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1. Antimicrobial-impregnated central venous catheters for preventing neonatal bloodstream infection: the PREVAIL RCT

Author

Jim Gray, Katie Harron, Berit Muller-Pebody, Michaela Brown, Chloe Donohue, Ajay K Sinha, Sam Oddie, Rita Faria, Laura Bojke, Ruth Gilbert, Jon Dorling, Carrol Gamble, Caroline Fraser, William McGuire, Alessandro Grosso, Naomi Rainford, and Tracy Moitt

Subjects
lcsh:Medical technology, Technology Assessment, Biomedical, Miconazole, Cost-Benefit Analysis, medicine.medical_treatment, central venous catheter, bloodstream infection, economic analysis, law.invention, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Anti-Infective Agents, Randomized controlled trial, newborn, Risk Factors, law, Intensive Care Units, Neonatal, Sepsis, 030225 pediatrics, Intensive care, Central Venous Catheters, Humans, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, antimicrobial-impregnated catheter, Adverse effect, generalisability, Retrospective Studies, business.industry, Health Policy, Hazard ratio, Infant, Newborn, Retrospective cohort study, infant, United Kingdom, Clinical trial, lcsh:R855-855.5, Catheter-Related Infections, Anesthesia, Relative risk, Rifampin, business, randomised controlled trial, Central venous catheter, Research Article
Abstract

Background Clinical trials show that antimicrobial-impregnated central venous catheters reduce catheter-related bloodstream infection in adults and children receiving intensive care, but there is insufficient evidence for use in newborn babies. Objectives The objectives were (1) to determine clinical effectiveness by conducting a randomised controlled trial comparing antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheters with standard peripherally inserted central venous catheters for reducing bloodstream or cerebrospinal fluid infections (referred to as bloodstream infections); (2) to conduct an economic evaluation of the costs, cost-effectiveness and value of conducting additional research; and (3) to conduct a generalisability analysis of trial findings to neonatal care in the NHS. Design Three separate studies were undertaken, each addressing one of the three objectives. (1) This was a multicentre, open-label, pragmatic randomised controlled trial; (2) an analysis was undertaken of hospital care costs, lifetime cost-effectiveness and value of information from an NHS perspective; and (3) this was a retrospective cohort study of bloodstream infection rates in neonatal units in England. Setting The randomised controlled trial was conducted in 18 neonatal intensive care units in England. Participants Participants were babies who required a peripherally inserted central venous catheter (of 1 French gauge in size). Interventions The interventions were an antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheter (coated with rifampicin–miconazole) or a standard peripherally inserted central venous catheter, allocated randomly (1 : 1) using web randomisation. Main outcome measure Study 1 – time to first bloodstream infection, sampled between 24 hours after randomisation and 48 hours after peripherally inserted central venous catheter removal. Study 2 – cost-effectiveness of the antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheter compared with the standard peripherally inserted central venous catheters. Study 3 – risk-adjusted bloodstream rates in the trial compared with those in neonatal units in England. For study 3, the data used were as follows: (1) case report forms and linked death registrations; (2) case report forms and linked death registrations linked to administrative health records with 6-month follow-up; and (3) neonatal health records linked to infection surveillance data. Results Study 1, clinical effectiveness – 861 babies were randomised (antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheter, n = 430; standard peripherally inserted central venous catheter, n = 431). Bloodstream infections occurred in 46 babies (10.7%) randomised to antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheters and in 44 (10.2%) babies randomised to standard peripherally inserted central venous catheters. No difference in time to bloodstream infection was detected (hazard ratio 1.11, 95% confidence interval 0.73 to 1.67; p = 0.63). Secondary outcomes of rifampicin resistance in positive blood/cerebrospinal fluid cultures, mortality, clinical outcomes at neonatal unit discharge and time to peripherally inserted central venous catheter removal were similar in both groups. Rifampicin resistance in positive peripherally inserted central venous catheter tip cultures was higher in the antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheter group (relative risk 3.51, 95% confidence interval 1.16 to 10.57; p = 0.02) than in the standard peripherally inserted central venous catheter group. Adverse events were similar in both groups. Study 2, economic evaluation – the mean cost of babies’ hospital care was £83,473. Antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheters were not cost-effective. Given the increased price, compared with standard peripherally inserted central venous catheters, the minimum reduction in risk of bloodstream infection for antimicrobial-impregnated peripherally inserted central venous catheters to be cost-effective was 3% and 15% for babies born at 23–27 and 28–32 weeks’ gestation, respectively. Study 3, generalisability analysis – risk-adjusted bloodstream infection rates per 1000 peripherally inserted central venous catheter days were similar among babies in the trial and in all neonatal units. Of all bloodstream infections in babies receiving intensive or high-dependency care in neonatal units, 46% occurred during peripherally inserted central venous catheter days. Limitations The trial was open label as antimicrobial-impregnated and standard peripherally inserted central venous catheters are different colours. There was insufficient power to determine differences in rifampicin resistance. Conclusions No evidence of benefit or harm was found of peripherally inserted central venous catheters impregnated with rifampicin–miconazole during neonatal care. Interventions with small effects on bloodstream infections could be cost-effective over a child’s life course. Findings were generalisable to neonatal units in England. Future research should focus on other types of antimicrobial impregnation of peripherally inserted central venous catheters and alternative approaches for preventing bloodstream infections in neonatal care. Trial registration Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN81931394. Funding This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 24, No. 57. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Published
2020

2. The impact of viral mutations on recognition by SARS-CoV-2 specific T cells

Author

Thushan I. de Silva, Guihai Liu, Benjamin B. Lindsey, Danning Dong, Shona C. Moore, Nienyun Sharon Hsu, Dhruv Shah, Dannielle Wellington, Alexander J. Mentzer, Adrienn Angyal, Rebecca Brown, Matthew D. Parker, Zixi Ying, Xuan Yao, Lance Turtle, Susanna Dunachie, Mala K. Maini, Graham Ogg, Julian C. Knight, Yanchun Peng, Sarah L. Rowland-Jones, Tao Dong, David M. Aanensen, Khalil Abudahab, Helen Adams, Alexander Adams, Safiah Afifi, Dinesh Aggarwal, Shazaad S.Y. Ahmad, Louise Aigrain, Adela Alcolea-Medina, Nabil-Fareed Alikhan, Elias Allara, Roberto Amato, Tara Annett, Stephen Aplin, Cristina V. Ariani, Hibo Asad, Amy Ash, Paula Ashfield, Fiona Ashford, Laura Atkinson, Stephen W. Attwood, Cressida Auckland, Alp Aydin, David J. Baker, Paul Baker, Carlos E. Balcazar, Jonathan Ball, Jeffrey C. Barrett, Magdalena Barrow, Edward Barton, Matthew Bashton, Andrew R. Bassett, Rahul Batra, Chris Baxter, Nadua Bayzid, Charlotte Beaver, Angela H. Beckett, Shaun M. Beckwith, Luke Bedford, Robert Beer, Andrew Beggs, Katherine L. Bellis, Louise Berry, Beatrice Bertolusso, Angus Best, Emma Betteridge, David Bibby, Kelly Bicknell, Debbie Binns, Alec Birchley, Paul W. Bird, Chloe Bishop, Rachel Blacow, Victoria Blakey, Beth Blane, Frances Bolt, James Bonfield, Stephen Bonner, David Bonsall, Tim Boswell, Andrew Bosworth, Yann Bourgeois, Olivia Boyd, Declan T. Bradley, Cassie Breen, Catherine Bresner, Judith Breuer, Stephen Bridgett, Iraad F. Bronner, Ellena Brooks, Alice Broos, Julianne R. Brown, Giselda Bucca, Sarah L. Buchan, David Buck, Matthew Bull, Phillipa J. Burns, Shirelle Burton-Fanning, Timothy Byaruhanga, Matthew Byott, Sharon Campbell, Alessandro M. Carabelli, James S. Cargill, Matthew Carlile, Silvia F. Carvalho, Anna Casey, Anibolina Castigador, Jana Catalan, Vicki Chalker, Nicola J. Chaloner, Meera Chand, Joseph G. Chappell, Themoula Charalampous, Wendy Chatterton, Yasmin Chaudhry, Carol M. Churcher, Gemma Clark, Phillip Clarke, Benjamin J. Cogger, Kevin Cole, Jennifer Collins, Rachel Colquhoun, Thomas R. Connor, Kate F. Cook, Jason Coombes, Sally Corden, Claire Cormie, Nicholas Cortes, Marius Cotic, Seb Cotton, Simon Cottrell, Lindsay Coupland, MacGregor Cox, Alison Cox, Noel Craine, Liam Crawford, Aidan Cross, Matthew R. Crown, Dorian Crudgington, Nicola Cumley, Tanya Curran, Martin D. Curran, Ana da Silva Filipe, Gavin Dabrera, Alistair C. Darby, Rose K. Davidson, Alisha Davies, Robert M. Davies, Thomas Davis, Daniela de Angelis, Elen De Lacy, Leonardo de Oliveira Martins, Johnny Debebe, Rebecca Denton-Smith, Samir Dervisevic, Rebecca Dewar, Jayasree Dey, Joana Dias, Donald Dobie, Matthew J. Dorman, Fatima Downing, Megan Driscoll, Louis du Plessis, Nichola Duckworth, Jillian Durham, Kirstine Eastick, Lisa J. Easton, Richard Eccles, Jonathan Edgeworth, Sue Edwards, Kate El Bouzidi, Sahar Eldirdiri, Nicholas Ellaby, Scott Elliott, Gary Eltringham, Leah Ensell, Michelle J. Erkiert, Marina Escalera Zamudio, Sarah Essex, Johnathan M. Evans, Cariad Evans, William Everson, Derek J. Fairley, Karlie Fallon, Arezou Fanaie, Ben W. Farr, Christopher Fearn, Theresa Feltwell, Lynne Ferguson, Laia Fina, Flavia Flaviani, Vicki M. Fleming, Sally Forrest, Ebenezer Foster-Nyarko, Benjamin H. Foulkes, Luke Foulser, Mireille Fragakis, Dan Frampton, Sarah Francois, Christophe Fraser, Timothy M. Freeman, Helen Fryer, Marc Fuchs, William Fuller, Kavitha Gajee, Katerina Galai, Abbie Gallagher, Eileen Gallagher, Michael D. Gallagher, Marta Gallis, Amy Gaskin, Bree Gatica-Wilcox, Lily Geidelberg, Matthew Gemmell, Iliana Georgana, Ryan P. George, Laura Gifford, Lauren Gilbert, Sophia T. Girgis, Sharon Glaysher, Emily J. Goldstein, Tanya Golubchik, Andrea N. Gomes, Sónia Gonçalves, Ian G. Goodfellow, Scott Goodwin, Salman Goudarzi, Marina Gourtovaia, Clive Graham, Lee Graham, Paul R. Grant, Luke R. Green, Angie Green, Jane Greenaway, Richard Gregory, Martyn Guest, Rory N. Gunson, Ravi K. Gupta, Bernardo Gutierrez, Sam T. Haldenby, William L. Hamilton, Samantha E. Hansford, Tanzina Haque, Kathryn A. Harris, Ian Harrison, Ewan M. Harrison, Jennifer Hart, John A. Hartley, William T. Harvey, Matthew Harvey, Mohammed O. Hassan-Ibrahim, Judith Heaney, Thomas Helmer, John H. Henderson, Andrew R. Hesketh, Jessica Hey, David Heyburn, Ellen E. Higginson, Verity Hill, Jack D. Hill, Rachel A. Hilson, Ember Hilvers, Matthew T.G. Holden, Amy Hollis, Christopher W. Holmes, Nadine Holmes, Alison H. Holmes, Richard Hopes, Hailey R. Hornsby, Myra Hosmillo, Catherine Houlihan, Hannah C. Howson-Wells, Jonathan Hubb, Hannah Huckson, Warwick Hughes, Joseph Hughes, Margaret Hughes, Stephanie Hutchings, Giles Idle, Chris J. Illingworth, Robert Impey, Dianne Irish-Tavares, Miren Iturriza-Gomara, Rhys Izuagbe, Chris Jackson, Ben Jackson, Leigh M. Jackson, Kathryn A. Jackson, David K. Jackson, Aminu S. Jahun, Victoria James, Keith James, Christopher Jeanes, Aaron R. Jeffries, Sarah Jeremiah, Andrew Jermy, Michaela John, Rob Johnson, Kate Johnson, Ian Johnston, Owen Jones, Sophie Jones, Hannah Jones, Christopher R. Jones, Neil Jones, Amelia Joseph, Sarah Judges, Gemma L. Kay, Sally Kay, Jon-Paul Keatley, Alexander J. Keeley, Anita Kenyon, Leanne M. Kermack, Manjinder Khakh, Stephen P. Kidd, Maimuna Kimuli, Stuart Kirk, Christine Kitchen, Katie Kitchman, Bridget A. Knight, Cherian Koshy, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Sara Kumziene-Summerhayes, Dominic Kwiatkowski, Angie Lackenby, Kenneth G. Laing, Temi Lampejo, Cordelia F. Langford, Deborah Lavin, Andrew I. Lawton, Jack Lee, David Lee, Stefanie V. Lensing, Steven Leonard, Lisa J. Levett, Thanh Le-Viet, Jonathan Lewis, Kevin Lewis, Jennifier Liddle, Steven Liggett, Patrick J. Lillie, Michelle M. Lister, Rich Livett, Stephanie Lo, Nicholas J. Loman, Matthew W. Loose, Stavroula F. Louka, Katie F. Loveson, Sarah Lowdon, Hannah Lowe, Helen L. Lowe, Anita O. Lucaci, Catherine Ludden, Jessica Lynch, Ronan A. Lyons, Katrina Lythgoe, Nicholas W. Machin, George MacIntyre-Cockett, Andrew Mack, Ben Macklin, Alasdair Maclean, Emily Macnaughton, Pinglawathee Madona, Mailis Maes, Laurentiu Maftei, Adhyana I.K. Mahanama, Tabitha W. Mahungu, Daniel Mair, Joshua Maksimovic, Cassandra S. Malone, Daniel Maloney, Nikos Manesis, Robin Manley, Anna Mantzouratou, Angela Marchbank, Arun Mariappan, Inigo Martincorena, Rocio T. Martinez Nunez, Alison E. Mather, Patrick Maxwell, Megan Mayhew, Tamyo Mbisa, Clare M. McCann, Shane A. McCarthy, Kathryn McCluggage, Patrick C. McClure, J.T. McCrone, Martin P. McHugh, James P. McKenna, Caoimhe McKerr, Georgina M. McManus, Claire L. McMurray, Claire McMurray, Alan McNally, Lizzie Meadows, Nathan Medd, Oliver Megram, Mirko Menegazzo, Ian Merrick, Stephen L. Michell, Michelle L. Michelsen, Mariyam Mirfenderesky, Jeremy Mirza, Julia Miskelly, Emma Moles-Garcia, Robin J. Moll, Zoltan Molnar, Irene M. Monahan, Matteo Mondani, Siddharth Mookerjee, Christopher Moore, Jonathan Moore, Nathan Moore, Catherine Moore, Helen Morcrette, Sian Morgan, Mari Morgan, Matilde Mori, Arthur Morriss, Samuel Moses, Craig Mower, Peter Muir, Afrida Mukaddas, Florence Munemo, Robert Munn, Abigail Murray, Leanne J. Murray, Darren R. Murray, Manasa Mutingwende, Richard Myers, Eleni Nastouli, Gaia Nebbia, Andrew Nelson, Charlotte Nelson, Sam Nicholls, Jenna Nichols, Roberto Nicodemi, Kyriaki Nomikou, Justin O’Grady, Sarah O'Brien, Mina Odedra, Natasha Ohemeng-Kumi, Karen Oliver, Richard J. Orton, Husam Osman, null xeine O'Toole, Nicole Pacchiarini, Debra Padgett, Andrew J. Page, Emily J. Park, Naomi R. Park, Surendra Parmar, David G. Partridge, David Pascall, Amita Patel, Bindi Patel, Steve Paterson, Brendan A.I. Payne, Sharon J. Peacock, Clare Pearson, Emanuela Pelosi, Benita Percival, Jon Perkins, Malorie Perry, Malte L. Pinckert, Steven Platt, Olga Podplomyk, Manoj Pohare, Marcus Pond, Cassie F. Pope, Radoslaw Poplawski, Jessica Powell, Jennifer Poyner, Liam Prestwood, Anna Price, James R. Price, Jacqui A. Prieto, David T. Pritchard, Sophie J. Prosolek, Georgia Pugh, Monika Pusok, Oliver G. Pybus, Hannah M. Pymont, Michael A. Quail, Joshua Quick, Clara Radulescu, Jayna Raghwani, Manon Ragonnet-Cronin, Lucille Rainbow, Diana Rajan, Shavanthi Rajatileka, Newara A. Ramadan, Andrew Rambaut, John Ramble, Paul A. Randell, Paul Randell, Liz Ratcliffe, Veena Raviprakash, Mohammad Raza, Nicholas M. Redshaw, Sara Rey, Nicola Reynolds, Alex Richter, David L. Robertson, Esther Robinson, Samuel C. Robson, Fiona Rogan, Stefan Rooke, Will Rowe, Sunando Roy, Steven Rudder, Chris Ruis, Steven Rushton, Felicity Ryan, Kordo Saeed, Buddhini Samaraweera, Christine M. Sambles, Roy Sanderson, Theo Sanderson, Fei Sang, Thea Sass, Emily Scher, Garren Scott, Carol Scott, Jasveen Sehmi, Sharif Shaaban, Divya Shah, Jessica Shaw, Ekaterina Shelest, James G. Shepherd, Liz A. Sheridan, Nicola Sheriff, Lesley Shirley, John Sillitoe, Siona Silviera, David A. Simpson, Aditi Singh, Dawn Singleton, Timofey Skvortsov, Tim J. Sloan, Graciela Sluga, Ken Smith, Kim S. Smith, Perminder Smith, Darren L. Smith, Louise Smith, Colin P. Smith, Nikki Smith, Katherine L. Smollett, Luke B. Snell, Thomas Somassa, Joel Southgate, Karla Spellman, Michael H. Spencer Chapman, Lewis G. Spurgin, Moira J. Spyer, Rachael Stanley, William Stanley, Thomas D. Stanton, Igor Starinskij, Joanne Stockton, Susanne Stonehouse, Nathaniel Storey, David J. Studholme, Malur Sudhanva, Emma Swindells, Yusri Taha, Ngee Keong Tan, Julian W. Tang, Miao Tang, Ben E.W. Taylor, Joshua F. Taylor, Sarah Taylor, Ben Temperton, Kate E. Templeton, Claire Thomas, Laura Thomson, Emma C. Thomson, Alicia Thornton, Scott A.J. Thurston, John A. Todd, Rachael Tomb, Lily Tong, Gerry Tonkin-Hill, M. Estee Torok, Jaime M. Tovar-Corona, Amy Trebes, Alexander J. Trotter, Ioulia Tsatsani, Robyn Turnbull, Katherine A. Twohig, Helen Umpleby, Anthony P. Underwood, Edith E. Vamos, Tetyana I. Vasylyeva, Sreenu Vattipally, Gabrielle Vernet, Barry B. Vipond, Erik M. Volz, Sarah Walsh, Dennis Wang, Ben Warne, Joanna Warwick-Dugdale, Elizabeth Wastnedge, Joanne Watkins, Louisa K. Watson, Sheila Waugh, Hermione J. Webster, Danni Weldon, Elaine Westwick, Thomas Whalley, Helen Wheeler, Mark Whitehead, Max Whiteley, Andrew Whitwham, Claudia Wierzbicki, Nicholas J. Willford, Lesley-Anne Williams, Rebecca Williams, Cheryl Williams, Chris Williams, Charlotte A. Williams, Rachel J. Williams, Thomas Williams, Catryn Williams, Kathleen A. Williamson, Eleri Wilson-Davies, Eric Witele, Karen T. Withell, Adam A. Witney, Paige Wolverson, Nick Wong, Trudy Workman, Victoria Wright, Derek W. Wright, Tim Wyatt, Sarah Wyllie, Li Xu-McCrae, Mehmet Yavus, Geraldine Yaze, Corin A. Yeats, Gonzalo Yebra, Wen C. Yew, Gregory R. Young, Jamie Young, Alex E. Zarebski, Peijun Zhang, J. Kenneth Baillie, Malcolm G. Semple, Peter J.M. Openshaw, Gail Carson, Beatrice Alex, Petros Andrikopoulos, Benjamin Bach, Wendy S. Barclay, Debby Bogaert, Kanta Chechi, Graham S. Cooke, Annemarie B. Docherty, Gonçalo dos Santos Correia, Marc-Emmanuel Dumas, Jake Dunning, Tom Fletcher, Christopher A. Green, William Greenhalf, Julian L. Griffin, Rishi K. Gupta, Ewen M. Harrison, Julian A. Hiscox, Antonia Ying Wai Ho, Peter W. Horby, Samreen Ijaz, Saye Khoo, Paul Klenerman, Andrew Law, Matthew R. Lewis, Sonia Liggi, Wei Shen Lim, Lynn Maslen, Laura Merson, Alison M. Meynert, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Michael Olanipekun, Anthonia Osagie, Massimo Palmarini, Carlo Palmieri, William A. Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Nicholas Price, Clark D. Russell, Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu, Caroline J. Sands, Janet T. Scott, Louise Sigfrid, Tom Solomon, Shiranee Sriskandan, David Stuart, Charlotte Summers, Olivia V. Swann, Zoltan Takats, Panteleimon Takis, Richard S. Tedder, A.A. Roger Thompson, Ryan S. Thwaites, Maria Zambon, Hayley Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Fiona Griffiths, Wilna Oosthuyzen, Cara Donegan, Rebecca G. Spencer, Jo Dalton, Michelle Girvan, Egle Saviciute, Stephanie Roberts, Janet Harrison, Laura Marsh, Marie Connor, Sophie Halpin, Clare Jackson, Carrol Gamble, Daniel Plotkin, James Lee, Gary Leeming, Murray Wham, Sara Clohisey, Ross Hendry, James Scott-Brown, Victoria Shaw, Sarah E. McDonald, Seán Keating, Katie A. Ahmed, Jane A. Armstrong, Milton Ashworth, Innocent G. Asiimwe, Siddharth Bakshi, Samantha L. Barlow, Laura Booth, Benjamin Brennan, Katie Bullock, Benjamin W.A. Catterall, Jordan J. Clark, Emily A. Clarke, Sarah Cole, Louise Cooper, Helen Cox, Christopher Davis, Oslem Dincarslan, Chris Dunn, Philip Dyer, Angela Elliott, Anthony Evans, Lorna Finch, Lewis W.S. Fisher, Terry Foster, Isabel Garcia-Dorival, Philip Gunning, Catherine Hartley, Rebecca L. Jensen, Christopher B. Jones, Trevor R. Jones, Shadia Khandaker, Katharine King, Robyn T. Kiy, Chrysa Koukorava, Annette Lake, Suzannah Lant, Diane Latawiec, Lara Lavelle-Langham, Daniella Lefteri, Lauren Lett, Lucia A. Livoti, Maria Mancini, Sarah McDonald, Laurence McEvoy, John McLauchlan, Soeren Metelmann, Nahida S. Miah, Joanna Middleton, Joyce Mitchell, Ellen G. Murphy, Rebekah Penrice-Randal, Jack Pilgrim, Tessa Prince, Will Reynolds, P. Matthew Ridley, Debby Sales, Victoria E. Shaw, Rebecca K. Shears, Benjamin Small, Krishanthi S. Subramaniam, Agnieska Szemiel, Aislynn Taggart, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Jordan Thomas, Erwan Trochu, Libby van Tonder, Eve Wilcock, J. Eunice Zhang, Lisa Flaherty, Nicole Maziere, Emily Cass, Alejandra Doce Carracedo, Nicola Carlucci, Anthony Holmes, Hannah Massey, Lee Murphy, Nicola Wrobel, Sarah McCafferty, Kirstie Morrice, Alan MacLean, Kayode Adeniji, Daniel Agranoff, Ken Agwuh, Dhiraj Ail, Erin L. Aldera, Ana Alegria, Sam Allen, Brian Angus, Abdul Ashish, Dougal Atkinson, Shahedal Bari, Gavin Barlow, Stella Barnass, Nicholas Barrett, Christopher Bassford, Sneha Basude, David Baxter, Michael Beadsworth, Jolanta Bernatoniene, John Berridge, Colin Berry, Nicola Best, Pieter Bothma, David Chadwick, Robin Brittain-Long, Naomi Bulteel, Tom Burden, Andrew Burtenshaw, Vikki Caruth, Duncan Chambler, Nigel Chee, Jenny Child, Srikanth Chukkambotla, Tom Clark, Paul Collini, Catherine Cosgrove, Jason Cupitt, Maria-Teresa Cutino-Moguel, Paul Dark, Chris Dawson, Phil Donnison, Sam Douthwaite, Andrew Drummond, Ingrid DuRand, Ahilanadan Dushianthan, Tristan Dyer, Chi Eziefula, Chrisopher Fegan, Adam Finn, Duncan Fullerton, Sanjeev Garg, Atul Garg, Effrossyni Gkrania-Klotsas, Jo Godden, Arthur Goldsmith, Elaine Hardy, Stuart Hartshorn, Daniel Harvey, Peter Havalda, Daniel B. Hawcutt, Maria Hobrok, Luke Hodgson, Anil Hormis, Michael Jacobs, Susan Jain, Paul Jennings, Agilan Kaliappan, Vidya Kasipandian, Stephen Kegg, Michael Kelsey, Jason Kendall, Caroline Kerrison, Ian Kerslake, Oliver Koch, Gouri Koduri, George Koshy, Shondipon Laha, Steven Laird, Susan Larkin, Tamas Leiner, Patrick Lillie, James Limb, Vanessa Linnett, Jeff Little, Mark Lyttle, Michael MacMahon, Emily MacNaughton, Ravish Mankregod, Huw Masson, Elijah Matovu, Katherine McCullough, Ruth McEwen, Manjula Meda, Gary Mills, Jane Minton, Kavya Mohandas, Quen Mok, James Moon, Elinoor Moore, Patrick Morgan, Craig Morris, Katherine Mortimore, Mbiye Mpenge, Rohinton Mulla, Michael Murphy, Megan Nagel, Thapas Nagarajan, Mark Nelson, Lillian Norris, Matthew K. O'Shea, Igor Otahal, Marlies Ostermann, Mark Pais, Selva Panchatsharam, Danai Papakonstantinou, Hassan Paraiso, Brij Patel, Natalie Pattison, Justin Pepperell, Mark Peters, Mandeep Phull, Stefania Pintus, Jagtur Singh Pooni, Tim Planche, Frank Post, David Price, Rachel Prout, Nikolas Rae, Henrik Reschreiter, Tim Reynolds, Neil Richardson, Mark Roberts, Devender Roberts, Alistair Rose, Guy Rousseau, Bobby Ruge, Brendan Ryan, Taranprit Saluja, Matthias L. Schmid, Aarti Shah, Prad Shanmuga, Anil Sharma, Anna Shawcross, Jeremy Sizer, Manu Shankar-Hari, Richard Smith, Catherine Snelson, Nick Spittle, Nikki Staines, Tom Stambach, Richard Stewart, Pradeep Subudhi, Tamas Szakmany, Kate Tatham, Jo Thomas, Chris Thompson, Robert Thompson, Ascanio Tridente, Darell Tupper-Carey, Mary Twagira, Nick Vallotton, Rama Vancheeswaran, Lisa Vincent-Smith, Shico Visuvanathan, Alan Vuylsteke, Sam Waddy, Rachel Wake, Andrew Walden, Ingeborg Welters, Tony Whitehouse, Paul Whittaker, Ashley Whittington, Padmasayee Papineni, Meme Wijesinghe, Martin Williams, Lawrence Wilson, Stephen Winchester, Martin Wiselka, Adam Wolverson, Daniel G. Wootton, Andrew Workman, Bryan Yates, Peter Young, UK Research and Innovation, Division of Computational and Systems Medicine, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK, Imperial College London - National Heart and Lung Institute, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository

Subjects
Molecular biology, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), Science, Immunology, Biology, Epitope, Article, A900, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Data sequences, Immune system, COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium, Virology, Cytotoxic T cell, [SDV.BBM.BC]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Biochemistry, Molecular Biology/Biochemistry [q-bio.BM], Immune response, Receptor, ISARIC4C Investigators, 030304 developmental biology, 0303 health sciences, Multidisciplinary, C100, A300, C900, 3. Good health, Phylogenetics, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Humoral immunity, [SDV.IMM]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Immunology, CD8
Abstract

We identify amino acid variants within dominant SARS-CoV-2 T-cell epitopes by interrogating global sequence data. Several variants within nucleocapsid and ORF3a epitopes have arisen independently in multiple lineages and result in loss of recognition by epitope-specific T-cells assessed by IFN-γ and cytotoxic killing assays. Complete loss of T-cell responsiveness was seen due to Q213K in the A*01:01-restricted CD8+ ORF3a epitope FTSDYYQLY207-215, due to P13L, P13S and P13T in the B*27:05-restricted CD8+ nucleocapsid epitope QRNAPRITF9-17, and due to T362I and P365S in the A*03:01/A*11:01-restricted CD8+ nucleocapsid epitope KTFPPTEPK361-369. CD8+ T-cell lines unable to recognise variant epitopes have diverse T-cell receptor repertoires. These data demonstrate the potential for T-cell evasion and highlight the need for ongoing surveillance for variants capable of escaping T-cell as well as humoral immunity., Graphical Abstract

Published
2021

3. Characterisation of in-hospital complications associated with COVID-19 using the ISARIC WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK: a prospective, multicentre cohort study

