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Abstract Background This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on colorectal cancer care and mortality using a large cancer registry in Hiroshima Prefecture, Japan. The study aimed to estimate the all‐cause mortality rates within 1 year of diagnosis among colorectal cancer patients diagnosed during the pandemic period (2020 and 2021) compared to those diagnosed during the pre‐pandemic period (2018 and 2019). Methods The day of diagnosis was set as Day 0 and Cox regression models were utilized to estimate crude hazard ratios (HRs) and adjusted HRs, accounting for age, sex, cancer stage, and treatment status. Two sensitivity analyses of overall survival were performed with different cutoffs of the pre‐pandemic/pandemic periods and year‐to‐year comparisons. Subgroup analyses were performed using likelihood ratio tests. Results A total of 15,085 colorectal cancer patients were included, with 6499 eligible for follow‐up. A median age of included patients was 72 years old, of which 59% were male. The distribution of cancer stages showed little variation between the pre‐pandemic and pandemic periods. With a median follow‐up of 177 days, the number of events was 316/3111 (173 events per 1000 person‐years [E/1000PY], 95% confidence interval [CI]: 154–192 E/1000PY) in the pre‐pandemic period, and 326/2746 (245 E/1000PY, 95% CI: 220–274 E/1000PY) in the pandemic period (crude HR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.22–1.66; adjusted HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.07–1.46). The two sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses consistently supported these findings. Conclusions The study revealed an increased colorectal cancer mortality during the pandemic period, suggesting a continuous impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on the known and unknown risk factors for colorectal cancer for several years. Further studies are necessary to mitigate the adverse effects on patient outcomes.

Abstract Background Although corticosteroid therapy with dose tapering is the most commonly used treatment for acute exacerbation of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (AE-IPF), there is no consensus on the tapering regimen. This study aimed to investigate the association between early corticosteroid dose tapering and in-hospital mortality in patients with AE-IPF. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed the data of a cohort from eight Japanese tertiary care hospitals and routinely collected administrative data from a cohort from 185 Japanese hospitals. Patients with AE-IPF were classified into the early and non-early tapering groups depending on whether the maintenance dose of corticosteroids was reduced within two weeks of admission. Propensity score analysis with inverse probability weighting (IPW) was performed to estimate the effect of early corticosteroid dose tapering. Results The multi-center cohort included 153 eligible patients, of whom 47 (31%) died, whereas the administrative cohort included 229 patients, of whom 51 (22%) died. Patients with early tapering tended to have a better prognosis than those without it (unadjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 0.41 [0.22–0.76] and 0.65 [0.36–1.18] in the multi-center and administrative cohorts, respectively). After IPW, the early tapering group had a better prognosis than the non-early tapering group (IPW-adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 0.37 [0.14–0.99] and 0.27 [0.094–0.83] in the multi-center and administrative cohorts, respectively). Conclusion Early corticosteroid dose tapering was associated with a favorable prognosis in patients with AE-IPF. Further studies are warranted to confirm the effects of early corticosteroid dose tapering in patients with AE-IPF.

Objectives: The clinical evidence for the effect of narrow-spectrum antimicrobial shortages on bacterial susceptibility is limited. Our purposes were to determine the affects of the disruption of most of the cefazolin (CEZ) supply in Japan on the susceptibility of pathogens and to analyze how long these changes persisted after the shortage of CEZ. Methods: We performed an interrupted time series analysis using the Japanese Infectious Disease Nationwide database. We analyzed each pathogen before and after CEZ shortage in 52 university hospitals from 2018 to 2020. May to November 2019 was designated as the implementation term for CEZ shortage. The primary outcome was the susceptibility to CEZ and other antimicrobial agents. Amongst all pathogens isolated from facilities, we identified pathogens that were tested for susceptibility to CEZ. Results: Of the 26 pathogens identified, analysis was performed on a total of 36,346 isolates of five pathogens (Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Klebsiella oxytoca, Proteus mirabilis, and Staphylococcus aureus). Amongst four Gram-negative pathogens with low susceptibility, there were no significant immediate changes after the CEZ shortage; however, the slope change significantly increased by 1.29 to 2.69% per month and continued to improve one year after the shortage. Regarding S. aureus, which was highly susceptible at the baseline, neither immediate change nor slope was significant. Conclusion: This quasi-experimental analysis using a nationwide-large database revealed that restriction of use because of narrow-spectrum antimicrobial shortages may lead to improved susceptibility over the subsequent year. The results suggest that temporary switching of antimicrobial agents on a national scale could be effective.

