anthropogenic and natural sources and sinks of CO 2 for the European Union and UK (EU27 + UK), derived from a combination of state-of-the-art bottom-up (BU) and top-down (TD) data sources and models. Given the wide scope of the work and the variety of datasets involved, this study focuses on identifying essential questions which need to be answered to properly understand the differences between various datasets, in particular with regards to the less-well-characterized fluxes from managed ecosystems. The work integrates recent emission inventory data, process-based ecosystem model results, data-driven sector model results and inverse modeling estimates over the period 1990–2018. BU and TD products are compared with European national greenhouse gas inventories (NGHGIs) reported under the UNFCCC in 2019, aiming to assess and understand the differences between approaches. For the uncertainties in NGHGIs, we used the standard deviation obtained by varying parameters of inventory calculations, reported by the member states following the IPCC Guidelines. Variation in estimates produced with other methods, like atmospheric inversion models (TD) or spatially disaggregated inventory datasets (BU), arises from diverse sources including within-model uncertainty related to parameterization as well as structural differences between models. In comparing NGHGIs with other approaches, a key source of uncertainty is that related to different system boundaries and emission categories (CO 2 fossil) and the use of different land use definitions for reporting emissions from land use, land use change and forestry (LULUCF) activities (CO 2 land). At the EU27 + UK level, the NGHGI (2019) fossil CO 2 emissions (including cement production) account for 2624 Tg CO 2 in 2014 while all the other seven bottom-up sources are consistent with the NGHGIs and report a mean of 2588 (± 463 Tg CO 2). The inversion reports 2700 Tg CO 2 (± 480 Tg CO 2), which is well in line with the national inventories. Over 2011–2015, the CO 2 land sources and sinks from NGHGI estimates report -90 Tg C yr -1 ± 30 Tg C yr -1 while all other BU approaches report a mean sink of -98 Tg C yr -1 (± 362 Tg of C from dynamic global vegetation models only). For the TD model ensemble results, we observe a much larger spread for regional inversions (i.e., mean of 253 Tg C yr -1 ± 400 Tg C yr -1). This concludes that (a) current independent approaches are consistent with NGHGIs and (b) their uncertainty is too large to allow a verification because of model differences and probably also because of the definition of "CO 2 flux" obtained from different approaches. The referenced datasets related to figures are visualized at 10.5281/zenodo.4626578 (Petrescu et al., 2020a). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In order to track progress towards the global climate targets, the parties that signed the Paris Climate Agreement will regularly report their anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions based on energy statistics and CO2 emission factors. Independent evaluation of this self-reporting system is a fast-growing research topic. Here, we study the value of satellite observations of the column CO2 concentrations to estimate CO2 anthropogenic emissions with five years of the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) retrievals over and around China. With the detailed information of emission source locations and the local wind, we successfully observe CO2 plumes from 60 cities and industrial regions over China and quantify their CO2 emissions from the OCO-2 observations, which add up to a total of 1.6 Gt CO2 yr−1 that account for 17 % of mainland China's annual emissions. The number of cities whose emissions are constrained by OCO-2 here is three to ten times larger than previous studies that only focused on large cities and power plants in different locations around the world. Our satellite-based emission estimates are broadly consistent with the independent values from the detailed China's emission inventory MEIC, but are more different from those of two widely used global gridded emission datasets (i.e., EDGAR and ODIAC), especially for the emission estimates for the individual cities. These results demonstrate some skill in the satellite-based emission quantification for isolated source clusters with the OCO-2, despite the sparse sampling of this instrument not designed for this purpose. This skill can be improved by future satellite missions that will have a denser spatial sampling of surface emitting areas, which will come soon in the early 2020s. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract. Providing timely information on urban Greenhouse-Gas (GHG) emissions and their trends to stakeholders relies on reliable measurements of atmospheric concentrations and the understanding of how local emissions and atmospheric transport influence these observations. Portable Fourier Transform Infra-Red (FTIR) spectrometers were deployed at 5 stations in the Paris metropolitan area to provide column-averaged concentrations of CO2 (XCO2) during a field campaign in spring of 2015. Here, we describe and analyze the variations of XCO2 observed at different sites and how they changed over time. We find that observations upwind and downwind of the city centre differ significantly in their XCO2 concentrations, while the overall variability of the daily cycle is similar, i.e., increasing during night-time with a strong decrease (typically 2–3ppm) during the afternoon. An atmospheric transport model framework (CHIMERE-CAMS) was used to simulate XCO2 and predict the same behaviour seen in the observations, which supports key findings, e.g. that even in a densely populated region like Paris (over 12 Million people), biospheric uptake of CO2 can be of major influence on daily XCO2 variations. Despite a general offset between modelled and observed XCO2, the model correctly predicts the impact of the meteorological parameters (e.g. wind direction and speed) on the concentration gradients between different stations. Looking at the local gradients of XCO2 for upwind and downwind station pairs, which is less sensitive to changes in XCO2 regional background conditions, we find the model-data agreement significantly better. Our modelling framework indicates that the local XCO2 gradient between the stations is dominated by the fossil fuel CO2 signal of the Paris metropolitan area. This highlights the usefulness of XCO2 observations to help optimise future urban GHG emission estimates. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study deals with the problem of identifying atmospheric data influenced by local emissions that can result in spikes in time series of greenhouse gases and longlived tracer measurements. We considered three spike detection methods known as coefficient of variation (COV), robust extraction of baseline signal (REBS) and standard deviation of the background (SD) to detect and filter positive spikes in continuous greenhouse gas time series from four monitoring stations representative of the European ICOS (Integrated Carbon Observation System) Research Infrastructure network. The results of the different methods are compared to each other and against a manual detection performed by station managers. Four stations were selected as test cases to apply the spike detection methods: a continental rural tower of 100m height in eastern France (OPE), a high-mountain observatory in the south-west of France (PDM), a regional marine background site in Crete (FKL) and a marine cleanair background site in the Southern Hemisphere on Amsterdam Island (AMS). This selection allows us to address spike detection problems in time series with different variability. Two years of continuous measurements of CO2, CH4 and CO were analysed. All methods were found to be able to detect short-term spikes (lasting from a few seconds to a few minutes) in the time series. Analysis of the results of each method leads us to exclude the COV method due to the requirement to arbitrarily specify an a priori percentage of rejected data in the time series, which may over- or underestimate the actual number of spikes. The two other methods freely determine the number of spikes for a given set of parameters, and the values of these parameters were calibrated to provide the best match with spikes known to reflect local emissions episodes that are well documented by the station managers. More than 96% of the spikes manually identified by station managers were successfully detected both in the SD and the REBS methods after the best adjustment of parameter values. At PDM, measurements made by two analyzers located 200m from each other allow us to confirm that the CH4 spikes identified in one of the time series but not in the other correspond to a local source from a sewage treatment facility in one of the observatory buildings. From this experiment, we also found that the REBS method underestimates the number of positive anomalies in the CH4 data caused by local sewage emissions. As a conclusion, we recommend the use of the SD method, which also appears to be the easiest one to implement in automatic data processing, used for the operational filtering of spikes in greenhouse gases time series at global and regional monitoring stations of networks like that of the ICOS atmosphere network. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Many stakeholders are seeking methods to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in urban areas, but reliable, high-resolution inventories are required to guide these efforts. We present the development of a high-resolution CO2 inventory available for the Greater Toronto Area and surrounding region in Southern Ontario, Canada (area of ~2.8 x 105 km², 26% of the province of Ontario). The new SOCE (Southern Ontario CO2 Emissions) inventory is available at the 2.5 x 2.5 km spatial and hourly temporal resolution and characterizes emissions from seven sectors: area, residential natural-gas combustion, commercial natural-gas combustion, point, marine, on-road, and off-road. To assess the accuracy of the SOCE inventory, we developed an observation--model framework using the GEM-MACH chemistry--transport model run on a high-resolution grid with 2.5 km grid spacing coupled to the Fossil Fuel Data Assimilation System (FFDAS) v2 inventories for anthropogenic CO2 emissions and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) land carbon model C-TESSEL for biogenic fluxes. A run using FFDAS for the Southern Ontario region was compared to a run in which its emissions were replaced by the SOCE inventory. Simulated CO2 mixing ratios were compared against in situ measurements made at