Joaquim G. Pinto, Karin van der Wiel, Jakob Zscheischler, Emanuele Bevacqua, Fabrizio Durante, Wenyan Wu, Elisa Ragno, Andreia F. S. Ribeiro, Tianyi Zhang, Pauline Rivoire, Carlo De Michele, Suzana Blesic, Alexandre M. Ramos, Anaïs Couasnon, Kate Saunders, Edoardo Vignotto, Colin Manning, Ana Bastos, John K. Hillier, Sérgio C. Oliveira, Bevacqua, Emanuele, De Michele, Carlo, Manning, Colin, Couasnon, Anaã¯, Ribeiro, Andreia F. S., Ramos, Alexandre M., Vignotto, Edoardo, Bastos, Ana, Blesi('(c)), Suzana, Durante, Fabrizio, Hillier, John, Oliveira, S('(e))rgio C., Pinto, Joaquim G., Ragno, Elisa, Rivoire, Pauline, Saunders, Kate, Wiel, Karin, Wu, Wenyan, Zhang, Tianyi, Zscheischler, Jakob, Water and Climate Risk, Earth and Climate, Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa, 3 Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Politecnico di Milano Milano Italy, 4 School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences Newcastle University Newcastle upon Tyne UK, Couasnon, Anaïs, 5 Institute for Environmental Studies Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands, 6 Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science ETH Zurich Zurich Switzerland, 7 Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL) Faculdade de Ciências Universidade de Lisboa Lisboa Portugal, 8 Research Center for Statistics University of Geneva Geneva Switzerland, 9 Department of Biogeochemical Integration Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry Jena Germany, Blesić, Suzana, 10 University of Belgrade and Center for Participatory Science Institute for Medical Research Belgrade Serbia, 11 Department of Economic Sciences University of Salento Lecce Italy, 12 Geography Loughborough University Loughborough UK, Oliveira, Sérgio C., 13 Centre for Geographical Studies and Associated Laboratory TERRA Institute of Geography and Spatial Planning Universidade de Lisboa Lisboa Portugal, 14 Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Karlsruhe Germany, 15 Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences Delft University of Technology Delft The Netherlands, 16 Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography University of Bern Bern Switzerland, 17 School of Mathematical Sciences Queensland University of Technology Brisbane QL Australia, van der Wiel, Karin, 18 Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) De Bilt The Netherlands, 19 Department of Infrastructure Engineering Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology The University of Melbourne Melbourne VIC Australia, 20 State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China, and 1 Department of Computational Hydrosystems Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research—UFZ Leipzig Germany
Compound weather and climate events are combinations of climate drivers and/or hazards that contribute to societal or environmental risk. Studying compound events often requires a multidisciplinary approach combining domain knowledge of the underlying processes with, for example, statistical methods and climate model outputs. Recently, to aid the development of research on compound events, four compound event types were introduced, namely (a) preconditioned, (b) multivariate, (c) temporally compounding, and (d) spatially compounding events. However, guidelines on how to study these types of events are still lacking. Here, we consider four case studies, each associated with a specific event type and a research question, to illustrate how the key elements of compound events (e.g., analytical tools and relevant physical effects) can be identified. These case studies show that (a) impacts on crops from hot and dry summers can be exacerbated by preconditioning effects of dry and bright springs. (b) Assessing compound coastal flooding in Perth (Australia) requires considering the dynamics of a non‐stationary multivariate process. For instance, future mean sea‐level rise will lead to the emergence of concurrent coastal and fluvial extremes, enhancing compound flooding risk. (c) In Portugal, deep‐landslides are often caused by temporal clusters of moderate precipitation events. Finally, (d) crop yield failures in France and Germany are strongly correlated, threatening European food security through spatially compounding effects. These analyses allow for identifying general recommendations for studying compound events. Overall, our insights can serve as a blueprint for compound event analysis across disciplines and sectors., Plain Language Summary: Many societal and environmental impacts from events such as droughts and storms arise from a combination of weather and climate factors referred to as a compound event. Considering the complex nature of these high‐impact events is crucial for an accurate assessment of climate‐related risk, for example to develop adaptation and emergency preparedness strategies. However, compound event research has emerged only recently, therefore our ability to analyze these events is still limited. In practice, studying compound events is a challenging task, which often requires interaction between experts across multiple disciplines. Recently, compound events were divided into four types to aid the framing of research on this topic, but guidelines on how to study these four types are missing. Here, we take a pragmatic approach and—focusing on case studies of different compound event types—illustrate how to address specific research questions that could be of interest to users. The results allow identifying recommendations for compound event analyses. Furthermore, through the case studies, we highlight the relevance that compounding effects have for the occurrence of landslides, flooding, vegetation impacts, and crop failures. The guidelines emerged from this work will assist the development of compound event analysis across disciplines and sectors., Key Points: Using case studies representative of four main compound event types we show how compound event‐related research questions can be tackled. We present user‐friendly guidelines for compound event analysis applicable to different compound event types. We demonstrate that compound events cause vegetation impacts, coastal flooding, landslides, and continental‐scale crop yield failures., European COST action DAMOCLES, NERC, Swiss National Science Foundation, Helmholtz Initiative and Networking Fund, Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO), Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, Scientific Employment Stimulus 2017, Italian Ministry of University and Research, European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, AXA Research Fund for support, Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology