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Factored Markov Decision Processes (fMDPs) are a class of Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) in which the states (and actions) can be factored into a set of state (and action) variables. The state space, action space and reward function of a fMDP can be encoded compactly using a factored representation. In this paper, we consider the setting where we have a set of potential sensors to select for the fMDP (at design-time), where each sensor measures a certain state variable and has a selection cost. We formulate the problem of selecting an optimal set of sensors for fMDPs (subject to certain budget constraints) to maximize the expected infinite-horizon discounted return provided by the optimal control policy. We show the fundamental result that it is NP-hard to approximate this optimization problem to within any non-trivial factor. We then study the dual problem of budgeted actuator selection (at design-time) to maximize the expected return under the optimal policy. Again, we show that it is NP-hard to approximate this optimization problem to within any non-trivial factor. Furthermore, with explicit examples, we show the failure of greedy algorithms for both the sensor and actuator selection problems and provide insights into the factors that cause these problems to be challenging. Despite the inapproximability results, through extensive simulations, we show that the greedy algorithm may provide near-optimal performance for actuator and sensor selection in many real-world and randomly generated fMDP instances., Comment: 22 pages, 5 figures

We consider the problem of selecting an optimal subset of information sources for a hypothesis testing/classification task where the goal is to identify the true state of the world from a finite set of hypotheses, based on finite observation samples from the sources. In order to characterize the learning performance, we propose a misclassification penalty framework, which enables nonuniform treatment of different misclassification errors. In a centralized Bayesian learning setting, we study two variants of the subset selection problem: (i) selecting a minimum cost information set to ensure that the maximum penalty of misclassifying the true hypothesis is below a desired bound and (ii) selecting an optimal information set under a limited budget to minimize the maximum penalty of misclassifying the true hypothesis. Under certain assumptions, we prove that the objective (or constraints) of these combinatorial optimization problems are weak (or approximate) submodular, and establish high-probability performance guarantees for greedy algorithms. Further, we propose an alternate metric for information set selection which is based on the total penalty of misclassification. We prove that this metric is submodular and establish near-optimal guarantees for the greedy algorithms for both the information set selection problems. Finally, we present numerical simulations to validate our theoretical results over several randomly generated instances., Comment: 21 pages, 4 figures

The problem of distributed optimization requires a group of networked agents to compute a parameter that minimizes the average of their local cost functions. While there are a variety of distributed optimization algorithms that can solve this problem, they are typically vulnerable to "Byzantine" agents that do not follow the algorithm. Recent attempts to address this issue focus on single dimensional functions, or assume certain statistical properties of the functions at the agents. In this paper, we provide two resilient, scalable, distributed optimization algorithms for multi-dimensional functions. Our schemes involve two filters, (1) a distance-based filter and (2) a min-max filter, which each remove neighborhood states that are extreme (defined precisely in our algorithms) at each iteration. We show that these algorithms can mitigate the impact of up to $F$ (unknown) Byzantine agents in the neighborhood of each regular agent. In particular, we show that if the network topology satisfies certain conditions, all of the regular agents' states are guaranteed to converge to a bounded region that contains the minimizer of the average of the regular agents' functions., Comment: 32 pages, 2 figures

In this paper, we discuss the development and deployment of a robust autonomous system capable of performing various tasks in the maritime domain under unknown dynamic conditions. We investigate a data-driven approach based on modular design for ease of transfer of autonomy across different maritime surface vessel platforms. The data-driven approach alleviates issues related to a priori identification of system models that may become deficient under evolving system behaviors or shifting, unanticipated, environmental influences. Our proposed learning-based platform comprises a deep Koopman system model and a change point detector that provides guidance on domain shifts prompting relearning under severe exogenous and endogenous perturbations. Motion control of the autonomous system is achieved via an optimal controller design. The Koopman linearized model naturally lends itself to a linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) control design. We propose the C3D control architecture Cascade Control with Change Point Detection and Deep Koopman Learning. The framework is verified in station keeping task on an ASV in both simulation and real experiments. The approach achieved at least 13.9 percent improvement in mean distance error in all test cases compared to the methods that do not consider system changes., Comment: This work has been submitted to the IEEE for possible publication. Copyright may be transferred without notice, after which this version may no longer be accessible

During the COVID-19 pandemic, different countries, regions, and communities constructed various epidemic models to evaluate spreading behaviors and assist in making mitigation policies. Model uncertainties, introduced by complex transmission behaviors, contact-tracing networks, time-varying spreading parameters, and human factors, as well as insufficient data, have posed arduous challenges for model-based approaches. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework for data-driven counterfactual analysis, strategy evaluation, and feedback control of epidemics, which leverages statistical information from epidemic testing data instead of constructing a specific model. Through reverse engineering the reproduction number by quantifying the impact of the intervention strategy, this framework tackles three primary problems: 1) How severe would an outbreak have been without the implemented intervention strategies? 2) What impact would varying the intervention strength have had on an outbreak? 3) How can we adjust the intervention intensity based on the current state of an outbreak? Specifically, we consider the epidemic intervention policies such as the testing-for-isolation strategy as an example, which was successfully implemented by the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (UIUC) and Purdue University (Purdue) during the COVID-19 pandemic. By leveraging data collected by UIUC and Purdue, we validate the effectiveness of the proposed data-driven framework.