Abstract Background Given the growing diversity among cancer survivors and the fact that oncologists typically do not perform long‐term care, the expected role of primary care physicians (PCPs) in survivor care is expanding. However, communication and collaboration between oncologists and PCPs are lacking. Therefore, we assessed the perception of cancer survivor care among PCPs. Methods We sent a questionnaire to 767 Japanese Board–certified PCPs, regardless of facility type (clinics and hospitals), inquiring about PCPs' perceptions of their role in survivor care. Additionally, we included vignette‐based scenarios focused on colorectal and prostate cancer survivors to explore factors associated with their clinical decisions. Results We obtained 91 replies (response rate: 11.9%). A total of 75% of PCPs had encountered at least 1 cancer patient in actual practice. Even for patients actively receiving cancer treatment, >70% of PCPs reported that they were willing to engage in comprehensive survivor care, except for the administration of anticancer drugs. Further, 49% of PCPs considered that both PCPs and oncologists were suited to performing regular screening for cancer recurrence in high‐risk patients. Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that clinic PCPs were less inclined to conduct screening for recurrence than hospital PCPs in both colorectal (odds ratio, 3.85 [95% confidence interval 1.40–10.6]) and prostate (4.36 [95% confidence interval 1.51–12.6]) cancer scenarios. Conclusions Our findings suggest that Japanese PCPs are willing to engage in survivor care and encourage closer collaboration between oncologists and PCPs. However, oncologists might need to request cooperation, considering the facility type with which PCPs are affiliated.

Abstract Background Solitary death is an emerging public health problem in developed countries. Alcohol abuse is associated with social isolation and excess mortality. However, data on the association between alcohol abuse and solitary death are limited. Our purposes were to assess whether alcohol abuse is associated with a long interval from death to discovery among people living alone. Methods This is a cross-sectional study using the data on subjects from the largest forensic database in Kyoto, Japan, from February 2012 to December 2015. Solitary death was defined as a phenomenon of dying alone at home and remaining undiscovered for more than 1 week. All the subjects who lived alone and aged over 18 at the time of death were included in the study. The presence of alcohol abuse was identified via an investigation during home visits. Proportional ratios were calculated using a fitted logit model to evaluate the association of alcohol abuse on solitary death after adjusting for possible confounders. Results A total of 235 subjects were included in the analysis. The mean age (standard deviation) of subjects at the time of death was 63.4 (15.1) years, and approximately 61.8% and 38.9% of subjects in the alcohol and non-alcohol abuse groups, respectively, experienced solitary death. Multivariable analyses revealed that alcohol abuse was associated with solitary death (adjusted proportion ratio: 1.50; 95% confidence interval: 1.12–2.00). Conclusions The findings of this study could help identify individuals at higher risk of solitary death. Moreover, calling the attention of people with alcohol abuse may be beneficial to prevent solitary death.

BackgroundData on the effects of intraoperative end-tidal carbon dioxide (EtCO2) levels on postoperative organ dysfunction are limited. Thus, this study was designed to investigate the relationship between the intraoperative EtCO2 level and postoperative organ dysfunction in patients who underwent major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia.MethodsWe conducted a cohort study involving patients who underwent major abdominal surgery under general anesthesia at Kyoto University Hospital. We classified those with a mean EtCO2 of less than 35 mmHg as low EtCO2. The time effect was determined as the minutes when the EtCO2 value was below 35 mmHg, whereas the cumulative effect was evaluated by measuring the area below the 35-mmHg threshold. The outcome was postoperative organ dysfunction, defined as a composite of at least one organ dysfunction among acute renal injury, circulatory dysfunction, respiratory dysfunction, coagulation dysfunction, and liver dysfunction within 7 days after surgery.ResultsOf the 4,171 patients, 1,195 (28%) had low EtCO2, and 1,428 (34%) had postoperative organ dysfunction. An association was found between low EtCO2 and increased postoperative organ dysfunction (adjusted risk ratio, 1.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.20; p = 0.006). Additionally, long-term exposure to EtCO2 values of less than 35 mmHg (≥224 min) was associated with postoperative organ dysfunction (adjusted risk ratio, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.06-1.32; p = 0.003) and low EtCO2 severity (area under the threshold) (adjusted risk ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.26; p = 0.018).ConclusionsIntraoperative low EtCO2 of below 35 mmHg was associated with increased postoperative organ dysfunction.

