28 results on '"Ultsch, Bernhard"'
Search Results
2. Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Routine Infant 4CMenB Vaccination in Germany to Prevent Serogroup B Invasive Meningococcal Disease
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Scholz, Stefan, Schwarz, Magdalena, Beck, Ekkehard, Meszaros, Kinga, Schneider, Melanie, Ultsch, Bernhard, and Greiner, Wolfgang
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- 2022
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3. Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Childhood Vaccination Against Seasonal Influenza in Germany
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Scholz, Stefan M., Weidemann, Felix, Damm, Oliver, Ultsch, Bernhard, Greiner, Wolfgang, and Wichmann, Ole
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- 2021
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4. Burden of Herpes Zoster in Adult Patients with Underlying Conditions: Analysis of German Claims Data, 2007–2018
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Batram, Manuel, Witte, Julian, Schwarz, Magdalena, Hain, Johannes, Ultsch, Bernhard, Steinmann, Maren, Bhavsar, Amit, Wutzler, Peter, Criée, Carl-Peter, Hermann, Christiane, Wahle, Klaus, Füchtenbusch, Martin, and Greiner, Wolfgang
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- 2021
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5. Epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of universal vaccination with Bexsero® to reduce meningococcal group B disease in Germany
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Christensen, Hannah, Irving, Tom, Koch, Judith, Trotter, Caroline L., Ultsch, Bernhard, Weidemann, Felix, Wichmann, Ole, and Hellenbrand, Wiebke
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- 2016
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6. Epidemiology and cost of seasonal influenza in Germany - a claims data analysis
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Scholz, Stefan, Damm, Oliver, Schneider, Udo, Ultsch, Bernhard, Wichmann, Ole, and Greiner, Wolfgang
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- 2019
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7. New Vaccine Platforms—Novel Dimensions of Economic and Societal Value and Their Measurement.
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Buck, Philip O., Gomes, Dumingu Aparna, Beck, Ekkehard, Kirson, Noam, Mattera, Matthew, Carroll, Stuart, Ultsch, Bernhard, Jayasundara, Kavisha, Uhart, Mathieu, and Garrison, Jr., Louis P.
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VALUE (Economics) ,COMBINED vaccines ,VACCINE manufacturing ,VACCINES ,TECHNOLOGY assessment - Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic's dramatic impact has been a vivid reminder that vaccines—especially in the context of infectious respiratory viruses—provide enormous societal value, well beyond the healthcare system perspective which anchors most Health Technology Assessment (HTA) and National Immunization Technical Advisory Group (NITAG) evaluation frameworks. Furthermore, the development of modified ribonucleic acid-based (mRNA-based) and nanoparticle vaccine technologies has brought into focus several new value drivers previously absent from the discourse on vaccines as public health interventions such as increased vaccine adaptation capabilities, the improved ability to develop combination vaccines, and more efficient vaccine manufacturing and production processes. We review these novel value dimensions and discuss how they might be measured and incorporated within existing value frameworks using existing methods. To realize the full potential of next-generation vaccine platforms and ensure their widespread availability across populations and health systems, it is important that value frameworks utilized by HTAs and NITAGs properly reflect the full range of benefits for population health and well-being and cost efficiencies that these new vaccines platforms provide. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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8. Clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of the updated COVID-19 mRNA Autumn 2023 vaccines in Germany.
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Joshi, Keya, Scholz, Stefan, Maschio, Michael, Kohli, Michele, Lee, Amy, Fust, Kelly, Ultsch, Bernhard, Van de Velde, Nicolas, and Beck, Ekkehard
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COVID-19 ,AUTUMN ,SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant ,RATE of return ,CORONAVIRUSES - Abstract
Objectives: To assess the potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mRNA vaccines updated for Autumn 2023 in adults aged ≥60 years and high-risk persons aged 30–59 years in Germany over a 1-year analytic time horizon (September 2023–August 2024). Methods: A compartmental Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered model was updated and adapted to the German market. Numbers of symptomatic infections, a number of COVID-19 related hospitalizations and deaths, costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained were calculated using a decision tree model. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of an Autumn 2023 Moderna updated COVID-19 (mRNA-1273.815) vaccine was compared to no additional vaccination. Potential differences between the mRNA-1273.815 and the Autumn Pfizer-BioNTech updated COVID-19 (XBB.1.5 BNT162b2) vaccines, as well as societal return on investment for the mRNA-1273.815 vaccine relative to no vaccination, were also examined. Results: Compared to no autumn vaccination, the mRNA-1273.815 campaign is predicted to prevent approximately 1,697,900 symptomatic infections, 85,400 hospitalizations, and 4,100 deaths. Compared to an XBB.1.5 BNT162b2 campaign, the mRNA-1273.815 campaign is also predicted to prevent approximately 90,100 symptomatic infections, 3,500 hospitalizations, and 160 deaths. Across both analyses we found the mRNA-1273.815 campaign to be dominant. Conclusions: The mRNA-1273.815 vaccine can be considered cost-effective relative to the XBB.1.5 BNT162b2 vaccine and highly likely to provide more benefits and save costs compared to no vaccine in Germany, and to offer high societal return on investment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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9. Cost-effectiveness of childhood rotavirus vaccination in Germany
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Aidelsburger, Pamela, Grabein, Kristin, Böhm, Katharina, Dietl, Markus, Wasem, Jürgen, Koch, Judith, Ultsch, Bernhard, Weidemann, Felix, and Wichmann, Ole
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- 2014
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10. Epidemiology and cost of herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia in Germany
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Ultsch, Bernhard, Köster, Ingrid, Reinhold, Thomas, Siedler, Anette, Krause, Gérard, Icks, Andrea, Schubert, Ingrid, and Wichmann, Ole
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- 2013
11. Methods for Health Economic Evaluation of Vaccines and Immunization Decision Frameworks: A Consensus Framework from a European Vaccine Economics Community
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Ultsch, Bernhard, Damm, Oliver, Beutels, Philippe, Bilcke, Joke, Brüggenjürgen, Bernd, Gerber-Grote, Andreas, Greiner, Wolfgang, Hanquet, Germaine, Hutubessy, Raymond, Jit, Mark, Knol, Mirjam, von Kries, Rüdiger, Kuhlmann, Alexander, Levy-Bruhl, Daniel, Perleth, Matthias, Postma, Maarten, Salo, Heini, Siebert, Uwe, Wasem, Jürgen, and Wichmann, Ole
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- 2016
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12. Epidemiology, treatment and health care resource use of patients with severe asthma in Germany – a retrospective claims data analysis.
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Hardtstock, Fraence, Krieger, Julia, Wilke, Thomas, Lukas, Marco, Ultsch, Bernhard, Welte, Robert, Quinzler, Renate, Maywald, Ulf, and Timmermann, Hartmut
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ASTHMATICS ,DATA analysis ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,COUGH ,WHEEZE - Abstract
Asthma causes various clinical symptoms, including unpredictable severe exacerbations, and even though most patients can achieve a reasonable disease control due to adequate treatment, some patients do not. This study seeks to describe healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and treatment of asthma and severe asthma patients in Germany. A retrospective claims data analysis has been conducted on adult asthma patients and a subset of patients with severe asthma, identified during July 2017 – June 2018. A proxy was used to identify severe asthma patients based on therapy options recommended within the German treatment guideline for treating these patients. These include (i) biologics, (ii) medium/high-dose inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) in conjunction with LABA/montelukast and antibiotics/oral corticosteroids (OCS), and (iii) long-term OCS therapy. HCRU and treatment of patients were observed during a 1-year follow-up period (July 2018 – June 2019). The study included 388 932 adult asthma patients (prevalence: 7.90%), with 2.51%-12.88% affected by severe asthma (depending on the definition). 22.60% of all asthma patients experienced hospitalizations (severe asthma: 36.11%). Furthermore, 13.59% received OCS (severe asthma: 39.91%), but only 0.18% (severe asthma: 1.25%) received biologics. Only 23.95% (severe asthma: 41.17%) visited a pulmonologist. A considerable proportion of severe asthma patients receive long-term OCS therapy. However, less than 50% have seen a pulmonologist who would typically seek a change in treatment to avoid the long-term consequences of OCS. To optimize the treatment of severe asthma in Germany, better referral of these patients to specialists is needed and considering potential treatment alternatives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2023
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13. Epidemiology and treatment of patients with Chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps in Germany—A claims data study.