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to represent correlations among entities but remain vulnerable to data corruption. In this work, we introduce a modified trimmed-inner-product algorithm to robustly estimate the covariance in an online scenario even in the presence of arbitrary and adversarial data attacks. At each time step, data points, drawn nominally independently and identically from a multivariate Gaussian distribution, arrive. However, a certain fraction of these points may have been arbitrarily corrupted. We propose an online algorithm to estimate the sparse inverse covariance (i.e., precision) matrix despite this corruption. We provide the error-bound and convergence properties of the estimates to the true precision matrix under our algorithms., Comment: 9 pages, 4 figures, 62nd IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)

Identifying a linear system model from data has wide applications in control theory. The existing work on finite sample analysis for linear system identification typically uses data from a single system trajectory under i.i.d random inputs, and assumes that the underlying dynamics is truly linear. In contrast, we consider the problem of identifying a linearized model when the true underlying dynamics is nonlinear. We provide a multiple trajectories-based deterministic data acquisition algorithm followed by a regularized least squares algorithm, and provide a finite sample error bound on the learned linearized dynamics. Our error bound demonstrates a trade-off between the error due to nonlinearity and the error due to noise, and shows that one can learn the linearized dynamics with arbitrarily small error given sufficiently many samples. We validate our results through experiments, where we also show the potential insufficiency of linear system identification using a single trajectory with i.i.d random inputs, when nonlinearity does exist., Comment: 8 pages, 3 figures, IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, 2023

The exponential growth of electric vehicles (EVs) presents novel challenges in preserving battery health and in addressing the persistent problem of vehicle range anxiety. To address these concerns, wireless charging, particularly, Mobile Energy Disseminators (MEDs) have emerged as a promising solution. The MED is mounted behind a large vehicle and charges all participating EVs within a radius upstream of it. Unfortuantely, during such V2V charging, the MED and EVs inadvertently form platoons, thereby occupying multiple lanes and impairing overall corridor travel efficiency. In addition, constrained budgets for MED deployment necessitate the development of an effective dispatching strategy to determine optimal timing and locations for introducing the MEDs into traffic. This paper proposes a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) based methodology to develop a vehicle dispatching framework. In the first component of the framework, we develop a realistic reinforcement learning environment termed "ChargingEnv" which incorporates a reliable charging simulation system that accounts for common practical issues in wireless charging deployment, specifically, the charging panel misalignment. The second component, the Proximal-Policy Optimization (PPO) agent, is trained to control MED dispatching through continuous interactions with ChargingEnv. Numerical experiments were carried out to demonstrate the demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed MED deployment decision processor. The experiment results suggest that the proposed model can significantly enhance EV travel range while efficiently deploying a optimal number of MEDs. The proposed model is found to be not only practical in its applicability but also has promises of real-world effectiveness. The proposed model can help travelers to maximize EV range and help road agencies or private-sector vendors to manage the deployment of MEDs efficiently., Comment: Submitted for presentation only at the 2024 Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board

The problem of finding the minimizer of a sum of convex functions is central to the field of optimization. In cases where the functions themselves are not fully known (other than their individual minimizers and convexity parameters), it is of interest to understand the region containing the potential minimizers of the sum based only on those known quantities. Characterizing this region in the case of multivariate strongly convex functions is far more complicated than the univariate case. In this paper, we provide both outer and inner approximations for the region containing the minimizer of the sum of two strongly convex functions, subject to a constraint on the norm of the gradient at the minimizer of the sum. In particular, we explicitly characterize the boundary and interior of both outer and inner approximations. Interestingly, the boundaries as well as the interiors turn out to be identical and we show that the boundary of the region containing the potential minimizers is also identical to that of the outer and inner approximations., Comment: 29 pages, 5 figures, submitting to Optimization (Taylor & Francis)

The problem of designing distributed optimization algorithms that are resilient to Byzantine adversaries has received significant attention. For the Byzantine-resilient distributed optimization problem, the goal is to (approximately) minimize the average of the local cost functions held by the regular (non adversarial) agents in the network. In this paper, we provide a general algorithmic framework for Byzantine-resilient distributed optimization which includes some state-of-the-art algorithms as special cases. We analyze the convergence of algorithms within the framework, and derive a geometric rate of convergence of all regular agents to a ball around the optimal solution (whose size we characterize). Furthermore, we show that approximate consensus can be achieved geometrically fast under some minimal conditions. Our analysis provides insights into the relationship among the convergence region, distance between regular agents' values, step-size, and properties of the agents' functions for Byzantine-resilient distributed optimization., Comment: 29 pages, 5 figures

In this paper we study multi-robot path planning for persistent monitoring tasks. We consider the case where robots have a limited battery capacity with a discharge time $D$. We represent the areas to be monitored as the vertices of a weighted graph. For each vertex, there is a constraint on the maximum allowable time between robot visits, called the latency. The objective is to find the minimum number of robots that can satisfy these latency constraints while also ensuring that the robots periodically charge at a recharging depot. The decision version of this problem is known to be PSPACE-complete. We present a $O(\frac{\log D}{\log \log D}\log \rho)$ approximation algorithm for the problem where $\rho$ is the ratio of the maximum and the minimum latency constraints. We also present an orienteering based heuristic to solve the problem and show empirically that it typically provides higher quality solutions than the approximation algorithm. We extend our results to provide an algorithm for the problem of minimizing the maximum weighted latency given a fixed number of robots. We evaluate our algorithms on large problem instances in a patrolling scenario and in a wildfire monitoring application. We also compare the algorithms with an existing solver on benchmark instances., Comment: 13 pages, 10 fiugres. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1903.06105