Abstract Background It has not been clarified whether physical frailty symptoms predict social. frailty. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the effect of physical frailty on social frailty, and to determine which domains of physical frailty predict the development of social frailty. Methods We employed a two-year prospective cohort study. A total of 342 socially robust community-dwelling older adults were recruited. We used a modified social frailty screening index consisting of four social domains including financial difficulties, living alone, social activity, and contact with neighbors. Physical frailty status was also assessed at baseline. At the two-year follow-up, we assessed the development of social frailty. Social status was assessed using four social subdomains for the primary analysis. Social status was assessed using the two social subdomains of social activity and contact with neighbors, which would be affected by the physical frailty component, for the secondary analysis. The risk ratios (RR) of physical frailty for the development of social frailty were estimated. Results Although physical frailty symptoms were not a significant risk factor for future development of social frailty as assessed by four social subdomains (adjusted RR 1.39, 95% CI 0.95–2.15), it became significant when development of social frailty was assessed by the two social subdomains (adjusted RR 1.78, 95% CI 1.10–2.88). An analysis using the physical frailty subdomain showed that slow gait speed (adjusted RR 3.41, 95% CI 1.10–10.53) and weakness (adjusted RR 1.06, 95% CI 1.01–1.12) were independent risk factors for development of social frailty as assessed by two social subdomains. Conclusions Physical frailty symptoms predict the development of social frailty. Among physical frailty subdomains, gait speed and muscle strength are critical independent risk factors for future decline in the social aspect. The prevention of physical frailty, especially by maintaining gait ability and muscle strength, may be effective for avoiding social frailty.

Abstract Background The impact of length of hospital stay on activities of daily living (ADLs) has not specifically been investigated among dialysis patients. Therefore, we attempt to verify the association between the length of hospital stay and the decline in ADLs among hemodialysis patients. Methods This prospective cohort study used data from the Japanese Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (J-DOPPS). We included 2442 hemodialysis patients aged ≥40 years from the J-DOPPS phase V (2012–2015) and subsequently excluded those who had already lost basic activities of daily living (BADLs) as demonstrated by dependency in at least three of the five BADLs at baseline and for whom changes in ADLs had been evaluated for less than 90 days. The main exposure was the cumulative length of hospital stay during the follow-up period. The primary outcomes were a decline in at least one of the five BADLs and eight instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs). We compared risk ratios (RRs) for 30-day increments for hospital stays with 10-year increments for age and having diabetes. Results A total of 849 patients were included in the statistical analysis. The cumulative length of hospital stay was significantly associated with a risk of decline in ADLs (adjusted RRs [95% confidence intervals] per 30-day increments: 1.42 [1.15 to 1.75] for BADLs, 1.38 [1.13 to 1.68] for IADLs). The adjusted RRs [95% CI] for 10-year increments in age were 1.20 [0.96 to 1.50] and 1.21 [1.00 to 1.47]. The adjusted RRs [95% CI] for having diabetes were 1.36 [0.97 to 1.91] for BADLs and 1.38 [1.04 to 1.84] for IADLs. Conclusion The impact of a 30-day increment in the cumulative length of hospital stay on the decline in ADLs was comparable to that of a 10-year increase in age and having diabetes.

Objectives This study aimed to investigate the association between kyphotic posture and future loss of independence (LOI) and mortality in community-dwelling older adults.Design Prospective cohort study.Setting Two Japanese municipalities.Participants We enrolled 2193 independent community-dwelling older adults aged≥65 years at the time of their baseline health check-up in 2008. Kyphotic posture was evaluated using the wall-occiput test (WOT) and classified into three categories: non-kyphotic, mild (>0 and ≤4 cm) and severe (>4 cm).Primary and secondary outcome measures The primary outcome was mortality and the secondary outcomes were LOI (new long-term care insurance certification levels 1–5) and a composite of LOI and mortality. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the adjusted HRs (aHRs).Results Of the 2193 subjects enrolled, 1621 were included in the primary analysis. Among these, 272 (17%) and 202 (12%) were diagnosed with mild and severe kyphotic postures, respectively. The median follow-up time was 5.8 years. Compared with the non-kyphotic group, the aHRs for mortality were 1.17 (95% CI 0.70 to 1.96) and 1.99 (95% CI 1.20 to 3.30) in the mild and severe kyphotic posture groups, respectively. In the secondary analysis, a consistent association was observed for LOI (mild: aHR 1.70, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.55; severe: aHR 2.08, 95% CI 1.39 to 3.10) and the LOI-mortality composite (mild: aHR 1.27, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.79; severe: aHR 1.83, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.56).Conclusion Kyphotic posture was associated with LOI and mortality in community-dwelling older adults. Identifying the population with kyphotic posture using the WOT might help improve community health.