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Starry, Alexandra, Hardtstock, Fraence, Wilke, Thomas, Weihing, Julia, Ultsch, Bernhard, Wernitz, Martin, Renninger, Marius, Maywald, Ulf, and Pfaar, Oliver
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NASAL polyps ,NASAL tumors ,SINUSITIS ,GERMANS ,EPIDEMIOLOGY ,ENDOSCOPIC surgery ,PREVENTIVE medicine - Abstract
Background: There are different levels of severity among patients who suffer from chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (CRSwNP). In this study, the epidemiology of CRSwNP and severe CRswNP was estimated. Methods: A retrospective claim data analysis was conducted on adult CRSwNP patients (ICD‐10: J33), and those classified as severe CRSwNP patients with inadequate disease control (based upon combinations of previous and current treatments) between 2015 and 2019. Prevalence and incidence figures were calculated and extrapolated to the German population. In addition, baseline characteristics and treatment outcomes were analysed. Results: Overall, the 5‐year prevalence of adult CRSwNP cases from 2015 to 2019 in Germany was 374,115 cases (about 5500 per million), with 12,989 (about 200 per million) patients being classified as severe CRSwNP with inadequate disease control, whereas 267,880 (about 3900 per million) patients were identified as having an incident CRSwNP diagnosis between 2016 and 2019. From the incident CRSwNP cohort, 80.55% had received at least one intranasal corticosteroid (INCS), 24.27% received at least 1 systemic corticosteroid (SCS), and 17.33% received at least one functional endoscopic sinus surgery (FESS) within 12 months after their incident diagnosis. Conclusion: Severe CRSwNP with inadequate disease control affects about 200 per million people in Germany. INCS is the first‐choice treatment for most CRSwNP patients; however, for patients with severe CRSwNP, SCS are prescribed more frequently and long‐term effects of these should be further investigated, especially if despite treatment, adequate disease control cannot be achieved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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14. Cost-utility analysis of increasing uptake of universal seasonal quadrivalent influenza vaccine (QIV) in children aged 6 months and older in Germany.
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Molnar, Daniel, Anastassopoulou, Anastassia, Poulsen Nautrup, Barbara, Schmidt-Ott, Ruprecht, Eichner, Martin, Schwehm, Markus, Dos Santos, Gael, Ultsch, Bernhard, Bekkat-Berkani, Rafik, von Krempelhuber, Alfred, Van Vlaenderen, Ilse, and Van Bellinghen, Laure-Anne
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- 2022
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15. Use of Biologic Therapies in the Treatment of Asthma – A Comparative Real World Data Analysis on Healthcare Resource Utilization and Costs Before and After Therapy Initiation.
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Hardtstock, Fraence, Krieger, Julia, Wilke, Thomas, Lukas, Marco, Ultsch, Bernhard, Welte, Robert, Quinzler, Renate, Maywald, Ulf, and Timmermann, Hartmut
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BIOTHERAPY ,MEDICAL personnel ,SICK leave ,ASTHMATICS ,DATA analysis - Abstract
Background: Asthma is one of the most common chronic diseases in Germany. While many patients achieve asthma control under standard therapies, some patients still experience exacerbations and persistent airway obstructions. Thus, further pharmacological treatment is needed, and biologics could fill this gap, as they have shown clinical benefit in patients with severe asthma. Therefore, this real-world study aimed to compare healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) and associated costs before and after biologic therapy initiation. Methods: A retrospective claims data analysis has been conducted on adult asthma patients who initiated a long-term biologic therapy between January 2015 and June 2018. Patients were therapy-naïve to biologics for at least 12 months. HCRU and cost incurred by patients during 12 months before and after therapy initiation were compared. Results: Overall, 571 asthma patients initiated a biologic therapy during the observational period (316 omalizumab, 232 mepolizumab, 16 benralizumab, and 7 reslizumab). Patients had a mean age of 54.86 (62.70% female), and the majority (93.70%) received at least one follow-up prescription of their index-biologic agent within one year. During baseline, patients received on average 2.75 OCS prescriptions compared to 2.17 during follow-up. Most patients received less or the same amount of OCS after therapy initiation. Moreover, hospitalizations and asthma-related sick leave days decreased significantly. The average total costs per patient were € 6618.90 during baseline and € 22,832.33 during follow-up. Biologics mainly drove the increase; however, hospitalization costs were reduced significantly (€ 2443.37 vs € 1941.93; p< 0.001). Conclusion: Our study demonstrates an improved asthma control due to the initiation of a biologic therapy in terms of decreased hospitalization frequency, OCS consumption, and sick leave days. However, biologics are associated with high costs for healthcare providers during the first year after initiation. Therefore, short- and long-term clinical benefits and financial burden must be considered in the overall context of healthcare. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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16. Herpes zoster in Germany: Quantifying the burden of disease
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Reinhold Thomas, Rieck Thorsten, Siedler Anette, Ultsch Bernhard, Krause Gérard, and Wichmann Ole
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Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 - Abstract
Abstract Background Herpes zoster (HZ) is caused by a reactivation of the varicella-zoster-virus (VZV) and mainly affects individuals aged ≥ 50 years. Vaccines have been licensed or are under development that can protect against HZ and its main complication postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). In Germany, the burden of disease caused by HZ is not well known. To support the decision making process related to a potential vaccination recommendation, we estimated annual HZ disease burden in people aged ≥ 50 years in Germany by utilizing various data sources. Methods We assessed for 2007 and 2008 HZ-outpatient incidence (number of cases per 1,000 person-years, PY) by utilizing the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (ASHIP) database, which contains nationwide routine outpatient data. For the same time period annual number of HZ-inpatients and HZ-associated deaths were identified by using the Federal Health Monitoring System (FHM). PHN-incidence and loss of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) caused by HZ were calculated by multiplying number of identified HZ-patients with upper and lower limit estimates for proportion of HZ-cases developing PHN and HZ-related QALY, respectively. Results For the study period we identified an annual average of 306,511 HZ-outpatients aged 50+, resulting in a HZ-incidence of 9.6/1,000 PY. A total 14,249 HZ-associated inpatients and 66 deaths were reported in both years on average. HZ-incidence increased by age from 6.21 in people 50-54 years to 13.19 per 1,000 PY in people aged ≥ 90 years. Females were significantly more frequently affected than males in terms of outpatient HZ-incidence (11.12 vs. 7.8 per 1,000 PY), inpatient HZ-incidence (0.51 vs. 0.38 per 1,000 PY) and mortality (0.29 vs. 0.10 per 100,000 PY). PHN-incidence was estimated to range between 0.43 and 1.33 per 1,000 PY. Based on these figures, there were between 3,065 to 24,094 QALYs lost due to HZ in persons aged ≥ 50 years in Germany per annum. Conclusion Our study provides important baseline estimates for HZ-related disease burden in Germany. HZ poses a considerable burden on the health care system in Germany both in terms of outpatient and inpatient services. Follow-up assessments of HZ disease burden are needed to monitor the impact of VZV-vaccinations in Germany.