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) integrates learning and planning and has received increasing attention in recent years. However, learning the model can incur a significant cost (in terms of sample complexity), due to the need to obtain a sufficient number of samples for each state-action pair. In this paper, we investigate the benefits of leveraging structural information about the system in terms of reducing sample complexity. Specifically, we consider the setting where the transition probability matrix is a known function of a number of structural parameters, whose values are initially unknown. We then consider the problem of estimating those parameters based on the interactions with the environment. We characterize the difference between the Q estimates and the optimal Q value as a function of the number of samples. Our analysis shows that there can be a significant saving in sample complexity by leveraging structural information about the model. We illustrate the findings by considering several problems including controlling a queuing system with heterogeneous servers, and seeking an optimal path in a stochastic windy gridworld., Comment: 9 pages, 5 figures

We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to data generated by an auxiliary system that shares similar (but not identical) dynamics, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted least squares approach, and provide finite sample error bounds of the learned model as a function of the number of samples and various system parameters from the two systems as well as the weight assigned to the auxiliary data. We show that the auxiliary data can help to reduce the intrinsic system identification error due to noise, at the price of adding a portion of error that is due to the differences between the two system models. We further provide a data-dependent bound that is computable when some prior knowledge about the systems, such as upper bounds on noise levels and model difference, is available. This bound can also be used to determine the weight that should be assigned to the auxiliary data during the model training stage., Comment: 15 pages,9 figures

We study robust mean estimation in an online and distributed scenario in the presence of adversarial data attacks. At each time step, each agent in a network receives a potentially corrupted data point, where the data points were originally independent and identically distributed samples of a random variable. We propose online and distributed algorithms for all agents to asymptotically estimate the mean. We provide the error-bound and the convergence properties of the estimates to the true mean under our algorithms. Based on the network topology, we further evaluate each agent's trade-off in convergence rate between incorporating data from neighbors and learning with only local observations., Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, 61st IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)

We study the problem of estimating an unknown parameter in a distributed and online manner. Existing work on distributed online learning typically either focuses on asymptotic analysis, or provides bounds on regret. However, these results may not directly translate into bounds on the error of the learned model after a finite number of time-steps. In this paper, we propose a distributed online estimation algorithm which enables each agent in a network to improve its estimation accuracy by communicating with neighbors. We provide non-asymptotic bounds on the estimation error, leveraging the statistical properties of the underlying model. Our analysis demonstrates a trade-off between estimation error and communication costs. Further, our analysis allows us to determine a time at which the communication can be stopped (due to the costs associated with communications), while meeting a desired estimation accuracy. We also provide a numerical example to validate our results., Comment: 9 pages, 1 figure, 2022 Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)

We study the impact of model parameter uncertainty on optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic model and consider testing for isolation as the control strategy. We use a testing strategy to remove (isolate) a portion of the infected population. Our goal is to maintain the daily infected population below a certain level, while minimizing the total number of tests. Distinct from existing works on leveraging control strategies in epidemic spreading, we propose a testing strategy by overestimating the seriousness of the epidemic and study the feasibility of the system under the impact of model parameter uncertainty. Compared to the optimal testing strategy, we establish that the proposed strategy under model parameter uncertainty will flatten the curve effectively but require more tests and a longer time period., Comment: This article is accepted to be presented at the 2022 IEEE Conference on Decision and Control

This paper proposes a new approach that enables multi-agent systems to achieve resilient \textit{constrained} consensus in the presence of Byzantine attacks, in contrast to existing literature that is only applicable to \textit{unconstrained} resilient consensus problems. The key enabler for our approach is a new device called a \textit{$(\gamma_i,\alpha_i)$-resilient convex combination}, which allows normal agents in the network to utilize their locally available information to automatically isolate the impact of the Byzantine agents. Such a resilient convex combination is computable through linear programming, whose complexity scales well with the size of the overall system. By applying this new device to multi-agent systems, we introduce network and constraint redundancy conditions under which resilient constrained consensus can be achieved with an exponential convergence rate. We also provide insights on the design of a network such that the redundancy conditions are satisfied. Finally, numerical simulations and an example of safe multi-agent learning are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed results., Comment: 15 pages

As the scale of networked control systems increases and interactions between different subsystems become more sophisticated, questions of the resilience of such networks increase in importance. The need to redefine classical system and control-theoretic notions using the language of graphs has recently started to gain attention as a fertile and important area of research. This paper presents an overview of graph-theoretic methods for analyzing the resilience of networked control systems. We discuss various distributed algorithms operating on networked systems and investigate their resilience against adversarial actions by looking at the structural properties of their underlying networks. We present graph-theoretic methods to quantify the attack impact, and reinterpret some system-theoretic notions of robustness from a graph-theoretic standpoint to mitigate the impact of the attacks. Moreover, we discuss miscellaneous problems in the security of networked control systems which use graph-theory as a tool in their analyses. We conclude by introducing some avenues for further research in this field.

We study the problem of identifying the dynamics of a linear system when one has access to samples generated by a similar (but not identical) system, in addition to data from the true system. We use a weighted least squares approach and provide finite sample performance guarantees on the quality of the identified dynamics. Our results show that one can effectively use the auxiliary data generated by the similar system to reduce the estimation error due to the process noise, at the cost of adding a portion of error that is due to intrinsic differences in the models of the true and auxiliary systems. We also provide numerical experiments to validate our theoretical results. Our analysis can be applied to a variety of important settings. For example, if the system dynamics change at some point in time (e.g., due to a fault), how should one leverage data from the prior system in order to learn the dynamics of the new system? As another example, if there is abundant data available from a simulated (but imperfect) model of the true system, how should one weight that data compared to the real data from the system? Our analysis provides insights into the answers to these questions., Comment: 7 pages, 3 figuers, 2022 American Control Conference (ACC)

We consider the problem of learning the dynamics of autonomous linear systems (i.e., systems that are not affected by external control inputs) from observations of multiple trajectories of those systems, with finite sample guarantees. Existing results on learning rate and consistency of autonomous linear system identification rely on observations of steady state behaviors from a single long trajectory, and are not applicable to unstable systems. In contrast, we consider the scenario of learning system dynamics based on multiple short trajectories, where there are no easily observed steady state behaviors. We provide a finite sample analysis, which shows that the dynamics can be learned at a rate $\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\sqrt{N}})$ for both stable and unstable systems, where $N$ is the number of trajectories, when the initial state of the system has zero mean (which is a common assumption in the existing literature). We further generalize our result to the case where the initial state has non-zero mean. We show that one can adjust the length of the trajectories to achieve a learning rate of $\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{\frac{\log{N}}{N})}$ for strictly stable systems and a learning rate of $\mathcal{O}(\frac{(\log{N})^d}{\sqrt{N}})$ for marginally stable systems, where $d$ is some constant., Comment: 8 pages, 2022 American Control Conference (ACC)

We study a risk-aware robot planning problem where a dispatcher must construct a package delivery plan that maximizes the expected reward for a robot delivering packages across multiple epochs. Each package has an associated reward for delivery and a risk of failure. If the robot fails while delivering a package, no future packages can be delivered and the cost of replacing the robot is incurred. The package delivery plan takes place over the course of either a finite or an infinite number of epochs, denoted as the finite horizon problem and infinite horizon problem, respectively. The dispatcher has to weigh the risk and reward of delivering packages during any given epoch against the potential loss of any future epoch's reward. By using the ratio between a package's reward and its risk of failure, we prove an optimal, greedy solution to both the infinite and finite horizon problems. The finite horizon problem can be solved optimally in $O(K n\log n)$ time where $K$ is the number of epochs and $n$ is the number of packages. We show an isomorphism between the infinite horizon problem and Markov Decision Processes to prove an optimal $O(n)$ time algorithm for the infinite horizon problem.

We propose an SIR epidemic model coupled with opinion dynamics to study an epidemic and opinions spreading in a network of communities. Our model couples networked SIR epidemic dynamics with opinions towards the severity of the epidemic, and vice versa. We develop an epidemic-opinion based threshold condition to capture the moment when a weighted average of the epidemic states starts to decrease exponentially fast over the network, namely the peak infection time. We define an effective reproduction number to characterize the behavior of the model through the peak infection time. We use both analytical and simulation-based results to illustrate that the opinions reflect the recovered levels within the communities after the epidemic dies out., Comment: Accepted to be presented at the 2021 IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)

Learning the relationships between various entities from time-series data is essential in many applications. Gaussian graphical models have been studied to infer these relationships. However, existing algorithms process data in a batch at a central location, limiting their applications in scenarios where data is gathered by different agents. In this paper, we propose a distributed sparse inverse covariance algorithm to learn the network structure (i.e., dependencies among observed entities) in real-time from data collected by distributed agents. Our approach is built on an online graphical alternating minimization algorithm, augmented with a consensus term that allows agents to learn the desired structure cooperatively. We allow the system designer to select the number of communication rounds and optimization steps per data point. We characterize the rate of convergence of our algorithm and provide simulations on synthetic datasets., Comment: 8 pages, 3 figures, 60th IEEE Conference on Decision and Control (CDC)

We study the problem of estimating the parameters (i.e., infection rate and recovery rate) governing the spread of epidemics in networks. Such parameters are typically estimated by measuring various characteristics (such as the number of infected and recovered individuals) of the infected populations over time. However, these measurements also incur certain costs, depending on the population being tested and the times at which the tests are administered. We thus formulate the epidemic parameter estimation problem as an optimization problem, where the goal is to either minimize the total cost spent on collecting measurements, or to optimize the parameter estimates while remaining within a measurement budget. We show that these problems are NP-hard to solve in general, and then propose approximation algorithms with performance guarantees. We validate our algorithms using numerical examples.

This paper considers the multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem for a networked (peer-to-peer) system in the presence of Byzantine agents. We build on an existing distributed $Q$-learning algorithm, and allow certain agents in the network to behave in an arbitrary and adversarial manner (as captured by the Byzantine attack model). Under the proposed algorithm, if the network topology is $(2F+1)$-robust and up to $F$ Byzantine agents exist in the neighborhood of each regular agent, we establish the almost sure convergence of all regular agents' value functions to the neighborhood of the optimal value function of all regular agents. For each state, if the optimal $Q$-values of all regular agents corresponding to different actions are sufficiently separated, our approach allows each regular agent to learn the optimal policy for all regular agents.

