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4. Projections of Changes in Flood Hazard in Two Headwater Catchments of the Vistula in the Context of European-Scale Studies

Author

Romanowicz, Renata J., Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., Meresa, Hadush K., Stoffel, Markus, Krysanova, Valentina, Doroszkiewicz, Joanna, Rowinski, Pawel, Editor-in-chief, Banaszkiewicz, Marek, Series editor, Pempkowiak, Janusz, Series editor, Lewandowski, Marek, Series editor, Sarna, Marek, Series editor, Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W., editor, Stoffel, Markus, editor, Niedźwiedź, Tadeusz, editor, and Wyżga, Bartłomiej, editor

Published
2016
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9. Lessons from the 2018-2019 European droughts : a collective need for unifying drought risk management

Author

Blauhut, Veit, Stoelzle, Michael, Ahopelto, Lauri, Brunner, Manuela I., Teutschbein, Claudia, Wendt, Doris E., Akstinas, Vytautas, Bakke, Sigrid J., Barker, Lucy J., Bartošová, Lenka, Briede, Agrita, Cammalleri, Carmelo, Kalin, Ksenija Cindrić, De Stefano, Lucia, Fendeková, Miriam, Finger, David C., Huysmans, Marijke, Ivanov, Mirjana, Jaagus, Jaak, Jakubínský, JiÅ™í, Krakovska, Svitlana, Laaha, Gregor, Lakatos, Monika, Manevski, Kiril, Neumann Andersen, Mathias, Nikolova, Nina, Osuch, Marzena, Van Oel, Pieter, Radeva, Kalina, Romanowicz, Renata J., Toth, Elena, Trnka, Mirek, Urošev, Marko, Urquijo Reguera, Julia, Sauquet, Eric, Stevkov, Aleksandra, Tallaksen, Lena M., Trofimova, Iryna, Van Loon, Anne F., Van Vliet, Michelle T.H., Vidal, Jean Philippe, Wanders, Niko, Werner, Micha, Willems, Patrick, Zivković, Nenad, Hydrologie, Landdegradatie en aardobservatie, Blauhut V., Stoelzle M., Ahopelto L., Brunner M.I., Teutschbein C., Wendt D.E., Akstinas V., Bakke S.J., Barker L.J., Bartosova L., Briede A., Cammalleri C., Kalin K.C., De Stefano L., Fendekova M., Finger D.C., Huysmans M., Ivanov M., Jaagus J., Jakubinsky J., Krakovska S., Laaha G., Lakatos M., Manevski K., Neumann Andersen M., Nikolova N., Osuch M., Van Oel P., Radeva K., Romanowicz R.J., Toth E., Trnka M., Urosev M., Urquijo Reguera J., Sauquet E., Stevkov A., Tallaksen L.M., Trofimova I., Van Loon A.F., Van Vliet M.T.H., Vidal J.-P., Wanders N., Werner M., Willems P., Zivkovic N., University of Freiburg, Department of Built Environment, Uppsala University, University of Birmingham, Lithuanian Energy Institute, University of Oslo, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Czech Academy of Sciences, University of Latvia, European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute, Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service, Complutense University, Comenius University in Bratislava, Reykjavík University, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Institute of Hydrometeorology and Seismology of Montenegro, University of Tartu, Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna, Hungarian Meteorological Service, Aarhus University, Sofia University St. Kliment Ohridski, Institute of Geophysics of the Polish Academy of Sciences, Wageningen University and Research Centre, Universita di Bologna, Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts, Technical University of Madrid, INRAE, National Hydrometeorological Service, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Utrecht University, IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, KU Leuven, University of Belgrade, Aalto-yliopisto, Aalto University, Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Water and Climate Risk, Hydrologie, and Landdegradatie en aardobservatie

Subjects
IMPACTS, drought, risk, management, strategy, stakeholders, Europe, Hidrología, media_common.quotation_subject, WATER-RESOURCES, CIRCULATION, Vulnerability, Earth and Planetary Sciences(all), Oceanografi, hydrologi och vattenresurser, METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT, EVENTS, Oceanography, Hydrology and Water Resources, Short summary: Recent drought events caused enormous damage in Europe. We therefore questioned the existence and effect of current drought management strategies on the actual impacts and how drought is perceived by relevant stakeholders. Over 700 participants from 28 European countries provided insights into drought hazard and impact perception and current management strategies. The study concludes with an urgent need to collectively combat drought risk via a European macro-level drought governance approach, 11. Sustainability, Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences, Life Science, Geosciences, Multidisciplinary, Environmental planning, media_common, Science & Technology, WIMEK, Corporate governance, Geology, Directive, Hazard, 6. Clean water, Water Resources Management, Water resources, Geography, Harm, 13. Climate action, Physical Sciences, Water Resources, General Earth and Planetary Sciences, Water Systems and Global Change, Psychological resilience, Hydrology, SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation, Diversity (business)
Abstract

Funding Information: This open-access publication was funded by the University of Freiburg. Funding Information: Financial support. The project is supported by the Wassernetzwerk Baden-Württemberg (Water Research Network of the State Baden-Württemberg), which is funded by the Ministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Kunst Baden-Württemberg (Ministry of Science, Research and the Arts of the State Baden-Württemberg) (grant no. AZ. 7532.21/2.1.6) and Maa-ja vesitekniikan tuki ry foundation. Doris E. Wendt acknowledges her support as part of the NERC-funded Groundwater Drought Initiative (NE/R004994/1). Lucy J. Barker was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council (NE/R016429/1) as part of the UK-SCAPE programme delivering National Capability. The contributions of Mirek Trnka, Lenka Bartošová, and Jaak Jaagus have been supported by SustES – Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797). Publisher Copyright: © 2022 Veit Blauhut et al. Drought events and their impacts vary spatially and temporally due to diverse pedo-climatic and hydrologic conditions, as well as variations in exposure and vulnerability, such as demographics and response actions. While hazard severity and frequency of past drought events have been studied in detail, little is known about the effect of drought management strategies on the actual impacts and how the hazard is perceived by relevant stakeholders. In a continental study, we characterised and assessed the impacts and the perceptions of two recent drought events (2018 and 2019) in Europe and examined the relationship between management strategies and drought perception, hazard, and impact. The study was based on a pan-European survey involving national representatives from 28 countries and relevant stakeholders responding to a standard questionnaire. The survey focused on collecting information on stakeholders' perceptions of drought, impacts on water resources and beyond, water availability, and current drought management strategies on national and regional scales. The survey results were compared with the actual drought hazard information registered by the European Drought Observatory (EDO) for 2018 and 2019. The results highlighted high diversity in drought perception across different countries and in values of the implemented drought management strategies to alleviate impacts by increasing national and sub-national awareness and resilience. The study identifies an urgent need to further reduce drought impacts by constructing and implementing a European macro-level drought governance approach, such as a directive, which would strengthen national drought management and mitigate damage to human and natural assets.

Published
2022

18. Supplementary material to "Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: A collective need for unifying drought risk management"

Author

Blauhut, Veit, primary, Stoelzle, Michael, additional, Ahopelto, Lauri, additional, Brunner, Manuela I., additional, Teutschbein, Claudia, additional, Wendt, Doris E., additional, Akstinas, Vytautas, additional, Bakke, Sigrid J., additional, Barker, Lucy J., additional, Bartošová, Lenka, additional, Briede, Agrita, additional, Cammalleri, Carmelo, additional, De Stefano, Lucia, additional, Fendeková, Miriam, additional, Finger, David C., additional, Huysmans, Marijke, additional, Ivanov, Mirjana, additional, Jaagus, Jaak, additional, Jakubínský, Jiří, additional, Kalin, Ksenija Cindrić, additional, Krakovska, Svitlana, additional, Laaha, Gregor, additional, Lakatos, Monika, additional, Manevski, Kiril, additional, Neumann Andersen, Mathias, additional, Nikolova, Nina, additional, Osuch, Marzena, additional, van Oel, Pieter, additional, Radeva, Kalina, additional, Romanowicz, Renata J., additional, Toth, Elena, additional, Trnka, Mirek, additional, Urošev, Marko, additional, Urquijo Reguera, Julia, additional, Sauquet, Eric, additional, Stevkova, Silvana, additional, Tallaksen, Lena M., additional, Trofimova, Iryna, additional, van Vliet, Michelle T. H., additional, Vidal, Jean-Philippe, additional, Wanders, Niko, additional, Werner, Micha, additional, Willems, Patrick, additional, and Živković, Nenad, additional