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- 2011
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17. Standardisierte Kostenberechnungen im deutschen Gesundheitswesen: Bericht der Arbeitsgruppe „Standardkosten" des Ausschusses „ökonomische Evaluation" der dggö.
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Scholz, Stefan, Biermann-Stallwitz, Janine, Brettschneider, Christian, Damm, Oliver, Freytag, Antje, Greiner, Wolfgang, Icks, Andrea, König, Hans-Helmut, Krauth, Christian, Kuhlmann, Alexander, Kunigkeit, Christopher, Montalbo, Joseph, Mostardt, Sarah, Mühlbacher, Axel, Neumann, Anja, Neusser, Silke, Plagemann, Thomas, Schwalm, Anja, Ultsch, Bernhard, and Wasem, Jürgen
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- 2020
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18. Influence of demographic changes on the impact of vaccination against varicella and herpes zoster in Germany - a mathematical modelling study.
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Horn, Johannes, Damm, Oliver, Greiner, Wolfgang, Hengel, Hartmut, Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Siedler, Anette, Ultsch, Bernhard, Weidemann, Felix, Wichmann, Ole, Karch, André, and Mikolajczyk, Rafael T.
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DEMOGRAPHIC change ,VACCINATION ,CHICKENPOX ,HERPES zoster ,MATHEMATICAL models ,HERPES zoster prevention ,CHICKENPOX vaccines ,HERPES zoster vaccines ,COMPARATIVE studies ,DEMOGRAPHY ,EMIGRATION & immigration ,IMMUNIZATION ,RESEARCH methodology ,MEDICAL cooperation ,MEDICAL protocols ,RESEARCH ,THEORY ,EVALUATION research ,DISEASE incidence ,PREVENTION ,VACCINES - Abstract
Background: Epidemiological studies suggest that reduced exposure to varicella might lead to an increased risk for herpes zoster (HZ). Reduction of exposure to varicella is a consequence of varicella vaccination but also of demographic changes. We analyzed how the combination of vaccination programs and demographic dynamics will affect the epidemiology of varicella and HZ in Germany over the next 50 years.Methods: We used a deterministic dynamic compartmental model to assess the impact of different varicella and HZ vaccination strategies on varicella and HZ epidemiology in three demographic scenarios, namely the projected population for Germany, the projected population additionally accounting for increased immigration as observed in 2015/2016, and a stationary population.Results: Projected demographic changes alone result in an increase of annual HZ cases by 18.3% and a decrease of varicella cases by 45.7% between 1990 and 2060. Independently of the demographic scenario, varicella vaccination reduces the cumulative number of varicella cases until 2060 by approximately 70%, but also increases HZ cases by 10%. Unlike the currently licensed live attenuated HZ vaccine, the new subunit vaccine candidate might completely counteract this effect. Relative vaccine effects were consistent across all demographic scenarios.Conclusion: Demographic dynamics will be a major determinant of HZ epidemiology in the next 50 years. While stationary population models are appropriate for assessing vaccination impact, models incorporating realistic population structures allow a direct comparison to surveillance data and can thus provide additional input for immunization decision-making and resource planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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19. Cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus vaccination in Germany.