We consider a security game in a setting consisting of two players (an attacker and a defender), each with a given budget to allocate towards attack and defense, respectively, of a set of nodes. Each node has a certain value to the attacker and the defender, along with a probability of being successfully compromised, which is a function of the investments in that node by both players. For such games, we characterize the optimal investment strategies by the players at the (unique) Nash Equilibrium. We then investigate the impacts of behavioral probability weighting on the investment strategies; such probability weighting, where humans overweight low probabilities and underweight high probabilities, has been identified by behavioral economists to be a common feature of human decision-making. We show via numerical experiments that behavioral decision-making by the defender causes the Nash Equilibrium investments in each node to change (where the defender overinvests in the high-value nodes and underinvests in the low-value nodes)., Comment: Accepted to appear at European Control Conference 2021

We propose a mathematical model to study coupled epidemic and opinion dynamics in a network of communities. Our model captures SIS epidemic dynamics whose evolution is dependent on the opinions of the communities toward the epidemic, and vice versa. In particular, we allow both cooperative and antagonistic interactions, representing similar and opposing perspectives on the severity of the epidemic, respectively. We propose an Opinion-Dependent Reproduction Number to characterize the mutual influence between epidemic spreading and opinion dissemination over the networks. Through stability analysis of the equilibria, we explore the impact of opinions on both epidemic outbreak and eradication, characterized by bounds on the Opinion-Dependent Reproduction Number. We also show how to eradicate epidemics by reshaping the opinions, offering researchers an approach for designing control strategies to reach target audiences to ensure effective epidemic suppression.

In this paper, we discuss the computational complexity of reconstructing the state of a linear system from sensor measurements that have been corrupted by an adversary. The first result establishes that the problem is, in general, NP-hard. We then introduce the notion of eigenvalue observability and show that the state can be reconstructed in polynomial time when each eigenvalue is observable by at least $2s+1$ sensors and at most $s$ sensors are corrupted by an adversary. However, there is a gap between eigenvalue observability and the possibility of reconstructing the state despite attacks - this gap has been characterized in the literature by the notion of sparse observability. To better understand this, we show that when the $\mathbf{A}$ matrix of the linear system has unitary geometric multiplicity, the gap disappears, i.e., eigenvalue observability coincides with sparse observability, and there exists a polynomial time algorithm to reconstruct the state provided the state can be reconstructed.

We consider a security setting in which the Cyber-Physical System (CPS) is composed of subnetworks where each subnetwork is under ownership of one defender. Such CPS can be represented by an attack graph where the defenders are required to invest (subject to a budget constraint) on the graph's edges in order to protect their critical assets (where each defender's critical asset has a certain value to the defender if compromised). We model such CPS using Hybrid Input-Output Automaton (HIOA) where each subnetwork is represented by a HIOA module. We first establish the building blocks needed in our setting. We then present our model that characterizes the continuous time evolution of the investments and discrete transitions between different states (where each state represents different condition and/or perturbation) within the system. Finally, we provide a real-world CPS example to validate our modeling.

Given a directed graph (representing a social network), the influence maximization problem is to find k nodes which, when influenced (or activated), would maximize the number of remaining nodes that get activated. In this paper, we consider a more general version of the problem that includes an additional set of nodes, termed as physical nodes, such that a node in the social network is covered by one or more physical nodes. A physical node exists in one of two states at any time, opened or closed, and there is a constraint on the maximum number of physical nodes that can be opened. In this setting, an inactive node in the social network becomes active if it has enough active neighbors in the social network and if it is covered by at least one of the opened physical nodes. This problem arises in disaster recovery, where a displaced social group decides to return after a disaster only after enough groups in its social network return and some infrastructure components in its neighborhood are repaired. The general problem is NP-hard to approximate within any constant factor and thus we characterize optimal and approximation algorithms for special instances of the problem.

We study a fundamental problem in Bayesian learning, where the goal is to select a set of data sources with minimum cost while achieving a certain learning performance based on the data streams provided by the selected data sources. First, we show that the data source selection problem for Bayesian learning is NP-hard. We then show that the data source selection problem can be transformed into an instance of the submodular set covering problem studied in the literature, and provide a standard greedy algorithm to solve the data source selection problem with provable performance guarantees. Next, we propose a fast greedy algorithm that improves the running times of the standard greedy algorithm, while achieving performance guarantees that are comparable to those of the standard greedy algorithm. The fast greedy algorithm can also be applied to solve the general submodular set covering problem with performance guarantees. Finally, we validate the theoretical results using numerical examples, and show that the greedy algorithms work well in practice., Comment: Accepted to L4DC 2021

We model the behavioral biases of human decision-making in securing interdependent systems and show that such behavioral decision-making leads to a suboptimal pattern of resource allocation compared to non-behavioral (rational) decision-making. We provide empirical evidence for the existence of such behavioral bias model through a controlled subject study with 145 participants. We then propose three learning techniques for enhancing decision-making in multi-round setups. We illustrate the benefits of our decision-making model through multiple interdependent real-world systems and quantify the level of gain compared to the case in which the defenders are behavioral. We also show the benefit of our learning techniques against different attack models. We identify the effects of different system parameters on the degree of suboptimality of security outcomes due to behavioral decision-making., Comment: Accepted to appear at the 16th ACM Asia Conference on Computer and Communications Security (ASIACCS), 2021. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:2004.01958

We consider a scenario where multiple infrastructure components have been damaged after a disaster and the health value of each component continues to deteriorate if it is not being targeted by a repair agency, until it fails irreversibly. There are multiple agencies that seek to repair the components and there is an authority whose task is to allocate the components to the agencies within a given budget, so that the total number of components that are fully repaired by the agencies is maximized. We characterize the optimal policy for allocation and repair sequencing when the repair rates are sufficiently larger than the deterioration rates. For the case when the deterioration rates are larger than or equal to the repair rates, the rates are homogeneous across the components, and the costs charged by the entities for repair are equal, we characterize a policy for allocation and repair sequencing that permanently repairs at least half the number of components as that by an optimal policy.