Published
2021
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19. Lessons from the 2018–2019 European droughts: A collective need for unifying drought risk management

Author

Blauhut, Veit, primary, Stoelzle, Michael, additional, Ahopelto, Lauri, additional, Brunner, Manuela I., additional, Teutschbein, Claudia, additional, Wendt, Doris E., additional, Akstinas, Vytautas, additional, Bakke, Sigrid J., additional, Barker, Lucy J., additional, Bartošová, Lenka, additional, Briede, Agrita, additional, Cammalleri, Carmelo, additional, De Stefano, Lucia, additional, Fendeková, Miriam, additional, Finger, David C., additional, Huysmans, Marijke, additional, Ivanov, Mirjana, additional, Jaagus, Jaak, additional, Jakubínský, Jiří, additional, Kalin, Ksenija Cindrić, additional, Krakovska, Svitlana, additional, Laaha, Gregor, additional, Lakatos, Monika, additional, Manevski, Kiril, additional, Neumann Andersen, Mathias, additional, Nikolova, Nina, additional, Osuch, Marzena, additional, van Oel, Pieter, additional, Radeva, Kalina, additional, Romanowicz, Renata J., additional, Toth, Elena, additional, Trnka, Mirek, additional, Urošev, Marko, additional, Urquijo Reguera, Julia, additional, Sauquet, Eric, additional, Stevkova, Silvana, additional, Tallaksen, Lena M., additional, Trofimova, Iryna, additional, van Vliet, Michelle T. H., additional, Vidal, Jean-Philippe, additional, Wanders, Niko, additional, Werner, Micha, additional, Willems, Patrick, additional, and Živković, Nenad, additional

Published
2021
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35. Perceiving and managing the 2018 & 2019 droughts in Europe: is there a need for macro-governance in Europe?

Author

Blauhut, Veit, primary, Teutschbein, Claudia, additional, Andersen, Mathias N., additional, Brunner, Manuela, additional, Cammalleri, Carmelo, additional, Cindrić Kalin, Ksenija, additional, Finger, David C., additional, Huysmans, Marijke, additional, Manevski, Kiril, additional, Osuch, Marzena, additional, Romanowicz, Renata J., additional, Stahl, Kerstin, additional, Stoelzle, Michael, additional, Van Loon, Anne F., additional, Van Vliet, Michelle T.H., additional, Wanders, Niko, additional, Vogt, Jürgen, additional, Vidal, Jean-Philippe, additional, and Williams, Patrick, additional

Published
2020
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39. The European 2015 drought from a hydrological perspective (presentation slides)

Author

Laaha, Gregor, Gauster, Tobias, Tallaksen, Lena M., Jean-Philippe Vidal, Stahl, Kerstin, Ionita, Monica, H. A. J. Van Lanen, Mary-Jeanne Adler, Caillouet, Laurie, Delus, Claire, Fendekova, Miriam, Gailliez, Sébastien, Hannaford, Jamie, Heudorfer, Benedikt, Kingston, Daniel, Loon, Anne F. Van, Mediero, Luis, Osuch, Marzena, Prudhomme, Christel, Romanowicz, Renata J., Sauquet, Eric, Stagge, James H., Vlnas, Radek, and Wong, Wai Kwok