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Damm, Oliver, Horn, Johannes, Mikolajczyk, Rafael T., Kretzschmar, Mirjam E. E., Kaufmann, Andreas M., Deleré, Yvonne, Ultsch, Bernhard, Wichmann, Ole, Krämer, Alexander, and Greiner, Wolfgang
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PAPILLOMAVIRUS disease prevention ,HUMAN papillomavirus vaccines ,CERVIX uteri tumors ,TUMOR prevention ,COST control ,COST effectiveness ,GENITAL warts ,MEDICAL care costs ,QUALITY-adjusted life years ,CERVICAL intraepithelial neoplasia ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
Background: The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination in addition to the current cervical cancer screening programme in Germany using a dynamic transmission model. Methods: Based on a mathematical model simulating the transmission dynamics and the natural history of HPV infection and associated diseases (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia, cervical cancer, and genital warts), we estimated the epidemiological and economic consequences of HPV vaccination with both the quadrivalent and bivalent vaccines. In our base case analysis, we assessed the cost-effectiveness of vaccinating 12-year-old girls with a 3-dose schedule. In sensitivity analysis, we also evaluated the use of a 2-dose schedule and assessed the impact of vaccinating boys. Results: From a health care payer perspective, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of a 3-dose schedule were €34,249 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) for the bivalent and €14,711 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. Inclusion of indirect costs decreased ICERs by up to 40%. When adopting a health care payer perspective, ICERs of a 2-dose approach decreased to €19,450 per QALY for the bivalent and to €3645 per QALY for the quadrivalent vaccine. From a societal perspective, a 2-dose approach using the quadrivalent vaccine was a cost-saving strategy while using the bivalent vaccine resulted in an ICER of €13,248 per QALY. Irrespective of the perspective adopted, additional vaccination of boys resulted in ICERs exceeding €50,000 per QALY, except for scenarios with low coverage (20%) in girls. Conclusions: Our model results suggest that routine HPV vaccination of 12-year-old girls with three doses is likely to be cost-effective in Germany. Due to the additional impact on genital warts, the quadrivalent vaccine appeared to be more cost-effective than the bivalent vaccine. A 2-dose schedule of the quadrivalent vaccine might even lead to cost savings when adopting a societal perspective. The cost-effectiveness of additional vaccination of boys was highly dependent on the coverage in girls. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2017
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20. A systematic review of the health economic consequences of quadrivalent influenza vaccination.
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de Boer, Pieter T., van Maanen, Britt M., Damm, Oliver, Ultsch, Bernhard, Dolk, Franklin C.K., Crépey, Pascal, Pitman, Richard, Wilschut, Jan C., Postma, Maarten J., de Boer, P T, van Maanen, B M, Crépey, Pascal, Wilschut, J C, and Postma, M J
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IMMUNIZATION ,INFLUENZA prevention ,COST effectiveness ,INFLUENZA ,INFLUENZA vaccines ,PUBLIC health ,SYSTEMATIC reviews ,INFLUENZA B virus ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
Background: Quadrivalent influenza vaccines (QIVs) contain antigens derived from an additional influenza type B virus as compared with currently used trivalent influenza vaccines (TIVs). This should overcome a potential reduced vaccine protection due to mismatches between TIV and circulating B viruses. In this study, we systematically reviewed the available literature on health economic evaluations of switching from TIV to QIV. Areas covered: The databases of Medline and Embase were searched systematically to identify health economic evaluations of QIV versus TIV published before September 2016.A total of sixteen studies were included, thirteen cost-effectiveness analyses and three cost-comparisons. Expert commentary: Published evidence on the cost-effectiveness of QIV suggests that switching from TIV to QIV would be a valuable intervention from both the public health and economic viewpoint. However, more research seems mandatory. Our main recommendations for future research include: 1) more extensive use of dynamic models in order to estimate the full impact of QIV on influenza transmission including indirect effects, 2) improved availability of data on disease outcomes and costs related to influenza type B viruses, and 3) more research on immunogenicity of natural influenza infection and vaccination, with emphasis on cross-reactivity between different influenza B viruses and duration of protection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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21. Is the impact of childhood influenza vaccination less than expected: a transmission modelling study.
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Weidemann, Felix, Remschmidt, Cornelius, Buda, Silke, Buchholz, Udo, Ultsch, Bernhard, and Wichmann, Ole
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INFLUENZA vaccines ,INFLUENZA prevention ,PREVENTION of communicable diseases ,RESPIRATORY infections ,COMMUNICABLE diseases ,INFLUENZA transmission ,INFLUENZA epidemiology ,BIOLOGICAL models ,PROBABILITY theory ,SEASONS ,DISEASE incidence ,ACUTE diseases ,HEALTH impact assessment - Abstract
Background: To reduce the burden of severe influenza, most industrialized countries target specific risk-groups with influenza vaccines, e.g. the elderly or individuals with comorbidities. Since children are the main spreaders, some countries have recently implemented childhood vaccination programs to reduce overall virus transmission and thereby influenza disease in the whole population. The introduction of childhood vaccination programs was often supported by modelling studies that predicted substantial incidence reductions. We developed a mathematical transmission model to examine the potential impact of childhood influenza vaccination in Germany, while also challenging established modelling assumptions.Methods: We developed an age-stratified SEIR-type transmission model to reproduce the epidemic influenza seasons between 2003/04 and 2013/14. The model was built upon German population counts, contact patterns, and vaccination history and was fitted to seasonal data on influenza-attributable medically attended acute respiratory infections (I-MAARI) and strain distribution using Bayesian methods. As novelties we (i) implemented a stratified model structure enabling seasonal variability and (ii) deviated from the commonly assumed mass-action-principle by employing a phenomenological transmission rate.Results: According to the model, by vaccinating primarily the elderly over ten seasons 4 million (95% prediction interval: 3.84 - 4.19) I-MAARI were prevented which corresponds to an 8.6% (8.3% - 8.9%) reduction compared to a no-vaccination scenario and a number-needed-to-vaccinate (NNV) to prevent one I-MAARI of 37.1 (35.5 - 38.7). Additional vaccination of 2-10 year-old children at 40% coverage would have led to an overall I-MAARI reduction of 17.8% (17.1 - 18.7%) mostly due to indirect effects with a NNV of 20.7 (19.6 - 21.6). When employing the traditional mass-action-principle, the model predicted a more than 3-fold higher I-MAARI reduction (55.6%) due to childhood vaccination.Conclusion: In Germany, the introduction of routine childhood influenza vaccination could considerably reduce I-MAARI among all age-groups and improve the NNV. However, the predicted impact is much lower compared to previous studies, which is primarily caused by our phenomenological approach to modelling influenza virus transmission. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2017
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22. Current and future effects of varicella and herpes zoster vaccination in Germany – Insights from a mathematical model in a country with universal varicella vaccination.
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Horn, Johannes, Karch, André, Damm, Oliver, Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Siedler, Anette, Ultsch, Bernhard, Weidemann, Felix, Wichmann, Ole, Hengel, Hartmut, Greiner, Wolfgang, and Mikolajczyk, Rafael T.
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- 2016
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23. Methods for Health Economic Evaluation of Vaccines and Immunization Decision Frameworks: A Consensus Framework from a European Vaccine Economics Community.
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Jit, Mark, Siebert, Uwe, Ultsch, Bernhard, Wichmann, Ole, Kuhlmann, Alexander, Levy-Bruhl, Daniel, Perleth, Matthias, Postma, Maarten, Salo, Heini, Wasem, Jürgen, Damm, Oliver, Greiner, Wolfgang, Beutels, Philippe, Bilcke, Joke, Brüggenjürgen, Bernd, Gerber-Grote, Andreas, Hanquet, Germaine, Hutubessy, Raymond, Knol, Mirjam, and Kries, Rüdiger
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IMMUNIZATION ,VACCINES ,MEDICAL economics ,EUROPEANS ,GOVERNMENT policy ,HEALTH - Abstract
Background: Incremental cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analyses [health economic evaluations (HEEs)] of vaccines are routinely considered in decision making on immunization in various industrialized countries. While guidelines advocating more standardization of such HEEs (mainly for curative drugs) exist, several immunization-specific aspects (e.g. indirect effects or discounting approach) are still a subject of debate within the scientific community.Objective: The objective of this study was to develop a consensus framework for HEEs of vaccines to support the development of national guidelines in Europe.Methods: A systematic literature review was conducted to identify prevailing issues related to HEEs of vaccines. Furthermore, European experts in the field of health economics and immunization decision making were nominated and asked to select relevant aspects for discussion. Based on this, a workshop was held with these experts. Aspects on 'mathematical modelling', 'health economics' and 'decision making' were debated in group-work sessions (GWS) to formulate recommendations and/or--if applicable--to state 'pros' and 'contras'.Results: A total of 13 different aspects were identified for modelling and HEE: model selection, time horizon of models, natural disease history, measures of vaccine-induced protection, duration of vaccine-induced protection, indirect effects apart from herd protection, target population, model calibration and validation, handling uncertainty, discounting, health-related quality of life, cost components, and perspectives. For decision making, there were four aspects regarding the purpose and the integration of HEEs of vaccines in decision making as well as the variation of parameters within uncertainty analyses and the reporting of results from HEEs. For each aspect, background information and an expert consensus were formulated.Conclusions: There was consensus that when HEEs are used to prioritize healthcare funding, this should be done in a consistent way across all interventions, including vaccines. However, proper evaluation of vaccines implies using tools that are not commonly used for therapeutic drugs. Due to the complexity of and uncertainties around vaccination, transparency in the documentation of HEEs and during subsequent decision making is essential. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2016
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24. Systematic review of models assessing the economic value of routine varicella and herpes zoster vaccination in high-income countries.
