1. A credibilistic mean-semivariance-PER portfolio selection model for Latin America
- Author
-
Javier Oliver, Rima Tamošiūnienė, Fernando García, and Jairo González-Bueno
- Subjects
Economics and Econometrics ,mean-semi- variance-PER ,050208 finance ,Latin Americans ,HF5001-6182 ,Computer science ,05 social sciences ,Semivariance ,02 engineering and technology ,0502 economics and business ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,Econometrics ,Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous) ,Portfolio ,L-R power fuzzy numbers ,Business ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,fuzzy portfolio selection ,evolutionary multiobjective optimization ,credibility theory ,Selection (genetic algorithm) - Abstract
Many real-world problems in the financial sector have to consider different objectives which are conflicting, for example portfolio selection. Markowitz proposed an approach to determine the optimal composition of a portfolio analysing the trade-off between return and risk. Nevertheless, this approach has been criticized for unrealistic assumptions and several changes have been proposed to incorporate investors’ constraints and more realistic risk measures. In this line of research, our proposal extends the mean-semivariance portfolio selection model to a multiobjective credibilistic model that besides risk and return, also considers the price-to-earnings ratio to measure portfolio performance. Uncertain future returns and PER ratio of each asset are approximated using L-R power fuzzy numbers. Furthermore, we consider budget, bound and cardinality constraints. To solve the constrained portfolio optimization problem, we use the algorithm NSGA-II. We assess the proposed approach generating a portfolio with shares included in the Latin American Integrated Market. Results show that this new approach is a good alternative to solve the portfolio selection problem when multiple objectives are considered.
- Published
- 2019