Published
2016
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43. Hydrology needed to manage droughts: the 2015 European case

Author

Van Lanen, Henny A.J., primary, Laaha, Gregor, additional, Kingston, Daniel G., additional, Gauster, Tobias, additional, Ionita, Monica, additional, Vidal, Jean‐Philippe, additional, Vlnas, Radek, additional, Tallaksen, Lena M., additional, Stahl, Kerstin, additional, Hannaford, Jamie, additional, Delus, Claire, additional, Fendekova, Miriam, additional, Mediero, Luis, additional, Prudhomme, Christel, additional, Rets, Ekaterina, additional, Romanowicz, Renata J., additional, Gailliez, Sébastien, additional, Wong, Wai Kwok, additional, Adler, Mary‐Jeanne, additional, Blauhut, Veit, additional, Caillouet, Laurie, additional, Chelcea, Silvia, additional, Frolova, Natalia, additional, Gudmundsson, Lukas, additional, Hanel, Martin, additional, Haslinger, Klaus, additional, Kireeva, Maria, additional, Osuch, Marzena, additional, Sauquet, Eric, additional, Stagge, James H., additional, and Van Loon, Anne F., additional

Published
2016
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46. The critical role of uncertainty in projections of hydrological Extremes.

Author

Meresa, Hadush K. and Romanowicz, Renata J.

Abstract

This paper aims to quantify the uncertainty in the projections of future hydrological extremes in the BialaTarnowska River basin, south Poland. We follow a multi-model approach based on several climate projections obtained from the EUROCORDEX initiative, raw and downscaled realizations of catchment precipitation and temperature, and flow simulations derived using the hydrological HBV model. The projections cover the 21st century. Three sources of uncertainty were considered: one related to the hydrological model parameters uncertainty, the second related to climate projection ensemble spread and the third related to the distribution fit. The uncertainty of projected extreme indices related to hydrological model parameters was conditioned on flow observations from the reference period using the Generalised Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation approach, with separate weighting for high and low flow extremes. Flood quantiles were estimated using Generalize Extreme Value (GEV) distribution at different return periods and were based on two different lengths of the flow time series. The sensitivity analysis based on ANOVA shows that the uncertainty introduced by the HBV model parameters can be larger than the climate model variability and distribution fit uncertainty for the low-flow extremes whilst for the high-flow extremes higher uncertainty is observed from climate models than from hydrological parameter and distribution fit uncertainties. This implies that ignoring one of the three uncertainty sources may cause great risk to future hydrological extreme adaptations and water resource planning and management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2016
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47. Performance of ensemble streamflow forecasts under varied hydrometeorological conditions.

Author

Benninga, Harm-Jan F., Booij, Martijn J., Romanowicz, Renata J., and Rientjes, Tom H. M.

Abstract

The paper presents a methodology to give insight in the performance of ensemble streamflow forecasting systems. We developed an ensemble forecasting system for the Biała Tarnowska, a mountainous river catchment in southern Poland, and analysed the performance for lead times from 1 day to 10 days for low, medium and high streamflow and related runoff generating processes. Precipitation and temperature forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts serve as input to a deterministic lumped hydrological (HBV) model. Due to inconsistent bias, the best streamflow forecasts were obtained without pre- and post-processing of the meteorological and streamflow forecasts. Best forecast skill, relative to alternative forecasts based on historical measurements of precipitation and temperature, is shown for high streamflow and for snow accumulation low streamflow events. Forecasts of medium streamflow events and low streamflow events generated by precipitation deficit show less skill. To improve the performance of the forecasting system for high streamflow events, in particular the meteorological forecasts require improvement. For low streamflow forecasts, the hydrological model should be improved. The study recommends improving the reliability of the ensemble streamflow forecasts by including the uncertainties in hydrological model parameters and initial conditions, and by improving the dispersion of the meteorological input forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2016
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