four sites in Southern Ontario -- Downsview, Hanlan's Point, Egbert and Turkey Point -- in 3 winter months, January-March 2016. Model simulations had better agreement with measurements when using the SOCE inventory emissions versus other inventories, quantified using a variety of statistics such as correlation coefficient, root-meansquare error, and mean bias. Furthermore, when run with the SOCE inventory, the model had improved ability to capture the typical diurnal pattern of CO2 mixing ratios, particularly at the Downsview, Hanlan's Point, and Egbert sites. In addition to improved model--measurement agreement, the SOCE inventory offers a sectoral breakdown of emissions, allowing estimation of average time-of-day and day-of-week contributions of different sectors. Our results show that at night, emissions from residential and commercial natural-gas combustion and other area sources can contribute > 80% of the CO2 enhancement, while during the day emissions from the on-road sector dominate, accounting for > 70% of the enhancement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study deals with the problem of identifying atmospheric data that are influenced by local emissions which cause spikes in time series of greenhouse gases and long-lived tracer measurements. We considered three spike detection methods known as coefficient of variation (COV), robust extraction of baseline signal (REBS), and standard deviation of the background (SD), to detect and filter positive spikes in continuous greenhouse gas time series from four monitoring stations representative of the ICOS (Integrated Carbon Observation System) European Infrastructure network. The results of the different methods are compared to each other and against a manual detection performed by station managers. Four stations were selected as test cases to apply the spike detection methods: a continental rural tower of 100 m height in Eastern France (OPE); a high mountain observatory in the south-west of France (PDM); a regional marine background site in Crete (FKL); and a marine clean-air background site in the southern hemisphere in Amsterdam island (AMS). This panel allows addressing the spike detection problems in time series with different variability. Two years of continuous measurements of CO2, CH4 and CO were analyzed. All the methods were found to be able to detect short-term spikes (lasting from a few seconds to few minutes) in the time series. Analysis of the results of each method leads us to exclude the use of the COV method because of its requirement to arbitrarily specify an a priori percentage of rejected data in the time series, which may over- or under-estimate the actual number of spikes. The two other methods freely determine the number of spikes for a given set of parameters, and the values of these parameters were calibrated to provide the best match with spikes known to reflect local emissions episodes well documented by the station managers. More than 96 % of the spikes manually identified by station managers were successfully detected both in the SD and the REBS methods after the best adjustment of parameter values. At PDM, measurements made by two analyzers 200 m from each other allow to confirm that the CH4 spikes identified in one of the time-series but not in the other correspond to a local source from a sewage treatment facility in one of the observatory buildings. From this experiment, we found that the REBS method underestimates the number of positive anomalies in the CH4 data caused by local sewage emissions. As a conclusion, we recommend the use of the SD method, which also appears as the easiest one to implement as automatic data processing, for the operational filtering of spikes in greenhouses gases time series at global and regional monitoring stations of networks like ICOS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Many stakeholders are seeking methods to reduce carbon dioxide (COO2) emissions in urban areas, however reliable, high-resolution inventories are required to guide these efforts. We present the development of a high-resolution COO2 inventory available for the Greater Toronto Area and surrounding region in southern Ontario, Canada (area of ∼ 2.8 × 105 km², 26 % of the province of Ontario). The new SOCE (Southern Ontario COO2 Emissions) inventory is available at the 2.5 × 2.5 km spatial and hourly temporal resolution and characterizes emissions from seven sectors: Area, Residential natural gas combustion, Commercial natural gas combustion, Point, Marine, On-road and Off-road. To assess the accuracy of the SOCE inventory, we developed an observation-model framework using the GEM-MACH chemistry-transport model run on a high-resolution grid with 2.5 km grid spacing coupled to the Fossil Fuel Data Assimilation System (FFDAS) v2 inventories for anthropogenic COO2 emissions and the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) land carbon model C-TESSEL for biogenic fluxes. A run using FFDAS for the southern Ontario region was compared to a run in which its emissions were replaced by the SOCE inventory. Simulated COO2 mixing ratios were compared against in situ measurements made at four sites in southern Ontario, Downsview, Hanlan's Point, Egbert and Turkey Point, in three winter months, January–March, 2016. Model simulations had better agreement with measurements when