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International audience; This paper presents an optimization model for Home Energy Management Systems from an aggregator’s standpoint. The aggregator manages a set of resources such as PV, electrochemical batteries and thermal energy storage by means of electric water heaters. Resources are managed in order to participate in the day-ahead energy and local flexibility markets, also considering grid constraint support at the Point of Common Coupling. The resulting model is a Mixed-Integer Linear Programming problem in which the objective is to minimize day-ahead operation costs for the aggregator while complying with energy commitments in the day-ahead market and local flexibility requests. Three sources of uncertainty are considered: energy prices, PV production and load. Adjustable Robust Optimization is used to find a robust counterpart of the problem for including uncertainty. The results obtained show that using robust optimization allows strategic bidding to capture uncertainties while complying with obligations in the wholesale and local market. Data from a real-life energy community with 25 households is used to validate the proposed robust bidding methodology.

International audience; In the recent years, several short-term forecasting models of household electricity demand have been proposed in the literature. This is partly due to emerging smart-grid applications, which require these kinds of forecasts to manage systems such as smart homes, prosumer aggregations, etc., and partly thanks to the availability of data from smart meters, which enable the development of such models. Since most models are academically developed, they often do not address challenges related to their implementation in a real-world environment. In the latter case, several issues arise, related to data quality and availability, which affect the operational performance and robustness of a forecasting system. In this paper, we design a hierarchical forecasting framework based on a total of 5 probabilistic models of varying complexity, after analyzing the respective performance and advantages of the models with an offline dataset. This multi-layered framework is necessary to address the various problematic situations occurring in practice and abide by the requirements for a real-world deployment. The forecasting system is deployed in a real-world case and evaluated here on data from 20 households. Field data, comprising forecasts and measurements, are analyzed for each household. A detailed comparison is drawn between the online and offline performances. Since a notable degradation is observed in the operational environment, we discuss at length the reasons for such an effect. We determine that the exact settings of the training and test periods are marginally responsible, but that the main cause is the intrinsic evolution of the demand time series, which hinders the forecasting performance. This evolution is due to unknown household characteristics that need to be monitored to provide more adaptable models.

International audience; This paper presents an optimization model for Home Energy Management Systems from an aggregator's standpoint. The aggregator manages a set of resources such as PV, elec-trochemical batteries and Thermal Energy Storage by means of Electric Water Heaters. The resources are managed in order to participate in the day-ahead energy market, considering also local flexibility needs. The resulting model is a mixed-integer linear programming problem in which the aim is to minimize day-ahead operation costs for the aggregator while complying with DSO flexibility constraints in the form of maximum allowed net power exchange and ramping limits. Three sources of uncertainty are considered: day-ahead energy prices, PV production and load. Kernel Density Estimator and a backward reduction algorithm are used to create price scenarios and Robust Optimization is used to model PV and load uncertainties. The obtained results show the changes in the operation of the aggregator when grid flexibilities are considered and the impacts on the operation costs. In addition, a proposal for bidding in local flexibility markets is shown.

International audience; The growing number of electric vehicles (EV) is challenging the traditional distribution grid with a new set of consumption curves. We employ information from individual meters at charging stations that record the power drawn by an EV at high temporal resolution (i.e. every minute) to analyze and model charging habits. We identify 5 types of battery that determine the power an EV draws from the grid and its maximal capacity. In parallel, we identify 4 main clusters of charging habits. Charging habits models are then used for two applications: short-term forecasting and long-term simulation. We start by forecasting day-ahead consumption scenarios for a single EV. By summing scenarios for a fleet of EVs, we obtain probabilistic forecasts of the aggregated load, and observe that our bottom-up approach performs similarly to a machine-learning technique that directly forecasts the aggregated load. Secondly, we assess the expected impact of the additional EVs on the grid by 2030, assuming that future charging habits follow curren behavior. Although the overall load logically increases, the shape of the load is marginally modified, showing that the current network seems fairly well-suited to this evolution.

International audience; The growing number of electric vehicles (EV) is challenging the traditional distribution grid with a new set of consumption curves. We employ information from individual meters at charging stations that record the power drawn by an EV at high temporal resolution (i.e., every minute) to analyze and model charging habits. We identify five types of batteries that determine the power an EV draws from the grid and its maximal capacity. In parallel, we identify four main clusters of charging habits. Charging habit models are then used for forecasting at short and long horizons. We start by forecasting day-ahead consumption scenarios for a single EV. By summing scenarios for a fleet of EVs, we obtain probabilistic forecasts of the aggregated load, and observe that our bottom-up approach performs similarly to a machine-learning technique that directly forecasts the aggregated load. Secondly, we assess the expected impact of the additional EVs on the grid by 2030, assuming that future charging habits follow current behavior. Although the overall load logically increases, the shape of the load is marginally modified, showing that the current network seems fairly well-suited to this evolution.