ObjectivesTo investigate the longitudinal association of urgency urinary incontinence (UUI) with loss of independence (LOI) or death among independent community-dwelling older adults.DesignPopulation-based cohort study.SettingThe Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcome in Aizu Cohort Study (LOHAS), Minami-Aizu Town and Tadami Town, Fukushima, Japan.ParticipantsA total of 1,580 participants aged ≥65 years who underwent a health check-up conducted by LOHAS in 2010.MeasurementsExposure was defined as the presence of UUI, which was measured by a questionnaire based on the definition of UUI from the International Continence Society. The primary outcome was defined as incidence of LOI or death. After the check-up in 2010, the outcome was monitored until March 2014. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to estimate the hazard ratio for the outcome. Ten potential confounders were adjusted in the analysis. Furthermore, we defined the secondary outcomes as two separate outcomes, LOI and death, and performed the same analysis.ResultsAmong all participants, 328 reported UUI. The incidence rates of the outcome were 20.4 and 11.4 (per 1,000 person-years) among participants with and without UUI, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, those who experienced UUI showed a substantial association with LOI or death (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.01-2.68). However, they did not show such an association with LOI alone (HR, 1.07; 95% CI, 0.49-2.33). On the other hand, those with UUI exhibited a substantial association with death (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.22-4.31).ConclusionsIn this study, UUI was associated with the occurrence of LOI or death; however, UUI is not associated with the occurrence of LOI alone among independent community-dwelling older adults. Our results suggest that there may be a difference between UUI-associated diseases that cause LOI and those that cause death.

AimTo clarify the association of poor oral function with loss of independence (LOI) or death in functionally independent older adults in the community.MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis of data from a prospective cohort study in two municipalities in Japan. We included participants who were older than 65 years of age and had no certification in long-term care at baseline. Poor oral function was evaluated by the Kihon Checklist. Among participants with poor oral function, they were further classified by the degree of quality of life (QOL) impairment due to dysphagia. Main outcome is LOI or death from all cause. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence of intervals (CIs) were estimated by Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounders.ResultsOf 1,272 participants, 150 participants (11.8%) had poor oral function. The overall incidence of LOI or death was 10.0% in the participants with poor oral function, while 3.3% in the participants without. Participants with poor oral function were more likely to develop LOI or death than those without (crude HR = 3.17 [95% CIs 1.74-5.78], adjusted HR = 2.30 [95% CIs 1.22-4.36]). 10 participants (0.79%) were classified as poor oral function with QOL impairment, and were more likely to develop LOI or death than those without poor oral function (crude HR = 7.45 [95% CIs 1.80-30.91], adjusted HR = 8.49 [95% CIs 1.88-38.34]).ConclusionsPoor oral function was associated with higher risk of LOI or death in functionally independent older adults in the community.

ObjectivesTo investigate the association of mental health and subjective physical functioning with future antibiotic prescriptions.DesignProspective cohort study.SettingA rural town in Japan.ParticipantsParticipants who completed the baseline survey (2008-2010) of the Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcomes in the Aizu Cohort Study (LOHAS) were recruited. Participants were limited to those without comorbidities according to the Charlson comorbidity index. Participants using antibiotics at baseline were excluded. Mental health and physical functioning were assessed using the Mental Health and Physical Functioning domains of the Short-Form 12 Health Survey, and depressive symptoms were assessed using the Mental Health Inventories at baseline.Main outcome measuresThe main outcome was antibiotic prescriptions found in claims data during 1 year after the baseline survey.ResultsA total of 967 participants were included in the analysis, and 151 (15.6%) participants with at least one missing variable for the confounding factors were excluded, leaving 816 participants for the primary analysis. Among the 816 participants, 65 (8.0%) were newly prescribed at least one antibiotic during the 1-year follow-up period. The most frequently prescribed antibiotics were third-generation cephalosporins (44 prescriptions; 35.5%), macrolides (28 prescriptions; 22.6%), and quinolones (23 prescriptions; 18.6%). A multivariable logistic regression analysis showed an association between higher mental health scores and future antibiotic prescriptions (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.40 per 1 standard deviation [SD] increase; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.90), whereas no significant relationship was observed between Physical Functioning scores and future antibiotic prescriptions (AOR, 0.95 per 1 SD increase; 95% CI, 0.75-1.22). During the secondary analysis, adults with depressive symptoms were less likely to be prescribed antibiotics (AOR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.70).ConclusionsBetter mental health was associated with increased future antibiotic prescriptions for healthy community-dwelling Japanese adults, suggesting that mentally healthier adults could be a target population for reducing antimicrobial use.

