1. Extracted features of national and continental daily biweekly growth rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases and deaths via Fourier analysis
- Author
-
Ray-Ming Chen
- Subjects
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Feature vector ,Space dimension ,temporal and spatial ,01 natural sciences ,010305 fluids & plasmas ,03 medical and health sciences ,symbols.namesake ,0103 physical sciences ,Statistics ,QA1-939 ,biweekly growth rates ,Humans ,Orthonormal basis ,Pandemics ,Fourier series ,030304 developmental biology ,Mathematics ,0303 health sciences ,Fourier Analysis ,variability ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Applied Mathematics ,COVID-19 ,General Medicine ,Euclidean distance ,Computational Mathematics ,Fourier analysis ,Modeling and Simulation ,symbols ,General Agricultural and Biological Sciences ,TP248.13-248.65 ,Biotechnology ,Forecasting ,Global time - Abstract
AimsBy associating features with orthonormal bases, we analyse the values of the extracted features for the daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths on national and continental levels. MethodsBy adopting the concept of Fourier coefficients, we analyse the inner products with respect to temporal and spatial frequencies on national and continental levels. The input data are the global time series data with 117 countries over 109 days on a national level; and 6 continents over 447 days on a continental level. Next, we calculate the Euclidean distance matrices and their average variabilities, which measure the average discrepancy between one feature vector and all others. Then we analyse the temporal and spatial variabilities on a national level. By calculating the temporal inner products on a continental level, we derive and analyse the similarities between the continents. ResultsOn the national level, the daily biweekly growth rates bear higher similarities in the time dimension than the ones in the space dimension. Furthermore, there exists a strong concurrency between the features for biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths. As far as the trends of the features are concerned, the features are stabler on the continental level, and less predictive on the national level. In addition, there are very high similarities between all the continents, except Asia. ConclusionsThe features for daily biweekly growth rates of cases and deaths are extracted via orthonormal frequencies. By tracking the inner products for the input data and the orthonormal features, we could decompose the evolutionary results of COVID-19 into some fundamental frequencies. Though the frequency-based techniques are applied, the interpretation of the features should resort to other methods. By analysing the spectrum of the frequencies, we reveal hidden patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic. This would provide some preliminary research merits for further insightful investigations. It could also be used to predict future trends of daily biweekly growth rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths.
- Published
- 2021