1. A search method for probabilistic critical slip surfaces with arbitrary shapes and its application in slope reliability analysis
- Author
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Simin Cai, Guijun Fu, Yibiao Liu, Wenhui Xu, Weizhong Ren, and Chenchen Liu
- Subjects
021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,Atmospheric Science ,Safety factor ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Computer science ,Monte Carlo method ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Probabilistic logic ,Stability (learning theory) ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Algorithm ,Reliability (statistics) ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Water Science and Technology ,Extreme learning machine ,Sequential quadratic programming ,Slip (vehicle dynamics) - Abstract
The Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is generally accepted as an accurate approximation method in slope reliability analysis. However, low efficiency hinders its use. Based on the online sequential extreme learning machine (OS-ELM), the OS-ELM-MCS method is proposed, which overcomes the requirement of calculating the safety factor, respectively, when using a conventional MCS for reliability analysis. Combined with the multi-initial points sequential quadratic programming (MSQP) algorithm, a search method for probabilistic critical slip surfaces with arbitrary shapes is introduced. It is possible to conduct both a reliability analysis and deterministic analysis under the same algorithm framework. Based on the proposed method, reliability and deterministic analyses of two cases are carried out. Compared with the results of other methods, the accuracy of the reliability and deterministic analysis method is verified. This verifies that the accuracy and time performance of the proposed method are better than those of conventional algorithms. The results of these case studies reveal the differences between the conclusions of the reliability and deterministic analyses. Therefore, it is necessary to combine reliability analysis and deterministic analysis to improve the credibility of stability analysis results.
- Published
- 2021