We study the problem of maximizing a submodular function, subject to a cardinality constraint, with a set of agents communicating over a connected graph. We propose a distributed greedy algorithm that allows all the agents to converge to a near-optimal solution to the global maximization problem using only local information and communication with neighbors in the graph. The near-optimal solution approaches the (1-1/e) approximation of the optimal solution to the global maximization problem with an additive factor that depends on the number of communication steps in the algorithm. We then analyze convergence guarantees of the proposed algorithm. This analysis reveals a tradeoff between the number of communication steps and the performance of the algorithm. Finally, we extend our analysis to nonsubmodular settings, using the notion of approximate submodularity.

We examine a control problem where the states of the components of a system deteriorate after a disruption, if they are not being repaired by an entity. There exist a set of dependencies in the form of precedence constraints between the components, captured by a directed acyclic graph (DAG). The objective of the entity is to maximize the number of components whose states are brought back to the fully repaired state within a given time. We prove that the general problem is NP-hard, and therefore we characterize near-optimal control policies for special instances of the problem. We show that when the deterioration rates are larger than or equal to the repair rates and the precedence constraints are given by a DAG, it is optimal to continue repairing a component until its state reaches the fully recovered state before switching to repair any other component. Under the aforementioned assumptions and when the deterioration and the repair rates are homogeneous across all the components, we prove that the control policy that targets the healthiest component at each time-step while respecting the precedence and time constraints fully repairs at least half the number of components that would be fully repaired by an optimal policy. Finally, we prove that when the repair rates are sufficiently larger than the deterioration rates, the precedence constraints are given by a set of disjoint trees that each contain at most k nodes, and there is no time constraint, the policy that targets the component with the least value of health minus the deterioration rate at each time-step while respecting the precedence constraints fully repairs at least 1/k times the number of components that would be fully repaired by an optimal policy.

Given a linear dynamical system affected by noise, we study the problem of optimally placing sensors (at design-time) subject to a sensor placement budget constraint in order to minimize the trace of the steady-state error covariance of the corresponding Kalman filter. While this problem is NP-hard in general, we consider the underlying graph associated with the system dynamics matrix, and focus on the case when there is a single input at one of the nodes in the graph. We provide an optimal strategy (computed in polynomial-time) to place the sensors over the network. Next, we consider the problem of attacking (i.e., removing) the placed sensors under a sensor attack budget constraint in order to maximize the trace of the steady-state error covariance of the resulting Kalman filter. Using the insights obtained for the sensor placement problem, we provide an optimal strategy (computed in polynomial-time) to attack the placed sensors. Finally, we consider the scenario where a system designer places the sensors under a sensor placement budget constraint, and an adversary then attacks the placed sensors subject to a sensor attack budget constraint. The resilient sensor placement problem is to find a sensor placement strategy to minimize the trace of the steady-state error covariance of the Kalman filter corresponding to the sensors that survive the attack. We show that this problem is NP-hard, and provide a pseudo-polynomial-time algorithm to solve it.

We study the security of large-scale cyber-physical systems (CPS) consisting of multiple interdependent subsystems, each managed by a different defender. Defenders invest their security budgets with the goal of thwarting the spread of cyber attacks to their critical assets. We model the security investment decisions made by the defenders as a security game. While prior work has used security games to analyze such scenarios, we propose behavioral security games, in which defenders exhibit characteristics of human decision making that have been identified in behavioral economics as representing typical human cognitive biases. This is important as many of the critical security decisions in our target class of systems are made by humans. We provide empirical evidence for our behavioral model through a controlled subject experiment. We then show that behavioral decision making leads to a suboptimal pattern of resource allocation compared to non-behavioral decision making. We illustrate the effects of behavioral decision making using two representative real-world interdependent CPS. In particular, we identify the effects of the defenders' security budget availability and distribution, the degree of interdependency among defenders, and collaborative defense strategies, on the degree of suboptimality of security outcomes due to behavioral decision making. In this context, the adverse effects of behavioral decision making are most severe with moderate defense budgets. Moreover, the impact of behavioral suboptimal decision making is magnified as the degree of the interdependency between subnetworks belonging to different defenders increases. We also observe that selfish defense decisions together with behavioral decisions significantly increase security risk., Comment: 32 pages

We consider the problem of distributed hypothesis testing (or social learning) where a network of agents seeks to identify the true state of the world from a finite set of hypotheses, based on a series of stochastic signals that each agent receives. Prior work on this problem has provided distributed algorithms that guarantee asymptotic learning of the true state, with corresponding efforts to improve the rate of learning. In this paper, we first argue that one can readily modify existing asymptotic learning algorithms to enable learning in finite time, effectively yielding arbitrarily large (asymptotic) rates. We then provide a simple algorithm for finite-time learning which only requires the agents to exchange a binary vector (of length equal to the number of possible hypotheses) with their neighbors at each time-step. Finally, we show that if the agents know the diameter of the network, our algorithm can be further modified to allow all agents to learn the true state and stop transmitting to their neighbors after a finite number of time-steps.