using the SOCE inventory emissions versus other inventories, quantified using a variety of statistics such as Correlation Coefficient, root mean square error and mean bias. Furthermore, when run with the SOCE inventory, the model had improved ability to capture the typical diurnal pattern of COO2 mixing ratios, particularly at the Downsview, Hanlan's Point and Egbert sites. In addition to improved model-measurement agreement, the SOCE inventory offers a sectoral breakdown of emissions, allowing estimation of average time-of-day and day-of-week contributions of different sectors. Our results show that at night, emissions from Residential and Commercial natural gas combustion and other Area sources can contribute > 80 % of the COO2 enhancement while during the day emissions from the On-road sector dominate, accounting for > 70 % of the enhancement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A method is presented in which the adjoint of a four-dimensional variational data assimilation system (4D-Var) was used to compute the expected analysis and forecast error variances of linear functions of the ocean state vector. The power and utility of the approach are demonstrated using the Regional Ocean Modeling System configured for the California Current system. Linear functions of the ocean state vector were considered in the form of indices that characterize various aspects of the coastal upwelling circulation. It was found that for configurations of 4D-Var typically used in ocean models, reliable estimates of the expected analysis error variances can be obtained both for variables that are observed and unobserved. In addition, the contribution of uncertainties in the model control variables to the forecast error variance was also quantified. One particularly powerful and illuminating aspect of the adjoint 4D-Var approach to the forecast problem is that the contribution of individual observations to the predictability of the circulation can be readily computed. An important finding of the work presented here is that despite the plethora of available satellite observations, the relatively modest fraction of in situ subsurface observations sometimes exerts a significant influence on the predictability of the coastal ocean. Independent checks of the analysis and forecast error variances are also presented, which provide a direct test of the hypotheses that underpin the prior error and observation error estimates used during 4D-Var. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Continued developments in instrumentation and modeling have driven progress in monitoring methane (CH4) emissions at a range of spatial scales. The sites that emit CH4 such as landfills, oil and gas extraction or storage infrastructure, intensive livestock farms account for a large share of global emissions, and need to be monitored on a continuous basis to verify the effectiveness of reductions policies. Low cost sensors are valuable to monitor methane (CH4) around such facilities because they can be deployed in a large number to sample atmospheric plumes and retrieve emission rates using dispersion models. Here we present two tests of three different versions of Figaro® TGS tin-oxide sensors for estimating CH4 concentrations variations, at levels similar to current atmospheric values, with a sought accuracy of 0.1 to 0.2 ppm. In the first test, we characterize the variation of the resistance of the tin-oxide semi-conducting sensors to controlled levels of CH4, H2O and CO in the laboratory, to analyze cross-sensitivities. In the second test, we reconstruct observed CH4 variations in a room, that ranged from 1.9 and 2.4 ppm during a three month experiment from observed time series of resistances and other variables. To do so, a machine learning model is trained against true CH4 recorded by a high precision instrument. The machine-learning model using 30% of the data for training reconstructs CH4 within the target accuracy of 0.1 ppm only if training variables are representative of conditions during the testing period. The model-derived sensitivities of the sensors resistance to H2O compared to CH4 are larger than those observed under controlled conditions, which deserves further characterization of all the factors influencing the resistance of the sensors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses a study which described the use of satellite observations and information to track the dynamics of carbon dioxide emissions during COVID-19 pandemic in China. TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument onboard the Copernicus Sentinel-5 Precursor satellite was employed to observe nitrogen dioxide. Results of the study are discussed. Materials and methods used are described.