Author

Thomas M Drake, Aya M Riad, Cameron J Fairfield, Conor Egan, Stephen R Knight, Riinu Pius, Hayley E Hardwick, Lisa Norman, Catherine A Shaw, Kenneth A McLean, A A Roger Thompson, Antonia Ho, Olivia V Swann, Michael Sullivan, Felipe Soares, Karl A Holden, Laura Merson, Daniel Plotkin, Louise Sigfrid, Thushan I de Silva, Michelle Girvan, Clare Jackson, Clark D Russell, Jake Dunning, Tom Solomon, Gail Carson, Piero Olliaro, Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam, Lance Turtle, Annemarie B Docherty, Peter JM Openshaw, J Kenneth Baillie, Ewen M Harrison, Malcolm G Semple, Beatrice Alex, Benjamin Bach, Wendy S Barclay, Debby Bogaert, Meera Chand, Graham S Cooke, Ana da Silva Filipe, Tom Fletcher, Christopher A Green, Julian A Hiscox, Antonia YW Ho, Peter W Horby, Samreen Ijaz, Say Khoo, Paul Klenerman, Andrew Law, Wei Shen Lim, Alexander J Mentzer, Alison M Meynert, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Shona C Moore, Massimo Palmarini, William A Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Nicholas Price, Andrew Rambaut, David L Robertson, Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu, Janet T Scott, Thushan de Silva, Shiranee Sriskandan, David Stuart, Charlotte Summers, Richard S Tedder, Emma C Thomson, AA Roger Thompson, Ryan S Thwaites, Lance CW Turtle, Rishi K Gupta, Carlo Palmieri, Maria Zambon, Marc-Emmanuel Dumas, Julian Griffin, Zoltan Takats, Kanta Chechi, Petros Andrikopoulos, Anthonia Osagie, Michael Olanipekun, Sonia Liggi, Matthew Lewis, Gonçalo dos Santos Correia, Caroline Sands, Panteleimon Takis, Lynn Maslen, Hayley Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Fiona Griffiths, Wilna Oosthuyzen, Kenneth A Mclean, Derek Murphy, Jo Dalton, Egle Saviciute, Stephanie Roberts, Janet Harrison, Laura Marsh, Marie Connor, Sophie Halpin, Carrol Gamble, James Lee, Gary Leeming, Murray Wham, Sara Clohisey, Ross Hendry, James Scott-Brown, William Greenhalf, Victoria Shaw, Sarah E McDonald, Seán Keating, Katie A. Ahmed, Jane A Armstrong, Milton Ashworth, Innocent G Asiimwe, Siddharth Bakshi, Samantha L Barlow, Laura Booth, Benjamin Brennan, Katie Bullock, Benjamin WA Catterall, Jordan J Clark, Emily A Clarke, Sarah Cole, Louise Cooper, Helen Cox, Christopher Davis, Oslem Dincarslan, Chris Dunn, Philip Dyer, Angela Elliott, Anthony Evans, Lorna Finch, Lewis WS Fisher, Terry Foster, Isabel Garcia-Dorival, Philip Gunning, Catherine Hartley, Rebecca L Jensen, Christopher B Jones, Trevor R Jones, Shadia Khandaker, Katharine King, Robyn T. Kiy, Chrysa Koukorava, Annette Lake, Suzannah Lant, Diane Latawiec, Lara Lavelle-Langham, Daniella Lefteri, Lauren Lett, Lucia A Livoti, Maria Mancini, Sarah McDonald, Laurence McEvoy, John McLauchlan, Soeren Metelmann, Nahida S Miah, Joanna Middleton, Joyce Mitchell, Ellen G Murphy, Rebekah Penrice-Randal, Jack Pilgrim, Tessa Prince, Will Reynolds, P. Matthew Ridley, Debby Sales, Victoria E Shaw, Rebecca K Shears, Benjamin Small, Krishanthi S Subramaniam, Agnieska Szemiel, Aislynn Taggart, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Jordan Thomas, Erwan Trochu, Libby van Tonder, Eve Wilcock, J. Eunice Zhang, Lisa Flaherty, Nicole Maziere, Emily Cass, Alejandra Doce Carracedo, Nicola Carlucci, Anthony Holmes, Hannah Massey, Lee Murphy, Nicola Wrobel, Sarah McCafferty, Kirstie Morrice, Alan MacLean, Kayode Adeniji, Daniel Agranoff, Ken Agwuh, Dhiraj Ail, Erin L. Aldera, Ana Alegria, Brian Angus, Abdul Ashish, Dougal Atkinson, Shahedal Bari, Gavin Barlow, Stella Barnass, Nicholas Barrett, Christopher Bassford, Sneha Basude, David Baxter, Michael Beadsworth, Jolanta Bernatoniene, John Berridge, Nicola Best, Pieter Bothma, David Chadwick, Robin Brittain-Long, Naomi Bulteel, Tom Burden, Andrew Burtenshaw, Vikki Caruth, Duncan Chambler, Nigel Chee, Jenny Child, Srikanth Chukkambotla, Tom Clark, Paul Collini, Catherine Cosgrove, Jason Cupitt, Maria-Teresa Cutino-Moguel, Paul Dark, Chris Dawson, Samir Dervisevic, Phil Donnison, Sam Douthwaite, Andrew Drummond, Ingrid DuRand, Ahilanadan Dushianthan, Tristan Dyer, Cariad Evans, Chi Eziefula, Chrisopher Fegan, Adam Finn, Duncan Fullerton, Sanjeev Garg, Atul Garg, Effrossyni Gkrania-Klotsas, Jo Godden, Arthur Goldsmith, Clive Graham, Elaine Hardy, Stuart Hartshorn, Daniel Harvey, Peter Havalda, Daniel B Hawcutt, Maria Hobrok, Luke Hodgson, Anil Hormis, Michael Jacobs, Susan Jain, Paul Jennings, Agilan Kaliappan, Vidya Kasipandian, Stephen Kegg, Michael Kelsey, Jason Kendall, Caroline Kerrison, Ian Kerslake, Oliver Koch, Gouri Koduri, George Koshy, Shondipon Laha, Steven Laird, Susan Larkin, Tamas Leiner, Patrick Lillie, James Limb, Vanessa Linnett, Jeff Little, Mark Lyttle, Michael MacMahon, Emily MacNaughton, Ravish Mankregod, Huw Masson, Elijah Matovu, Katherine McCullough, Ruth McEwen, Manjula Meda, Gary Mills, Jane Minton, Mariyam Mirfenderesky, Kavya Mohandas, Quen Mok, James Moon, Elinoor Moore, Patrick Morgan, Craig Morris, Katherine Mortimore, Samuel Moses, Mbiye Mpenge, Rohinton Mulla, Michael Murphy, Megan Nagel, Thapas Nagarajan, Mark Nelson, Lillian Norris, Matthew K. O'Shea, Igor Otahal, Marlies Ostermann, Mark Pais, Selva Panchatsharam, Danai Papakonstantinou, Hassan Paraiso, Brij Patel, Natalie Pattison, Justin Pepperell, Mark Peters, Mandeep Phull, Stefania Pintus, Jagtur Singh Pooni, Frank Post, David Price, Rachel Prout, Nikolas Rae, Henrik Reschreiter, Tim Reynolds, Neil Richardson, Mark Roberts, Devender Roberts, Alistair Rose, Guy Rousseau, Brendan Ryan, Taranprit Saluja, Aarti Shah, Prad Shanmuga, Anil Sharma, Anna Shawcross, Jeremy Sizer, Manu Shankar-Hari, Richard Smith, Catherine Snelson, Nick Spittle, Nikki Staines, Tom Stambach, Richard Stewart, Pradeep Subudhi, Tamas Szakmany, Kate Tatham, Jo Thomas, Chris Thompson, Robert Thompson, Ascanio Tridente, Darell Tupper-Carey, Mary Twagira, Nick Vallotton, Rama Vancheeswaran, Lisa Vincent-Smith, Shico Visuvanathan, Alan Vuylsteke, Sam Waddy, Rachel Wake, Andrew Walden, Ingeborg Welters, Tony Whitehouse, Paul Whittaker, Ashley Whittington, Padmasayee Papineni, Meme Wijesinghe, Martin Williams, Lawrence Wilson, Sarah Sarah, Stephen Winchester, Martin Wiselka, Adam Wolverson, Daniel G Wootton, Andrew Workman, Bryan Yates, Peter Young, investigators, ISARIC4C, Division of Computational and Systems Medicine, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK, Imperial College London - National Heart and Lung Institute, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of California, National Institute for Health Research, and UKRI MRC COVID-19 Rapid Response Call

Subjects
MESH: United Kingdom, Male, Pediatrics, Respiratory Tract Diseases, MESH: Comorbidity, MESH: Hospitalization, Comorbidity, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, MESH: World Health Organization, MESH: Clinical Protocols, 0302 clinical medicine, [SDV.MHEP.MI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Infectious diseases, MESH: COVID-19, Medicine, Hospital Mortality, Prospective Studies, 030212 general & internal medicine, ISARIC4C investigators, Prospective cohort study, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, MESH: Aged, United Kingdom/epidemiology, Incidence (epidemiology), Clinical Protocols/standards, Age Factors, Articles, General Medicine, MESH: Hospitals, Hospitals, 3. Good health, Hospitalization, Cardiovascular Diseases, [SDV.MP.VIR]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Microbiology and Parasitology/Virology, Cohort, COVID-19/complications, [SDV.IMM]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Immunology, Female, Cohort study, medicine.medical_specialty, MEDLINE, World Health Organization, MESH: Nervous System Diseases, 03 medical and health sciences, General & Internal Medicine, Humans, MESH: SARS-CoV-2, MESH: Hospital Mortality, Survival analysis, Aged, MESH: Age Factors, MESH: Humans, SARS-CoV-2, business.industry, MESH: Cardiovascular Diseases, COVID-19, medicine.disease, MESH: Male, MESH: Prospective Studies, MESH: Respiratory Tract Diseases, Nervous System Diseases, business, Complication, MESH: Female
Abstract

BackgroundCOVID-19 is a multi-system disease and patients who survive may experience in-hospital complications. These complications are likely to have important short and long-term consequences for patients, healthcare utilisation, healthcare system preparedness, and society amidst the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Our aim was to characterise the extent and impact of COVID-19 complications, particularly in those who survive using the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK (CCP-UK).MethodsA multicentre, prospective cohort study in 302 UK healthcare facilities of adults hospitalised with COVID-19 between 17th January and 4th August 2020. Complications were defined as organ specific diagnoses occurring alone or in addition to any hallmarks of COVID-19 illness. Outcomes included death, critical care use, and ability to self-care at hospital discharge. We used multilevel logistic regression and survival models to explore associations between these outcomes and in-hospital complications, age, and pre-existing comorbidities.ResultsOf patients admitted to hospital for management of COVID-19, 49.7% (36 367/73 197) experienced at least one complication. The mean age of our cohort was 71.1 years old (SD 18.7), included more males (56.0%, 41 025/73 ) with 81.0% (59 289/73 197) of patients having at least one comorbidity. Males over 60 were most likely to experience a complication (60 y and over, 54.5% [16 579/30 416] in males and 48.2% [11 707/24 288] in females; Under 60 y, 48.8% [5179/10 609] in males, 36.6% [2814/7689] in females). Renal (24.3%, 17 752/73 197), complex respiratory 18.4% (13 486/73 197), and systemic (16.3%, 11 895/73 197) complications were most frequent. Cardiovascular (12.3%, 8973/73 197), neurological (4.3%, 3115/73 197), and gastrointestinal/liver (0.8%, 7901/73 197) complications were also reported. The presence of any complication was associated with significantly worse survival (adjusted HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.64 to 1.84) and increased admission to critical care (adjusted OR 7.25, 95% CI 6.83 to 7.69). Reduced ability to self-care at discharge was significantly greater in patients who experienced a complication (adjusted OR 2.42, 95% CI 2.31 to 2.54) and was greatest in those who experienced neurological complications (adjusted OR 4.39, 95% CI 3.95 to 4.89). ConclusionsComplications and worse functional outcomes in patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19 are high, even in young, previously healthy individuals. Acute complications are associated with reduced ability to self-care at discharge, with neurological complications being associated with the worst functional outcomes. COVID-19 complications are likely to cause significant strain on health and social care in the coming years. These data will help in the design and provision of services aimed at the post-hospitalisation care of patients with COVID-19.

Published
2021

4. Changes in in-hospital mortality in the first wave of COVID-19: a multicentre prospective observational cohort study using the WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK

Author

Annemarie B Docherty, Rachel H Mulholland, Nazir I Lone, Christopher P Cheyne, Daniela De Angelis, Karla Diaz-Ordaz, Cara Donegan, Thomas M Drake, Jake Dunning, Sebastian Funk, Marta García-Fiñana, Michelle Girvan, Hayley E Hardwick, Janet Harrison, Antonia Ho, David M Hughes, Ruth H Keogh, Peter D Kirwan, Gary Leeming, Jonathan S Nguyen Van-Tam, Riinu Pius, Clark D Russell, Rebecca G Spencer, Brian DM Tom, Lance Turtle, Peter JM Openshaw, J Kenneth Baillie, Ewen M Harrison, Malcolm G Semple, Gail Carson, Beatrice Alex, Benjamin Bach, Wendy S Barclay, Debby Bogaert, Meera Chand, Graham S Cooke, Ana da Silva Filipe, Tom Fletcher, Christopher A Green, Julian A Hiscox, Antonia YW Ho, Peter W Horby, Samreen Ijaz, Say Khoo, Paul Klenerman, Andrew Law, Wei Shen Lim, Alexander J Mentzer, Laura Merson, Alison M Meynert, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Shona C Moore, Massimo Palmarini, William A Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Nicholas Price, Andrew Rambaut, David L Robertson, Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu, Janet T Scott, Thushan de Silva, Louise Sigfrid, Tom Solomon, Shiranee Sriskandan, David Stuart, Charlotte Summers, Richard S Tedder, Emma C Thomson, AA Roger Thompson, Ryan S Thwaites, Lance CW Turtle, Rishi K Gupta, Carlo Palmieri, Maria Zambon, Hayley Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Ruth Lyons, Fiona Griffiths, Wilna Oosthuyzen, Lisa Norman, Cameron J Fairfield, Stephen R Knight, Kenneth A Mclean, Derek Murphy, Catherine A Shaw, Jo Dalton, Egle Saviciute, Stephanie Roberts, Laura Marsh, Marie Connor, Sophie Halpin, Clare Jackson, Carrol Gamble, Murray Wham, Sara Clohisey, Ross Hendry, James Scott-Brown, William Greenhalf, Victoria Shaw, Sarah E McDonald, Seán Keating, Katie A Ahmed, Jane A Armstrong, Milton Ashworth, Innocent G Asiimwe, Siddharth Bakshi, Samantha L Barlow, Laura Booth, Benjamin Brennan, Katie Bullock, Benjamin WA Catterall, Jordan J Clark, Emily A Clarke, Sarah Cole, Louise Cooper, Helen Cox, Christopher Davis, Oslem Dincarslan, Chris Dunn, Philip Dyer, Angela Elliott, Anthony Evans, Lorna Finch, Lewis WS Fisher, Terry Foster, Isabel Garcia-Dorival, Philip Gunning, Catherine Hartley, Rebecca L Jensen, Christopher B Jones, Trevor R Jones, Shadia Khandaker, Katharine King, Robyn T Kiy, Chrysa Koukorava, Annette Lake, Suzannah Lant, Diane Latawiec, Lara Lavelle-Langham, Daniella Lefteri, Lauren Lett, Lucia A Livoti, Maria Mancini, Sarah McDonald, Laurence McEvoy, John McLauchlan, Soeren Metelmann, Nahida S Miah, Joanna Middleton, Joyce Mitchell, Ellen G Murphy, Rebekah Penrice-Randal, Jack Pilgrim, Tessa Prince, Will Reynolds, P. Matthew Ridley, Debby Sales, Victoria E Shaw, Rebecca K Shears, Benjamin Small, Krishanthi S Subramaniam, Agnieska Szemiel, Aislynn Taggart, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Jordan Thomas, Erwan Trochu, Libby van Tonder, Eve Wilcock, J. Eunice Zhang, Lisa Flaherty, Nicole Maziere, Emily Cass, Alejandra Doce Carracedo, Nicola Carlucci, Anthony Holmes, Hannah Massey, Lee Murphy, Nicola Wrobel, Sarah McCafferty, Kirstie Morrice, Alan MacLean, Kayode Adeniji, Daniel Agranoff, Ken Agwuh, Dhiraj Ail, Erin L Aldera, Ana Alegria, Brian Angus, Abdul Ashish, Dougal Atkinson, Shahedal Bari, Gavin Barlow, Stella Barnass, Nicholas Barrett, Christopher Bassford, Sneha Basude, David Baxter, Michael Beadsworth, Jolanta Bernatoniene, John Berridge, Nicola Best, Pieter Bothma, David Chadwick, Robin Brittain-Long, Naomi Bulteel, Tom Burden, Andrew Burtenshaw, Vikki Caruth, Duncan Chambler, Nigel Chee, Jenny Child, Srikanth Chukkambotla, Tom Clark, Paul Collini, Catherine Cosgrove, Jason Cupitt, Maria-Teresa Cutino-Moguel, Paul Dark, Chris Dawson, Samir Dervisevic, Phil Donnison, Sam Douthwaite, Ingrid DuRand, Ahilanadan Dushianthan, Tristan Dyer, Cariad Evans, Chi Eziefula, Chrisopher Fegan, Adam Finn, Duncan Fullerton, Sanjeev Garg, Atul Garg, Effrossyni Gkrania-Klotsas, Jo Godden, Arthur Goldsmith, Clive Graham, Elaine Hardy, Stuart Hartshorn, Daniel Harvey, Peter Havalda, Daniel B Hawcutt, Maria Hobrok, Luke Hodgson, Anil Hormis, Michael Jacobs, Susan Jain, Paul Jennings, Agilan Kaliappan, Vidya Kasipandian, Stephen Kegg, Michael Kelsey, Jason Kendall, Caroline Kerrison, Ian Kerslake, Oliver Koch, Gouri Koduri, George Koshy, Shondipon Laha, Steven Laird, Susan Larkin, Tamas Leiner, Patrick Lillie, James Limb, Vanessa Linnett, Jeff Little, Mark Lyttle, Michael MacMahon, Emily MacNaughton, Ravish Mankregod, Huw Masson, Elijah Matovu, Katherine McCullough, Ruth McEwen, Manjula Meda, Gary Mills, Jane Minton, Mariyam Mirfenderesky, Kavya Mohandas, Quen Mok, James Moon, Elinoor Moore, Patrick Morgan, Craig Morris, Katherine Mortimore, Samuel Moses, Mbiye Mpenge, Rohinton Mulla, Michael Murphy, Megan Nagel, Thapas Nagarajan, Mark Nelson, Matthew K O'Shea, Igor Otahal, Marlies Ostermann, Mark Pais, Selva Panchatsharam, Danai Papakonstantinou, Hassan Paraiso, Brij Patel, Natalie Pattison, Justin Pepperell, Mark Peters, Mandeep Phull, Stefania Pintus, Jagtur Singh Pooni, Frank Post, David Price, Rachel Prout, Nikolas Rae, Henrik Reschreiter, Tim Reynolds, Neil Richardson, Mark Roberts, Devender Roberts, Alistair Rose, Guy Rousseau, Brendan Ryan, Taranprit Saluja, Aarti Shah, Prad Shanmuga, Anil Sharma, Anna Shawcross, Jeremy Sizer, Manu Shankar-Hari, Richard Smith, Catherine Snelson, Nick Spittle, Nikki Staines, Tom Stambach, Richard Stewart, Pradeep Subudhi, Tamas Szakmany, Kate Tatham, Jo Thomas, Chris Thompson, Robert Thompson, Ascanio Tridente, Darell Tupper-Carey, Mary Twagira, Andrew Ustianowski, Nick Vallotton, Lisa Vincent-Smith, Shico Visuvanathan, Alan Vuylsteke, Sam Waddy, Rachel Wake, Andrew Walden, Ingeborg Welters, Tony Whitehouse, Paul Whittaker, Ashley Whittington, Padmasayee Papineni, Meme Wijesinghe, Martin Williams, Lawrence Wilson, Sarah Sarah, Stephen Winchester, Martin Wiselka, Adam Wolverson, Daniel G Wooton, Andrew Workman, Bryan Yates, Peter Young, Kirwan, Peter D [0000-0001-6904-0500], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust- BRC Funding, GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals, National Institute for Health Research, UKRI MRC COVID-19 Rapid Response Call, and UK Research and Innovation

Subjects
Male, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, medicine.medical_specialty, World Health Organization, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, Cohort Studies, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Clinical Protocols, Internal medicine, Severity of illness, Pandemic, Risk of mortality, medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Hospital Mortality, Prospective Studies, Prospective cohort study, ISARIC4C Investigators, Aged, COVID-19/epidemiology, Aged, 80 and over, business.industry, United Kingdom/epidemiology, Mortality rate, Confounding, COVID-19, 1103 Clinical Sciences, Odds ratio, Articles, Middle Aged, United Kingdom, 030228 respiratory system, Female, business, Cohort study, 1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
Abstract

Background\ud \ud Mortality rates in hospitalised patients with COVID-19 in the UK appeared to decline during the first wave of the pandemic. We aimed to quantify potential drivers of this change and identify groups of patients who remain at high risk of dying in hospital.\ud \ud \ud Methods\ud \ud In this multicentre prospective observational cohort study, the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK recruited a prospective cohort of patients with COVID-19 admitted to 247 acute hospitals in England, Scotland, and Wales during the first wave of the pandemic (between March 9 and Aug 2, 2020). We included all patients aged 18 years and older with clinical signs and symptoms of COVID-19 or confirmed COVID-19 (by RT-PCR test) from assumed community-acquired infection. We did a three-way decomposition mediation analysis using natural effects models to explore associations between week of admission and in-hospital mortality, adjusting for confounders (demographics, comorbidities, and severity of illness) and quantifying potential mediators (level of respiratory support and steroid treatment). The primary outcome was weekly in-hospital mortality at 28 days, defined as the proportion of patients who had died within 28 days of admission of all patients admitted in the observed week, and it was assessed in all patients with an outcome. This study is registered with the ISRCTN Registry, ISRCTN66726260.\ud \ud \ud Findings\ud \ud Between March 9, and Aug 2, 2020, we recruited 80 713 patients, of whom 63 972 were eligible and included in the study. Unadjusted weekly in-hospital mortality declined from 32·3% (95% CI 31·8–32·7) in March 9 to April 26, 2020, to 16·4% (15·0–17·8) in June 15 to Aug 2, 2020. Reductions in mortality were observed in all age groups, in all ethnic groups, for both sexes, and in patients with and without comorbidities. After adjustment, there was a 32% reduction in the risk of mortality per 7-week period (odds ratio [OR] 0·68 [95% CI 0·65–0·71]). The higher proportions of patients with severe disease and comorbidities earlier in the first wave (March and April) than in June and July accounted for 10·2% of this reduction. The use of respiratory support changed during the first wave, with gradually increased use of non-invasive ventilation over the first wave. Changes in respiratory support and use of steroids accounted for 22·2%, OR 0·95 (0·94–0·95) of the reduction in in-hospital mortality.\ud \ud \ud Interpretation\ud \ud The reduction in in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19 during the first wave in the UK was partly accounted for by changes in the case-mix and illness severity. A significant reduction in in-hospital mortality was associated with differences in respiratory support and critical care use, which could partly reflect accrual of clinical knowledge. The remaining improvement in in-hospital mortality is not explained by these factors, and could be associated with changes in community behaviour, inoculum dose, and hospital capacity strain.\ud \ud \ud Funding\ud \ud National Institute for Health Research and the Medical Research Council.

Published
2021

5. Development and validation of the ISARIC 4C deterioration model for adults hospitalised with COVID-19: a prospective cohort study

Author

Rishi K Gupta, Ewen M Harrison, Antonia Ho, Annemarie B Docherty, Stephen R Knight, Maarten van Smeden, Ibrahim Abubakar, Marc Lipman, Matteo Quartagno, Riinu Pius, Iain Buchan, Gail Carson, Thomas M Drake, Jake Dunning, Cameron J Fairfield, Carrol Gamble, Christopher A Green, Sophie Halpin, Hayley E Hardwick, Karl A Holden, Peter W Horby, Clare Jackson, Kenneth A Mclean, Laura Merson, Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-Tam, Lisa Norman, Piero L Olliaro, Mark G Pritchard, Clark D Russell, James Scott-Brown, Catherine A Shaw, Aziz Sheikh, Tom Solomon, Cathie Sudlow, Olivia V Swann, Lance Turtle, Peter J M Openshaw, J Kenneth Baillie, Malcolm G Semple, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Peter JM Openshaw, Beatrice Alex, Benjamin Bach, Wendy S Barclay, Debby Bogaert, Meera Chand, Graham S Cooke, Ana da Silva Filipe, Tom Fletcher, Julian A Hiscox, Antonia Ying Wai Ho, Samreen Ijaz, Saye Khoo, Paul Klenerman, Andrew Law, Wei Shen Lim, Alexander J Mentzer, Alison M Meynert, Shona C Moore, Massimo Palmarini, William A Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Nicholas Price, Andrew Rambaut, David L Robertson, Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu, Janet T Scott, Thushan de Silva, Louise Sigfrid, Shiranee Sriskandan, David Stuart, Charlotte Summers, Richard S Tedder, Emma C Thomson, AA Roger Thompson, Ryan S Thwaites, Lance CW Turtle, Maria Zambon, Hayley Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Ruth Lyons, Fiona Griffiths, Wilna Oosthuyzen, Tom M Drake, Stephen Knight, Derek Murphy, Jo Dalton, James Lee, Daniel Plotkin, Michelle Girvan, Scott Mullaney, Claire Petersen, Egle Saviciute, Stephanie Roberts, Janet Harrison, Laura Marsh, Marie Connor, Gary Leeming, Murray Wham, Sara Clohisey, Ross Hendry, William Greenhalf, Victoria Shaw, Sarah McDonald, Seán Keating, Katie A. Ahmed, Jane A Armstrong, Milton Ashworth, Innocent G Asiimwe, Siddharth Bakshi, Samantha L Barlow, Laura Booth, Benjamin Brennan, Katie Bullock, Benjamin WA Catterall, Jordan J Clark, Emily A Clarke, Sarah Cole, Louise Cooper, Helen Cox, Christopher Davis, Oslem Dincarslan, Chris Dunn, Philip Dyer, Angela Elliott, Anthony Evans, Lorna Finch, Lewis WS Fisher, Terry Foster, Isabel Garcia-Dorival, Willliam Greenhalf, Philip Gunning, Catherine Hartley, Rebecca L Jensen, Christopher B Jones, Trevor R Jones, Shadia Khandaker, Katharine King, Robyn T. Kiy, Chrysa Koukorava, Annette Lake, Suzannah Lant, Diane Latawiec, L Lavelle-Langham, Daniella Lefteri, Lauren Lett, Lucia A Livoti, Maria Mancini, Laurence McEvoy, John McLauchlan, Soeren Metelmann, Nahida S Miah, Joanna Middleton, Joyce Mitchell, Ellen G Murphy, Rebekah Penrice-Randal, Jack Pilgrim, Tessa Prince, Will Reynolds, P. Matthew Ridley, Debby Sales, Victoria E Shaw, Rebecca K Shears, Benjamin Small, Krishanthi S Subramaniam, Agnieska Szemiel, Aislynn Taggart, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Jordan Thomas, Erwan Trochu, Libby van Tonder, Eve Wilcock, J. Eunice Zhang, Kayode Adeniji, Daniel Agranoff, Ken Agwuh, Dhiraj Ail, Ana Alegria, Brian Angus, Abdul Ashish, Dougal Atkinson, Shahedal Bari, Gavin Barlow, Stella Barnass, Nicholas Barrett, Christopher Bassford, David Baxter, Michael Beadsworth, Jolanta Bernatoniene, John Berridge, Nicola Best, Pieter Bothma, David Brealey, Robin Brittain-Long, Naomi Bulteel, Tom Burden, Andrew Burtenshaw, Vikki Caruth, David Chadwick, Duncan Chambler, Nigel Chee, Jenny Child, Srikanth Chukkambotla, Tom Clark, Paul Collini, Catherine Cosgrove, Jason Cupitt, Maria-Teresa Cutino-Moguel, Paul Dark, Chris Dawson, Samir Dervisevic, Phil Donnison, Sam Douthwaite, Ingrid DuRand, Ahilanadan Dushianthan, Tristan Dyer, Cariad Evans, Chi Eziefula, Chrisopher Fegan, Adam Finn, Duncan Fullerton, Sanjeev Garg, Atul Garg, Effrossyni Gkrania-Klotsas, Jo Godden, Arthur Goldsmith, Clive Graham, Elaine Hardy, Stuart Hartshorn, Daniel Harvey, Peter Havalda, Daniel B Hawcutt, Maria Hobrok, Luke Hodgson, Anil Hormis, Michael Jacobs, Susan Jain, Paul Jennings, Agilan Kaliappan, Vidya Kasipandian, Stephen Kegg, Michael Kelsey, Jason Kendall, Caroline Kerrison, Ian Kerslake, Oliver Koch, Gouri Koduri, George Koshy, Shondipon Laha, Steven Laird, Susan Larkin, Tamas Leiner, Patrick Lillie, James Limb, Vanessa Linnett, Jeff Little, Michael MacMahon, Emily MacNaughton, Ravish Mankregod, Huw Masson, Elijah Matovu, Katherine McCullough, Ruth McEwen, Manjula Meda, Gary Mills, Jane Minton, Mariyam Mirfenderesky, Kavya Mohandas, Quen Mok, James Moon, Elinoor Moore, Patrick Morgan, Craig Morris, Katherine Mortimore, Samuel Moses, Mbiye Mpenge, Rohinton Mulla, Michael Murphy, Megan Nagel, Thapas Nagarajan, Mark Nelson, Igor Otahal, Mark Pais, Selva Panchatsharam, Hassan Paraiso, Brij Patel, Natalie Pattison, Justin Pepperell, Mark Peters, Mandeep Phull, Stefania Pintus, Jagtur Singh Pooni, Frank Post, David Price, Rachel Prout, Nikolas Rae, Henrik Reschreiter, Tim Reynolds, Neil Richardson, Mark Roberts, Devender Roberts, Alistair Rose, Guy Rousseau, Brendan Ryan, Taranprit Saluja, Aarti Shah, Prad Shanmuga, Anil Sharma, Anna Shawcross, Jeremy Sizer, Manu Shankar-Hari, Richard Smith, Catherine Snelson, Nick Spittle, Nikki Staines, Tom Stambach, Richard Stewart, Pradeep Subudhi, Tamas Szakmany, Kate Tatham, Jo Thomas, Chris Thompson, Robert Thompson, Ascanio Tridente, Darell Tupper-Carey, Mary Twagira, Andrew Ustianowski, Nick Vallotton, Lisa Vincent-Smith, Shico Visuvanathan, Alan Vuylsteke, Sam Waddy, Rachel Wake, Andrew Walden, Ingeborg Welters, Tony Whitehouse, Paul Whittaker, Ashley Whittington, Meme Wijesinghe, Martin Williams, Lawrence Wilson, Sarah Wilson, Stephen Winchester, Martin Wiselka, Adam Wolverson, Daniel G Wooton, Andrew Workman, Bryan Yates, Peter Young, National Institute for Health Research, Commission of the European Communities, Medical Research Council (MRC), UKRI MRC COVID-19 Rapid Response Call, UK Research and Innovation, Gupta, Rishi K [0000-0002-6257-1285], Lipman, Marc [0000-0001-7501-4448], Buchan, Iain [0000-0003-3392-1650], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository

Subjects
Male, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, medicine.medical_specialty, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Critical Care, Clinical Decision-Making, MEDLINE, Logistic regression, ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/humanitarian_conflict_response_institute, Severity of Illness Index, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Patient Admission, Clinical Decision Rules, Severity of illness, Medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Hospital Mortality, Prospective Studies, Prospective cohort study, ISARIC4C Investigators, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Clinical Deterioration, business.industry, SARS-CoV-2, Reproducibility of Results, COVID-19, 1103 Clinical Sciences, Articles, Middle Aged, Medical research, Prognosis, Respiration, Artificial, United Kingdom, Intensive Care Units, Logistic Models, 030228 respiratory system, Preparedness, Emergency medicine, Cohort, Humanitarian and Conflict Response Institute, Female, business, 1199 Other Medical and Health Sciences
Abstract

Background\ud \ud Prognostic models to predict the risk of clinical deterioration in acute COVID-19 cases are urgently required to inform clinical management decisions.\ud \ud \ud Methods\ud \ud We developed and validated a multivariable logistic regression model for in-hospital clinical deterioration (defined as any requirement of ventilatory support or critical care, or death) among consecutively hospitalised adults with highly suspected or confirmed COVID-19 who were prospectively recruited to the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium (ISARIC4C) study across 260 hospitals in England, Scotland, and Wales. Candidate predictors that were specified a priori were considered for inclusion in the model on the basis of previous prognostic scores and emerging literature describing routinely measured biomarkers associated with COVID-19 prognosis. We used internal–external cross-validation to evaluate discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility across eight National Health Service (NHS) regions in the development cohort. We further validated the final model in held-out data from an additional NHS region (London).\ud \ud \ud Findings\ud \ud 74 944 participants (recruited between Feb 6 and Aug 26, 2020) were included, of whom 31 924 (43·2%) of 73 948 with available outcomes met the composite clinical deterioration outcome. In internal–external cross-validation in the development cohort of 66 705 participants, the selected model (comprising 11 predictors routinely measured at the point of hospital admission) showed consistent discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility across all eight NHS regions. In held-out data from London (n=8239), the model showed a similarly consistent performance (C-statistic 0·77 [95% CI 0·76 to 0·78]; calibration-in-the-large 0·00 [–0·05 to 0·05]); calibration slope 0·96 [0·91 to 1·01]), and greater net benefit than any other reproducible prognostic model.\ud \ud \ud Interpretation\ud \ud The 4C Deterioration model has strong potential for clinical utility and generalisability to predict clinical deterioration and inform decision making among adults hospitalised with COVID-19.\ud \ud \ud Funding\ud \ud National Institute for Health Research (NIHR), UK Medical Research Council, Wellcome Trust, Department for International Development, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, EU Platform for European Preparedness Against (Re-)emerging Epidemics, NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool, NIHR HPRU in Respiratory Infections at Imperial College London.

Published
2021

6. Prospective observational study of SARS-CoV-2 infection, transmission and immunity in a cohort of households in Liverpool City Region, UK (COVID-LIV): a study protocol

Author

Daniel Hungerford, Neil French, Carrol Gamble, Laura Marsh, Nigel A Cunliffe, Tracy Moitt, Miren Iturriza-Gómara, Chloe Donohue, William Greenhalf, Lance Turtle, Stephen Aston, Milton Ashworth, Laura Booth, Katie Bullock, Terry Foster, Joanna Middleton, William Reynolds, Victoria E Shaw, Eve Wilcock, Jane Armstrong, Susan Dobson, Ashley P Jones, Wega Setiabudi, Krishanthi Subramaniam, Natasha Marcella Vaselli, Moon Wilton, Gareth Platt, Dean J Naisbitt, Emily R Adams, Lynnette Crossley, Neil Joseph, Lee D Troughton, Samantha Kilada, Katharine Abba, Victoria Simpson, Lynsey Goodwin, Rachael Daws, Shiva S Forootan, Rachel Press, Vida Spaine, Lesley Hands, Kate Bradfield, Carol McNally, Silviya Balabanova, Lynsey Finnetty, Paul J Thomson, Monday Ogese, Kareena Adair, Liam Farrell, Kanoot Jaruthamsophon, Adam Lister, Benjamin W A Catterall, Lara Lavelle-Langham, Emily Cass, Alejandra Doce Carracedo, Lianne Davies, Lisa Flaherty, Melanie Oates, Nicole Maziere, Jennifer Lloyd, Hannah Massey, Anthony Holmes, Nicola Carlucci, Vanessa Brammah, Yasmyn Ramos, Daniel Allen, Debbie Howarth, Jena Lowe, Jayne Jones, Paula Wright, Iain Slack, Simone McLaughlin, Jessica Mason, Thomas Edwards, Claudia McKeown, Elysse Hendrick, Chris Williams, Rachel Byrne, Kate Buist, Gala Garrod, Sophie Owen, and Efstathia Gkioni

Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty, Epidemiology, Population, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, State Medicine, wa_110, wa_20_5, immunology, respiratory infections, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Environmental health, medicine, wc_505, Humans, Prospective Studies, 030212 general & internal medicine, education, Prospective cohort study, wa_105, education.field_of_study, Transmission (medicine), business.industry, Incidence (epidemiology), Public health, COVID-19, General Medicine, United Kingdom, virology, 3. Good health, Observational Studies as Topic, Research Design, Cohort, Medicine, Observational study, business
Abstract

IntroductionThe emergence and rapid spread of COVID-19 have caused widespread and catastrophic public health and economic impact, requiring governments to restrict societal activity to reduce the spread of the disease. The role of household transmission in the population spread of SARS-CoV-2, and of host immunity in limiting transmission, is poorly understood. This paper describes a protocol for a prospective observational study of a cohort of households in Liverpool City Region, UK, which addresses the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 between household members and how immunological response to the infection changes over time.Methods and analysisHouseholds in the Liverpool City Region, in which members have not previously tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 with a nucleic acid amplification test, are followed up for an initial period of 12 weeks. Participants are asked to provide weekly self-throat and nasal swabs and record their activity and presence of symptoms. Incidence of infection and household secondary attack rates of COVID-19 are measured. Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 will be investigated against a range of demographic and behavioural variables. Blood and faecal samples are collected at several time points to evaluate immune responses to SARS-CoV-2 infection and prevalence and risk factors for faecal shedding of SARS-CoV-2, respectively.Ethics and disseminationThe study has received approval from the National Health Service Research Ethics Committee; REC Reference: 20/HRA/2297, IRAS Number: 283 464. Results will be disseminated through scientific conferences and peer-reviewed open access publications. A report of the findings will also be shared with participants. The study will quantify the scale and determinants of household transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Additionally, immunological responses before and during the different stages of infection will be analysed, adding to the understanding of the range of immunological response by infection severity.

Published
2021

7. What is the recovery rate and risk of long-term consequences following a diagnosis of COVID-19? A harmonised, global longitudinal observational study protocol

Author

Fernando A. Bozza, Luis F. Reyes, Madiha Hashmi, Robert A. Fowler, Janet T Scott, Muge Cevik, Nazir I Lone, Natalie Elkheir, Lance Turtle, Jan Cato Holter, Annemarie B Docherty, Sulaiman Lakoh, Louise Sigfrid, Daniel Plotkin, Colin Berry, Ibrahim Richard Bangura, Malcolm G Semple, Edwin C. Jesudason, Gail Carson, J. Kenneth Baille, Carlo Palmieri, Thomas M Drake, Ewen M Harrison, Daniel Munblit, John H Amuasi, Katrina Hann, Anne Margarita Dyrhol-Riise, Wei Shen Lim, Hayley E Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Clark D Russell, Joanne McPeake, Jordi Rello, Antonia Ho, Anna Beltrame, Anders Benjamin Kildal, David J Lowe, Institut Català de la Salut, [Sigfrid L] ISARIC Global Support Centre, Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Heatlh, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. [Cevik M] Infection and Global Health Division, School of Medicine, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, UK. [Jesudason E] Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, NHS Lothian, Edinburgh, UK. [Lim WS] Department of Respiratory Medicine, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK. [Rello J] Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red – Enfermedades Respiratorias (CIBERES), Barcelona, Spain. Vall d'Hebron Hospital Universitari, Barcelona, Spain. Research Department, CHU Nîmes, Université Nîmes- Montpellier, Nîmes, France. [Amuasi J] School of Public Health, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana, Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, University of St Andrews. School of Medicine, and University of St Andrews. Infection and Global Health Division

Subjects
Longitudinal study, medicine.medical_treatment, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Ghana, law.invention, Russia, South Africa, HV, 0302 clinical medicine, RA0421, law, Risk Factors, RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine, HV Social pathology. Social and public welfare, Other subheadings::/diagnosis [Other subheadings], virosis::infecciones por virus ARN::infecciones por Nidovirales::infecciones por Coronaviridae::infecciones por Coronavirus [ENFERMEDADES], 030212 general & internal medicine, Longitudinal Studies, Prospective Studies, Prospective cohort study, COVID-19 (Malaltia) - Complicacions, Rehabilitation, Norway, public health, Virus Diseases::RNA Virus Infections::Nidovirales Infections::Coronaviridae Infections::Coronavirus Infections [DISEASES], 3rd-DAS, General Medicine, Intensive care unit, 3. Good health, Infectious Diseases, Italy, técnicas de investigación::métodos epidemiológicos::características de los estudios epidemiológicos::estudios epidemiológicos::estudios de cohortes::estudios longitudinales [TÉCNICAS Y EQUIPOS ANALÍTICOS, DIAGNÓSTICOS Y TERAPÉUTICOS], Medicine, Covid-19, Psychosocial, medicine.medical_specialty, BF Psychology, Otros calificadores::/diagnóstico [Otros calificadores], BF, Colombia, técnicas de investigación::métodos epidemiológicos::estadística como asunto::probabilidad::riesgo::factores de riesgo [TÉCNICAS Y EQUIPOS ANALÍTICOS, DIAGNÓSTICOS Y TERAPÉUTICOS], 03 medical and health sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, medicine, Investigative Techniques::Epidemiologic Methods::Epidemiologic Study Characteristics::Epidemiologic Studies::Cohort Studies::Longitudinal Studies [ANALYTICAL, DIAGNOSTIC AND THERAPEUTIC TECHNIQUES, AND EQUIPMENT], Humans, Intensive care medicine, Protocol (science), business.industry, Public health, COVID-19, United Kingdom, Observational study, Investigative Techniques::Epidemiologic Methods::Statistics as Topic::Probability::Risk::Risk Factors [ANALYTICAL, DIAGNOSTIC AND THERAPEUTIC TECHNIQUES, AND EQUIPMENT], Mètode longitudinal, business
Abstract

Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; 2019-nCoV; Malalties infeccioses; Salut pública Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; 2019-nCoV; Enfermedades infecciosas; Salud pública Coronavirus SARS-CoV-2; COVID-19; 2019-nCoV; Infectious diseases; Public health Introduction Very little is known about possible clinical sequelae that may persist after resolution of acute COVID-19. A recent longitudinal cohort from Italy including 143 patients followed up after hospitalisation with COVID-19 reported that 87% had at least one ongoing symptom at 60-day follow-up. Early indications suggest that patients with COVID-19 may need even more psychological support than typical intensive care unit patients. The assessment of risk factors for longer term consequences requires a longitudinal study linked to data on pre-existing conditions and care received during the acute phase of illness. The primary aim of this study is to characterise physical and psychosocial sequelae in patients post-COVID-19 hospital discharge. Methods and analysis This is an international open-access prospective, observational multisite study. This protocol is linked with the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) and the WHO’s Clinical Characterisation Protocol, which includes patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19 during hospitalisation. This protocol will follow-up a subset of patients with confirmed COVID-19 using standardised surveys to measure longer term physical and psychosocial sequelae. The data will be linked with the acute phase data. Statistical analyses will be undertaken to characterise groups most likely to be affected by sequelae of COVID-19. The open-access follow-up survey can be used as a data collection tool by other follow-up studies, to facilitate data harmonisation and to identify subsets of patients for further in-depth follow-up. The outcomes of this study will inform strategies to prevent long-term consequences; inform clinical management, interventional studies, rehabilitation and public health management to reduce overall morbidity; and improve long-term outcomes of COVID-19. Ethics and dissemination The protocol and survey are open access to enable low-resourced sites to join the study to facilitate global standardised, longitudinal data collection. Ethical approval has been given by sites in Colombia, Ghana, Italy, Norway, Russia, the UK and South Africa. New sites are welcome to join this collaborative study at any time. Sites interested in adopting the protocol as it is or in an adapted version are responsible for ensuring that local sponsorship and ethical approvals in place as appropriate. The tools are available on the ISARIC website (www.isaric.org). Protocol registration number osf.io/c5rw3/ Protocol version 3 August 2020 EuroQol ID 37035. This work was supported by the Department for International Development and Wellcome (215091/Z/18/Z) and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1209135). CP would like to acknowledge the support of the Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (Grant Reference: C18616/A25153) and The Clatterbridge Cancer Centre Charity. CB acknowledges the support from British Heart Foundation RE/18/6134217. LS would like to acknowledge the support of PREPARE funded by the European Commission’s FP7 Programme grant number 602525.

Published
2021

8. Clinical characteristics of children and young people admitted to hospital with covid-19 in United Kingdom: prospective multicentre observational cohort study

Author

Alexander Mentzer, Louisa Pollock, David Brealey, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Charlotte Summers, Graciela Isabel García Dorival, Mark Pritchard, Andrew Ustianowski, Ryan Thwaites, Quen Mok, Innocent Gerald Asiimwe, Stuart Hartshorn, Lance Turtle, Lauren Lett, Shondipon Laha, Malcolm Gracie Semple, Tom Fletcher, Chrysa Koukorava, Patrick Lillie, Ewen Harrison, Suzannah Lant, Louise Sigfrid, Meera Chand, Chloe Donohue, Ahilanandan Dushianthan, Jordan Clark, Christopher Green, Mark Peters, Sarah McDonald, Paul Dark, Luke Hodgson, Emma Thomson, Tamas Leiner, William Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Shona Moore, Janet Scott, John Kenneth Baillie, Semple, Malcolm G [0000-0001-9700-0418], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Baillie, JK, Semple, MG, Openshaw, PJM, Alex, B, Bach, B, Barclay, WS, Bogaert, D, Chand, M, Cooke, GS, Docherty, AB, Dunning, J, Da Silva Filipe, A, Fletcher, T, Green, CA, Harrison, EM, Hiscox, JA, Ying Wai Ho, A, Horby, PW, Ijaz, S, Khoo, S, Klenerman, P, Law, A, Lim, WS, Mentzer, AJ, Merson, L, Meynert, AM, Noursadeghi, M, Moore, SC, Palmarini, M, Paxton, WA, Pollakis, G, Price, N, Rambaut, A, Robertson, DL, Russell, CD, Sancho-Shimizu, V, Scott, JT, Sigfrid, L, Solomon, T, Sriskandan, S, Stuart, D, Summers, C, Tedder, RS, Thomson, EC, Thwaites, RS, Turtle, LCW, Zambon, M, Hardwick, H, Donohue, C, Ewins, J, Oosthuyzen, W, Griffiths, F, Norman, L, Pius, R, Drake, TM, Fairfield, CJ, Knight, S, Mclean, KA, Murphy, D, Shaw, CA, Dalton, J, Girvan, M, Saviciute, E, Roberts, S, Harrison, J, Marsh, L, Connor, M, Halpin, S, Jackson, C, Gamble, C, Leeming, G, Hendry, R, Greenhalf, W, Shaw, V, McDonald, S, Ahmed, KA, Armstrong, JA, Ashworth, M, Asiimwe, IG, Bakshi, S, Barlow, SL, Booth, L, Brennan, B, Bullock, K, Catterall, BWA, Clark, JJ, Clarke, EA, Cole, S, Cooper, L, Cox, H, Davis, C, Dincarslan, O, Dunn, C, Dyer, P, Elliott, A, Evans, A, Fisher, LWS, Foster, T, Garcia-Dorival, I, Gunning, P, Hartley, C, Ho, A, Jensen, RL, Jones, CB, Jones, TR, Khandaker, S, King, K, Kiy, RT, Koukorava, C, Lake, A, Lant, S, Latawiec, D, Lavelle-Langham, L, Lefteri, D, Lett, L, Livoti, LA, Mancini, M, McEvoy, L, McLauchlan, J, Metelmann, S, Miah, NS, Middleton, J, Mitchell, J, Murphy, EG, Penrice-Randal, R, Pilgrim, J, Prince, T, Reynolds, W, Ridley, PM, Sales, D, Shaw, VE, Shears, RK, Small, B, Subramaniam, KS, Szemiel, A, Taggart, A, Tanianis, J, Thomas, J, Trochu, E, Van Tonder, L, Wilcock, E, Zhang, JE, Adeniji, K, Agranoff, D, Agwuh, K, Ail, D, Alegria, A, Angus, B, Ashish, A, Atkinson, D, Bari, S, Barlow, G, Barnass, S, Barrett, N, Bassford, C, Baxter, D, Beadsworth, M, Bernatoniene, J, Berridge, J, Best, N, Bothma, P, Brealey, D, Brittain-Long, R, Bulteel, N, Burden, T, Burtenshaw, A, Caruth, V, Chadwick, D, Chambler, D, Chee, N, Child, J, Chukkambotla, S, Clark, T, Collini, P, Cosgrove, C, Cupitt, J, Cutino-Moguel, M-T, Dark, P, Dawson, C, Dervisevic, S, Donnison, P, Douthwaite, S, DuRand, I, Dushianthan, A, Dyer, T, Evans, C, Eziefula, C, Fegan, C, Finn, A, Fullerton, D, Garg, S, Garg, A, Godden, J, Goldsmith, A, Graham, C, Hardy, E, Hartshorn, S, Harvey, D, Havalda, P, Hawcutt, DB, Hobrok, M, Hodgson, L, Holme, A, Hormis, A, Jacobs, M, Jain, S, Jennings, P, Kaliappan, A, Kasipandian, V, Kegg, S, Kelsey, M, Kendall, J, Kerrison, C, Kerslake, I, Koch, O, Koduri, G, Koshy, G, Laha, S, Larkin, S, Leiner, T, Lillie, P, Limb, J, Linnett, V, Little, J, MacMahon, M, MacNaughton, E, Mankregod, R, Masson, H, Matovu, E, McCullough, K, McEwen, R, Meda, M, Mills, G, Minton, J, Mirfenderesky, M, Mohandas, K, Mok, Q, Moon, J, Moore, E, Morgan, P, Morris, C, Mortimore, K, Moses, S, Mpenge, M, Mulla, R, Murphy, M, Nagel, M, Nagarajan, T, Nelson, M, Otahal, I, Pais, M, Panchatsharam, S, Paraiso, H, Patel, B, Pepperell, J, Peters, M, Phull, M, Pintus, S, Pooni, JS, Post, F, Price, D, Prout, R, Rae, N, Reschreiter, H, Reynolds, T, Richardson, N, Roberts, M, Roberts, D, Rose, A, Rousseau, G, Ryan, B, Saluja, T, Shah, A, Shanmuga, P, Sharma, A, Shawcross, A, Sizer, J, Smith, R, Snelson, C, Spittle, N, Staines, N, Stambach, T, Stewart, R, Subudhi, P, Szakmany, T, Tatham, K, Thompson, C, Thompson, R, Tridente, A, Tupper-Carey, D, Twagira, M, Ustianowski, A, Vallotton, N, Vincent-Smith, L, Visuvanathan, S, Vuylsteke, A, Waddy, S, Wake, R, Walden, A, Welters, I, Whitehouse, T, Whittaker, P, Whittington, A, Wijesinghe, M, Williams, M, Wilson, L, Wilson, S, Winchester, S, Wiselka, M, Wolverson, A, Wooton, DG, Workman, A, Yates, B, and Young, P

Subjects
Male, Pediatrics, Cohort Studies, 0302 clinical medicine, Interquartile range, Medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Hospital Mortality, Young adult, Child, Age Factors, General Medicine, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, Hospitalization, Child, Preschool, Female, Coronavirus Infections, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Cohort study, medicine.medical_specialty, Adolescent, Critical Care, Pneumonia, Viral, Disease cluster, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 03 medical and health sciences, Betacoronavirus, Young Adult, Medicine, General & Internal, AGE, General & Internal Medicine, 030225 pediatrics, Intensive care, Humans, ISARIC4C Investigators, Pandemics, Science & Technology, business.industry, SARS-CoV-2, Research, Infant, Newborn, COVID-19, Infant, 1103 Clinical Sciences, Odds ratio, medicine.disease, Comorbidity, Respiration, Artificial, United Kingdom, Systemic inflammatory response syndrome, business
Abstract

Objective To characterise the clinical features of children and young people admitted to hospital with laboratory confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in the UK and explore factors associated with admission to critical care, mortality, and development of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children and adolescents temporarily related to coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) (MIS-C). Design Prospective observational cohort study with rapid data gathering and near real time analysis. Setting 260 hospitals in England, Wales, and Scotland between 17 January and 3 July 2020, with a minimum follow-up time of two weeks (to 17 July 2020). Participants 651 children and young people aged less than 19 years admitted to 138 hospitals and enrolled into the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emergency Infections Consortium (ISARIC) WHO Clinical Characterisation Protocol UK study with laboratory confirmed SARS-CoV-2. Main outcome measures Admission to critical care (high dependency or intensive care), in-hospital mortality, or meeting the WHO preliminary case definition for MIS-C. Results Median age was 4.6 (interquartile range 0.3-13.7) years, 35% (225/651) were under 12 months old, and 56% (367/650) were male. 57% (330/576) were white, 12% (67/576) South Asian, and 10% (56/576) black. 42% (276/651) had at least one recorded comorbidity. A systemic mucocutaneous-enteric cluster of symptoms was identified, which encompassed the symptoms for the WHO MIS-C criteria. 18% (116/632) of children were admitted to critical care. On multivariable analysis, this was associated with age under 1 month (odds ratio 3.21, 95% confidence interval 1.36 to 7.66; P=0.008), age 10-14 years (3.23, 1.55 to 6.99; P=0.002), and black ethnicity (2.82, 1.41 to 5.57; P=0.003). Six (1%) of 627 patients died in hospital, all of whom had profound comorbidity. 11% (52/456) met the WHO MIS-C criteria, with the first patient developing symptoms in mid-March. Children meeting MIS-C criteria were older (median age 10.7 (8.3-14.1) v 1.6 (0.2-12.9) years; Pv 42% (148/355); P=0.004). Children with MIS-C were five times more likely to be admitted to critical care (73% (38/52) v 15% (62/404); Pv 28% (86/302); P=0.004), headache (34% (16/47) v 10% (26/263); Pv 8% (21/270); Pv (12% (34/284); P=0.003), and lymphadenopathy (20% (9/46) v 3% (10/318); P9 /L (32% (16/50) v 11% (38/348); P Conclusions Children and young people have less severe acute covid-19 than adults. A systemic mucocutaneous-enteric symptom cluster was also identified in acute cases that shares features with MIS-C. This study provides additional evidence for refining the WHO MIS-C preliminary case definition. Children meeting the MIS-C criteria have different demographic and clinical features depending on whether they have acute SARS-CoV-2 infection (polymerase chain reaction positive) or are post-acute (antibody positive). Study registration ISRCTN66726260.

Published
2021
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9. Outcome of Hospitalization for COVID-19 in Patients with Interstitial Lung Disease. An International Multicenter Study

Author

Thomas M. Drake, Annemarie B. Docherty, Ewen M. Harrison, Jennifer K. Quint, Huzaifa Adamali, Sarah Agnew, Suresh Babu, Christopher M. Barber, Shaney Barratt, Elisabeth Bendstrup, Stephen Bianchi, Diego Castillo Villegas, Nazia Chaudhuri, Felix Chua, Robina Coker, William Chang, Anjali Crawshaw, Louise E. Crowley, Davinder Dosanjh, Christine A. Fiddler, Ian A. Forrest, Peter M. George, Michael A. Gibbons, Katherine Groom, Sarah Haney, Simon P. Hart, Emily Heiden, Michael Henry, Ling-Pei Ho, Rachel K. Hoyles, John Hutchinson, Killian Hurley, Mark Jones, Steve Jones, Maria Kokosi, Michael Kreuter, Laura S. MacKay, Siva Mahendran, George Margaritopoulos, Maria Molina-Molina, Philip L. Molyneaux, Aiden O’Brien, Katherine O’Reilly, Alice Packham, Helen Parfrey, Venerino Poletti, Joanna C. Porter, Elisabetta Renzoni, Pilar Rivera-Ortega, Anne-Marie Russell, Gauri Saini, Lisa G. Spencer, Giulia M. Stella, Helen Stone, Sharon Sturney, David Thickett, Muhunthan Thillai, Tim Wallis, Katie Ward, Athol U. Wells, Alex West, Melissa Wickremasinghe, Felix Woodhead, Glenn Hearson, Lucy Howard, J. Kenneth Baillie, Peter J. M. Openshaw, Malcolm G. Semple, Iain Stewart, R. Gisli Jenkins, Gail Carson, Beatrice Alex, Benjamin Bach, Wendy S. Barclay, Debby Bogaert, Meera Chand, Graham S. Cooke, Jake Dunning, Ana da Silva Filipe, Tom Fletcher, Christopher A. Green, Julian A. Hiscox, Antonia Ying Wai Ho, Peter W. Horby, Samreen Ijaz, Saye Khoo, Paul Klenerman, Andrew Law, Wei Shen Lim, Alexander J. Mentzer, Laura Merson, Alison M. Meynert, Mahdad Noursadeghi, Shona C Moore, Massimo Palmarini, William A Paxton, Georgios Pollakis, Nicholas Price, Andrew Rambaut, David L Robertson, Clark D. Russell, Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu, Janet T. Scott, Thushan de Silva, Louise Sigfrid, Tom Solomon, Shiranee Sriskandan, David Stuart, Charlotte Summers, Richard S. Tedder, Emma C. Thomson, A. A. Roger Thompson, Ryan S. Thwaites, Lance C. W. Turtle, Maria Zambon, Hayley Hardwick, Chloe Donohue, Ruth Lyons, Fiona Griffiths, Wilna Oosthuyzen, Lisa Norman, Riinu Pius, Tom M. Drake, Cameron J. Fairfield, Stephen Knight, Kenneth A. Mclean, Derek Murphy, Catherine A. Shaw, Jo Dalton, Michelle Girvan, Egle Saviciute, Stephanie Roberts, Janet Harrison, Laura Marsh, Marie Connor, Sophie Halpin, Clare Jackson, Carrol Gamble, Gary Leeming, Murray Wham, Sara Clohisey, Ross Hendry, James Scott-Brown, William Greenhalf, Victoria Shaw, Sarah McDonald, Seán Keating, Katie A. Ahmed, Jane A. Armstrong, Milton Ashworth, Innocent G. Asiimwe, Siddharth Bakshi, Samantha L. Barlow, Laura Booth, Benjamin Brennan, Katie Bullock, Benjamin W. A. Catterall, Jordan J. Clark, Emily A. Clarke, Sarah Cole, Louise Cooper, Helen Cox, Christopher Davis, Oslem Dincarslan, Chris Dunn, Philip Dyer, Angela Elliott, Anthony Evans, Lorna Finch, Lewis W. S. Fisher, Terry Foster, Isabel Garcia-Dorival, Willliam Greenhalf, Philip Gunning, Catherine Hartley, Antonia Ho, Rebecca L. Jensen, Christopher B. Jones, Trevor R. Jones, Shadia Khandaker, Katharine King, Robyn T. Kiy, Chrysa Koukorava, Annette Lake, Suzannah Lant, Diane Latawiec, L. Lavelle-Langham, Daniella Lefteri, Lauren Lett, Lucia A. Livoti, Maria Mancini, Laurence McEvoy, John McLauchlan, Soeren Metelmann, Nahida S. Miah, Joanna Middleton, Joyce Mitchell, Shona C. Moore, Ellen G. Murphy, Rebekah Penrice-Randal, Jack Pilgrim, Tessa Prince, Will Reynolds, P. Matthew Ridley, Debby Sales, Victoria E. Shaw, Rebecca K. Shears, Benjamin Small, Krishanthi S. Subramaniam, Agnieska Szemiel, Aislynn Taggart, Jolanta Tanianis-Hughes, Jordan Thomas, Erwan Trochu, Libby van Tonder, Eve Wilcock, J. Eunice Zhang, Kayode Adeniji, Daniel Agranoff, Ken Agwuh, Dhiraj Ail, Ana Alegria, Brian Angus, Abdul Ashish, Dougal Atkinson, Shahedal Bari, Gavin Barlow, Stella Barnass, Nicholas Barrett, Christopher Bassford, David Baxter, Michael Beadsworth, Jolanta Bernatoniene, John Berridge, Nicola Best, Pieter Bothma, David Brealey, Robin Brittain-Long, Naomi Bulteel, Tom Burden, Andrew Burtenshaw, Vikki Caruth, David Chadwick, Duncan Chambler, Nigel Chee, Jenny Child, Srikanth Chukkambotla, Tom Clark, Paul Collini, Catherine Cosgrove, Jason Cupitt, Maria-Teresa Cutino-Moguel, Paul Dark, Chris Dawson, Samir Dervisevic, Phil Donnison, Sam Douthwaite, Ingrid DuRand, Ahilanadan Dushianthan, Tristan Dyer, Cariad Evans, Chi Eziefula, Chrisopher Fegan, Adam Finn, Duncan Fullerton, Sanjeev Garg, Atul Garg, Effrossyni Gkrania-Klotsas, Jo Godden, Arthur Goldsmith, Clive Graham, Elaine Hardy, Stuart Hartshorn, Daniel Harvey, Peter Havalda, Daniel B. Hawcutt, Maria Hobrok, Luke Hodgson, Anita Holme, Anil Hormis, Michael Jacobs, Susan Jain, Paul Jennings, Agilan Kaliappan, Vidya Kasipandian, Stephen Kegg, Michael Kelsey, Jason Kendall, Caroline Kerrison, Ian Kerslake, Oliver Koch, Gouri Koduri, George Koshy, Shondipon Laha, Steven Laird, Susan Larkin, Tamas Leiner, Patrick Lillie, James Limb, Vanessa Linnett, Jeff Little, Michael MacMahon, Emily MacNaughton, Ravish Mankregod, Huw Masson, Elijah Matovu, Katherine McCullough, Ruth McEwen, Manjula Meda, Gary Mills, Jane Minton, Mariyam Mirfenderesky, Kavya Mohandas, Quen Mok, James Moon, Elinoor Moore, Patrick Morgan, Craig Morris, Katherine Mortimore, Samuel Moses, Mbiye Mpenge, Rohinton Mulla, Michael Murphy, Megan Nagel, Thapas Nagarajan, Mark Nelson, Igor Otahal, Mark Pais, Selva Panchatsharam, Hassan Paraiso, Brij Patel, Justin Pepperell, Mark Peters, Mandeep Phull, Stefania Pintus, Jagtur Singh Pooni, Frank Post, David Price, Rachel Prout, Nikolas Rae, Henrik Reschreiter, Tim Reynolds, Neil Richardson, Mark Roberts, Devender Roberts, Alistair Rose, Guy Rousseau, Brendan Ryan, Taranprit Saluja, Aarti Shah, Prad Shanmuga, Anil Sharma, Anna Shawcross, Jeremy Sizer, Manu Shankar-Hari, Richard Smith, Catherine Snelson, Nick Spittle, Nikki Staines, Tom Stambach, Richard Stewart, Pradeep Subudhi, Tamas Szakmany, Kate Tatham, Jo Thomas, Chris Thompson, Robert Thompson, Ascanio Tridente, Darell Tupper-Carey, Mary Twagira, Andrew Ustianowski, Nick Vallotton, Lisa Vincent-Smith, Shico Visuvanathan, Alan Vuylsteke, Sam Waddy, Rachel Wake, Andrew Walden, Ingeborg Welters, Tony Whitehouse, Paul Whittaker, Ashley Whittington, Meme Wijesinghe, Martin Williams, Lawrence Wilson, Sarah Wilson, Stephen Winchester, Martin Wiselka, Adam Wolverson, Daniel G. Wooton, Andrew Workman, Bryan Yates, Peter Young, Thickett, David [0000-0002-5456-6080], Baillie, J Kenneth [0000-0001-5258-793X], Openshaw, Peter JM [0000-0002-7220-2555], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Action for Pulmonary Fibrosis, National Institute for Health Research, and UK Research and Innovation