We consider the problem of distributed inference where agents in a network observe a stream of private signals generated by an unknown state, and aim to uniquely identify this state from a finite set of hypotheses. We focus on scenarios where communication between agents is costly, and takes place over channels with finite bandwidth. To reduce the frequency of communication, we develop a novel event-triggered distributed learning rule that is based on the principle of diffusing low beliefs on each false hypothesis. Building on this principle, we design a trigger condition under which an agent broadcasts only those components of its belief vector that have adequate innovation, to only those neighbors that require such information. We prove that our rule guarantees convergence to the true state exponentially fast almost surely despite sparse communication, and that it has the potential to significantly reduce information flow from uninformative agents to informative agents. Next, to deal with finite-precision communication channels, we propose a distributed learning rule that leverages the idea of adaptive quantization. We show that by sequentially refining the range of the quantizers, every agent can learn the truth exponentially fast almost surely, while using just $1$ bit to encode its belief on each hypothesis. For both our proposed algorithms, we rigorously characterize the trade-offs between communication-efficiency and the learning rate., Comment: Accepted for publication in the IEEE Transactions of Signal Processing as a regular paper

Given a linear dynamical system affected by stochastic noise, we consider the problem of selecting an optimal set of sensors (at design-time) to minimize the trace of the steady state a priori or a posteriori error covariance of the Kalman filter, subject to certain selection budget constraints. We show the fundamental result that there is no polynomial-time constant-factor approximation algorithm for this problem. This contrasts with other classes of sensor selection problems studied in the literature, which typically pursue constant-factor approximations by leveraging greedy algorithms and submodularity (or supermodularity) of the cost function. Here, we provide a specific example showing that greedy algorithms can perform arbitrarily poorly for the problem of design-time sensor selection for Kalman filtering. We then study the problem of attacking (i.e., removing) a set of installed sensors, under predefined attack budget constraints, to maximize the trace of the steady state a priori or a posteriori error covariance of the Kalman filter. Again, we show that there is no polynomial-time constant-factor approximation algorithm for this problem, and show specifically that greedy algorithms can perform arbitrarily poorly., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1711.01920

The problem of distributed optimization requires a group of agents to reach agreement on a parameter that minimizes the average of their local cost functions using information received from their neighbors. While there are a variety of distributed optimization algorithms that can solve this problem, they are typically vulnerable to malicious (or ``Byzantine'') agents that do not follow the algorithm. Recent attempts to address this issue focus on single dimensional functions, or provide analysis under certain assumptions on the statistical properties of the functions at the agents. In this paper, we propose a resilient distributed optimization algorithm for multi-dimensional convex functions. Our scheme involves two filtering steps at each iteration of the algorithm: (1) distance-based and (2) component-wise removal of extreme states. We show that this algorithm can mitigate the impact of up to $F$ Byzantine agents in the neighborhood of each regular node, without knowing the identities of the Byzantine agents in advance. In particular, we show that if the network topology satisfies certain conditions, all of the regular states are guaranteed to asymptotically converge to a bounded region that contains the global minimizer., Comment: 10 pages, 1 figure; Proceedings of the 2020 American Control Conference, 1-3 July 2020, Denver, CO, USA

The problem of finding the minimizer of a sum of convex functions is central to the field of optimization. Thus, it is of interest to understand how that minimizer is related to the properties of the individual functions in the sum. In this paper, we consider the scenario where one of the individual functions in the sum is not known completely. Instead, only a region containing the minimizer of the unknown function is known, along with some general characteristics (such as strong convexity parameters). Given this limited information about a portion of the overall function, we provide a necessary condition which can be used to construct an upper bound on the region containing the minimizer of the sum of known and unknown functions. We provide this necessary condition in both the general case where the uncertainty region of the minimizer of the unknown function is arbitrary, and in the specific case where the uncertainty region is a ball., Comment: 8 pages, 8 figures. To appear in the Proceedings of the 2020 American Control Conference, 1-3 July 2020, Denver, CO, USA

We address the problem of distributed state estimation of a linear dynamical process in an attack-prone environment. Recent attempts to solve this problem impose stringent redundancy requirements on the measurement and communication resources of the network. In this paper, we take a step towards alleviating such strict requirements by exploring two complementary directions: (i) making a small subset of the nodes immune to attacks, or "trusted", and (ii) incorporating diversity into the network. We define graph-theoretic constructs that formally capture the notions of redundancy, diversity, and trust. Based on these constructs, we develop a resilient estimation algorithm and demonstrate that even relatively sparse networks that either exhibit node-diversity, or contain a small subset of trusted nodes, can be just as resilient to adversarial attacks as more dense networks. Finally, given a finite budget for network design, we focus on characterizing the complexity of (i) selecting a set of trusted nodes, and (ii) allocating diversity, so as to achieve a desired level of robustness. We establish that, unfortunately, each of these problems is NP-complete.