This study deals with the problem of identifying atmospheric data influenced by local emissions that can result in spikes in time series of greenhouse gases and longlived tracer measurements. We considered three spike detection methods known as coefficient of variation (COV), robust extraction of baseline signal (REBS) and standard deviation of the background (SD) to detect and filter positive spikes in continuous greenhouse gas time series from four monitoring stations representative of the European ICOS (Integrated Carbon Observation System) Research Infrastructure network. The results of the different methods are compared to each other and against a manual detection performed by station managers. Four stations were selected as test cases to apply the spike detection methods: a continental rural tower of 100m height in eastern France (OPE), a high-mountain observatory in the south-west of France (PDM), a regional marine background site in Crete (FKL) and a marine cleanair background site in the Southern Hemisphere on Amsterdam Island (AMS). This selection allows us to address spike detection problems in time series with different variability. Two years of continuous measurements of CO2, CH4 and CO were analysed. All methods were found to be able to detect short-term spikes (lasting from a few seconds to a few minutes) in the time series. Analysis of the results of each method leads us to exclude the COV method due to the requirement to arbitrarily specify an a priori percentage of rejected data in the time series, which may over- or underestimate the actual number of spikes. The two other methods freely determine the number of spikes for a given set of parameters, and the values of these parameters were calibrated to provide the best match with spikes known to reflect local emissions episodes that are well documented by the station managers. More than 96% of the spikes manually identified by station managers were successfully detected both in the SD and the REBS methods after the best adjustment of parameter values. At PDM, measurements made by two analyzers located 200m from each other allow us to confirm that the CH4 spikes identified in one of the time series but not in the other correspond to a local source from a sewage treatment facility in one of the observatory buildings. From this experiment, we also found that the REBS method underestimates the number of positive anomalies in the CH4 data caused by local sewage emissions. As a conclusion, we recommend the use of the SD method, which also appears to be the easiest one to implement in automatic data processing, used for the operational filtering of spikes in greenhouse gases time series at global and regional monitoring stations of networks like that of the ICOS atmosphere network. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study deals with the problem of identifying atmospheric data that are influenced by local emissions which cause spikes in time series of greenhouse gases and long-lived tracer measurements. We considered three spike detection methods known as coefficient of variation (COV), robust extraction of baseline signal (REBS), and standard deviation of the background (SD), to detect and filter positive spikes in continuous greenhouse gas time series from four monitoring stations representative of the ICOS (Integrated Carbon Observation System) European Infrastructure network. The results of the different methods are compared to each other and against a manual detection performed by station managers. Four stations were selected as test cases to apply the spike detection methods: a continental rural tower of 100 m height in Eastern France (OPE); a high mountain observatory in the south-west of France (PDM); a regional marine background site in Crete (FKL); and a marine clean-air background site in the southern hemisphere in Amsterdam island (AMS). This panel allows addressing the spike detection problems in time series with different variability. Two years of continuous measurements of CO2, CH4 and CO were analyzed. All the methods were found to be able to detect short-term spikes (lasting from a few seconds to few minutes) in the time series. Analysis of the results of each method leads us to exclude the use of the COV method because of its requirement to arbitrarily specify an a priori percentage of rejected data in the time series, which may over- or under-estimate the actual number of spikes. The two other methods freely determine the number of spikes for a given set of parameters, and the values of these parameters were calibrated to provide the best match with spikes known to reflect local emissions episodes well documented by the station managers. More than 96 % of the spikes manually identified by station managers were successfully detected both in the SD and the REBS methods after the best adjustment of parameter values. At PDM, measurements made by two analyzers 200 m from each other allow to confirm that the CH4 spikes identified in one of the time-series but not in the other correspond to a local source from a sewage treatment facility in one of the observatory buildings. From this experiment, we found that the REBS method underestimates the number of positive anomalies in the CH4 data caused by local sewage emissions. As a conclusion, we recommend the use of the SD method, which also appears as the easiest one to implement as automatic data processing, for the operational filtering of spikes in greenhouses gases time series at global and regional monitoring stations of networks like ICOS. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this article the authors discuss the Mauna Loa carbon dioxide (CO2) time series begun by C. D. Keeling in 1958 and maintained by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL). They discuss the time series' role in providing evidence of the impact of human-induced atmospheric increases of CO2 and the impact of NOAA budget cuts on climate change research.