Subjects
Male, obesity, Respiratory System, Comorbidity, ResearchInstitutes_Networks_Beacons/humanitarian_conflict_response_institute, Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine, Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, 0302 clinical medicine, 030212 general & internal medicine, Lung, License, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, interstitial lung disease, Aged, 80 and over, Interstitial lung disease, respiratory system, Middle Aged, COVID-19, IPF, ILD, Obesity, Lung Function, hospitalisation, idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, Europe, Hospitalization, COVID-19/Interstitial Lung Disease, ACUTE EXACERBATION, Humanitarian and Conflict Response Institute, Disease Progression, Female, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, medicine.medical_specialty, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), behavioral disciplines and activities, 03 medical and health sciences, Critical Care Medicine, General & Internal Medicine, medicine, Humans, In patient, Obesity, ISARIC4C Investigators, Aged, Retrospective Studies, Science & Technology, business.industry, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Retrospective cohort study, lung function, Original Articles, medicine.disease, Lung function, respiratory tract diseases, Clinical trial, body regions, 030228 respiratory system, Case-Control Studies, Emergency medicine, IDIOPATHIC PULMONARY-FIBROSIS, business, Lung Diseases, Interstitial, Tomography, X-Ray Computed
Abstract

Rationale: The impact of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) has not been established. Objectives: To assess outcomes in patients with ILD hospitalized for COVID-19 versus those without ILD in a contemporaneous age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched population. Methods: An international multicenter audit of patients with a prior diagnosis of ILD admitted to the hospital with COVID-19 between March 1 and May 1, 2020, was undertaken and compared with patients without ILD, obtained from the ISARIC4C (International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infection Consortium Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium) cohort, admitted with COVID-19 over the same period. The primary outcome was survival. Secondary analysis distinguished idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis from non–idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis ILD and used lung function to determine the greatest risks of death. Measurements and Main Results: Data from 349 patients with ILD across Europe were included, of whom 161 were admitted to the hospital with laboratory or clinical evidence of COVID-19 and eligible for propensity score matching. Overall mortality was 49% (79/161) in patients with ILD with COVID-19. After matching, patients with ILD with COVID-19 had significantly poorer survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.60; confidence interval, 1.17–2.18; P = 0.003) than age-, sex-, and comorbidity-matched controls without ILD. Patients with an FVC of Conclusions: Patients with ILD are at increased risk of death from COVID-19, particularly those with poor lung function and obesity. Stringent precautions should be taken to avoid COVID-19 in patients with ILD.

Published
2020

10. Genetic mechanisms of critical illness in COVID-19

Author

Pairo-Castineira, Erola, Clohisey, Sara, Klaric, Lucija, Bretherick, Andrew D, Rawlik, Konrad, Pasko, Dorota, Walker, Susan, Parkinson, Nick, Fourman, Max Head, Russell, Clark D, Furniss, James, Richmond, Anne, Gountouna, Elvina, Wrobel, Nicola, Harrison, David, Wang, Bo, Yang, Wu, Meynert, Alison, Griffiths, Fiona, Oosthuyzen, Wilna, Kousathanas, Athanasios, Moutsianas, Loukas, Yang, Zhijian, Zhai, Ranran, Zheng, Chenqing, Grimes, Graeme, Beale, Rupert, Millar, Jonathan, Shih, Barbara, Keating, Sean, Zechner, Marie, Haley, Chris, Porteous, David J, Hayward, Caroline, Yang, Jian, Knight, Julian, Summers, Charlotte, Shankar-Hari, Manu, Klenerman, Paul, Turtle, Lance, Antonia, Ho, Moore, Shona C, Hinds, Charles, Horby, Peter, Nichol, Alistair, Maslove, David, Ling, Lowell, Mcauley, Danny, Montgomery, Hugh, Walsh, Timothy, Pereira, Alexandre C, Renieri, Johnny, Millar, Alistair, Nichol, Tim, Walsh, Manu, Shankar-Hari, Chris, Ponting, Jen, Meikle, Paul, Finernan, Ellie, Mcmaster, Andy, Law, J Kenneth Baillie, Trevor, Paterson, Tony, Wackett, Ruth, Armstrong, Richard, Clark, Audrey, Coutts, Lorna, Donnelly, Tammy, Gilchrist, Katarzyna, Hafezi, Louise, Macgillivray, Alan, Maclean, Sarah, Mccafferty, Kirstie, Morrice, Jane, Weaver, Ceilia, Boz, Ailsa, Golightly, Mari, Ward, Hanning, Mal, Helen, Szoor-McElhinney, Adam, Brown, Ross, Hendry, Andrew, Stenhouse, Louise, Cullum, Dawn, Law, Sarah, Law, Rachel, Law, Maaike, Swets, Nicky, Day, Filip, Taneski, Esther, Duncan, Nicholas, Parkinson, Collier, D, Wood, S, Zak, A, Borra, C, Matharu, M, May, P, Alldis, Z, Mitchelmore, O, Bowles, R, Easthope, A, Bibi, F, Lancoma-Malcolm, I, Gurasashvili, J, Pheby, J, Shiel, J, Bolton, M, Patel, M, Taylor, M, Zongo, O, Ebano, P, Harding, P, Astin-Chamberlain, R, Choudhury, Y, Cox, A, Kallon, D, Burton, M, Hall, R, Blowes, S, Prime, Z, Biddle, J, Prysyazhna, O, Newman, T, Tierney, C, Kassam, J, Shankar-Hari, M, Ostermann, M, Campos, S, Bociek, A, Lim, R, Grau, N, O Jones, T, Whitton, C, 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Wei Shen Lim, Alexander, J Mentzer, Laura, Merson, Alison, M Meynert, Mahdad, Noursadeghi, Shona, C Moore, Massimo, Palmarini, William, A Paxton, Georgios, Pollakis, Nicholas, Price, Andrew, Rambaut, David, L Robertson, Vanessa, Sancho-Shimizu, Janet, T Scott, Thushan de Silva, Louise, Sigfrid, Tom, Solomon, Shiranee, Sriskandan, David, Stuart, Richard, S Tedder, Emma, C Thomson, A Roger Thompson, A, Ryan, S Thwaites, Lance C, W Turtle, Maria, Zambon, Hayley, Hardwick, Chloe, Donohue, Ruth, Lyons, Lisa, Norman, Riinu, Pius, Thomas, M Drake, Cameron, J Fairfield, Stephen, R Knight, Kenneth, A Mclean, Derek, Murphy, Catherine, A Shaw, Dalton, Jo, Michelle, Girvan, Egle, Saviciute, Stephanie, Roberts, Janet, Harrison, Laura, Marsh, Marie, Connor, Sophie, Halpin, Clare, Jackson, Carrol, Gamble, Gary, Leeming, Murray, Wham, William, Greenhalf, Victoria, Shaw, Sara, Mcdonald, Seán, Keating, Andrea, Ganna, Patrick, Sulem, David, A van Heel, Mattia, Cordioli, Gardar, Sveinbjornsson, Mari E, K Niemi, Janie, F Shelton, Anjali, J Shastri, Chelsea, Ye, Catherine, H Weldon, Teresa, Filshtein-Sonmez, Daniella, Coker, Antony, Symons, Jorge, Esparza-Gordillo, Stella, Aslibekyan, Adam, Auton, Jose, E Krieger, Emmanuelle, Marques, Cinthia, E Jannes, Mari, Francesca, Daga, Sergio, Baldassarri, Margherita, Benetti, Elisa, Simone, Furini, Fallerini, Chiara, Fava, Francesca, Floriana, Valentino, Gabriella, Doddato, Annarita, Giliberti, Tita, Rossella, Amitrano, Sara, Bruttini, Mirella, Croci, Susanna, Meloni, Ilaria, Pinto, ANNA MARIA, Frullanti, Elisa, Mencarelli, MARIA ANTONIETTA, LO RIZZO, Caterina, Montagnani, Francesca, DI SARNO, Laura, Tommasi, Andrea, Palmieri, Maria, Emiliozzi, Arianna, Fabbiani, Massimiliano, Rossetti, Barbara, Zanelli, Giacomo, Bargagli, Elena, Bergantini, Laura, D'Alessandro, Miriana, Cameli, Paolo, David, Bennet, Anedda, Federico, Marcantonio, Simona, Scolletta, Sabino, Franchi, Federico, Mazzei, MARIA ANTONIETTA, Guerrini, Susanna, Conticini, Edoardo, Cantarini, Luca, Frediani, Bruno, Danilo, Tacconi, SPERTILLI RAFFAELLI, Chiara, Marco, Feri, Alice, Donati, Scala, Raffaele, Luca, Guidelli, Genni, Spargi, Marta, Corridi, Cesira, Nencioni, Croci, Leonardo, Gian Piero Caldarelli, Maurizio, Spagnesi, Paolo, Piacentini, Maria, Bandini, Elena, Desanctis, Cappelli, Silvia, Anna, Canaccini, Verzuri, Agnese, Valentina, Anemoli, Agostino, Ognibene, Massimo, Vaghi, Antonella D'Arminio Monforte, Esther, Merlini, Mario, U Mondelli, Stefania, Mantovani, Serena, Ludovisi, Massimo, Girardis, Sophie, Venturelli, Marco, Sita, Andrea, Cossarizza, Andrea, Antinori, Alessandra, Vergori, Stefano, Rusconi, Matteo, Siano, Arianna, Gabrieli, Agostino, Riva, Daniela, Francisci, Elisabetta, Schiaroli, Pier Giorgio Scotton, Francesca, Andretta, Sandro, Panese, Renzo, Scaggiante, Francesca, Gatti, Saverio Giuseppe Parisi, Francesco, Castelli, Maria Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Paola, Magro, Isabella, Zanella, Matteo Della Monica, Carmelo, Piscopo, Mario, Capasso, Roberta, Russo, Immacolata, Andolfo, Achille, Iolascon, Giuseppe, Fiorentino, Massimo, Carella, Marco, Castori, Giuseppe, Merla, Filippo, Aucella, Pamela, Raggi, Carmen, Marciano, Rita, Perna, Matteo, Bassetti, Antonio Di Biagio, Maurizio, Sanguinetti, Luca, Masucci, Valente, Serafina, Marco, Mandalà, Giorli, Alessia, Salerni, Lorenzo, Patrizia, Zucchi, Pierpaolo, Parravicini, Elisabetta, Menatti, Stefano, Baratti, Tullio, Trotta, Ferdinando, Giannattasio, Gabriella, Coiro, Fabio, Lena, Domenico, A Coviello, Cristina, Mussini, Giancarlo, Bosio, Enrico, Martinelli, Sandro, Mancarella, Luisa, Tavecchia, Lia, Crotti, Nicola, Picchiotti, Marco, Gori, Chiara, Gabbi, Maurizio, Sanarico, Stefano, Ceri, Pietro, Pinoli, Francesco, Raimondi, Filippo, Biscarini, Alessandra, Stella, Alessandra, Shen, Xia, Ponting, Chris P, Fawkes, Angie, Tenesa, Albert, Caulfield, Mark, Scott, Richard, Rowan, Kathy, Murphy, Lee, Openshaw, Peter J M, Semple, Malcolm G, Law, Andrew, Vitart, Veronique, Wilson, James 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T., Love, N., van Koutrik, L., Hunt, J., Kaye, D., Fisher, E., Brayne, A., Tuckey, V., Jackson, P., Parkin, J., Tariq, A., Houlden, H., Tucci, A., Hardy, J., Moncur, E., Highgate, J., Cowley, A., Mitra, A., Stead, R., Behan, T., Burnett, C., Newton, M., Heeney, E., Pollard, R., Hatton, J., Patel, A., Kasipandian, V., Allibone, S., Genetu, R. M., O'Brien, L., Omar, Z., Perkins, E., Davies, K., Tetla, D., Shelley, B., Irvine, V., Williams, S., Williams, P., Goodsell, J., Tutton, R., Bough, L., Winter-Goodwin, B., Kitson, R., Pinnell, J., Wilson, A., Nortcliffe, T., Wood, T., Home, M., Holdroyd, K., Robinson, M., Shaw, R., Greig, J., Brady, M., Haigh, A., Matupe, L., Usher, M., Mellor, S., Dale, S., Gledhill, L., Shaw, L., Turner, G., Kelly, D., Anwar, B., Riley, H., Sturgeon, H., Ali, A., Thomis, L., Melia, D., Dance, A., Humphreys, S., Frost, I., Gopal, V., Godden, J., Holden, A., Swann, S., Smith, T., Clapham, M., Poultney, U., Harper, R., Rice, P., Reece-Anthony, R., Gurung, B., Moultrie, S., Odam, M., Mayer, A., Bellini, A., Pickard, A., Bryant, J., Roe, N., Sowter, J., Lang, K., Taylor, J., Barry, P., Hobrok, M., Tench, H., Wolf-Roberts, R., Mcguinness, H., Loosley, R., Hawcutt, D., Rad, L., O'Malley, L., Saunderson, P., Seddon, G., Anderson, T., Rogers, N., Ruddy, J., Harkins, M., Beith, C., Mcalpine, A., Ferguson, L., Grant, P., Macfadyen, S., Mclaughlin, M., Baird, T., Rundell, S., Welsh, B., Hamill, R., Fisher, F., Gregory, J., Campbell, A., Smuts, S., Kenneth Baillie, J., Carson, G., Alex, B., Bach, B., Barclay, W. S., Bogaert, D., Chand, M., Cooke, G. S., Docherty, A. B., Dunning, J., da Silva Filipe, A., Fletcher, T., Green, C. A., Harrison, E. M., Hiscox, J. A., Ho, A. Y. W., Horby, P. W., Ijaz, S., Khoo, S., Lim, W. S., Mentzer, A. J., Merson, L., Meynert, A. M., Noursadeghi, M., Palmarini, M., Paxton, W. A., Pollakis, G., Price, N., Rambaut, A., Robertson, D. L., Sancho-Shimizu, V., Scott, J. T., de Silva, T., Sigfrid, L., Solomon, T., Sriskandan, S., Stuart, D., Tedder, R. S., Thomson, E. C., Thompson, A. A. R., Thwaites, R. S., Turtle, L. C. W., Zambon, M., Hardwick, H., Donohue, C., Lyons, R., Norman, L., Pius, R., Drake, T. M., Fairfield, C. J., Knight, S. R., Mclean, K. A., Murphy, D., Shaw, C. A., Dalton, J., Girvan, M., Saviciute, E., Roberts, S., Harrison, J., Marsh, L., Connor, M., Halpin, S., Gamble, C., Leeming, G., Wham, M., Greenhalf, W., Shaw, V., Mcdonald, S., Ganna, A., Sulem, P., van Heel, D. A., Cordioli, M., Sveinbjornsson, G., Niemi, M. E. K., Shelton, J. F., Shastri, A. J., Ye, C., Weldon, C. H., Filshtein-Sonmez, T., Coker, D., Symons, A., Esparza-Gordillo, J., Aslibekyan, S., Auton, A., Krieger, J. E., Marques, E., Jannes, C. E., Mari, F., Daga, S., Baldassarri, M., Benetti, E., Furini, S., Fallerini, C., Fava, F., Valentino, F., Doddato, G., Giliberti, A., Tita, R., Amitrano, S., Bruttini, M., Croci, S., Meloni, I., Pinto, A. M., Frullanti, E., Mencarelli, M. A., Rizzo, C. L., Montagnani, F., Di Sarno, L., Tommasi, A., Palmieri, M., Emiliozzi, A., Fabbiani, M., Rossetti, B., Zanelli, G., Bargagli, E., Bergantini, L., D'Alessandro, M., Cameli, P., Bennet, D., Anedda, F., Marcantonio, S., Scolletta, S., Franchi, F., Mazzei, M. A., Guerrini, S., Conticini, E., Cantarini, L., Frediani, B., Tacconi, D., Spertilli, C., Feri, M., Donati, A., Scala, R., Guidelli, L., Spargi, G., Corridi, M., Nencioni, C., Croci, L., Caldarelli, G. P., Spagnesi, M., Piacentini, P., Bandini, M., Desanctis, E., Cappelli, S., Canaccini, A., Verzuri, A., Anemoli, V., Ognibene, A., Vaghi, M., D'Arminio Monforte, A., Merlini, E., Mondelli, M. U., Mantovani, S., Ludovisi, S., Girardis, M., Venturelli, S., Sita, M., Cossarizza, A., Antinori, A., Vergori, A., Rusconi, S., Siano, M., Gabrieli, A., Riva, A., Francisci, D., Schiaroli, E., Scotton, P. G., Andretta, F., Panese, S., Scaggiante, R., Gatti, F., Parisi, S. G., Castelli, F., Quiros-Roldan, M. E., Magro, P., Zanella, I., Della Monica, M., Piscopo, C., Capasso, M., Russo, R., Andolfo, I., Iolascon, A., Fiorentino, G., Carella, M., Castori, M., Merla, G., Aucella, F., Raggi, P., Marciano, C., Perna, R., Bassetti, M., Di Biagio, A., Sanguinetti, M., Masucci, L., Valente, S., Mandala, M., Giorli, A., Salerni, L., Zucchi, P., Parravicini, P., Menatti, E., Baratti, S., Trotta, T., Giannattasio, F., Coiro, G., Lena, F., Coviello, D. A., Mussini, C., Bosio, G., Martinelli, E., Mancarella, S., Tavecchia, L., Crotti, L., Picchiotti, N., Gori, M., Gabbi, C., Sanarico, M., Ceri, S., Pinoli, P., Raimondi, F., Biscarini, F., Stella, A., Shen, X., Ponting, C. P., Fawkes, A., Tenesa, A., Caulfield, M., Scott, R., Rowan, K., Murphy, L., Openshaw, P. J. M., Semple, M. G., Vitart, V., and Wilson, J. F.