We study the problem of designing a distributed observer for an LTI system over a time-varying communication graph. The limited existing work on this topic imposes various restrictions either on the observation model or on the sequence of communication graphs. In contrast, we propose a single-time-scale distributed observer that works under mild assumptions. Specifically, our communication model only requires strong-connectivity to be preserved over non-overlapping, contiguous intervals that are even allowed to grow unbounded over time. We show that under suitable conditions that bound the growth of such intervals, joint observability is sufficient to track the state of any discrete-time LTI system exponentially fast, at any desired rate. In fact, we also establish finite-time convergence based on our approach. Finally, we develop a variant of our algorithm that is provably robust to worst-case adversarial attacks, provided the sequence of graphs is sufficiently connected over time. The key to our approach is the notion of a "freshness-index" that keeps track of the age-of-information being diffused across the network. Such indices enable nodes to reject stale estimates of the state, and, in turn, contribute to stability of the error dynamics., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1810.06151

We consider a system consisting of multiple interdependent assets, and a set of defenders, each responsible for securing a subset of the assets against an attacker. The interdependencies between the assets are captured by an attack graph, where an edge from one asset to another indicates that if the former asset is compromised, an attack can be launched on the latter asset. Each edge has an associated probability of successful attack, which can be reduced via security investments by the defenders. In such scenarios, we investigate the security investments that arise under certain features of human decision-making that have been identified in behavioral economics. In particular, humans have been shown to perceive probabilities in a nonlinear manner, typically overweighting low probabilities and underweighting high probabilities. We show that suboptimal investments can arise under such weighting in certain network topologies. We also show that pure strategy Nash equilibria exist in settings with multiple (behavioral) defenders, and study the inefficiency of the equilibrium investments by behavioral defenders compared to a centralized socially optimal solution.

Cyberphysical systems (CPS) are ubiquitous in our personal and professional lives, and they promise to dramatically improve micro-communities (e.g., urban farms, hospitals), macro-communities (e.g., cities and metropolises), urban structures (e.g., smart homes and cars), and living structures (e.g., human bodies, synthetic genomes). The question that we address in this article pertains to designing these CPS systems to be resilient-from-the-ground-up, and through progressive learning, resilient-by-reaction. An optimally designed system is resilient to both unique attacks and recurrent attacks, the latter with a lower overhead. Overall, the notion of resilience can be thought of in the light of three main sources of lack of resilience, as follows: exogenous factors, such as natural variations and attack scenarios; mismatch between engineered designs and exogenous factors ranging from DDoS (distributed denial-of-service) attacks or other cybersecurity nightmares, so called "black swan" events, disabling critical services of the municipal electrical grids and other connected infrastructures, data breaches, and network failures; and the fragility of engineered designs themselves encompassing bugs, human-computer interactions (HCI), and the overall complexity of real-world systems. In the paper, our focus is on design and deployment innovations that are broadly applicable across a range of CPS application areas., Comment: 36 pages, 2 figures, NSF-supported workshop on Grand Challenges in Resilience, held at Purdue, March 20-21, 2019

We introduce a simple time-triggered protocol to achieve communication-efficient non-Bayesian learning over a network. Specifically, we consider a scenario where a group of agents interact over a graph with the aim of discerning the true state of the world that generates their joint observation profiles. To address this problem, we propose a novel distributed learning rule wherein agents aggregate neighboring beliefs based on a min-protocol, and the inter-communication intervals grow geometrically at a rate $a \geq 1$. Despite such sparse communication, we show that each agent is still able to rule out every false hypothesis exponentially fast with probability $1$, as long as $a$ is finite. For the special case when communication occurs at every time-step, i.e., when $a=1$, we prove that the asymptotic learning rates resulting from our algorithm are network-structure independent, and a strict improvement upon those existing in the literature. In contrast, when $a>1$, our analysis reveals that the asymptotic learning rates vary across agents, and exhibit a non-trivial dependence on the network topology coupled with the relative entropies of the agents' likelihood models. This motivates us to consider the problem of allocating signal structures to agents to maximize appropriate performance metrics. In certain special cases, we show that the eccentricity centrality and the decay centrality of the underlying graph help identify optimal allocations; for more general scenarios, we bound the deviation from the optimal allocation as a function of the parameter $a$, and the diameter of the communication graph., Comment: To appear in the Proceedings of the Decision and Control Conference (CDC), 2019, to be held in Nice, France

We study a setting where a group of agents, each receiving partially informative private signals, seek to collaboratively learn the true underlying state of the world (from a finite set of hypotheses) that generates their joint observation profiles. To solve this problem, we propose a distributed learning rule that differs fundamentally from existing approaches, in that it does not employ any form of "belief-averaging". Instead, agents update their beliefs based on a min-rule. Under standard assumptions on the observation model and the network structure, we establish that each agent learns the truth asymptotically almost surely. As our main contribution, we prove that with probability 1, each false hypothesis is ruled out by every agent exponentially fast at a network-independent rate that is strictly larger than existing rates. We then develop a computationally-efficient variant of our learning rule that is provably resilient to agents who do not behave as expected (as represented by a Byzantine adversary model) and deliberately try to spread misinformation., Comment: arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1903.05817

We consider a scenario where a system experiences a disruption, and the states (representing health values) of its components continue to reduce over time, unless they are acted upon by a controller. Given this dynamical setting, we consider the problem of finding an optimal control (or switching) sequence to maximize the sum of the weights of the components whose states are brought back to the maximum value. We first provide several characteristics of the optimal policy for the general (fully heterogeneous) version of this problem. We then show that under certain conditions on the rates of repair and deterioration, we can explicitly characterize the optimal control policy as a function of the states. When the deterioration rate (when not being repaired) is larger than or equal to the repair rate, and the deterioration and repair rates as well as the weights are homogeneous across all the components, the optimal control policy is to target the component that has the largest state value at each time step. On the other hand, if the repair rates are sufficiently larger than the deterioration rates, the optimal control policy is to target the component whose state minus the deterioration rate is least in a particular subset of components at each time step.