1. Ambient temperature and mortality due to acute myocardial infarction in Brazil: an ecological study of time-series analyses
- Author
-
Mário Círio Nogueira, Ricardo Vela de Britto Pereira, Marilia Sá Carvalho, Maria Teresa Bustamante Teixeira, William Cossich Marcial de Farias, Moreno S. Rodrigues, Letícia de Castro Martins Ferreira, Ferreira L.C.M., Nogueira M.C., Pereira R.V.B., Cossich Marcial de Farias W., Rodrigues M.M.S., Teixeira M.T.B., and Carvalho M.S.
- Subjects
Climate ,Climate Change ,Cardiology ,Myocardial Infarction ,Climate change ,lcsh:Medicine ,010501 environmental sciences ,Risk Assessment ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,Decompensation ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Myocardial infarction ,Mortality ,lcsh:Science ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Multidisciplinary ,Risk Factor ,lcsh:R ,Temperature ,Ecological study ,Tropics ,medicine.disease ,Geography ,Risk factors ,Relative risk ,Attributable risk ,lcsh:Q ,Risk assessment ,Brazil ,Human ,Demography - Abstract
Ambient temperature may lead to decompensation of cardiovascular diseases and deaths by acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Little is known about this relationship in South American countries located in regions of a hot climate. This study aims to investigate the effects of ambient temperature on mortality due to AMI in six Brazilian micro-regions, which present different climates. We analyzed daily records of deaths by AMI between 1996 and 2013. We estimated the accumulate relative and attributable risks with lags of up to 14 days, using distributed non-linear lag model. Micro-regions that were closest to the equator did not show an association between temperature and mortality. The lowest risk temperatures varied between 22 °C and 28 °C, in the Southern region of Brazil and the Midwest region, respectively. Low temperatures associated with the highest mortality risk were observed in the same areas, varying between 5 °C and 15 °C. The number of deaths attributed to cold temperatures varied from 176/year in Brasilia to 661/year in São Paulo and those deaths attributed to hot temperatures in Rio de Janeiro amounted to 115/year. We showed the relative risk and the attributable risk of warmer and colder days in tropical regions. The estimate of the number of deaths due to climate, varying according to each area, is a way of bringing information to those responsible for health policies based on easily-understood measurements.
- Published
- 2019