Subjects
0301 basic medicine, Male, CCR2, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 21, Genome-wide association study, Receptor, Interferon alpha-beta, Disease, Bioinformatics, Genome-wide association studies, 23andMe Investigators, Interferon alpha-beta, 0302 clinical medicine, Receptors, 2',5'-Oligoadenylate Synthetase, Pair 12, genetics, Lung, BRACOVID Investigators, Multidisciplinary, GenOMICC Investigators, Tyrosine kinase 2, 030220 oncology & carcinogenesis, Multigene Family, Medical genetics, Female, Dipeptidyl-Peptidases and Tripeptidyl-Peptidase, 5'-Oligoadenylate Synthetase, Human, Receptor, medicine.medical_specialty, Critical Care, Receptors, CCR2, General Science & Technology, Critical Illness, Chromosomes, 03 medical and health sciences, Intensive care, Mendelian randomization, Immunogenetics, medicine, Humans, Dipeptidyl-Peptidases and Tripeptidyl-Peptidases, Gen-COVID Investigators, Inflammation, TYK2 Kinase, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 12, Pair 19, SARS-CoV-2, business.industry, Drug Repositioning, COVID-19, United Kingdom, COVID-19 Human Genetics Initiative, 030104 developmental biology, Viral infection, Chromosomes, Human, Pair 19, Genome-Wide Association Study, Pharmacogenomics, ISARICC Investigators, Pair 21, 2', business
Abstract

Host-mediated lung inflammation is present1, and drives mortality2, in the critical illness caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Host genetic variants associated with critical illness may identify mechanistic targets for therapeutic development3. Here we report the results of the GenOMICC (Genetics Of Mortality In Critical Care) genome-wide association study in 2,244 critically ill patients with COVID-19 from 208 UK intensive care units. We have identified and replicated the following new genome-wide significant associations: on chromosome 12q24.13 (rs10735079,P=1.65×10−8) in a gene cluster that encodes antiviral restriction enzyme activators (OAS1,OAS2andOAS3); on chromosome 19p13.2 (rs74956615,P=2.3×10−8) near the gene that encodes tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2); on chromosome 19p13.3 (rs2109069,P=3.98× 10−12) within the gene that encodes dipeptidyl peptidase 9 (DPP9); and on chromosome 21q22.1 (rs2236757,P=4.99×10−8) in the interferon receptor geneIFNAR2. We identified potential targets for repurposing of licensed medications: using Mendelian randomization, we found evidence that low expression ofIFNAR2, or high expression ofTYK2, are associated with life-threatening disease; and transcriptome-wide association in lung tissue revealed that high expression of the monocyte–macrophage chemotactic receptorCCR2is associated with severe COVID-19. Our results identify robust genetic signals relating to key host antiviral defence mechanisms and mediators of inflammatory organ damage in COVID-19. Both mechanisms may be amenable to targeted treatment with existing drugs. However, large-scale randomized clinical trials will be essential before any change to clinical practice.

Published
2020
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11. Antimicrobial-impregnated central venous catheters for prevention of neonatal bloodstream infection (PREVAIL): an open-label, parallel-group, pragmatic, randomised controlled trial

Author

Ruth Gilbert, Michaela Brown, Naomi Rainford, Chloe Donohue, Caroline Fraser, Ajay Sinha, Jon Dorling, Jim Gray, William McGuire, Carrol Gamble, Sam J Oddie, Ajay K. Sinha, Sam J. Oddie, Rachel Wane, Marie Hubbard, Rosalind Astles, Andrew K. Ewer, Rachel Jackson, Ranganath Ranganna, Nicola Booth, Phani Kiran Yajamanyam, Karen Harvey, Narendra Aladangady, Asha Mathew, Elizabeth Pilling, Pauline Bayliss, Natasha Maddock, Louise Woodhead, MaySze Chang, Sandeep Dharmaraj, Claire Lodge, Helen Navarra, Charles Roehr, Sheula Barlow, Mahesh Yadav, Claire Abbott, Kathryn Johnson, Dushyant Batra, Yvonne Hooton, Pamela Cairns, Jennifer Chapman, Bal Krishnan Sharma, Helen Smith, Imdad Ali, Ivone Lancoma-Malcolm, Berit Muller-Pebody, Katie Harron, and Tracy Moitt

Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty, business.industry, Hazard ratio, law.invention, Clinical trial, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Randomized controlled trial, law, 030225 pediatrics, Relative risk, Intensive care, Internal medicine, Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health, Developmental and Educational Psychology, medicine, Gestation, 030212 general & internal medicine, business, Adverse effect, Rifampicin, medicine.drug
Abstract

Summary Background Bloodstream infection is associated with high mortality and serious morbidity in preterm babies. Evidence from clinical trials shows that antimicrobial-impregnated central venous catheters (CVCs) reduce catheter-related bloodstream infection in adults and children receiving intensive care, but there is a paucity of similar evidence for babies receiving neonatal intensive care. Methods This open-label, parallel-group, pragmatic, randomised controlled trial was done in 18 neonatal intensive care units in England. Newborn babies who needed a peripherally inserted CVC (PICC) were allocated randomly (1:1) to receive either a PICC impregnated with miconazole and rifampicin or a standard (non-antimicrobial-impregnated) PICC. Random allocation was done with a web-based program, which was centrally controlled to ensure allocation concealment. Randomisation sequences were computer-generated in random blocks of two and four, and stratified by site. Masking of clinicians to PICC allocation was impractical because rifampicin caused brown staining of the antimicrobial-impregnated PICC. However, participant inclusion in analyses and occurrence of outcome events were determined following an analysis plan that was specified before individuals saw the unblinded data. The primary outcome was the time from random allocation to first microbiologically confirmed bloodstream or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) infection between 24 h after randomisation and 48 h after PICC removal or death. We analysed outcome data according to the intention-to-treat principle. We excluded babies for whom a PICC was not inserted from safety analyses, as these analyses were done with groups defined by the PICC used. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, number 81931394. Findings Between Aug 12, 2015, and Jan 11, 2017, we randomly assigned 861 babies (754 [88%] born before 32 weeks of gestation) to receive an antimicrobial-impregnated PICC (430 babies) or standard PICC (431 babies). The median time to PICC removal was 8·20 days (IQR 4·77–12·13) in the antimicrobial-impregnated PICC group versus 7·86 days (5·00–12·53) days in the standard PICC group (hazard ratio [HR] 1·03, 95% CI 0·89–1·18, p=0·73), with 46 (11%) of 430 babies versus 44 (10%) of 431 babies having a microbiologically confirmed bloodstream or CSF infection. The time from random allocation to first bloodstream or CSF infection was similar between the two groups (HR 1·11, 95% CI 0·73–1·67, p=0·63). Secondary outcomes relating to infection, rifampicin resistance in positive blood or CSF cultures, mortality, clinical outcomes at neonatal unit discharge, and time to PICC removal were similar between the two groups, although rifampicin resistance in positive cultures of PICC tips was higher in the antimicrobial-impregnated PICC group (relative risk 3·51, 95% CI 1·16–10·57, p=0·018). 60 adverse events were reported from 49 (13%) patients in the antimicrobial-impregnated PICC group and 50 events from 45 (10%) babies in the standard PICC group. Interpretation We found no evidence of benefit or harm associated with miconazole and rifampicin-impregnated PICCs compared with standard PICCs for newborn babies. Future research should focus on other types of antimicrobial impregnation of PICCs and alternative approaches for preventing infection. Funding UK National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Published
2019

12. Cost-effectiveness of strategies preventing late-onset infection in preterm infants

Author

Chloe Donohue, Alessandro Grosso, Ruth Gilbert, Laura Bojke, Katie Harron, Sam Oddie, Rita Faria, and Caroline Fraser

Subjects
Pediatrics, medicine.medical_specialty, Time Factors, Cost effectiveness, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Psychological intervention, Late onset, law.invention, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Drug Delivery Systems, Randomized controlled trial, Anti-Infective Agents, law, 030225 pediatrics, Intensive care, Health care, Medicine, Central Venous Catheters, Humans, business.industry, 030503 health policy & services, Infant, Newborn, Gestational age, Health Care Costs, Miscellaneous, Models, Economic, Catheter-Related Infections, Pediatrics, Perinatology and Child Health, Life expectancy, 0305 other medical science, business, Infant, Premature
Abstract

ObjectiveDeveloping a model to analyse the cost-effectiveness of interventions preventing late-onset infection (LOI) in preterm infants and applying it to the evaluation of anti-microbial impregnated peripherally inserted central catheters (AM-PICCs) compared with standard PICCs (S-PICCs).DesignModel-based cost-effectiveness analysis, using data from the Preventing infection using Antimicrobial Impregnated Long Lines (PREVAIL) randomised controlled trial linked to routine healthcare data, supplemented with published literature. The model assumes that LOI increases the risk of neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI).SettingNeonatal intensive care units in the UK National Health Service (NHS).PatientsInfants born ≤32 weeks gestational age, requiring a 1 French gauge PICC.InterventionsAM-PICC and S-PICC.Main outcome measuresLife expectancy, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and healthcare costs over the infants’ expected lifetime.ResultsSevere NDI reduces life expectancy by 14.79 (95% CI 4.43 to 26.68; undiscounted) years, 10.63 (95% CI 7.74 to 14.02; discounted) QALYs and costs £19 057 (95% CI £14 197; £24697; discounted) to the NHS. If LOI causes NDI, the maximum acquisition price of an intervention reducing LOI risk by 5% is £120. AM-PICCs increase costs (£54.85 (95% CI £25.95 to £89.12)) but have negligible impact on health outcomes (−0.01 (95% CI −0.09 to 0.04) QALYs), compared with S-PICCs. The NHS can invest up to £2.4 million in research to confirm that AM-PICCs are not cost-effective.ConclusionsThe model quantifies health losses and additional healthcare costs caused by NDI and LOI during neonatal care. Given these consequences, interventions preventing LOI, even by a small extent, can be cost-effective. AM-PICCs, being less effective and more costly than S-PICC, are not likely to be cost-effective.Trial registration numberNCT03260517.

Published
2019

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