Study Design. This prospective cohort study analyzed data from the Locomotive Syndrome and Health Outcomes in the Aizu Cohort Study. Objective. To investigate the association between lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) and severe disability and mortality among community-dwelling older adults. Summary of Background Data. Only a few studies have investigated LSS longitudinally, and the study participants were limited to selected patients diagnosed with LSS during a hospital visit. Additionally, the prognosis of LSS remains unclear. Methods. We enrolled independent community-dwelling older adults aged 65 years or older at the time of a baseline health checkup in 2008. LSS was diagnosed using a validated diagnostic support tool for LSS. The primary endpoint was a composite of severe disability (long-term care insurance certification grade 4 or 5) and mortality. We used 1 minus Kaplan-Meier failure estimates and the log-rank test to compare the interval between baseline and the predetermined endpoint as well as a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the LSS group with adjustment for possible confounders. Multiple imputation by chained equations was performed for sensitivity analysis. Results. Of 2058 subjects enrolled, 1560 did not have missing covariates; 269 (17%) were diagnosed with LSS. After a median follow-up of 5.8 years, the rates of severe disability and mortality were 0.022 per year in subjects with LSS and 0.012 per year in those without (P=0.006). The adjusted HR for the composite endpoint in the LSS group was 1.55 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.38). A similar association was observed after multiple imputation of missing covariates (adjusted HR, 1.51 [95% CI, 1.06-2.16]). Conclusion. LSS was associated with severe disability and mortality in community-dwelling older adults. Detection of adults with LSS in the community may contribute to local health promotion. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to compare the recovery of mobility and self-efficacy following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) between the 5-day and the 28-day protocol. This prospective cohort study was carried out at two hospitals. Methods: In total, 104 patients who underwent TKA were enrolled. The primary outcomes measured were Life Space Assessment (LSA) for mobility and modified-Gait Efficacy Scale (mGES) for self-efficacy. Knee Society Score (KSS) was used to estimate the functional outcomes. These assessments were performed in all patients preoperatively, and at 1, 3, and 6 months postoperatively. After calculating the propensity score using covariates, such as patient characteristics, LSA, mGES, and KSS at baseline, propensity score-adjusted multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA) was performed. Results: MANCOVA revealed significant differences in LSA and mGES, but not in KSS, between the two protocols. The adjusted means of LSA and mGES in the 28-day protocol were significantly greater than those in the 5-day protocol in all the postoperative assessments. Conclusion: Mobility and self-efficacy were greater following the 28-day protocol than the 5-day protocol after TKA. Our findings suggest that the modified treatment procedure for improving mobility and self-efficacy is necessary to introduce the early discharge protocol in Japan. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

* STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational study including a historical control group. * BACKGROUND: The extent to which group-based exercise (G-EXE) improves knee range of motion (ROM), quadriceps strength, and gait ability is similar to that of individualized exercise (I-EXE) at 6 weeks and 8 months after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). However, the benefits of G-EXE for patients during the acute recovery phase after TKA remain unclear. * OBJECTIVE: To determine the effects of G-EXE during the acute recovery phase after TKA on knee ROM, quadriceps strength, functional ability, and knee pain. * METHODS: Two hundred thirty-one patients participated in G-EXE in addition to regular ambulation and activities-of-daily-living exercises twice daily during the hospital stay. Outcomes were compared to those of a retrospectively identified, historical control group (I-EXE group [n = 206]) that included patients who performed exercises identical to those performed by the G-EXE group. The outcomes included knee ROM, quadriceps strength, pain intensity, and timed up-and-go test score at 1 month before surgery and at discharge. Analyses were adjusted for age, body mass index, sex, length of hospital stay, and preoperative values. * RESULTS: Changes in ROM of knee flexion and extension (P<.001) and quadriceps strength (P<.001) were significantly better in the G-EXE group than those in the I-EXE group at discharge. The pain intensity improved more in the G-EXE group than in the I-EXE group at discharge (P<.001). However, the changes in the timed up-and-go scores were not significantly different. * CONCLUSION: Patients performing G-EXE in addition to regular ambulation and activities-of-daily-living exercises demonstrated greater changes in knee ROM, quadriceps strength, and knee pain than those performing I-EXE in addition to regular ambulation and activities-of-daily-living exercises. The nonrandomized, asynchronous design decreases certainty of these findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]