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Damm, Oliver, Ultsch, Bernhard, Horn, Johannes, Mikolajczyk, Rafael T., Greiner, Wolfgang, and Wichmann, Ole
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CHICKENPOX , *HERPES zoster vaccines , *COST effectiveness , *HIGH-income countries , *VACCINATION , *ECONOMICS - Abstract
Background: A systematic review was conducted to assess the cost-effectiveness of routine varicella and herpes zoster (HZ) vaccination in high-income countries estimated by modelling studies. Methods: A PubMed search was performed to identify relevant studies published before October 2013. Studies were included in the review if they (i) evaluated the cost-effectiveness of routine childhood or adolescent varicella vaccination and/or HZ vaccination targeting the elderly, and if they (ii) reported results for high-income countries. Results: A total of 38 model-based studies were identified that fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Routine childhood or adolescent varicella vaccination was cost-effective or cost-saving from a payer perspective and always cost-saving from a societal perspective when ignoring its potential impact on HZ incidence due to reduced or absent exogenous boosting. The inclusion of the potential impact of childhood varicella vaccination on HZ led to net quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) losses or incremental cost-effectiveness ratios exceeding commonly accepted thresholds. Additional HZ vaccination could partially mitigate this effect. Studies focusing only on the evaluation of HZ vaccination reported a wide range of results depending on the selected target age-group and the vaccine price, but most found HZ vaccination to be a cost-effective or marginally cost-effective intervention. Cost-effectiveness of HZ vaccination was strongly dependent on the age at vaccination, the price of the vaccine, the assumed duration of protection and the applied cost per QALY threshold. Conclusions: While HZ vaccination is mostly considered cost-effective, cost-effectiveness of varicella vaccination primarily depends on the in- or exclusion of exogenous boosting in the model. As a consequence, clarification on the role of exogenous boosting is crucial for decision-making regarding varicella vaccination. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2015
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25. Health economic evaluation of vaccination strategies for the prevention of herpes zoster and postherpetic neuralgia in Germany.
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Ultsch, Bernhard, Weidemann, Felix, Reinhold, Thomas, Siedler, Anette, Krause, Gérard, and Wichmann, Ole
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HERPES zoster prevention , *MEDICAL economics , *VACCINATION , *NEURALGIA - Abstract
Background: Herpes zoster (HZ) is a self-limiting painful skin rash affecting mostly individuals from 50 years of age. The main complication is postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), a long-lasting pain after rash has resolved. A HZ-vaccine has recently been licensed in Europe for individuals older than 50 years. To support an informed decision-making for a potential vaccination recommendation, we conducted a health economic evaluation to identify the most costeffective vaccination strategy. Methods: We developed a static Markov-cohort model, which compared a vaccine-scenario with no vaccination. The cohort entering the model was 50 years of age, vaccinated at age 60, and stayed over life-time in the model. Transition probabilities were based on HZ/PHN-epidemiology and demographic data from Germany, as well as vaccine efficacy (VE) data from clinical trials. Costs for vaccination and HZ/PHN-treatment (in Euros; 2010), as well as outcomes were discounted equally with 3% p.a. We accounted results from both, payer and societal perspective. We calculated benefit-cost-ratio (BCR), number-needed-to-vaccinate (NNV), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for costs per HZ-case avoided, per PHN-case avoided, and per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Different target age-groups were compared to identify the most cost-effective vaccination strategy. Base-caseanalysis as well as structural, descriptive-, and probabilistic-sensitivity-analyses (DSA, PSA) were performed. Results: When vaccinating 20% of a cohort of 1 million 50 year old individuals at the age of 60 years, approximately 20,000 HZ-cases will be avoided over life-time. The NNV to avoid one HZ (PHN)-case was 10 (144). However, with a BCR of 0.34 this vaccination-strategy did not save costs. The base-case-analysis yielded an ICER of 1,419 (20,809) Euros per avoided HZ (PHN)-case and 28,146 Euros per QALY gained. Vaccination at the age of 60 was identified in most (sensitivity) analyses to be the most cost-effective vaccination strategy. In DSA, vaccine price and VE were shown to be the most critical input-data. Conclusions: According to our evaluation, HZ-vaccination is expected to avoid HZ/PHN-cases and gain QALYs to higher costs. However, the vaccine price had the highest impact on the ICERs. Among different scenarios, targeting individuals aged 60 years seems to represent the most cost-effective vaccination-strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2013
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26. Herpes zoster in Germany: Quantifying the burden of disease.
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Ultsch, Bernhard, Siedler, Anette, Rieck, Thorsten, Reinhold, Thomas, Krause, Gérard, and Wichmann, Ole
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HERPES zoster ,VARICELLA-zoster virus ,NEURALGIA ,IMMUNIZATION - Abstract
Background: Herpes zoster (HZ) is caused by a reactivation of the varicella-zoster-virus (VZV) and mainly affects individuals aged ≥ 50 years. Vaccines have been licensed or are under development that can protect against HZ and its main complication postherpetic neuralgia (PHN). In Germany, the burden of disease caused by HZ is not well known. To support the decision making process related to a potential vaccination recommendation, we estimated annual HZ disease burden in people aged ≥ 50 years in Germany by utilizing various data sources. Methods: We assessed for 2007 and 2008 HZ-outpatient incidence (number of cases per 1,000 person-years, PY) by utilizing the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians (ASHIP) database, which contains nationwide routine outpatient data. For the same time period annual number of HZ-inpatients and HZ-associated deaths were identified by using the Federal Health Monitoring System (FHM). PHN-incidence and loss of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) caused by HZ were calculated by multiplying number of identified HZ-patients with upper and lower limit estimates for proportion of HZ-cases developing PHN and HZ-related QALY, respectively. Results: For the study period we identified an annual average of 306,511 HZ-outpatients aged 50+, resulting in a HZ-incidence of 9.6/1,000 PY. A total 14,249 HZ-associated inpatients and 66 deaths were reported in both years on average. HZ-incidence increased by age from 6.21 in people 50-54 years to 13.19 per 1,000 PY in people aged ≥ 90 years. Females were significantly more frequently affected than males in terms of outpatient HZ-incidence (11.12 vs. 7.8 per 1,000 PY), inpatient HZ-incidence (0.51 vs. 0.38 per 1,000 PY) and mortality (0.29 vs. 0.10 per 100,000 PY). PHN-incidence was estimated to range between 0.43 and 1.33 per 1,000 PY. Based on these figures, there were between 3,065 to 24,094 QALYs lost due to HZ in persons aged ≥ 50 years in Germany per annum. Conclusion: Our study provides important baseline estimates for HZ-related disease burden in Germany. HZ poses a considerable burden on the health care system in Germany both in terms of outpatient and inpatient services. Follow-up assessments of HZ disease burden are needed to monitor the impact of VZV-vaccinations in Germany. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2011
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27. Correction to: Public Health Impact and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Routine Infant 4CMenB Vaccination in Germany to Prevent Serogroup B Invasive Meningococcal Disease.
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Scholz, Stefan, Schwarz, Magdalena, Beck, Ekkehard, Meszaros, Kinga, Schneider, Melanie, Ultsch, Bernhard, and Greiner, Wolfgang
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- 2022
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28. The cost-of-illness for invasive meningococcal disease caused by serogroup B Neisseria meningitidis (MenB) in Germany.
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Scholz, Stefan, Koerber, Florian, Meszaros, Kinga, Fassbender, Rosa Maya, Ultsch, Bernhard, Welte, Robert R., and Greiner, Wolfgang
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MENINGOCOCCAL vaccines , *NEISSERIA meningitidis , *HUMAN capital , *PUBLIC health , *OVERHEAD costs - Abstract
Abstract Introduction Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is a severe disease mainly affecting infants and young children. The most common serogroup causing IMD in Germany is the serogroup type B Neisseria meningitidis (MenB). The aim of the present study is to estimate the economic burden of MenB-related IMD in Germany. Method A bottom-up, model-based costing approach has been used to calculate the diagnose- and age-specific yearly lifetime costs of a hypothetical cohort of MenB-related IMD cases. Direct costs contain the treatment cost for the acute phase of the disease, long-term sequelae, costs for rehabilitation, and public health response. Indirect costs are calculated for the human-capital approach and the friction-cost approach considering productivity losses of patients or parents for the acute phase and long-term sequelae. Publicly available databases from the Federal Statistical Office, the SOEP panel data set, literature, and expert opinion were used as data sources. All future costs beyond the reference year of 2015 were discounted at 3%. Results The total costs for the hypothetical cohort (343 patients) from a societal perspective are €19.6 million (€57,100/IMD case) using the friction-cost approach and €58.8 million (€171,000/IMD case) using the human-capital approach. Direct costs amount to €18.6 million or €54,300 €/case. Sequelae are responsible for 81% of the direct costs/case. Discussion The elevated costs/MenB-related IMD case reflect the severity of the disease. The total costs are sensitive to the productivity-loss estimation approach applied. MenB is an uncommon but severe disease; The costs/case reflect the severity of the disease and is within the same magnitude as for human papilloma virus infections. The available literature on sequelae is due to the uncommonness limited and heterogeneous. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
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